Story submitted by Eric Worrall
“WHAT if David Archibald’s book The Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short turns out to be right? What if the past 50 years of peace, cheap energy, abundant food, global economic growth and population explosion have been due to a temporary climate phenomenon?”
This is the first paragraph of Maurice Newman’s latest attack on the world’s infatuation with global warming.
Maurice Newman is the Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s most senior economic advisor – one of the first acts of the newly elected Abbott government was to appoint Maurice Newman to the chair of the government Business Advisory Council.
According to the article written by Newman;
“If the world does indeed move into a cooling period, its citizens are ill-prepared. After the 2008 financial crisis, most economies are still struggling to recover. Cheap electricity in a colder climate will be critical, yet distorted price signals caused by renewable energy policies are driving out reliable baseload generators. Attracting fresh investment will be difficult, expensive and slow.
Only time will tell, but it is fanciful to believe that it will be business as usual in a colder global climate. ”
If Newman is right, governments have been preparing for the wrong crisis, squandering resources which could have been used to prepare us for the coming cold. At the depths of the Little Ice Age, grain production in Northern latitudes, regions which are currently regarded as the breadbaskets of the Western World, was severely curtailed, due to shorter growing seasons and greater weather instability. And there is always the risk that a little ice age could become something worse – if the historical record is any guide, we are nearing the end of the current interglacial.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Little_Ice_Age
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The old paradigm: “CO2 leads to catastrphic warming” points the way to the new paradigm: CO2 is good. It mitigates the cold and feeds the plants.
I expect this winter as a normal one but 2015 is critical, if there will be a small sign of dropping temperatures I will take my precautions which I have in mind. This expected cooling I take for real.
Meanwhile, over at Fairfax we find that others are treating a psychopathology called ‘climate depression.’ This is where climate change activists slip into despair. It all started just after climategate, in Copenhagen 2009…
http://www.smh.com.au/national/a-climate-of-despair-20140813-102r1w.html
Climate change measures like ‘primitive civilisations offering up sacrifices to appease the gods’, says Maurice Newman
But he fears the “political establishment” is deaf to risks of global cooling because “having made science a religion, it bravely persists with its global warming narrative, ignoring at its peril and ours, the clear warnings being given by Mother Nature”.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/climate-change-measures-like-primitive-civilisations-offering-up-sacrifices-to-appease-the-gods-says-maurice-newman-20140814-3do0v.html
Newman is trying to provide balance to the obsession to leave the sun out of things within climate science, and is one of those people who is totally disillusioned by the inability of the academic establishment to be anywhere near objective.
Despite solar activity being relatively high in recent decades, and despite exactly this sort of level of solar activity leading to climate warming in the past, it is dismissed and rarely given a hearing by mainstream climate science. They keep dismissing solar output as ‘not increasing’ over several decades of measurement, but it is the relatively high and sustained level of solar output over these decades, in context with previous decades and centuries, which is fundamental in driving the more recent decades of warming.
This will come back to haunt them, they have already made up their minds on what is going on without looking at all the evidence objectively. Too many snouts in the trough and simply too many agendas to get to the bottom of things. The 21st century will not forget the way mainstream science was perverted and captured by narrow self interests.
Makes me proud to be an Aussie…Now if the Wallabies can put it together on the weekend : ) 🙂
“If Newman is right…”
Well, that would require that David Archibald is right. I suspect WUWT’s senior scientific adviser would say, don’t bet on it. And you’d think the Oz Gov’t might be cautious after his 2008 submission to Parliament (Summary):
“2008 is the tenth anniversary of the recent peak on global temperature in 1998. The world has been cooling at 0.06 degrees per annum since then. My prediction is that this rate of cooling will accelerate to 0.2 degrees per annum following the month of solar minimum sometime in 2009.”
That would put us now about 1.6°C down since 1998.
is this a day for CAGW scepticism in the MSM?
13 Aug: UK Daily Mail: Earth has been getting hotter for the past 10,000 YEARS, contradicting studies that humans started global warming
The study argues previous research used contradictory ice core data
Scientists ran different computer simulations of climate influences
Each showed a notable global warming trend over last 10,000 years
And no physical forces, scientists say, could have been strong enough to overwhelm the warming trend
By Ellie Zolfagharifard For Mailonline
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2723861/Earth-getting-hotter-past-10-000-YEARS-contradicting-studies-humans-began-global-warming-trend.html
50 years of peace, really? OK, maybe no world war…but certainly war.
We really haven’t seen the end of the finicial crisis thta started in 2008. The global economy is so complex and so interconnected that the slightest failure can trigger snow ball growth in other failures. The 2008 event started in Iceland. It’s rather ironic that a building in Iceland in which signalled the end of the cold war and thus comunism is right next to a bank that signaled the start of the 2008 banking system failure. Right now rich bankers are being paid off by the poorest people in the poorest countries and China is bankrolling the US.
Eric Worrall:
Thankyou for your report of the comment by Maurice Newman (Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott’s most senior economic advisor) that begins saying
In the late 1990s I was reviled across the web because I repeatedly said the following.
The world cooled from about 1940 for the about 30 years to about 1970.
Alarmists claimed the cooling was a threat of catastrophe and was caused by emissions of SO2 from use of fossil fuels so fossil fuel usage should be curtailed.
The world has warmed from about 1970 for about 30 years. So, alarmists have morphed the scare.
Alarmists claim the warming is a threat of catastrophe and is caused by emissions of CO2 from use of fossil fuels so fossil fuel usage should be curtailed.
