The IPCC fraud case (but not the planet) hots up
Guest essay by Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
Two weeks ago I reported the central error in the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report (2007) to its secretariat. After the contributing scientists had submitted their final draft report, the bureaucrats and politicians had tampered with the HadCRUt3 graph of global instrumental temperatures since 1850 by adding four trend-lines to the anomaly curve and drawing from their relative slopes the unjustifiable and statistically indefensible conclusion, stated twice in the published report, that global warming was “accelerating” and that the “acceleration” was our fault.
Global warming is not accelerating. The planet is not hotting up. There has been no warming for 17 years on any measure, as the IPCC’s climate-science chairman now admits. That includes the Hadley/CRU data. There has been no warming for 23 years according to RSS satellite dataset.
The IPCC’s central projection of warming since 2005 (bright red), taken from the forthcoming Fifth Assessment Report, is visibly at odds with the linear-regression trend (bright blue) on the latest version (HadCRUt4) of the monthly global mean surface temperature anomaly curve (dark blue):
I received no reply to my report of the IPCC’s erroneous conclusion that global warming was “accelerating”. So today I wrote to the IPCC again:
“I am an expert reviewer for the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. I wrote to you two weeks ago to report a serious error in the Fourth Assessment Report. I have had no reply. My letter of two weeks ago is attached, together with a copy of a letter I have sent to the Inter-Academy Council asking it to use its good offices to persuade you to reply. I have also sent a letter, for information only at this stage, to the police in Geneva, since it appears that a fraud may have been committed by the IPCC.”
In my letter to the police in Geneva, which I also copied to the Serious Fraud Office in London and the Office of the Attorney General of the Commonwealth of Virginia, I wrote:
“The attached correspondence evidences a fraud at the IPCC. Its secretariat has not responded to my report of an error in its Fourth Assessment Report (2007). The error is serious. I can prove it is deliberate. It is designed to demonstrate by deception that the world is warming ever faster and that we are to blame. It is one of a series of ingenious, connected frauds that have profited a few at great expense to many.
“The frauds are wilful deceptions calculated to cause loss to taxpayers by tampering with scientific data and results so as to exaggerate the rate and supposed adverse consequences of global warming. Scientific debate is legitimate: subjective distortion of objective science for profit is not.
“This letter is for information. If after a further week the IPCC (to which I am copying this letter) fails to acknowledge my report of its error as its own procedures require, I shall invite you to investigate this and other connected frauds, which involve larger sums than any previous fraud.”
The IPCC has not delayed in replying this time:
“We acknowledge receipt of your message copied below and of your letter dated 4 May 2013, received earlier today as an attachment to that message. Your email with attachments of today is the first communication received at the IPCC Secretariat from you on this matter.
“We would like to inform you that the error claim that you have submitted is now being taken care of as per the IPCC Protocol for Addressing Errors in IPCC Assessment Reports, Synthesis Reports, Special Reports or Methodology Reports, available on the IPCC website. Steps 1 and 2 of the protocol are now completed; the IPCC Working Group I will deal with next steps as appropriate. As per the protocol, the IPCC Secretariat will inform you of the conclusions of the process.”
I have thanked the IPCC for passing on my report of its error in the Fourth Assessment Report and have told the police the IPCC have now replied. It is clear from the IPCC Secretariat’s reply that Dr. Pachauri, to whom I had reported the error in writing and in person as long ago as 2009, had not passed my report of the error to the Secretariat as he should have done. No doubt there will now be an internal enquiry to discover why he did not pass it on.
When the error has been investigated and the IPCC has reported back to me, I shall let you – and the prosecuting authorities of three nations – know the outcome.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Well done, your Lordship. The cat is officially amongst the pigeons. Let’s see them try to obfuscate/prevaricate/bluff/bullsh*t their way out of this 🙂
I agree – well done, Lord Monckton. It’s people like you, Anthony Watts and Christopher Booker who force Pachauri and the IPCC to realise that they are being watched by the people they despise and try to ignore, ie anybody who disagrees with them.
This should be interesting.
