Brad Johnson’s ‘Frankenstorm’ malfeasance masquerading as idiocy

Brad Johnson

Harsh headline, I know, but when you read what former Climate Progress propagandist Brad Johnson of the TV weathercaster pressure group “Forecast the Facts” has sent out in a press release late Friday regarding hurricane Sandy, you can only be left with one conclusion; he’s purposely anti-science and anti-factual wrapped up in a bought and paid for political wrapper.

This isn’t the first time he has claimed punishment from on high is retribution for not seeing climate issues his way, readers may recall he blamed conservative states for bringing tornadoes upon themselves by not acting on the climate issues he and his fellow propagandist, Joe Romm were pushing at the time. Three scientists, Kevin Trenberth, Michael Mann, and Gavin Schmidt provided quotes to make that exercise in Tabloid Climatology™  complete.

Here’s his press release today, followed by a factual rebuttal. Bolding in the body of the PR is mine.

==========================================================

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: October 26, 2012
CONTACT: Blair FitzGibbon : 202-503-6141 : blair@fitzgibbonmedia.com
Statement by Brad Johnson, campaign manager of Forecast the Facts and ClimateSilence.org:

“If the candidates won’t listen to the voters demanding they break their climate silence, maybe they will listen to Mother Nature’s October Surprise. We know the candidates will be asked about Hurricane Sandy, and will express their sympathy with those affected. They will rightly applaud the first responders, the compassion of neighbors, and the strength and resolve of the American people. But what their role as national leaders demands that they also do is explain that Hurricane Sandy is a true Frankenstorm, a monster created by man tampering with nature with oil, coal, and gas pollution.”

===========================================================

Lest you think this sort of logic affliction is unique to Brad Johnson, I’ll point out that his cheering section over at Grist says essentially the same thing in God’s latest warning:

Perhaps this weather scare that may well be much more than just a scare is God’s revenge for the refusal of the U.S. government to take action on the climate crisis. - Ted Glick

Can you imagine the howling from the left if some conservative evangelical said something like that? Whatever suits their purpose for the present I suppose is the new desperation dialog about climate.

The only way to deal with propagandic pinheads such as this is to counter with real facts, and then whenever his propaganda appears, put those facts right back into the venue wherever it appears through comments, emails, and letters. Clear headed people will understand, but you’ll never reach the science muggles that believe and push this sort of stuff while throwing facts to the wind.

By extension, Johnson and Glick’s claims are essentially that this Category 1 storm with 75MPH winds is somehow unique to American history, the result of “tampering” with “nature with oil, coal, and gas pollution.” And it hasn’t even made landfall yet. I don’t have to call BS on their idiotic claims, because the facts do it for me.

First, a historical review of October landfalling hurricanes. Data from the National Hurricane Center and Stormpulse.

OCTOBER HURRICANES MAKING LANDFALL IN THE USA

2005 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Wilma 175 MPH

2002 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Lili 145 MPH

1999 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Irene 110 MPH

1995 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Opal 150 MPH

1989 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Jerry 85 MPH

1987 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Floyd 75 MPH

1985 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Juan 85 MPH

1968 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Gladys 85 MPH

1966 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Inez 150 MPH

1964 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hilda 150 MPH
Isbell 125 MPH

1954 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hazel 140 MPH

1950 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
King 120 MPH

1949 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #10 130 MPH

1948 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #8 130 MPH

1947 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #9 120 MPH

1946 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 130 MPH

1944 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #11 120 MPH

1941 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 120 MPH

1924 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #7 120 MPH

1923 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #3 100 MPH

1921 Hurricane Season

Name Historic Name Max Winds
Hurricane #6 Tampa Bay 140 MPH

1916 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #13 120 MPH

1913 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Tropical Storm #4 60 MPH

1912 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 100 MPH

1910 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 150 MPH

1909 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #10 120 MPH

1906 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #8 120 MPH

1904 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #3 80 MPH

1899 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #8 110 MPH

1898 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #7 130 MPH

1894 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 120 MPH

1893 Hurricane Season

Name Historic Name Max Winds
Hurricane #9 —– 120 MPH
Hurricane #10 Chenier Caminanda 130 MPH

1888 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #7 110 MPH

1887 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #13 85 MPH

1886 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #10 120 MPH

1882 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #6 140 MPH

1880 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #9 80 MPH

1878 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #11 100 MPH

1877 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #4 120 MPH

1876 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 120 MPH

1873 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 120 MPH

1870 Hurricane Season

Name Historic Name Max Winds
Hurricane #6 Twin Key West (I) 120 MPH
Hurricane #9 Twin Key West (II) 100 MPH

1869 Hurricane Season

Name Historic Name Max Winds
Hurricane #10 Saxby 100 MPH

1867 Hurricane Season

Name Historic Name Max Winds
Hurricane #7 Galveston 100 MPH

1865 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #7 100 MPH

1860 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #6 100 MPH

1853 Hurricane Season

Name Max Winds
Hurricane #8 100 MPH

1852 Hurricane Season

Name Historic Name Max Winds
Hurricane #5 Middle Florida 100 MPH

That’s quite a list. From it you can conclude that strong October hurricanes hit the USA every few years, so Sandy is not in any way unique.

One storm in particular stands out as a parallel to Hurricane Sandy, and that’s Hurricane Hazel in 1954. Brad Johnson is of course too young to have any experience with it (and so am I) but unlike Johnson I pay attention to weather history rather than bloviate gloom and doom at the drop of  hat for political purposes.

Hurricane Hazel, October 12-18, 1954

NHC describes Hazel this way:

===============================================================

Hazel was first spotted east of the Windward Islands on October 5. It moved through the islands later that day as a hurricane, then it moved westward over the southern Caribbean Sea through October 8. A slow turn to the north-northeast occurred from October 9-12, with Hazel crossing western Haiti as a hurricane on the 12th. The hurricane turned northward and crossed the southeastern Bahamas on the 13th, followed by a northwestward turn on the 14th. Hazel turned north and accelerated on October 15, making landfall as a Category 4 hurricane near the North Carolina-South Carolina border. Subsequent rapid motion over the next 12 hours took the storm from the coast across the eastern United States into southeastern Canada as it became extratropical.

High winds occurred over large portions of the eastern United States. Myrtle Beach, South Carolina reported a peak wind gust of 106 mph, and winds were estimated at 130 to 150 mph along the coast between Myrtle Beach and Cape Fear, North Carolina. Washington, DC reported 78 mph sustained winds, and peak gusts of over 90 mph occurred as far northward as inland New York state. A storm surge of up to 18 ft inundated portions of the North Carolina coast. Heavy rains of up to 11 inches occurred as far northward as Toronto, Canada resulting in severe flooding.

Hazel was responsible for 95 deaths and $281 million in damage in the United States, 100 deaths and $100 million in damage in Canada, and an estimated 400 to 1000 deaths in Haiti.

For an interactive map of Hurricane Hazel visit the NOAA Coastal Services Center.

================================================================

The National Weather Service in Raleigh, NC has a history page on Hazel that says this:

The already remarkable damage Hazel inflicted was exacerbated by the timing at which the hurricane struck. Landfall occurred during the full moon of October – the highest lunar tide of the year. A storm surge in excess of 15 feet inundated southeastern North Carolina from Southport to Topsail Beach, with an astounding 18-foot surge reported at high tide at Calabash and on the island of Holden Beach. Incredibly, all but 12 of the 300 cottages in Holden Beach were destroyed. The surge also leveled many of shrimp houses that lined the riverfront, and put coastal Brunswick and New Hanover counties under water, effectively wiping out the beaches. The surge even reopened Mary’s Inlet, which had been artificially closed during the summer of 1955 by the Army Corps of Engineers.

