
Like hermit crabs, climate alarmists scramble to find new ways to hide, when put in a box
Guest essay by Dennis M. Mitchell and David R. Legates
As children playing on the beach, we discovered a fascinating behavioral pattern among hermit crabs. Place a dozen in a cardboard box, and within minutes the crabs exit their shells and try to occupy another. This mild stress-induced response probably reflects their life-long drive to continue growing by repeatedly commandeering larger shells, to protect their vulnerable soft bodies.
Similarly, climate alarmists are now scrambling to find new shelter from the stress coming from a public that increasingly realizes their doom-and-gloom predictions of climate chaos are based on shoddy data, faulty computer models and perhaps outright deception. The alarmist scientists have put themselves in a climate cataclysm box, and are desperate to protect their reputations, predictions and funding.
Despite the absence of warming in actual measured temperature records over the last 16 years, and near-record lows in hurricane and tornado activity, they still cry “wolf” repeatedly and try to connect every unusual or “extreme” weather event to human emissions of plant-fertilizing carbon dioxide. (Actually, people account for only 4% of all the CO2 that enters Earth’s atmosphere each year.)
Alarmists used their predictions of climate catastrophe to demand that the world transform its energy and economic systems, slash fossil fuel use, and accept lower living standards, in response to the politically manufactured science. Even as growing evidence conflicted with their dogma, the money, fame and power were too good to surrender for mere ethical reasons.
The impact on energy prices, national economies, jobs and people’s lives has been profound and negative. For example, in response to the unfounded alarmism, Germany moved aggressively toward wind and solar energy over the past 15 years – both politically and with taxpayer and investment spending. It also shied away from more nuclear power and saw its economy contract and energy-intensive companies shed jobs and threaten to move overseas. Now Germany is burning more coal and building new coal-fired power plants, in an attempt to reverse the economic disaster its “green” and “climate protection” policies unleashed, but its actions are still sending shock waves at investors around the world.
In Spain, every renewable energy job the government’s climate alarmist policies created was offset by two jobs lost in other sectors of the economy that were punished by soaring electricity prices. The demise of a Spanish economy so committed to wind and solar power finally caused reasonable people to reevaluate why these decisions had been made, and the renewable subsidies were slashed, just as they have been in Germany.
How does Brazil’s future look with biofuels? As reality finally overcomes media bias and political correctness, the naive excitement of a few years ago – when anything “green” was portrayed as lower cost, clean and superior in every technological sense – has given way to more rational thinking. Brazil is now going more for oil and gas, via conventional drilling and hydraulic fracturing, onshore and offshore.
Why are so many countries deciding to abandon or diminish the fools-golden eggs of green-tech? First, green technology power has been grossly oversold on reliability, cost, capacity, job creation and environmental impacts. A stable economy requires all of these power characteristics. Second, speculative alarmism about CO2 has been exposed by the hard data of the past couple decades.
The NIPCC Climate Change Reconsidered-II report presents the facts, so that even non-scientists can appreciate the relevant range of the climate components – and the ways people have been conned into believing we faced a manmade climate Armageddon that hasn’t materialized and was never a threat.
Nevertheless, insisting that “climate chaos” was real, former EPA administrator Lisa Jackson wailed that her agency would need at least 240,000 new EPA employees (each making some $100,000 per year, plus benefits) that she said would be needed just to administer new carbon dioxide regulations – and control nearly everything Americans make, drive, ship and do!
EPA currently employs some 20,000 people at an annual budget of over $8 billion. The new hires alone would cost taxpayers another $24 billion annually – plus hundreds of billions of dollars in economic pain, manufacturing shutdowns and new job losses that EPA’s CO2 regulations would inflict.
Year after year, alarmists have changed their protective shells for more absurd answers regarding where the Earth has mysteriously stashed all the energy that greenhouse gases supposedly trapped. For years, alarmists said ocean waters were storing the missing energy. But when the ARGO project demonstrated that the heat was not in the ocean, at least down two kilometers (1.2 miles) beneath the surface, one prominent alarmist responded, “We are puzzled at the results.” We are not puzzled.
When the data consistently conflict with their hypothesis, reputable scientists revise the hypothesis. Five-alarm climate scientists desperately seek new shells, and new excuses.