“He was coming ’round the bend doing ninety miles an hour when his whistle broke into a scream”– from the 19th Century American folk classic “Casey Jones”, who mounted his personal steam-whistle on each engine that he drove.
Let’s see how Railroad Bill Pachauri, Tata Industries’ glaciator-of-choice, deals with Outing by Brenchley. Let’s just say that Rajendra K. ain’t no Gunga Din.
“No doubt there will now be an internal enquiry to discover why he did not pass it on.”
-giggle-
GO, CHRISTOPHER MONCKTON!
Thank the lord.
This reminds me of Qing-Bin Lu’s problems with correction of biased errors to state the truth.They can’t handle the truth!
Handmaidens to the oligarchy, the BBC has finally arrived at the NO Warm party….
http://BBC.co.uk/news/science-environment-22567023
Nice. The world not only needs you, Lord Monckton, but another million at least. You have our full backing. First, they need to be held to account. Second – imprisonment. If only there were a way around Due Process..
Sometimes when things don’t work as they should someone has to stand up and make it work as it should. Thank you Lord Monckton (again).
A man of intellect and a man of action. The world sees so few such
Eugene WR Gallun
You would think that the IPCC would give one of their expert reviewers the courtesy of a reply.
AR5 is going to be a brawl. I can’t wait.
Thank you Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, and God bless.
This is truly great, Lord Monckton, but can you get the prosecuting authorities of three nations looking into it anyway? The IPCC might claim to look into it and even claim to put it right, but it will be hidden in small print on the bottom of page 307 and won’t go into the summary.
Don’t let these fraudsters go. They shouldn’t get away with all they have already done.
Brilliant letter. You are a force to be reckoned with. Cheers to you. 🙂
Whatever would we do without you? THANK YOU!
Thank you for your efforts and your courage, Lord Monckton.
Not only did Pachauri allegedly not pass on Monckton’s report but we find I also note that Pachauri is a brazen LIAR.
Perhaps a typo’ “The planet is not “hotting” up” should be The planet is not heating up.
Small correction:
………..but I also note that Pachauri is a brazen LIAR………….
“He was goin’ down the grade makin’ 90 miles an hour
When his whistle broke into a scream”
Is from “The Wreck of the Old 97”
The recorded version by Vernon Dalhart in 1924 is considered the first one million seller country music hit song.
Check it out on Wikipedia.
Possible IPCC replies:
But if you filter out the decelerating, then it is still accelerating.
If you look at the period when temperature was going up, and compare this to the period when it wasn’t, in comparison it is accelerating.
We appreciate such contributions in making the acceleration more easily understood.
We fully expect the acceleration to resume, once the current pause in acceleration ends, in line with climate models.
The climate models successfully reproduce the acceleration in the past, so we expect they will successfully reproduce the acceleration in the future.
The fact that temperature increases are decelerating is projected to be temporary. Overall climate change is still occurring and we must make every possible measure to combat it. The sooner we act, the less the acceleration will be in the future.
Other factors not previously known such as aerosols are causing the deceleration, but the underlying acceleration is still there.
You get my drift. It will likely be a whitewash.
You may not have to rely on the police to investigate and lay a charge. In the jurisdiction where I live, one may swear an information before a magistrate.
Is there any police department, or law enforcement agency, that is even in a position to deal with this? It’s the freaking UN – something that by its very nature is a hive of scum and villainy, that institutionalizes mass rape, that is doing its level best to keep the wealthy wealthy and further impoverish the third world.
Why is the media not DOING ITS JOB…. and the media’s job is to keep the public informed, not what they’re currently doing which is to glorify socialist and communist ideals while mocking and marginalizing honesty and anything remotely off to the right.
What is a railway man doing as head of the IPCC? Just joking. 😉
Has Pachauri apologized to the the former Deputy Director-General of the Geological Survey of India after wrongly accusing him of being involved in voodoo science over Pachauri’s fairytale of Himalayan total meltdown by 2035? Pachauri is a disgrace along with the other great hypocrite, Al Gore, who is a world renowned fiction writer who was taken to court and found to have made several things up.
http://www.hindu.com/2010/01/22/stories/2010012261962200.htm