If the world again cools for about 30 years then the climate scare can be expected to be morphed back to the cooling is a threat of catastrophe and is caused by emissions from use of fossil fuels so fossil fuel usage should be curtailed.
About half of 30 years ago the world stopped warming, and I have yet to see any reason to doubt my prediction.
Richard
Thankfully there are some authoritative voices questioning the unscientific rhetoric that has characterized Australia’s recent Climate discussions.
Our Universities have provided little inspiration as they buckled to the demands of the drongo Greens.
The previous government had NO IDEA anyway, forget Gillard’s “the Science is settled”, is was more like “the Science I don’t understand”.
Fortunately much of the money is now being directed towards “sustainability” which helps the community with better roads, bridges, bushfire prevention etc.
Well done!!!
Please post instructions on how to submit a story or advise by email..
I have have been active in climate research since 1995 and come across remarkable stories about once a month.
cnxtim says:
August 14, 2014 at 12:43 am
“Makes me proud to be an Aussie…Now if the Wallabies can put it together on the weekend : ) :)”
…….1 minute to go. All Blacks lead by 1 point. Infringement in the ruck by Richie MacCaw.
Penalty to the Wallabies, right in front of the posts. History repeats!
“History never repeats
I tell myself before I go to sleep
Don’t say the words you might regret”
(Split Enz – Kiwi Band)
The risk analysis should be in both directions – too hot/too cold. The money is clearly on too hot. I have mentioned the incidence of severe cooling on a number of websites, but it never raises a direct response.
Rarely you may see a comment similar to, ” I’d rather die too hot than freezing”, And thats it? The truth is that preparation for cold, as with common severe weather, is/has been seriously neglected.
Fairly cool/wet (13C) here in the W. England. Think the Bertha turmoil turned UK weather on its head. Prepared? Nope.
As Ex-expat Colin says, most people prefer warm to cold. It’s no secret that many people move south when they retire. In Canada and the US, Florida and Arizona are great places to spend winter.
Since 1978, most years have found me in Southeast Asia with a few in the warmer parts of South America and Africa.
Moreover, the governments in almost all of these countries pay lip-service to the UN and ADB, but completely avoid doing anything that will damage their economies in the futile hope that they can influence the global climate.
I read the above story about Nicole Thornton in (smh) the Sydney Morning Herald. What a joke, better off to get a proper job – most people really don’t believe in Global Warming as she would like to think, just her mate’s on the previous Govt payroll.
Crying “Wolf!!” shouldn’t be a career and certainly shouldn’t provide a living.
John Of Cloverdale WA, Australia says:
August 14, 2014 at 1:19 am
Infringement in the ruck by Richie MacCaw.
===================================
If all of those were penalised, NZ would scarcely have won a match in the last 10 years 😉
Mr Green Genes has clearly written in the English language and I grasp all the words. But the meaning escapes me, perhaps because I have never had the opportunity to enjoy life in Australia and NZ..
Fred Colbourne says:
August 14, 2014 at 1:12 am
Please post instructions on how to submit a story or advise by email..
I have have been active in climate research since 1995 and come across remarkable stories about once a month.
Atop each WUWT thread is a row of tabs. One of them is “Submit Story” and another is “Tips and Notes.”
Oops–somehow the first two text blocks above didn’t get indented.
The Catastrophic Man-man Global Warming Zealots.
The biggest organised crime gang in the history of humanity.
Ha! Now the greenery rejects natural cyclic political variability as well?
Adam Bandt, you’re a disgusting little white-anter who can’t function within any milue other than a monopolar porridge of vile little warp’onaughts. So say hi to Sarah and Christine, I’d gladly give you all a free RAN life boat cruise on the Andaman Sea.
Open the sea cocks!
@ur momisugly Fred handful of posts back. It’s RUGBY Fred, a game spoken of reverently by large taciturn men in deep, dark places.
He is opposing a political movement, not a scientific one. Therefore it is possible the global elitists behind that movement will not like what they view as a heretic that could derail decades of planning.
Interesting to see what they do.
I spent a few weeks in Iceland this year, and talked to some locals. Despite their conformist government making mandatory green noises, most Icelanders (as well as other Nordic peoples) have had high hopes for the “global warming,” waiting for the return of the Medieval Warm Period good times. Now they start to realize that warming is not happening, and that there are serious indications of the opposite (summer temperatures went down, there was a record snowfall in Eastern Iceland — up to 15 feet! — during the 2013-14 winter). In August, there’s still unmelted snow on the cliffs of the Eastern Fjords; covered with the new snow this fall, it could quickly become a permanent snow cover. I can tell you Icelanders are scared and unhappy, being a small nation, very vulnerable to any additional cold.
Nick Stokes – just thought I’d ask as you’re so precise on your figures – how many degrees under the each of the IPCC maximum predictions are we right now? What did 1990’s prediction say we’d be at now? And what’s that in unadjusted figures? ;-/
What was that old saying about about people who live in glass houses…
Oh yes, they might have a greehouse effect.
pop over to the gaurdians take on it
they add the usual blatherskite from ipcc and a ripper braindeath quote by mathew england
the on about strong winds pushing heat underneath the ocean tops.
Newman was pushed out of the ABC top job, and I suspect a certain R williams and cronies had a fair bit to do with that, theyre the greener than green schemers,
big ideas radio show 3am this morning (thatd be Aus thursday 3am or so) its podcastable off the abc RN website
sit back and laugh at Clive Hamiltons moaning and lies
funny
till
he starts on the remedial options. then you just wanna bang head n cry