Guest essay by Eric Worrall
More evidence that global warming is spreading its icy tentacles across the entire Northern Hemisphere; devex reports that global warming is freezing Mongolian livestock, and preventing the grass from growing in the Summer.
For Mongolians, climate change is as personal as it gets
When the world adopted the newest climate agreement during the United Nations climate change conference — or COP21 — in Paris, France, last December, an urgent warning was sounded: The effects of climate change will only worsen if nothing is done to address the problem.
…
Even in the landlocked nation of Mongolia, the negative effects of climate change have hit home — quite literally. Oyun Sanjaasuren, inaugural president of the United Nations Environment Assembly, said that her country’s vulnerability to climate change could be the highest in the world by the turn of the century, if current rate of temperature increase continues.
“Mongolia’s average warming over the past couple of years is 2.2 degrees Celsius, which is considered the hottest in the country since the 1940s, and the global average is at 0.8 degrees Celsius,” said Sanjaasuren, who has also served as a member of parliament in the East Asian nation since 1998.
The effects of climate change have been severe in Mongolia, bordered by Russia to the north and China to the south. In 2009 and 2010 alone, around 8.5 million livestock died — consisting mostly of goats, sheep, cows and horses — as a result of extreme weather conditions known as a “dzud,” a summer drought followed by a heavy snowfall.
The phenomenon is unique to the East Asian nation, exacerbated by the fact that around one-third of the country’s work force depends on animal husbandry and livestock herding to earn a living. And this year, dzud is once again threatening livelihoods.
Since November 2015, large parts of the country have been experiencing very low temperatures of up to minus 40 degree Celsius, followed by heavy snowfall that has covered around 90 percent of Mongolia’s territory. This has resulted in sharp reductions in plant life used for livestock feed and rendering pastures — and even basic services such as transportation — largely inaccessible.
…
“Herders and livestock were used to warmer winters … so now with colder winters, it makes it hard to cope with the temperature,” Tsedensednom, governor of Ulziit district, located more than 600 kilometers southwest of the capital city of Ulaanbaatar, told Devex.
“I’m not a scientific expert, but in my personal experience, the changes [to the environment] are evident,” he added. “When I was a kid, the grass was so high you couldn’t see calves. Now grass only grows 10 centimeters, or not at all.”
This situation has been exacerbated by overgrazing, an issue in the country for several years. …
Read more: https://www.devex.com/news/for-mongolians-climate-change-is-as-personal-as-it-gets-87832
The harsh conditions are obviously no laughing matter for the Mongolian people, who are obviously suffering severe hardship, but the attempt to frame this as a problem caused by warming is more than a little ridiculous. Still, perhaps Mongolian authorities are taking their lead from US Climate Scientists, who frequently claim brutal cold and heavy snow are our fault.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
..Eric, what is really pathetic, is that these fools actually believe that the majority of civilized \ educated Humans will accept their foolish stupidity without doing any research of their own !
The majority of western adult humans HAVE accepted this foolish reality, or at least, accepted it enough to continue electing governments who push “green” policies.
This article simply shouts out just how much of a “DZUD” global warming theory really is
There is a very good scientific study of the dzud looking at the 1993 period onwards
https://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/handle/2027.42/85158/Nina%20S_thesis_061211.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
The worst dzud in recent Years appears to have been 1944/45 and the event seems to be a very frequent occurence.it was made worse by a great upsurge in livestock with subsequent overgrazing. Difficult to see the agw connection but easy to sympathise with the people affected.
Tonyb
If there is a common name for this occurrence in the vocabulary it must be quite common.
The worst dzud in recent Years appears to have been 1944/45
That would be the last time that the AMO started its downturn.
Just more warmista loss of effective intelligence (h/t Kevin Lohse) where they are bright, keen, and committed but totally clueless.
Marcus, the majority of ‘civilized/educated humans’ DON’T do any research of their own, and when the media reports that “scientists say”, they accept it as gospel truth.
Send in John Kerry pronto.