Hazel’s Impact Felt Across the Eastern Seaboard and Southern Canada
A total of 15,000 homes or buildings were destroyed throughout the state, including some 39,000 damaged structures. Thousands of trees were downed by the combination of tropical-rain soaked ground and ferocious winds. 30 of North Carolina’s 100 counties sustained major damage. Based on reports from residents in the capital city of Raleigh, an average of two or three trees fell per city block, many on homes, automobiles, and power lines. In all, an estimated $136 million in damage occurred in North Carolina as a result of the mighty hurricane. Damage reached to nearly $281 million when the dollar damage in NC was combined with damage estimates from the rest of the United States. The storm went on to produce another $100 million in damage in Canada, as it accelerated northward and became extratropical. Most of the damage there resulted from heavy rain, nearly a foot in less than twenty four hours, associated with the remnants of Hazel. When all was said and done, the death toll included: 400-1000 in Haiti, 6 in the Bahamas, 95 in the US (including 19 deaths and 200 injured in North Carolina alone), and 100 more in Canada.

Hurricane Hazel produced the largest swath of hurricane force winds this century over Virginia and North Carolina. As active as the 1954 hurricane season was for North Carolinians, it was followed by an equally active 1955 hurricane season, when three more storms struck the state. However, none of those could match the fury of the historic Hurricane Hazel.

==============================================================

Sound familiar? Just watch and read the news reports warning of the storm surge from Sandy, and you’ll see its just a repeat performance of lunar timing coincidence. Here’s one from NBC:

Full moon could make Sandy’s impact worse

Gravitational tugs could make high tides rise even more

Heaven and Earth may be aligning to turn Hurricane Sandy into a real monster, just in time for Halloween.

Forecasters expect Sandy to make landfall along the mid-Atlantic coast of the United States on Monday or Tuesday. It may merge with a separate tempest hitting the region at about that time, creating an immensely powerful “Frankenstorm” whose effects could be magnified by the full moon.

When the moon waxes to its full phase Monday afternoon, high tides along the Eastern Seaboard will rise about 20 percent higher than normal, even without the help of Sandy’s storm surge, said Joe Rao, a meteorologist for News 12 in Westchester, N.Y. (Storm surges occur when a hurricane’s winds push the water surface above normal levels.)

Hazel had the same storm surge lunar magnifier, but the MSM is treating it as if this is something new and unique and there’s no mention of Hurricane Hazel in the NBC story.

And then there’s the New England Hurricane of 1938: (h/t to John Coleman)

The 1938 Hurricane, by the Works Project Administration – During this storm, Frank Schubert, last keeper of Coney Island Light, was aboard the buoy tender ship Tulip, which was thrown aground on top of some train tracks by the storm. Even Supermandia recognizes what an event that was.

Here’s the weather map for it from the US Weather Bureau:

File:1938 hurricane September 21, 1938 weather map.jpg

All that happened before Roger Revelle took his first CO2 measurement and published a paper that started it all. Nothing has been seen like Hurricane Hazel since.

Let’s look at CO2 and hurricanes

Why? Because if paid political shills like Brad Johnson are to be believed, CO2 increases in Earth’s atmosphere are the cause of all this “frankenweather” happening now.

This scatterplot graph (by Steve Goddard) shows the relation between atmospheric CO2 concentration and landfalling US Hurricanes.

There is no correlation between atmospheric CO2 and major hurricanes striking the US.

The majority of landfalling US hurricanes occurred when CO2 was around 300 ppm, i.e., the 1950′s. Ambient CO2 is about 394 ppm right now according to the latest NOAA CO2 data.

Source of base graph: http://www.planetforlife.com/co2history/index.html (annotated by Anthony)

That blows Brad Johnson’s political frankenpropaganda right out of the water.

Finally let’s look at hurricane related death rates from: Hurricane Fatalities, 1900–2010: Context in these Stormy Times (Aug 27th, 2011)

excerpt of Dr. Indur Goklany’s article:

Long term U.S. data on hurricane fatalities show that from 1900–09 to the 2009–10, hurricane deaths and death rates declined by 82% and 95%, respectively (see Figure 2).These estimates use data from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) provided in Blake et al. (2007) which has 1,525 deaths for 2005, the year of Katrina.

[Note that this month, the NHC, via Blake et al. (2011), put out a new report which has 1,225 deaths for 2005, while NWS’s Weather Fatalities website uses 1,016 for that year. I plan to keep on using the older NHC/Blake et al. estimate, pending consultation with Dr. Blake. I have contacted him, but to no one’s surprise, least of all mine, he has much more important things to do right now.]

Figure 2: U.S. hurricane deaths and death rates per year, 1900–2010. Sources: Updated from Goklany (2009), using USBC (2011) and NWS (2011). For 2005, this figure uses National Hurricane Center data from Blake et al. (2007), which has 1,525 deaths for that year, but Blake et al. (2011) has 1,225 deaths while NWS Weather Fatalities uses 1,016 deaths. This figure uses the Blake et al.’s older data, pending consultation with Dr. Blake. 

Conclusion

To any thinking person reading the above, clearly there’s no connection between Hurricane Sandy, atmospheric CO2 levels, or payback from God. It’s the worst example of climate propaganda since An Inconvenient Truth.

Don’t believe political shills like Brad Johnson as he doesn’t rely on facts, but rather, fear. That makes him and those like him that say Hurricane Sandy is some sort of “wrath” for human behavior he and his buddies don’t like not only unreliable and idiotic in their approach, but malfeasant to boot.

Call them on it wherever you see it.

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140 Responses to Brad Johnson’s ‘Frankenstorm’ malfeasance masquerading as idiocy

  1. u4ab2upurars? says:

    Trouble.

    Obama does not live in the reality that you and I share and he is very far from rational reality.

  2. NZ Willy says:

    I think this Frankenstorm stuff is all an election ploy. They’re trying to remind voters that the sky is about to fall and that only The One can reverse the rise of the oceans etc. Orwell would not have dared to write such things into “1984″. When Frankenstorm declines to follow the political script and freewheels off into the north atlantic, then it will be forgotten amongst the urgings that we have always been at war with Eastasia.

  3. zootcadillac says:

    if ‘god’ had any interest in hurricanes one might think he’d spend his time ensuring they didn’t hurt his little ant farm rather than using them to punish those who don’t vote for the political party he favours.

    Not a god I’d like to put my faith in.

  4. I think they are referring aerosols* from burning fuels, which are known to increase precipitation, but decrease central wind speed of hurricanes by significant amounts.

    But in line with the usual AGW deceptive practices, its phrased in a way that would give most people the impression they are referring to GHGs.

    * If pressed to show a scientific basis for this claim.

  5. temp says:

    ATTN: Press release from NASA as follows:

    Due to massive research into weather and climate we at NASA have found glaring errors in past storm reporting. Due to this we have released a new, better, shiner, MORE AWESOMER data set based on proper adjustments to past data that slipped through the cracks.

    As such due to this new data set and computer models we can firmly say that the storm now known as Sandy is unprecedented in history and clearly the result of global warming.

    Your’s truly NASA.

    PS Send more money.

  6. W.E. Heasley says:

    Upon further review….

    “If the candidates won’t listen [Johnson’s plan is the only plan] to the voters demanding they break their climate silence [implicit assumption of all voters assumed to vote in the majority for the Johnson plan], maybe they will listen to Mother Nature’s October Surprise [mysticism]. We know the candidates will be asked about Hurricane Sandy, and will express their sympathy with those affected. They will rightly applaud the first responders, the compassion of neighbors, and the strength and resolve of the American people [Wow! A strange reference to public choice theory, politicos are politicos….what insight!]. But what their role [Johnson’s defined role] as national leaders demands [what Johnson’s plan demands] that they also do [additional requirements of the master plan] is explain [agree with the master plan] that Hurricane Sandy is a true Frankenstorm [apparently Dr. Frankenstein is involved], a monster [the storm now takes on human characteristics as changing gears to now argue via verbal virtuosity] created by man [you did it] tampering with nature [you did it and its your fault and how dare you] with nature [nature according to Johnson] with oil, coal, and gas pollution [Ah, shock and surprise, a villain!].”