The “puzzling” facts triggered the predictable alarmist tactic of attacking the data and claiming the heat was hiding in the really deep ocean. Ignoring the physics of the problem – how the asserted heat was transferred from atmospheric carbon dioxide, through the sea surface, and beyond the first mile of ocean waters, without being detected – they expect us to believe that fluid thermodynamics is akin to magic.
The Nongovernmental International Panel on Climate Change (NIPCC) has released its 2013 report Climate Change Reconsidered II. The world finally has a chance to see the actual science – not the kind that’s hidden, massaged and filtered through alarmist shell games.
Unencumbered by political pressure and mega-lobbyists, this 1,018-page review by 50 serious and highly accomplished scientists has exposed the alarmists’ fraud. These real scientists have also exposed as illusory the alarmists’ mystical “tropical hot spot.” This sacred cow turns out to be as fanciful as planetary warming hidden in the deepest ocean, or the infamous hockey stick of Michael Mann’s hidden data and secret computer codes.
Have we forgotten that 1998 was to be the “tipping point,” after which Earth would warm uncontrollably? The 1988 hearing in Washington one hot summer afternoon was dominated by the always sly James Hansen, who wiped his brow furiously, in a room made stifling by Senator Tim Wirth’s cheap trick of turning off the air conditioning. Politics, theatrics and manipulation had replaced honest science.
Because Al Gore switched his CO2 and temperature curves to make it look like rising carbon dioxide levels caused planetary temperature increases – when in fact increasing temperatures always preceded higher CO2 – shouldn’t he have corrected his mistake, returned his ill-gotten millions, and shared his 2007 Nobel Prize and money with Irena Sendler, who should have gotten it for saving 2,500 Jewish children during World War II? Shouldn’t his accomplice, IPCC director and pseudo-Nobel Laureate Rajendra Pachauri, be held accountable for trumpeting made-up stories about melting Himalayan glaciers?
But when you’re an alarmist, being wrong, lying, cheating, misleading the public and killing jobs simply does not count against you – even when the alleged human-caused global warming stopped in 1996.
We literally laughed aloud at a so-called “documentary” that’s about to be unleashed on an unsuspecting public. It’s called “Do the Math: Bill McKibben and the Fight over Climate Change.” For McKibben and his comrades, “doing the math” is really a matter of “counting the cash” the alarmists rake in.
The serious money has always flowed to alarmists, guilt-ridden environmentalists and control-seeking regulators, whom the world’s taxpayers are generously and unwittingly funding. That’s also the real meaning of the “green” movement and “green” energy.
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Dennis Mitchell, CPA/QEP has been professionally involved in environmental and tax compliance, monitoring and education for over 40 years. David Legates, PhD/CCM is a Professor of Climatology at the University of Delaware and has been studying climate and its changes for 35 years. A version of this article originally appeared in the 10/18/2013 Investor’s Business Daily.
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Funny you should mention seashells – as they are responsible for the huge chalk layers in the Earth, the largest CO2 sinks known to man. Imagine all that Carbon was once in the atmosphere.
An excellent summary in a concise form that exposes the myth.
Now can we get back to lamenting the end of the world, the doom that +2 degrees will cause, the extinction of humanity by 2030, etc …
But Global Warming will cause the hermit crabs to grow so big they will take over our houses! We’re doomed.
fantastic summation of the reality of the situation. the lie of thermageddon in a nutshell,or crab shell in this case.
Class action lawsuits against all of them, and the crooked politicians who wasted our taxes.
Faster
Global warming is now a classic “deteriorating paradigm,” as philosophers would describe it. In a nutshell this means that the thing has taken on ever increasing complexity — and indeed deception — to cover its fundamental lack of explanatory power.
CO2 used to lag temperature, when the amount of CO2 in the sum of the atmosphere, hydrosphere, and biosphere was constant. It was a positive feedback mechanism for climate changes caused by other causes, such as the Milankovitch cycles. Now atmospheric CO2 is increasing because people are adding to it. Nature is currently a net sink of CO2, not a net source. http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/global-carbon-budget-2010
Damn, I need one of them jobs! A lot of millionaires – government types.
Deep in me is a growl about what the Global Warming Fraud has done to honest, trusting and gullible people. If I ever let it loose it will erupt a veritable volcano of Purple Prose that will make this fine essay look mild mannered.
However, for the time being, this essay is excellent. Thanks.