..Why ??, Do you want to make another terrorist Happy ?
He deserves to get frostbite, along with John Holdren.
..You are being waaaaay too nice !
Don’t send Al Gore there though, it would be difficult to separate out the Gore Effect from Normal Fluctuations
AGW for global heating
AGW for global cooling
AGW for shrinking glaciers
AGW for increasing antarctic ice pack
AGW for health problems
AGW for increased farm yields
A most amazing thing, AGW.
No warming in 58 years!
http://realclimatescience.com/2016/03/noaa-radiosonde-data-shows-no-warming-for-58-years/
Surely they are not properly adjusted.
Quote ” The phenomenon is unique to the East Asian nation, exacerbated by the fact that around one-third of the country’s work force depends on animal husbandry and livestock herding to earn a living. And this year, dzud is once again threatening livelihoods. “… So, it has happened before ? It’s called NATURE , which is a beast we will never tame !
So common they have a word for it .
Bob Armstrong
March 7, 2016 at 10:34 am
============
Bob, your eight (8) word comment will be difficult to argue against.
… syllable
Marcus
I stand by my comment. You are off by one syllable.
syllable or silly-bull
My thought exactly!
I still can’t tell the difference between Global Cooling caused by Global Warming and Global Cooling caused by Global Cooling.
..Dear Margaret, it’s quite simple…Poor countries that are controlled by dictators claim Global cooling is caused by Glo.Bull warming, thus, they get money from the evil Americans…Northern Canadians, such as myself, just want Glo.Bull Warming to be real, so I can stop freezing my nookies off !
Mongolia has a vibrant democracy and different parties have been elected from time to time. It is being hammered by the drop in the price of commodities (coal and copper) and of course, resurgent cold.
It is now quite a bit warmer in the capital than it was 60 years ago, but the record low was set only 15 years ago: -53 C (in the city).
The brutal cold has been there since the Little Ice Age. It was much warmer in the time of Chingis Khan.
Believe it or not the EU gave Mongolia 50 windmills to help generate power. They are under the flight path from Beijing to the east of Ulaanbaatar. Mongolia has a billion tons of coal. They also have the cleanest burning coal stoves available. All they have to do is build more of them.
It is sad that this natural calamity which occurs from time to time is being blamed on human CO2 emissions.
..Crispin, thanx for the update, where ever you are today !
I read that the street kids live in the sewers to keep from freezing. The article says they sometimes freeze to death during summer cold snaps. Harsh.
Crispin,
Somewhat OT, but every time you comment, I get a lesson in world geography trying to figure out where you are.
Yep you are correct commieBob. If you are out after dark you need to be very careful of the missing manhole covers
Commiebob
“I read that the street kids live in the sewers to keep from freezing. The article says they sometimes freeze to death during summer cold snaps. Harsh.”
This is one of the urban legends (literally) that serve to show that biased reporting is not limited to the halls of the Beeb.
They are not ‘living in the sewers’! There is a CHP (central heating and power) plant in the city (two, soon) that have gigantic pipes running from the power station into the city centre to heat all the buildings. They run through their own underground passages once they near the city centre. They are above ground on the outskirts.
The people ‘living underground’ are living in the warm tunnels through which these hot water pipe pass. They are not sewers. Many of the manhole covers are missing and people just pop down them as a way to escape the cold. I understand there are several hundred people down there on cold nights.
Darn. I had visions of Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles. 🙂
…or is it Global Warming caused by Global Cooling?
For the love of God! Could one of you global warming alarmists please tell me what it is you wish the climate would do? C’mon Weepy Bill. I know you watch this site. Thrill us.
..I would really be interested in knowing what ” The Perfect Temperature ” is for the Earth ..Surely, it cannot be -20 c….Which Nation / continent / government / society / warlord / despot…etc..gets to dictate ” what Mother MUST or MUST NOT do ?
Mother being Mother Earth ! ( some liberals are slow ) !