  7. garymount says:

    These kinds of statements similar to Brad Johnson’s is what caused me to begin to question Global Warming / Climate Change, when I used to believe in it. Researching the topic for myself finally killed any belief in it I once had.

  8. John F. Hultquist says:

    Pennsylvania? Hazel? I was there. I did miss these, though:
    1869, 1877, 1878, 1893, 1896, & 1933
    http://www.midatlantichurricanes.com/Pennsylvania.html

    Johnson is a Swedish name, as is mine. As Gramps said, “You can always tell a Swede but you can’t tell’em much.”

  9. _Jim says:

    Well, the wheels are coming off the ‘cover-up bus’ (ref the CIA press conference today re: Gen. Petraeus’ statement et al) obscuring newly-discovered ‘events’ that took place last month at the Libyan Consulate … SOMETHING NEW is needed in the ‘press’ to steal Oxygen away from that developing story with a NATIONAL ELECTION a couple weeks out …

    .

  10. Seele says:

    May I offer my condraculations to Brad Johnson on his coining of the novel term “Frankenstorm”.

  11. Blade says:

    Nice job with that list of October hurricanes which demonstrates beyond all doubt that they are all climate liars using the word “unprecedented” for emotional, non-logical, non-scientific purposes. Using the historical facts to destroy their mindless arguments is something they hate. It is why they despise Goddard’s site.

    Hopefully some of our moderate stalwarts who still insist we are in a gentlemanly scientific debate will come to their senses after listening to the insanity of the last few days from McKibben, Mann, Romm, Glick and this new eco-tard Brad Johnson.

    These charlatans are well-represented throughout history. Using the weather or other current event like plague, earthquake, or tsunami, inevitably is described as punishment from God, to highlight their personal agenda.

    There is no science here, just the radical leftist eco-zealot agenda. People should stop referring top them as Scientists, doctors, professors or whatever. They do not deserve any respect. They are fellow travelers wearing the colors red and green. They are the enemy. Most importantly, they are by definition the mortal enemy of your grandkids and later descendants, who if they have their way, will never even be born.

  12. temp says:

    To _Jim says:
    October 26, 2012 at 9:40 pm

    Yeah obama came out and said

    “I gave three very clear directives. Number one, make sure that we are securing our personnel and doing whatever we need to. Number two, we’re going to investigate exactly what happened to make sure it doesn’t happen again. Number three, find out who did this so we can bring them to justice.”

    Then Bing West, a former Assistant Secretary of Defense got on foxnews and said

    “If that actually happened the way President Obama said it happened, there’s a paper trail and I think people reasonably enough can say, “Can we see the order?”

    Next people will be demanding to see his birth cert, college records, etc.

  13. _Jim says:

    temp says October 26, 2012 at 9:53 pm

    “If that actually happened the way President Obama said it happened, there’s a paper trail and I think people reasonably enough can say, “Can we see the order?”

    Next people will be demanding to see his birth cert, college records, etc.

    NOT to derail the thread, but, the ‘futures’ on shredders are going to be ramping-up with a noted fall-off coinciding some few weeks before the 3rd week in January (Inauguration Day) …

    Again, not to derail this thread, but just a brief link referencing: Did two heroic SEALs ruin Obama’s October Surprise? (or “Fast and Furious Libyan-style?”)

    .

    REPLY: OK lets leave Obama and Beghazi out of this thread please – Anthony

  14. Leg says:

    We cannot evoke “God” in the classroom, but we can evoke “God” in weather/climate? I’m so confused.
    Nothing but a bunch of charlatans, but we’ve known that here for a long time.

  15. pat says:

    c’mon, brad is not as idiotic as DeWayne:

    24 Oct: PR Web: Population Control and Fresh Water Resources Should Be Top Global Priorities Says Former NASA Climatologist
    Economic Growth, and Human Survival Depend on Water and Population Control.
    Special Report by DeWayne Cecil, PhD, on Sharon Kleyne Hour Radio Talk Show
    That was the conclusion of DeWayne Cecil, PhD, in an interview on the Sharon Kleyne Hour Power of Water radio show, October 15, 2012.
    Dr. Cecil was a researcher for NASA (National Aeronautics and Space Administration) and NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration), and currently works for the National Climatic Data Center in Ashville, North Carolina…
    According to Dr. Cecil, Earth’s climate has definitely evolved in the last 50 years but if you examine the record of glacial ice cores, lake sediments and ancient tree rings, weather pattern are naturally cyclical. How much of the current global drying and warming is human caused, and whether it is cyclical or permanent, remains be determined.
    “The study of weather and climate is not just about whether to wear a coat,” says Dr. Cecil. “It’s about our survival as a species.” According to Dr. Cecil, Earth can only sustain a half-billion people in a “Western” consumption oriented lifestyle whereas Earth’s population recently passed seven billion. According to Dr. Cecil, there are only enough resources on Earth to sustain about a half-billion people in the current “Western” lifestyle…
    Sharon asked about the difference between “climate” and “weather.” According to Dr. Cecil, “climate” is “weather” averaged out over a long period. In other words, “climate is what you expect and weather is what you get.”
    “We can predict weather fairly accurately to about ten days in advance,” says Dr. Cecil, “but our ability predict weather over two to 20 years is less accurate…
    http://www.prweb.com/releases/2012/10/prweb10050733.htm

    DeWayne Cecil
    http://www.linkedin.com/pub/dewayne-cecil/36/346/5a1

  16. u4ab2upurars? says:

    [snip -policy violation for language -mod]

  17. Wow , talk about pummeling , then stomping on , then slicing and dicing ?
    I think you made your point .
    I just posted the 1938 video to Glick’s Grist howler .

  18. Will Nelson says:

    Current conditions are 65 KNOT Franken Hurricane!! Does Franken mean just barely?

  19. Jeff Alberts says:

    “We can predict weather fairly accurately to about ten days in advance,” says Dr. Cecil,

    hehe

    HA HA HA

    GUFFAWWWWW

  20. John A says:

    No we can’t blame God but we can blame Obama because Obama is the source of all evil. Right….

  21. omnologos says:

    Brad literally survives (as he’s paid to yell Climate Change at every opportunity) by feeding out of dead people and other disasters. He’s a carrion eater.

  22. I just called @climatebrad on it via Twitter. He’s probably gonna go Cat 5 on me, considering who I am and for whom I work. — Jim Lakely (Heartland Institute)

  23. Michael says:

    You can say the same thing about these so called scientists messing around with Geo Engineering who are the Humans Inducing Climate Change. Perhaps these are the people whom regulations need to be enforced upon. Especially since it seems these are the same people pushing this agenda;

    Has the Time Come to Try Geoengineering?
    “So is it time to consider something a little more radical? Specifically, the family of ideas for restraining climate change captured under the rubric of geoengineering? Or, as the U.K.’s Royal Society puts it: the deliberate, large-scale manipulation of the planetary environment. As the guest editors of a special issue of Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A note: “Geoengineering is no longer the realm of science fiction.””
    http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/2012/08/15/has-the-time-come-to-try-geoengineering/

    Ken Caldeira discussing his article in the September 2012 issue of Scientific American.

    The Great Climate Experiment: How far can we push the planet? Ken Caldeira [Scientific American]

  24. Mark and two Cats says:

    “Frankenstorm” is prolly a reference to that big fat liar Al Franken – another big wind.

  25. Excellent article Anthony!

  26. Kaboom says:

    The far-out enviros have put themselves in the same bag as whackos who claim HIV is the punishment from god for homosexuality. Congratulations guys, you’ve become what you used to loathe the most.

  27. mfo says:

    “If the Great Miami Hurricane of 1926 (a Category 4 storm) were to have made landfall in the
    same spot in 2005, it would be the costliest hurricane on record, amounting $140-157 billion (in
    2005 dollars) in damages. It would be nearly twice as destructive as Hurricane Katrina. If the
    Galveston Hurricanes of 1900 and 1915 (both Category 4) were to have made landfall in 2005,
    they would be the third and fourth most destructive hurricanes, resulting in damages of $72-78
    billion and $57-62 billion (in 2005 dollars), respectively. The fifth costliest hurricane under
    2005 normalization would be Andrew (1992), creating $54-58 billion (in 2005 dollars) in damages.”