Donald L. Klipstein says:
Where is any evidence that CO2 increase in the past has a net positive feedback associated with it or is a driver of positive feedback? I agree that the recent CO2 rise likely has a significant human cause. It matters not if nature is presently a net sink of CO2 (and I agree it likely is), if you have no evidence that it significantly matters for temperature variations. What do you make of the last decade plus of flat to dropping temperature in the presence of the fastest rising CO2 level? While CO2 alone is a greenhouse gas, water vapor and clouds dominate the Earth system, and it seems negative feedback (probably due to clouds), along with the random variations from long period ocean currents, and other possibly unknown effects, dominates the actual temperature variation.
Donald L. Klipstein October 18, 2013 at 5:22 pm
How can you be sure the current increase in CO2 is not mainly caused by the rebound from the Little Ice Age?
“are desperate to protect their reputations, predictions and funding”
Particularly their funding.
“How does Brazil’s future look with biofuels? As reality finally overcomes media bias and political correctness, the naive excitement of a few years ago – when anything “green” was portrayed as lower cost, clean and superior in every technological sense – has given way to more rational thinking. Brazil is now going more for oil and gas, via conventional drilling and hydraulic fracturing, onshore and offshore..”
——————————————————–
Although I agree with the body of this paper, the statement above is misleading. Significant oil reserves have been found in Brazil over the last decade, primarily in the offshore sub-salt play, but it wasn’t driven by some failure of the Brazilian bio-fuel program. It was driven by concerted worldwide exploration for new reserves. State of the art geologic & geophysical prospecting technology & state of the art engineering technology led companies, both Brazilian (Petrobras) & international (Repsol, Galp, BG, Sinopec, Chevron, etc) to Brazil & led to significant discoveries. What it didn’t have to do with was the domestic biofuel program.
While I applaud the effort of this paper to debunk alarmism, it should be done in a way that is completely defendable & the paragraph above isn’t really defendable.
If you are a watermelon then anything is defendable. I am not a watermelon but I will give it a shot.
“The Brazilian government did a study and realized that even though their biofuels program was going reasonably well they were running out of land to grow sugar. So they commissioned the oil companies to search for new reserves so they were not reliant on biofuels.”
There done
Al Gore make amends?
18 Oct: Bloomberg: Mike Dorning: Gore Says Money Influence in Politics Hacked Democracy
Gore, 65, a Democrat who won a Nobel Prize in 2007 for his efforts to raise awareness of climate change, said special interests also have contributed to the “pathetic performance” of the U.S. in addressing global warming.
“We are paying the cost of carbon and global pollution now,” he said in advocating putting a price on carbon emissions…
Business Interests
Since then, Gore has transformed himself from a politician to a successful businessman with a net worth that may exceed $200 million. A partner at venture capital company Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, Gore is also on Apple Inc. (AAPL)’s board and a senior adviser at Google Inc. (GOOG), according to his website biography. He’s spent recent years advocating “sustainable capitalism.”
His holdings also include investments in Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), EBay Inc. (EBAY) and Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) through his Generation Investment Management US LLP.
Gore this year sold his Current TV network to Al Jazeera, the cable channel funded in part by oil-rich Qatar. The sale was announced in January with a price tag of about $500 million…
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-17/gore-says-money-influence-in-politics-hacked-democracy.html
“Nations MUST” – LOL. and so the talkfests look set to continue…forever!
18 Oct: Bloomberg: Matthew Carr: U.S. Wants Nations to Justify Global Climate Treaty Commitments
The U.S. said nations must be ready to explain their emission-reduction pledges as it unveiled proposals on how countries should conduct climate negotiations before a global treaty in 2015…
“Each party will need to be prepared to justify their commitment to the world,” the U.S. said in a submission published on the website of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change in Bonn. Countries should submit draft pledges early in 2015 so consultations can extend through that year…
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-18/u-s-wants-nations-to-justify-global-climate-treaty-commitments.html
Excellent. I agree completely. Problem is obuma and kerry do not have a clue,
Watts up with that got a compliment from FoxNews.com where they respond to Dana Nuccitelli and John Abraham comments about Fox.
Balance is not bias — Fox News critics mislead public on climate change
I don’t think I’m going to worry about this stuff, anymore. When the full width, depth and breadth of the Obamacare fiasco actually starts to have real effects in a month or two, CAGW will be the least of anybodies’ worries.