Everybody knows that everything that happens is due to Global Warming. Particularly the latest spate of earthquakes, solar flares from the sun, everyone has noticed the increase in meteor activity which is closely aligned to Global Warming. The latest research has shown that the price of the US Postal Service postage stamp correlates exactly with the rise in sea levels, fall in the number of Polar Bears and CO2. How can the Global Warming skeptics ignore the obvious?
.. Political Delusion !
I have a children’s picture book, a story of wild horses in the American West. It describes how many of the horses die of cold and starvation or are weakened enough to be taken by predators during the “white famine”–winter. And how much easier it is for them to live come Spring. Cold=bad, warm=good for livestock was once considered so obvious even a first-grader could easily understand it, so I have to conclude anyone who can be sucked into this silliness has never spent any time with animals, pastures, and the problems involved. You don’t get much of that in Park Avenue salons, after all.
I stubbed my toe on my coffee table this evening. I think it was Climate Change that made the dimensions of my coffee table change ever so slightly . Sure, it’s not measurable, and the measurements I do have aren’t really accurate or consistent – but it was clearly Climate Change. We must cut CO2 immediately!
Oh, and give me a few million as compensation for my bad accident because of Climate Change.
Rasa wrote: “The latest research has shown that the price of the US Postal Service postage stamp correlates exactly with the rise in sea levels,…”
I believe on April 10, 2016, U.S. 1st class postage goes down 2 cents to 47 cents.
Has anyone noticed that the motto of the U.S. Postal Service is now considered to be unfair working conditions by the union?
Oh no. Mongolians will start invading again! 😀
Did Al Gore visit Mongolia? Of course, overgrazing had nothing to do with herd failures, only weather.
Sorry to disappoint all you “deniers”, but the evidence is in. Look at the photo on the first page of article.
https://www.devex.com/news/for-mongolians-climate-change-is-as-personal-as-it-gets-87832.
There are five, (count em 5 !), SUVs parked outside of 3 yurts. Either Al Gore is visiting, or the Mongolians are just looking for trouble, hence they get worst side of global warming (i.e., the cold side of it).
/sarc
There are six SUVs. Count the shadows.
Count the shadows.
Who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men?
Odd that CAGW causes dzud, yet the Mongolian word dzud for these conditions has been in the language for hundreds of years. Mongolian yak herders must have had one heck of a good dung fired supercomputer climate model way back when, to have been so prescient as to name this CAGW disaster so much earlier than than there was any AGW, let alone dzud CAGW.
Transparently stupid warmunism.
..That what I said…more or less ! LOL
Looks like in Mongolia, CAGW is no longer just BS, it has morphed into Yak Manure.
Ah, but now it’s a CAduds! The “A” means we have to do something to control something!
(Or something like that.)
Meanwhile Africa is falling faster economically than Russia or the other oil producers because all commodities are down sharply (see WSJ story on Zambia). This highlights the disaster of the U.S. and international agency focus on renewable energy and climate change. It is about to surpass Rwandan genocide in scope. Demonstration projects in a collapsing society are not much help.
This weak attempt of propaganda only shows that the warmist media co-conspirators are getting really lazy.
Cold in Mongolia? Shocking!
Cold in Mongolia……Really?….. Who would have thought…
I hope Crispin from Waterloo is actually in Mongolia again and will confirm that all the livestock there has died because of the cold resulting from all the wicked Western people burning fossil fuels.
That lovely photo of the very neat and tidy Mongolian Yurt, with the snow covered mountains in the background, shows a tall chimney sticking out the top. These stoic folks get through the freezing cold winters by burning coal in their ingenious down-draught stoves, and I remember Crispin telling how they actually glow red-hot inside the yurt.
Now here in southern Africa we have been having a very bad drought and all over Namibia, Botswana and South Africa many thousands of livestock have died. But this is not new, and it has all happened before. Good years follow bad ones, as sure as day follows night, but nobody learns.