    Source: Pielke, Jr., R. A., Gratz, J., Landsea, C. W., Collins, D., Saunders, M. A.,
    and R. Musulin. (2008, February). Normalized Hurricane Damages in the United
    States: 1900-2005. Natural Hazards Review, 9(1).
    http://www.ppi.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/PPI-Weather-Econ-Stats-10-13-11.pdf

    In the latest Gallup poll the economy, unemployment, the deficit, dissatisfaction with government and healthcare are the top issues which concern voters. Climate does not even come into the list of the13 issues which most concern voters in this presidential election. Climate is no longer a political issue for most people, no matter how many lies are spun about it.
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/158267/economy-dominant-issue-americans-election-nears.aspx

  28. EJ says:

    If the cause is so just and serious, then we don’t need laws trying to manipulate a few 10/1000 th’s of our atmosphere to tell us how to act. Do the vast majority of us not commit murder because of some statute? I think not. Most of us know better.

    These people who think that passing laws make anything better are deluded. Do these folk really think they can talk us into abandoning ourfarms, cars, our homes and the comforts of the day for that our great, great grandkids might be inconvienienced?

    And what is sustainable? If you take this logic to the fullest, we should still be living in caves. Never improving our lot, as it is unsustainable.

    Madness when one thinks about it soberly.

    EJ

  29. John Edmondson says:

    Over here in the UK our Chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osbourne, has a name for these people. “Environmental Taliban”

  30. Caleb says:

    McKibben Alert! McKibben Alert!
    http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/08/21/hurricane-warning-mckibben-alert/

    History trumps sensationalism every time.

    Check out the 1893 season

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1893_Atlantic_hurricane_season

    While the Charleston Hurricane on October 13 is the most impressive, (Hazel-like track, 120 mph winds,) storm number 11, which hit the Delmarva Peninsula on October 23 with 60 mph winds, is interesting because it cut west like Sandy is expected to do.

  31. Jimbo says:

    Here is a collection of sources (most from peer review) on hurricanes and co2 / warming. In summary – no extremes.
    http://www.co2science.org/subject/h/hurricaneglobal.php

  32. John Silver says:

    If this is a Frankenstorm, Brad is a Göbbelsjugend.

  33. David L says:

    Do these fantasy minded people really believe that if we stop using fossil fuels we will live in a Garden of Eden? Does this idiot know hurricanes are known to have come up the coast since the early explorers of the 16th century?

    But really, this guy says it all. AGW is the new religion. He even mentions that it’s God’s punishment. If you want more links of natural disasters to the wrath of God, pick up a bible.

  34. I have tried to explain the data about falling storm frequency with time?rising atmospheric CO2 content to people and I get the glazed expression. I am not believed. Whatever you tell these people will not make a difference. This is why Obama may get back for a second more damaging term. I feel sorry for America.

  35. Otter says:

    We have the algor effect. Can we now also have the brad johnson effect? ie, Flop?

  36. alex the skeptic says:

    “Forecast the facts”.. whatever names do the extremists come up with? Hw can one forcast a “fact”? It’s either a forecast of something that may happen, or it is a fact that has already happened. But these guys love playing the almighty. Hubris is their great malady which is making them more irrlevant as times goes by.

    Frankengreens…

  37. Gamecock says:

    Hazel made a strong impression me. I was a 100 miles inland. This 5-year old could not comprehend how anything could be so powerful. If Sandy moves inland up north, many parents are now going to have to try to explain hurricanes to small children.

  38. Keith W says:

    The NHC downgraded Sandy to a tropical storm this morning.

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#SANDY

  39. Bruce Cobb says:

    Weepy Bill is getting into the act, saying ““Frankenstorms” like Sandy are stitched together from some spooky combination of the natural and the unnatural.”
    I think we can expect a spooktacular amount of spittle and drool from Warmists on this, especially if damages amount to the $1billion range, as some are saying.

  40. alexwade says:

    Interesting fact: Hurricane Hazel is the ONLY category-4 hurricane to hit North Carolina. If CO2 is making storms worse, why was the strongest hurricane to hit hurricane prone North Carolina in 1954?

    Such propagandists use the short memory people have to their advantage. People usually remember the past as something better than it was.

  41. Tom in the safety of Fllorida says:

    Mark and two Cats says:
    October 26, 2012 at 11:55 pm
    “Frankenstorm” is prolly a reference to that big fat liar Al Franken – another big wind.

    Now that makes sense!

  42. Ian W says:

    Lest you think this sort of logic affliction is unique to Brad Johnson, I’ll point out that his cheering section over at Grist says essentially the same thing in God’s latest warning:

    Perhaps this weather scare that may well be much more than just a scare is God’s revenge for the refusal of the U.S. government to take action on the climate crisis. – Ted Glick

    Some people in the human race do not appear to have advanced much since the middle ages:

    Seven weeks after Easter in A.D. 1315, sheets of rain spread across a sodden Europe, turning freshly plowed fields into lakes and quagmires. The deluge continued through June and July, and then August and September. Hay lay flat in the fields; wheat and barley rotted unharvested. The anonymous author of the Chronicle of Malmesbury wondered if divine vengeance had come upon the land: “Therefore is the anger of the Lord kindled against his people, and he hath stretched out his hand against them, and hath smitten them.”

    In the middle ages they had witch finders to find witches and burn them to prevent crop failures – nowadays we have the EPA and climatologists – but its the same underlying story. Something has gone wrong so some humans are to blame and we are being punished for it – find the guilty humans. One wonders climatologists are aware that they are just demonstrating atavistic tendencies only one step away from giving sacrifices to the gods?

  43. Otter says:

    Gamecock~ You have a (very) few years on me- my apologies ;)
    Right now, Sandy is aimed right at the heart of Lake Ontario. That puts us in the Niagara Peninsula, right in the Northeast winds. Hoping it goes elsewhere, are we are in low-lying country on the shores of Lake Erie.

  44. RockyRoad says:

    If it weren’t for “oil, coal, and gas pollution” Brad would have no way to get his propaganda out–there would be no universal electricity, Internet, or computers.

    How else except through “oil, coal, and gas pollution” have we been able to industrialize and communicate?

    Brad isn’t thinking.

    (Indeed, “thinking” people realize this “pollution” of which he speaks is actually plant food, but apparently he doesn’t realize the connection between that and his very life.)

  45. Ric Werme says:

    Gamecock says:
    October 27, 2012 at 3:33 am

    Hazel made a strong impression me. I was a 100 miles inland. This 5-year old could not comprehend how anything could be so powerful. If Sandy moves inland up north, many parents are now going to have to try to explain hurricanes to small children.

    In another dozen years or so Penn State may see increased interest for their Meteorology program. :-)

  46. Ric Werme says:

    Keith W says:
    October 27, 2012 at 3:49 am

    > The NHC downgraded Sandy to a tropical storm this morning.

    > http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#SANDY

    And then:

    …AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT FINDS HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AGAIN…
    8:00 AM EDT Sat Oct 27
    Location: 28.8°N 76.8°W
    Moving: NNE at 10 mph
    Min pressure: 960 mb
    Max sustained: 75 mph

  47. AndyG55 says:

    Hypochondria strikes again.

    The guy has a slight sniffle and thinks he has deadly plague !

    Must be MANN flu !!

  48. ferd berple says:

    My thanks to Johnson and Glick for making this clear.

    If god doesn’t kill you with Frankenstorm Sandy this mean that god must be OK with your use of oil, coal, and gas.

    So everyone take note. If the Frankenstorm doesn’t kill you, this is a sign from heaven that it is OK for you to use electricity, heat you homes, buy things made of plastic, drive your kids to school on paved roads and live and work in buildings made of concrete and steel.