Engineer is right, consider the seashells. But not only the chalk, think about the limestone, marble, coal, gas and oil deposits. All these constituents of the earth contain carbon. In the chalk, limestone and marble the carbon dioxide is locked up in the shells of the various diatoms and foraminifera as carbonates – probably other animals/plants as well, that extracted carbon dioxide from the sea surface which took if from the atmosphere. The coal, oil and gas took the carbon from the various plants which grew on the surface, directly extracting carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
All this was in the atmosphere at one time or other, and the earth’s surface temperature was not so high that plants and trees would not grow, nor so high that oceans boiled. Much of the rock and fuels we can never extract. Hence, no matter how much carbon dioxide we put into the atmosphere, we can never put as much back as was once in the atmosphere, and we have no reason to fear a catastrophe.
Al Gore predicts a “carbon bubble” and urges disinvestment in fossil fuel stocks:
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daily-ticker/al-gore-carbon-bubble-going-burst-avoid-oil-121707563.html
Meanwhile, USA surges past Saudi Arabia to become world’s Number 1 oil producer:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/10/15/us-oil-pira-idUSL1N0I51IX20131015
…I kinda think Al is gonna lose out on that one! Thank goodness he sold his cable channel to Al Jazeera, in the nick of time (before everyone disinvests from oil stocks!!)
Polinesia? It’s this sort of slap-dash error that gives the uncommitted and hostile every excuse to reject a decent summation of the current situation out of hand. You just can’t get the help nowadays.
Donald L. Klipstein says:
October 18, 2013 at 5:22 pm. On a geological timescale, atmospheric CO2 has always been constantly changing. The present readings of c 400ppm are just above the minimum necessary to sustain plant life.
Hi,
I’m a German and I don’t belive in Global warming. I’m also somehow angry about the tendency of the media to sell it by ignoring the real facts.
But there are also some wrong statements here in this post. Germany isn’t loosing jobs or production through the “Energiewende”. All high-energy production is exempted from surcharge for renewable power to have the same energy cost like in the intenational market. Of course, average people have to pay more, but we are not suffering from it. We just use less. Our electricity bill didn’t rise much during the last years.
Germany seem to have the best economy in Europe with growing economy and a low rate of jobless. In my home state Bavaria, which is promoting especially solar energy, the jobless are only 3.6%! There is simply no economic desaster in Germany. There is wealth and welfare for all.
We have even problems to get rid of too much green energy and the prices for eco power went down. The biggest problem is the grid to distribute the power. But, as always in human history, when there is a problem, then there will be a solution.
In this post I see too much white/black thinking. Green energy is not bad, and conventional or fossil or atomic energy is also not bad. It just needs some time to get everything into the right place. Green energy will have it’s place in the energy mix. The global waming hype will calm down. (Actually only one third of the Germans see it as a threat, five years ago two thirds feared it.). But there are other reasons to have Renewable Energy as a part of the power sources.
Still I’m wondering what the Global warming scientists are really believing. Have they already recognized that they are wrong? Are they doubting? Or is their believe driving them to find the facts which are fitting to their angle of view? After all they talk of climate change now instead of climate warming.
To find out the truth – or to get it obvious for all – needs time. Possibly in ten or twenty years we will look back and consider the Global Warming Time as one of the big errors in history.
Here is how skeptics and alarmists make their cases:
Skeptics have facts, alarmists have lies.
Skeptics use rational arguments, alarmists use personal attacks.
Skeptics proceed from principle, alarmists proceed from ideology.
Skeptics want to build, alarmists seek to destroy.
Skeptics care about well-being, alarmists deny a new Holocaust.
The warmist meme may be fading, but der Fuehrer will never give up on it until he is forced to do so – it’s too central to his plan for instituting a totalitarian state. You control carbon -(the EPA) – you control the economy. You control healthcare (Fuehrercare) – you decide who lives and who dies. You control communications (the NSA) – nobody can hide from you. You control the fruits of people’s labor (the IRS) – and you enrich your billionaire crony capitalist buddies.
Re Bloody Mess’s “warning” about oil stocks – any money on B.M. having sold them short and is trying to jawbone the price down so he can deliver at a cost lower than what he paid? And rake in the cash? Seems to me the SEC might want to check this out (but ain’t holding my breath on the Obama SEC doing that).