When the rains come, cattle people rejoice and build up their stock numbers, like money in the bank for them. As the cycle turns, the cattle become thin, which is the time to eat them and take the pressure off the land. But as everyone knows, you cant’t eat money, and so the whole sorry cycle is repeated. Nowadays this stupidity can be blamed on Global Warming, thus conveniently absolving presidents, princes, politicians and peasants alike from taking responsibility for the the wise management of the soil and ecosystems that support all life on earth.
Eric has become a champion poster of news and contributions to WUWT – thanks for that and strength to your arm.
John4150
I am in Central Asia these days working on keeping people warm as usual. The stoves that have cleaned up the air of Ulaanbaatar are mostly TLUD’s (top-lit updraft) stoves some designed locally, some from Turkey. The air quality has improved 65% in 4 years caused only by replacing the ger stoves (yurt stoves). Now they are starting on the low pressure boilers.
Here in Bishkek everyone but everyone has a water heating stove of some kind except way up in the mountains. In the rural areas of Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Mongolia they burn dung or co-fire it with branches or wood or crop residues. The stoves used for this purpose are quite different (and should be) from the coal burners in the cities.
The development of advanced downdraft stoves continued through the Univ of JHB’s SeTAR Centre. A TLUD coal burner was constructed last week in Tajikistan to demonstrate what smokeless coal combustion looks and feels like. Very impressive, they decided. $32.
“I’m not a scientific expert, but in my personal experience, the changes [to the environment] are evident,”
Maybe he should look at this NOAA graphic to see that there are no straight lines or any regular shapes anywhere. This would indicate that weather patterns will also not follow precise predictability anywhere.
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/map/images/fnl/sfctmp_01.fnl.gif
Yes, and the bulk of the coldest weather is right over Hudson Bay, the epicenter of all Ice Ages.
What if this is a precursor to a new mini ice age?
Does the solar activity look like it did during the Maunder Minimum and if so what is the strength of the correlation between solar activity and temperature?
What is the current theory as to how solar activity influences global temperatures (if it in fact does)?
Thanks,
-Walt
Walt, shhh, do you want to start a fight?
Seriously, the short answer is we do not know, but time will tell. Climate is affected by many disparate factors over vastly different time scales. some decently understood, some not so much. How they coalesce over what frequency, strengthening or weakening each other, is what makes it interesting.
Just stick around for a few years. We’ll all find out together. As for temperature correlation, think of the temperature swings each day and night.
Over the next 48 hours its certainly looking like Mongolia will be getting colder.
As its looking like a icy blast will be coming down from the Arctic over that part of the world in the next 2 days. Talking of icy blasts, the weather pattern setting up over europe going into next week is looking interesting. Where europe may well get a little taste of what a ice age weather pattern can do.
Never underestimate a warmunists’ ability to confuse weather with climate, fact with fiction, or a logical argument with an Appeal to Emotion.
When “science” becomes PR, such stories is what you get. And when it’s PR, somebody is selling something.
Or stealing.
Like democracy.
Auto.
Global warmists, please, please don’t stop. Don’t stop blaming every major snow storm on global warming. Please don’t stop blaming every tornado on global warming. Please keep claiming that the reduction in the Arctic ice pack and the growth in the Antarctic ice pack are due to global warming. Keep saying that every strange fish that washes up on any beach is due to global warming. Please tell us that crops are failing when we see ever increasing surpluses. Oh please keep it all up.
Yes, please keep telling us to believe you…and not our own lying eyes. Why, because the general public, the scientifically uneducated, ever gullible, general public is starting to catch on to your chicken little claims.
dam1953.
Don’t worry the grant gravy train will keep pumping out the money no matter how the economy is in trouble = DEFICIT FINANCING will keep the crooks and cooks in business.
The Democrat enablers Clinton and Sanders said as much last night on the CNN debate!
God help us if these warmist get in the white house.
Edits..
Crooks, cooks and kooks… ( I like triple rhymes)
And what do you mean “if these warmists get in the White House”? Who the hell do you think is in there now? We have have had the far left wing of the left wing running the show for the past 7+ years. It’s a veritable granola valley up there, filled with fruits, nuts and flakes.