    Now, if you do happen to buy the farm during the storm, you can take comfort in the sure knowledge that god wasn’t happy that you were polluting the planet and took steps to get rid of you. Your sacrifice was necessary so that the rest of us could live. While the rest of us on the other hand can take comfort in the sure knowledge that god is still OK with us.

    apologies in advance to the religiously sensitive.

  49. Steve McIntyre says:

    I remember Hurricane Hazel. I was six at the time. We were then living temporarily in Boston where my father was interning. It was projected to hit Boston, but diverted and hit Toronto, where we lived. In Boston, it was merely heavy winds and rains ( I still somewhat remember walking home from school.)

    It transformed Toronto’s conservation practices as there was huge (unprecedented) flooding, even washing away some houses built in the floodplain of the usually small Humber River. Nothing similar has subsequently hit Toronto in my lifetime. Retrospective analyses of Hazel suggest elements very similar to the present storm. It also appears to have involved a coalescence of a tropical storm and an Arctic front

  50. RobRoy says:

    Pink Floyds’ Roger Waters said it. “What God wants, God gets”

  51. tjfolkerts says:

    Brad Johnson or Ted Glick should find better things to say and do! Any attribution of specific weather events to AGW is shaky science. Any attribution of specific weather events to God is not science at all. While it is natural for people on any side of any argument to make emotional appeals, this often backfires in scientific settings.

    However, the rebuttal also has some problems.

    By extension, Johnson and Glick’s claims are essentially that this Category 1 storm with 75MPH winds is somehow unique to American history, the result of “tampering” with “nature with oil, coal, and gas pollution.” And it hasn’t even made landfall yet. I don’t have to call BS on their idiotic claims, because the facts do it for me.”

    Any time you attack an “extension” of someone’s argument, you are, by definition, attacking a strawman! Stick to rebutting what they said, not what you wish they said.. Heck Ted even says “It is absolutely true that strong storms are not anything new” in the article you quote. So clearly he does not believe what you attribute to him!

  52. Steve in SC says:

    I lived on Topsail Island in 1954. We left before it got too bad and never went back.
    Big big blow with lots and lots of rain. Dad had come back from Korea and was at Camp LeJune at the time. He had just been released from active duty so there was no reason to stay. We literally headed for the hills.

  53. HaroldW says:

    Grammar quibble: I realize that this material is not your original, but the sentence “The surge even reopened Mary’s Inlet, which had been artificially closed during the summer of 1955…” doesn’t make sense. Can’t speak in the past perfect tense of 1955 events, when discussing a 1954 storm. This source says “The storm surge re-opened Mary’s Inlet, which had been recently closed by the Army Corps of Engineers.”

    Global trends in hurricanes are discussed in Weinkle et al., “Historical Global Tropical Cyclone Landfalls”, non-paywalled version here. Its abstract says “The analysis does not indicate significant long-period global or individual basin trends in the frequency or intensity of landfalling TCs of minor or major hurricane strength.”

  54. Very good article.
    Your hurricane history is excellent.
    Thanks, Anthony.

  55. David Ball says:

    “When the winds of November come early”- Gordon Lightfoot

    Brad Johnson’s article is another example why it is important that the public not be aware of history. The revisionists have to discredit anyone who knows through actual research that claims like “Frankenstorm” are clearly false and have no basis in reality.

    “To any thinking person reading the above” is the most important part of the conclusion IMO.

    Brad Johnston and other members of “the cause” rely on people accepting blindly what they are told.

    Even the name “Forecast the facts” is unscientific as it has the cart before the horse.

  56. Pamela Gray says:

    The scare focus is on the wrong system. The hurricane isn’t the issue. It is why it would follow the predicted path. What pressure systems are working together that would push this thing inland at New York versus the usual turn out to sea? If people want to assign this landfall event to fossil fuels, they will have to look at these other pressure systems that have been predicted to push/pull this thing towards land. The huricane itself is a standard yawner.

    Once the media focus is placed on the right path directors in this event, we can all actually learn something. But what fun is there in focusing the camera lens on pressure systems to the right and left of the path that would cause this thing to hit landfall? The eye of the hurricane makes a much more gripping TV screen shot and hands professional weirdos their requested AGW photo op.

  57. Pamela Gray says:

    My comment appears to have been swallowed by Frankenstorm!

  58. So … God sends cold air from the arctic to collide with the warm air of a hurricane and it is AGW?

    Maybe god is saying “Quick, burn more coal like Germany and heat up the arctic so no more cold air will come south!”

  59. MikeN says:

    Anti-science?

  60. Nigel S says:

    Eternal Father, strong to save,
    Whose arm hath bound the restless wave,
    Who bidd’st the mighty ocean deep
    Its own appointed limits keep;
    Oh, hear us when we cry to Thee,
    For those in peril on the sea!

    O Christ! Whose voice the waters heard
    And hushed their raging at Thy word,
    Who walkedst on the foaming deep,
    And calm amidst its rage didst sleep;
    Oh, hear us when we cry to Thee,
    For those in peril on the sea!

    (The valedictory hymn at school at the end of term)

  61. joeldshore says:

    Can you imagine the howling from the left if some conservative evangelical said something like that? Whatever suits their purpose for the present I suppose is the new desperation dialog about climate.

    Okay…I’ll howl. It was a stupid and bizarre statement, indeed almost as nutty as the statement that E. Calvin Beisner has been promulgating and actually has managed to get scientists like Roy Spencer and David Legates to sign on to ( http://www.cornwallalliance.org/blog/item/prominent-signers-of-an-evangelical-declaration-on-global-warming/ ), as well as Ross McKitrick. Statements of this sort on either side should be criticized and it is hard to take either person seriously as both have shown very bad scientific judgement.

    Johnson’s statement is also certainly beyond what the current science can support.

  62. Dodgy Geezer says:

    “Perhaps this weather scare that may well be much more than just a scare is God’s revenge for the refusal of the U.S. government to take action on the climate crisis. – Ted Glick…”

    Wow! That’s what you get for ‘refusing to take action’? I wonder what the Chinese and Indians are going to get? ‘Cause they are actively pumping out lots of CO2…

    Perhaps Confucius has had a chat with Brahma and Vishnu, and decided that the IPCC’s data is so one-sided as to be meaningless….

  63. John Brookes says:

    Damn those Democrats for organising a storm for the election. It’ll remind everyone just how incompetent the last Republican president was! Is there nothing these democracy hating communists won’t stoop to?

  64. Trick or Treat ! ! !

    Per KeithW above….the now NHC downgraded “Frankenstorm Sandy”….
    may NOT become our Halloween surprize….can we then….
    rebrand pet name given by….the BJ at “Fauxcast the Fakes”….

    FRANKENSPRINKLE SANDY ? ? ?

  65. Ian L. McQueen says:

    I was in my early teens when Hazel struck. We were driving from Ontario to New Brunswick through New England. I can remember many trees having been blown down and being cut up with chain saws (I still remember the scream of their 2-stroke engines) and the lack of electricity. Gasoline pumps were made operative by gasoline engines driving the internal mechanism by a V-belt, and the restaurant where we ate (cold food, of course) was illuminated by huge candles from a nearby church.

    IanM

  66. Silver Ralph says:

    AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT FINDS HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AGAIN…
    8:00 AM EDT Sat Oct 27
    Location: 28.8°N 76.8°W
    Moving: NNE at 10 mph
    Min pressure: 960 mb
    Max sustained: 75 mph
    __________________________________________

    Pffff. In Britain, we call that a small Atlantic depression.

    Try the 26th January 1884 depression, that broke all records here.

    Crieff, Perthshire 925.6mb.
    Oban: 27.39″ (927.4mb)
    Forest of Glen Tana 27.39″ (927.4mb)
    North Shields: 27.63″ (936mb)
    Cargen: 27.66″ (936mb)
    Dublin: 28.15″ (953mb)

    Like the three little pigs, here in the windy UK we learned to make our houses of bricks instead of sticks. Perhaps Obama would like to lecture the US on that thorny little subject instead of claiming trace gasses.

    .

  67. Jeff Alberts says:

    “Any attribution of specific weather events to God is not science at all.”

