By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
The circumpolar vortex has put this season into the record-books. The United States has just gone through its coldest interequinoctial winter (equinox to equinox) in a century. Hat-tip to CFACT, which has just sent me the graph.
The last U.S. winter colder than this one was in 1911/12, before the First World War.
Thank you, America! Most of Britain has had an unusually mild and wet winter, for you have had more than your fair share of the Northern Hemisphere’s cold weather this season.
Global warming? What global warming?
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Well ya know, it’s just all that hot glowbull air headin’ north over the Pacific Ocean that just displaced the cold polar vortex to sit over the U.S.
I’d insert “(Dec. 21 thru March 21)” (or whatever) before “winter.”
REPLY: I did that briefly, then realized your suggestion was dead wrong based on the definition of interequinoctial.
Do try to limit your suggestions to correct ones. Thanks, Anthony
But I was told that northern hemisphere winters would get warmer. What went wrong?
Could it be that the models have a problem?
Christopher Moncton of Benchley is full of it. I looked at that same graph, and I see the 99th warmest winter in the past 100 years. Fear not, warmistas. Global warming is alive and well.
Interesting that an English (UKIP) politician equates ‘US’ with ‘global’ !
Here are the climateers (in the past) predicting warmer winters. Carbon dioxide is a funny old gas.
No matter what vindication we feel with these numbers, we must remember what we have said: one winter in one are does not a trend make.
Meanwhile at the other end of the globe, the Dome A AWS has recorded another minimum temp ( -91C) that exceeds the previous world record minimum of -89.2C. This is remarkable considering that it is only March.
Northern hemisphere winter snow extent trending up since 1967. Spring is down though. But it’s still worse than we thought, it’s all our fault and we must act now.
http://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_seasonal.php?ui_set=nhland&ui_season=1
Right now, several hundred million Americans, Canadians and visitors are WISHING for global warming.
Two words,
The Sun
My feeling is that the recent big increase in solar activity since October is the reason for such long cold winter. PDO increased all winter also. Cold winters in the CONUS since 1970’s all happened near Solar cycle bottom but with on upward curve of in activity of cycles.
2013-2014 winter in conus was at peak of solar cycle #24 but the twist is that happened on upward second peak. Since the cycle has been very quiet the 4 month spike in TSI was comparable to upward curve spikes on past solar cycles.
We should not see such a cold winter in conus till the upward curve on the next cycle #25. Winter can still be cold and should experience lots of blocking between now and new upward curve on solar cycle #25.
Any thoughts?
Based on the graph presented I count it as the 116th warmest winter of the past 118 years.
On the development index ranking Arkansas is perennially second last in the nation. Think of that as the winter of 2013/2014 compared with the last 102 years (because this season has been the coldest in the last 100 – but I digress.)
As they say in Arkansas, “Thank God for Mississippi.” (And 1912.)
The UK is famed for its VERY changeable weather. I lived there for many, many years and I can attest to this. As for climate back in the early 1980s the winters were bitter. Then they got warmer, then colder and now a recent warm winter. That’s climate change or weather if you like.
Is this a six month period from October to March as shown on the graph?
I’m with philjourdan. It has been a long and very cold winter here in Vermont, especially for those of us up by the border with Quebec. Lemme tell ya, the ice on my driveway I wouldn’t wish on your mother-in-law. Thank Bog the super nor’easter is staying to the south of me or I’d be seriously trapped 800′ from the paved road, with no recourse ‘ceptin dynamite.
BTW, -5 tonight. But they say it may hit the 30’s by the weekend…
Since we are on the USA here you go.
Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past (in the UK). Maybe they are right, again.
Well, the warmistas say that warming causes more water vapor, hence big snowfalls. Pretty poor excuse–but that’s why they’re “the Church of Global Warming.” No falsifying them.
“Climate change” is another matter. Those freezing temps and California droughts, etc. are probably normal variation. But the world’s farmers have been messing up the soil, which interferes with hydrological (water) balances. Since water has the highest heat capacity, that means you could get both floods and droughts. This is not due to any kind of fuels, but to terrible irrigation practices, too much tillage, and artificial fertilizers killing soil organisms.
Yes, but it was a dry cold.
Having survived this winter in Wisconsin (barely), I say: “Global Warming? Yes please!”
I fear that in spite of settled scientific bullshit, my kids will know what numb, useless fingers are, sometimes as late in the year as 25 March in Manchester, Hew Hampshire.
Opposable thumbs, rendered useless by exposure, are just that – useless.
Well there’s always at least one, and I guess this time it’s me. This post is a frivolous waste of time. Not that I’m above such things. But I hold our side to a higher standard than the alarmists, rightly or not. Too many good arguments WRT to alleged CAGW to waste time on what is no more than short term weather in one relatively small part of the world.
And please lose this unnecessary 20 dollar word: “interequinoctial”
rogerknights says:
March 26, 2014 at 5:08 pm
> The United States has just gone through its coldest interequinoctial winter in a century.
> I’d insert “(Dec. 21 thru March 21)” (or whatever) before “winter.”
I haven’t checked the dictionaries, and I fully understand challenging the good Lord on interesting words, but I’d think interequinoctial would imply equinox to equinox. Last October wasn’t cold enough to call winter here in New Hampshire, but November was below average.
A five month winter? Yeah, usually it’s only four months long in New Hampshire, but it will be at least five months long this season! 🙂 I’m working on the second longest continuous period of snow cover over the last eleven years….
yes and co2 dogma predicted the opposite.
if you take co2 as the primary agent of change then to predict the weather you have measure the co2 then if co2 has increased you do your ‘change equation’ and out comes warmer and drier. So the co2 dogmatists have at least been consistent in their dogma and keep predicting warmer drier with rising sea levels yada yada. If co2 keeps rising they will have to keep predicting it regardless of what happens and will have to invent ‘black holes and epicycles’ for the heat to go to to explain the divergence between their predictions and the actual.
Quite sad really but that’s what happens if you do not design a fail point in an experiment-a point where the weight of evidence means you dump the theory. Currently there is no amount of evidence that will make them dump the co2 theory. So theory is now irrefutable dogma and any deviation must be explained away.
Oh – note that the graph says “October-March mean temperature.” It’s not clear exact which days are counted, but I’m confident that’s not “Dec. 21 thru March 21”. Definitely “whatever.”
The Navier Stokes equations describe fluid flow with changes in temperature and density. They are nonlinear, chaotic, and show sensitive dependence on initial conditions. No finite set of past states is sufficient to predict a distant future state. This has been known since 1963 and Edward Lorenz’s paper “Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow”. Anyone who tries to use past temperatures to predict distant future temperatures is either incompetent or a fraud.