Eric,
A couple of decades ago I pointed out that frequent dzud (zud back then) occurrences, that froze your livestock to the ground would not be conducive for building up the vast herds of horses that gave the Mongolians the mobility to conquer a large portion of the known world in the 12th and 13th centuries. I suggested that this indicated that Mongolia was located in Europe during the middle ages because everyone “knows” the Medieval Warm Period only occurred in Europe and the North Atlantic.
Jeff.
I never stop learning thanks to great contributors like yourself.
That’s a very interesting point/ a real historical eye-opener, so the Medieval Warming Period created the conditions and climate to allow the Mongolians to prosper grow abundant crops/ food and livestock for their great conquests. It makes sense since the Medieval Warming Period shows lots of signals worldwide as well as in the southern latitudes. The warmist fanatics hate that!
TG,
They really do hate it. I recently read a paper claiming that the Mongol horde was fleeing a colder climate thereby proving the MWP wasn’t global.
JN, terrific observation. Great MWP sound bite.
Jeff..
My reading on that incredible period of history all roads lead back to Mongolia during and after the major conquest (Amazing history) The treasures and the artisans/ builders and trades people flocked to Mongolia to get in on the act and wealth creation.
The warmist stuck out again, or are they now change a well-recorded history of those times!
if it isn’t falsifiable it isn’t science. This article is just absolutely embarrassing.
What if it’s fashionable? Much of what is reported is fashionable. Maybe Popper got it wrong.
“Mongolia’s average warming over the past couple of years is 2.2 degrees Celsius, which is considered the hottest in the country since the 1940s, and the global average is at 0.8 degrees Celsius,”
“Since November 2015, large parts of the country have been experiencing very low temperatures of up to minus 40 degree Celsius, followed by heavy snowfall that has covered around 90 percent of Mongolia’s territory.”
Only the magic power of CAGW could bridge the factual gap between these two statements.
I’ve been watching it on here –
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/overlay=temp/orthographic=96.26,58.32,277/loc=109.851,50.917
for the last few mths, lots of -30°C & -40°Cs: it’s now warmed up…..to -20°C !!
But it would be warmer if it wasn’t for global warming!
(No need to thank me for clearing your logical error.8-)
only some biased twit could also fail to mention the prior 4 years that Mongolian herders have lost thousands of animals due to the deep snows n inability to provide fodder
iceagenow.info has been reporting on these events and others for years.
(and the 4yrs back is only from when I started taking notice of reports)
Forget about all the statements. As usual problems are mixed up with climate hysteria. Mongolia has around 3 million people and who knows 30 to 50 million ruminants who convert the country in a desert. This is supported by the fact that all animals are on equal position as humans in the countries constitution. So, when an animal suffers undernourishment, the government has to feed it, not the owner. Land is all communal. Nobody slaughters an animal when it has good meat quality, just when it is needed to pay the bills. In the dzud, which is a common weather condition since centuries, the animals are starving to death and the government of Mongolia will buy hay in Russia to feed the crowd. The crowd could have been slaughtered and would have, as in all other normal animal husbandry, if food for the animal would have a cost factor. This is a common thing since Soviet times. Now comes the funny part, climate change, sorry for you Mongolians, is not happening. If it would happen, you would be the big winners, because the stepps and grasslands would profit and the potential of the land would see an immense growth and your love to animals could increase some more millions of goats, sheep and other hairy friends.
Mongolia will need more and more heating in the coming two decades. That is why I have devoted the last ten years to improving the local capacity to build more efficient heating appliances. Fortunately they have a trillion tons of coal, much of it easy-to-light lignite that burns incredibly cleanly in stoves designed for it.
If they already have a name for the phenomenon it must have happened many times in history.
About what I was going to say. No win argument for those who question, no lose argument for those who have drunk the koolaid.
Reblogged this on Climatism and commented:
Hot, cold, wet, dry, blizzard, drought, wind, rain, snow or ice….it’s all ‘global warming’ and it’s all-your-fault!