    Attribution of ANYTHING to god isn’t science.

  68. Gunga Din says:

    History is full of people who claim to be speaking for God who don’t have His “phone number” and refuse to answer when He calls. And it is full of people who do things in the name of God without first finding out what it is God wants done. And it is full of people blaming God for things He’s got nothing to do with.
    AlFrankenstorm is a case in point. I feel sad for Brad.

    PS If Brad says the storm is God’s doing, is he going to stop blaming Man for Climate Change?

  69. Tom Jones says:

    Why do people write things that they know are utterly false and will be revealed as such within hours? I would be embarrassed. Apparently, that is not a problem.

  70. David Ball says:

    joeldshore says:
    October 27, 2012 at 7:53 am
    “Alarmist’s statements are also certainly beyond what the current science can support.”

    Fixed it for you.

  71. kakatoa says:

    I noticed this comment was prominent in the post-

    “Perhaps this weather scare that may well be much more than just a scare is God’s revenge for the refusal of the U.S. government to take action on the climate crisis. – Ted Glick”

    Ted et al must of forgotten about the US governments efforts funded via the stimulus program- with less then stellar results as noted here:

    http://thebreakthrough.org/index.php/programs/energy-and-climate/how-the-economics-of-the-left-and-right-have-failed-the-electric-car/

    and here-

    Jim McCrea, of the DOE’s, thoughts on the ACTIONS taken to address the climate crisis via the Stimulus Programs- http://washingtonexaminer.com/email-includes-doe-officials-midnight-confessions-on-picking-losers/article/2511833#.UIsRQ2_A_5x

    “lf, as a jobs creation mechanism, there is an incentive for PV solar installations, I do think demand could soar and create large numbers of jobs simultaneously.
    “However, lf I were going to invest on that thesis, l might look at inverter manufacturers like Xantrex rather than bet on the PV solar anufacturers. All in all in the solar field, l think it is extremely easy to pick losers and l really do not know how to pick winners.”

    Obviously most of the folks that have been trying to select new technologies to generate new products haven’t spend much time doing either activity. A refresher on the subject seems in order-

    “Managing innovation: an uncertainty reduction process” by Alan W. Pearson. His uncertainty map, is published on slide 8 in this power point presentation:

    http://search.yahoo.com/r/_ylt=A0oGdbl1qhlQQwoAiQJXNyoA;_ylu=X3oDMTE1dmE4NHFiBHNlYwNzcgRwb3MDMQRjb2xvA3NrMQR2dGlkA0FDQlkwNF8xMDA-/SIG=144qkb567/EXP=1343888117/**http%3a//w3.gre.ac.uk/schools/business/entrepreneur/Resources/Managing%2520and%2520facilitating%2520Innovation.ppt

  72. greg Laden says:

    Wow, I had no idea so many hurricanes hit New England like that. Thanks for the information. Most people are under the impression that those hit the Gulf States and stuff like that. Thanks for the clarification.

  73. David Ball says:

    John Brookes says:
    October 27, 2012 at 8:14 am

    (I am leaving my response as empty as the post I am addressing)

  74. David Ball says:

    greg Laden says:
    October 27, 2012 at 8:57 am

    “I had no idea.”

    At least this part of your post is not misleading.

  75. David Ball says:

    Jeff Alberts says:
    October 27, 2012 at 8:42 am

    I am not a believer in any faith of any kind, but a thinking person has to entertain the possibility of “intelligent design” as there is no solid evidence one way or the other. This still leaves this on the field of possibility, no?

  76. tjfolkerts says:

    David Ball, you confuse me! You agree with Joel’s statement, then claim you fixed it!

    Joel said

    Johnson’s statement is also certainly beyond what the current science can support.

    You reply:

    Alarmist’s statements are also certainly beyond what the current science can support.

    Alarmism is “excessive or exaggerated alarm about a real or imagined threat e.g. the increases in deaths from infectious disease.”[wikipedia]. If you are agreeing that Johnson is being an alarmist by making an excessive or exaggerate claim, then you are agreeing with Joel and not fixing anything. (And if you are making a general statement, then you are simply restating the definition, and not “fixing” anything, either!)

  77. tjfolkerts says:

    David Ball says:
    October 27, 2012 at 7:34 am

    “When the winds of November come early”- Gordon Lightfoot

    Brad Johnson’s article is another example why it is important that the public not be aware of history.

    Ummm … people familiar with history will know that the incident you allude to is Lake Superior (the wreck of the Edmond Fitzgerald), not the Atlantic coast. And it was not a huge storm, but a pretty typical November storm (40–58 mph winds were forecast). People familiar with history will know this reference is completely misleading!

    I am no fan of what Brad Johnson wrote, but fighting poor information with other poor information is hardly an improvement!

  78. kadaka (KD Knoebel) says:

    Last night I decided to punch Anthony’s hurricane list into a spreadsheet (and wondered why is that 1913 tropical storm included).

    Ah, if only one could bottle the effect, barely stayed awake through the end of it.

    *puts on Halloween troll hat*

    A. The last one has the highest wind speed! How can you deny they’re getting worse?

    B. The linear trend line clearly shows the speeds are increasing 0.15mph per year! Okay, the R² is only 0.09, but the increase is there!

    C. You must be cherrypicking, how else do you explain the long stretches between 1924-41 and 1968-85 where there were none?

    *removes hat, watches it crawl away*

    Actually the most remarkable things are how the earliest wind speeds were all 100mph, with 20mph increments until 1887. Are those just “must have been at least” guesses?

  79. RockyRoad says:

    David Ball says:
    October 27, 2012 at 8:57 am

    John Brookes says:
    October 27, 2012 at 8:14 am

    (I am leaving my response as empty as the post I am addressing)

    Maybe so, but I chuckled a few times before I realized it.

  80. John F. Hultquist says:

    joeldshore says:
    October 27, 2012 at 7:53 am

    Okay…I’ll howl. etc. . . .

    Thanks, Joel, I hadn’t seen that “call to truth.”

    Except for the small bit about how Earth and we got here, that statement seems to make good sense and many readers would find themselves in agreement with much of it. I will only say that to demand a person extricate the self from one’s family and societal swamp before paying any heed to the other characteristics possessed is equivalent to rejecting the entire human race. Regarding the thus dismissed phrases, I have no compelling replacements or alternatives to suggest – and don’t care. Thus, I move on.

    Consider the beliefs of Isaac Newton. Here is a book review of Michael White’s “Isaac Newton: The Last Sorcerer”:
    http://www.sffchronicles.co.uk/forum/3711-isaac-newton-the-last-sorcerer.html

    Nevertheless, Calculus still works and apples still fall from trees.

  81. John Bell says:

    I would love to follow Brad Johnson around driving in his car, and then when he goes to fill up the tank I would remind him of what he wrote, and film his reaction. You know he uses electricity and heats/cools his house and all, what a hypocrite he is!

  82. cjames says:

    I don’t know how many of you follow Dr. Ryan Maue on Twitter but he has stated this morning that:
    “coastal effects look forecast to be worse than 1938 according to GFS — Long Island extreme winds will be 80 – 100 kts”

    He also states that 12Z NAM shows snowfall for WVA mountains at around 3 ft max.

  83. Louis says:

    Is there an eleventh commandment in Brad Johnson’s Bible: “Thou shalt not emit CO2″? I hope Brad Johnson enjoys being in the same company as the people below. They, too, claimed to know the will of God, but they didn’t claim to be scientists.

    Pastor John Hagee: “And I believe that the Hurricane Katrina was, in fact, the judgment of God against the city of New Orleans.”

    Steve Lefemine, an antiabortion activist in Columbia, S.C., was looking at a full-color satellite map of Hurricane Katrina when something in the swirls jumped out at him: the image of an 8-week-old fetus. “In my belief, God judged New Orleans for the sin of shedding innocent blood through abortion,” said Lefemine.

  84. zootcadillac says:

    From the “weather is not climate” division.

    Much of the UK’s east coast has been hit by snow in the last 24 hours. Snow, in October.

    We didn’t have a summer. Honestly, we had a few warm days here and there but nothing a resident of Arizona or California would call hot.

    I think the Brits would welcome a bit of global warming.

    I hope the impact of this hurricane for those in it’s path is not as bad as the fearmongers are wishing for. Be safe.

  85. Tom Gray says:

    http://www.hurricanehazel.ca/ssi/about_community.shtml

    Hurricane Hazel’s effect on the Toronto area. Hazel merged with a cold front just over Toronto.

  86. Doug Proctor says:

    Wasn’t AIDS supposed to be God’s punishment to gays?

  87. Richard deSousa says:

    What gives? Sandy is going to be Category 1 or Category 2 hurricane at the most so why the fuss? Are the crazy CAGW freaks out because there’s going to be a full moon on Halloween? I can just imagine hearing those idiots baying at the moon!

  88. zootcadillac says:

    I’m an idiot. that’s what a few thousand miles of separation & not finishing reading the article before you comment does for you. I thought this storm was happening now! Doh.

  89. David Ball says:

    David Ball says:
    Your comment is awaiting moderation.
    October 27, 2012 at 11:13 am
    tjfolkerts says:
    October 27, 2012 at 9:21 am
    Huh? you have confused yourself.

  90. David Ball says:

    Mods, please delete my comment at 11:13 as it is incorrect. Corrected post at 11:14. Thank you

  91. David Ball says:

    Trying to get out the door for children’s Halloween party. Sorry for the confusion.

  92. Michael says:

    I think it would be swell if Frankenstorm 2.0 packed as much punch as Frankenstorm 1.0 that struck the North East and Long Island on September 21, 1938.

    We should Re-Brand the description of this storm ourselves “Frankenstorm 2.0″, in light of our newly discovered 1938 Hurricane information.

    I think these people pointing the finger at and blaming the wrong men, the general public, for Human Induced Climate Change, should be pointing the finger at themselves, and we should be pointing our fingers at them, for the Geo Engineering experiments they have been conducting on us.

    Ken Caldeira discussing his article in the September 2012 issue of Scientific American.

    The Great Climate Experiment: How far can we push the planet? Ken Caldeira [Scientific American]

  93. Frank Kotler says:

    Obviously, the earlier storms were punishment for whale oil! (do I need to say “sarc/”?)

    Is my memory playing tricks, or were there even earlier storms listed back when this article was all on the “front page”?

  94. Gunga Din says:

    David Ball says:
    October 27, 2012 at 11:20 am
    Trying to get out the door for children’s Halloween party. Sorry for the confusion.
    ==================================================================
    Did any of your kids dress up as a CO2 molecule? 8-)

  95. Anthony, as a weatherman can you comment on the front that is progressing across to the Eastern seaboard and its effect on this storm? From what I have seen in the past of these fronts pushing Hurricanes out to sea, how in the hell is this storm going to make a 90 degree turn toward land on Monday?

    REPLY: Joel did a pretty good job in a comment below, I’ve been away from the computer – Anthony

  96. Bob Berwyn says:

    Huh? You’re just as much of a shill for the other side. so it’s like the pot calling the kettle black, and actually, you’re even worse for downplaying a potentially dangerous storm that’s already proven deadly. Plus, you’re showing your true nature in vitriolic ad hominem attack disguised as some sort of a science-based screed.

    REPLY: You might try reading it and understanding it, rather than simply screeching about it. Otherwise, you become part of the problem – Anthony

  97. wayne says:

    The kids ask, if a flap of a wing can cause a tornado far away can’t a correct flap of a wing also destroy a hurricane? Ah, the beauty of a child’s insight. So I told them, God’s speed to our winged warriors, do battle against Brad Johnson’s ‘Frankenstorm’, but caution, for it must be the correct wing and the correct flap, the wrong one just might feed to its power!

    (should take at least a few years for them to properly digest that thought)☺

  98. Chuck Nolan says:

    “Perhaps this weather scare that may well be much more than just a scare is God’s revenge for the refusal of the U.S. government to take action on the climate crisis. – Ted Glick”

    Oh noes, there must be someone out there who has spoken directly to God and He has given His answer.
    There are so many of the sane, wise and sage among our members of the cloth.
    Let’s ask Pat Robertson, he’ll know. I heard God told him to run for president. Maybe they’re still talking.

    /sarc/off

    Where do we find these Glicks, Gleiks and kooks?
    cn

  99. kadaka (KD Knoebel) says:

    From Gunga Din on October 27, 2012 at 12:12 pm:

    Did any of your kids dress up as a CO2 molecule? 8-)

    The proper costume requires three kids, two have to be twins. And those can’t be too small or all of them might be mistaken for water.

    Primary benefit is the kids will stay together as a group, as long as it’s dark out and they don’t get wet. The other great benefit is the accompanying adult can dress up as a thermometer, then the kids will always be following the adult.

  100. Glen Michel says:

    Franken – a part of Bavaria which is known as Franconia to English speakers.Franks native to central Germany moved west and founded th e empire of the Franks : France.

  101. stefanthedenier says:

    Hurricanes and Franckenstorms in the same basket with CO2…? Well, you are asking for it. During the biggest hurricane; on the other 98% of the planet was beautiful weather… with SAME CO2 level…

    Well too many bullshine addicts – > demand controls supply.

  102. David Ball says:

    Bob Berwyn says:
    October 27, 2012 at 1:22 pm

    You have to indicate who you are directing your post to.

  103. David Ball says:

    Gunga Din says:
    October 27, 2012 at 12:12 pm

    We had a zombie and Vlad Dracula. Good clean spooky fun.

  104. David Ball says:

    tjfolkerts says:
    October 27, 2012 at 9:41 am

    Back to you. What was that you were saying?

  105. Downdraft says:

    This storm appears to be similar to the 1991 “Perfect Storm”. It was never given a name, but was a category 1 hurricane combined with a nor’easter. A buoy off Nova Scotia recorded 100′ waves. It was primarily a coastal storm, whereas the current storm looks like it will go well inland. Exactly the same time of year. So, more evidence that it is not unprecedented.

  106. Matt G says:

    Statement by Brad Johnson, campaign manager of Forecast the Fibs.

    “But what their role as national leaders demands that they also do is explain that Hurricane Sandy is a true Frankenstorm, a monster created by man tampering with nature with oil, coal, and gas pollution.”

    Can anybody be more deluded then this?

    I’ll get some oil, coal and gas and create a hurricane in my back garden shall I?

    It’s a hurricane and no different from any others, can’t be distinguished between any others and occurs often during history. A desperate agenda is still in full flow with the Frakenstorm nonsense and it is quite literally embarrassing. It is a cat 1 hurricane and for a time in between was downgraded to a tropical storm. Thanks for letting the public know what a load of rubbish alarmist global warming views are.

  107. tz says:

    Witches apparently have a lower carbon footprint. When they were started to be burned, the Medieval warm period ended.

  108. tz says:

    If it is idiocy masquerading it is a most excellent and convincing disguise.

  109. J. Felton (the Cowboy) says:

    Sounds like Johnson’s the real “Frankenweenie”.

    (My apologies to Tim Burton.)

  110. Streetcred says:

    October 27, 2012 at 8:14 am |John Brookes says:

    Damn those Democrats for organising a storm for the election. It’ll remind everyone just how incompetent the last Republican president was! Is there nothing these democracy hating communists won’t stoop to?
    ———————————————————

    LOL ! Commie John ;) Nice to see you here … this storm is clearly God’s punishment of those filthy democrats anticipating voting for continued malfeasance of its leadership. Brad Johnson clearly implies this.

    The rest of us are OK with God.

  111. Che Cazzo Stai Dicendo? says:

    Great coincidental internet moment: I clicked onto an article about Sandy in the WaPo, and in the sidebar was a chart titles: “Learn About Homicides in Your Neighborhood”. Great how everyone gears up for the fake-as-f***-all pseudo tragedies, because they know they can get air time, while almost everyone can ignore the real and real-time tragedies that happening every day, because murders (especially ghetto murders) are so quotidian.

    ““It’s about our survival as a species.”I don’t get it. If we’re so destructive, why would anyone wish for our continued existence? Let me guess, we just need more “education”, also now as “thought alignment”: “If you don’t think like me, I simply haven’t invented the right ‘fact’ to convince you. Here, let’s try again. Don’t worry, I won’t be turning up the amperage on the shock-o-matic just yet.”

  112. joeldshore says:

    Dennis Ray Wingo says:

    Anthony, as a weatherman can you comment on the front that is progressing across to the Eastern seaboard and its effect on this storm? From what I have seen in the past of these fronts pushing Hurricanes out to sea, how in the hell is this storm going to make a 90 degree turn toward land on Monday?

    From what I understand, the problem is that the front / trough is not making all that much forward progress (it is stalled out just east of us here in Western NY) because of significant blocking in the atmosphere. It is this blocking and the trough in the Eastern U.S. that are expected to force Sandy to hook back toward the coast. You can see some discussion of it in the latest (as of 11pm EDT) forecast discussion here: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2012/al18/al182012.discus.023.shtml?

  113. atheok says:

    “Seele says: October 26, 2012 at 9:47 pm
    May I offer my condraculations to Brad Johnson on his coining of the novel term “Frankenstorm”.”

    I love the wordplay to identify the bloodsucker.

    I lived in SE Pennsylvania when Hazel hit. As a rather stupid wee tot, I loved the way the wind looked through the windows; horizontal rain, leaves, things. So I opened the door and went out. My parents caught me a few houses down. I wasn’t light enough to go fully wind borne, but I sure couldn’t resist it.

    Franky baby storm even as it sits in the Atlantic is no Hazel. And that’s a comparison to a Hazel after it’d already crawled over two states.

    Doctor Gray has been warning East Coasters for decades that they’re building where storms visit. Maybe this will be a wake-up call for those folks who think tidal estuaries are great places for condos and beach rentals. If TS (I don’t think hurricane is the correct descriptor anymore) Sandy was a cat 4 like Hazel, then it’d be a true lesson in coastal construction disaster.

    Why do I doubt Sandy’s hurricane status? That storm is looking downright disorganized now with center circulation not very clear. Still a massive and dangerous storm with plenty of precipitation. That alone may make it very similar to Hazel. Expect lots of flooding if those clouds go stationary and drain.

  114. TomB says:

    Anthony, one piece of advice: “Don’t feed the trolls!”

  115. Nano Pope says:

    Well I know of at least one other group that is convinced that God hates America. Is Glick related to the Phelps perhaps?

  116. Keith AB says:

    What I am puzzled about is what will make this storm system do a sharp left turn? I have looked through a lot of historical tracks and I haven’t found one that will do anything beyond a slow creep NNE or NE. There is obviously a good reason for this track prediction . . http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218_5day.html

    but what is it?

  117. Paul Coppin says:

    “One storm in particular stands out as a parallel to Hurricane Sandy, and that’s Hurricane Hazel in 1954. Brad Johnson is of course too young to have any experience with it (and so am I) but unlike Johnson I pay attention to weather history rather than bloviate gloom and doom at the drop of hat for political purposes.”

    I wasn’t. As a 7 year old, I huddled with my parents in the dark – power went out, early, in a then small city east of Toronto as the wind and rain roared around and over us. I still VIVIDLY remember trying to see out my bedroom window into the backyard darkness at the very tip of one of my neighbour’s 70 foot Lombardy poplars brushing up and down on my bedroom window. Five feet taller and it would have been in my bedroom. Four of five of these polars toppled that night, and the fifth was too root-weakened to leave up. A couple of days later, my parents and I took a bit of a drive up the Holland Marsh area north of Toronto to see the massive pumps trying get water off the land. If you’ve never lived through a storm of that ferocity, you have no idea….

  118. Paul Coppin says:

    October 28, 2012 at 12:24 am

    What I am puzzled about is what will make this storm system do a sharp left turn? I have looked through a lot of historical tracks and I haven’t found one that will do anything beyond a slow creep NNE or NE. There is obviously a good reason for this track prediction . . http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201218_5day.html

    but what is it?

    There’s an “anomalous” (NHC’s word – must be AGW/ Bush’s/Mitt’s/Ann Coulter’s fault), blocking high sitting up over the Canadian Maritimes that’s preventing Sandy from going straight up the coast. There is also a well defined high pressure ridge N-S over the US midwest behind the low pressure trough, also N-S, over the east-central US, that is effectively channelling the storm into the trough. The weather systems in the trough have nowhere to go because of the highs and they and Sandy will eventually mash together over the US Northeast and southeastern Canada.

  119. Paul Coppin says:

    Why do I doubt Sandy’s hurricane status? That storm is looking downright disorganized now with center circulation not very clear. Still a massive and dangerous storm with plenty of precipitation. That alone may make it very similar to Hazel. Expect lots of flooding if those clouds go stationary and drain.

    Sandy actually hasn’t been a hurricane for the last 36 hours, based on measurable wind strength. However, the storm is so large, and there remains a strong low pressure core, so the decision was taken that the probability that hurricane force winds do likely exist in the storm, and also that there was a good possiblilty that intensification would occur as an extra-tropical cyclone. Its hung on the Saffir-Simpson boundary for the last 36 hours, and hunter aircraft have not had flight radials over some areas that appear to be stronger. The concern is not the intensity per se, its the size of the wind field and overall potential. IOW – its significant because, even though its intensity is borderline, its sheer size makes the aggregate threat just as serious. Remains to be seen if it holds together, but its now expected to break down fairly quickly once it makes landfall. Won’t help the coast though.

  120. Darren Potter says:

    Keith AB says: What I am puzzled about is what will make this storm system do a sharp left turn?

    The wunderground knows {somebody} is playing the “HAARP”.
    http://beforeitsnews.com/paranormal/2012/10/east-coast-haarp-mega-storm-brewing-for-next-week-2444474.html
    ;)

  121. I see the hurricane hunter (at wunderground) plots no surface winds over 65 mph, however it is still listed as a 75mph hurricane with gusts op to 90 at 12:54 EDT Sunday.

  122. wayne says:

    Seems that BAMD might end up to be the track that is followed. CLP5 and all of the BAM tracks are going to keep it far offshore. Keep you eyes on the northward mid-Atlantic blocking high and low coupled with the jet stream. If they keep ticking eastward it may never make landfall at all. Just a hunch right now, but we’ll see.

  123. Crispin in Kuala-Lumpur says:

    One of our neighbours had a barn he wanted to tear down and, hearing that hurricane Hazel was on the way, cut a huge hole in the side with a chainsaw. It was reduced to a pile of firewood in an instant!

    I only remember the wind and the broken trees. The eye went directly over our home in Pickering Ontario.

  124. joeldshore says:

    Paul Coppin says:

    The concern is not the intensity per se, its the size of the wind field and overall potential.

    Yeah…I think one indication that it is not your average borderline-Category1 storm is that its central pressure is quite low for such a storm. This is an indication that there will be a large baroclinic wind field associated with the storm even if the strongest winds aren’t that impressive. Another particular issue is that it is arriving around the full moon, which means the high tides will already be higher than average, adding to the tidal flood issue. Still another, at least here in the eastern Great Lakes region, that the Buffalo forecast office has been discussing is the fact that the winds will be out of the north to northeast direction, which is an unusual direction for us to get winds of such magnitude (as our strongest winds are usually out of the west and southwest). It tends to take less strong winds to fell trees when the trees haven’t experienced such winds from this direction (and thus have not been felled by previous storms).

  125. u.k.(us) says:

    Bob Berwyn says:

    October 27, 2012 at 1:22 pm

    Huh? You’re just as much of a shill for the other side. so it’s like the pot calling the kettle black, and actually, you’re even worse for downplaying a potentially dangerous storm that’s already proven deadly. Plus, you’re showing your true nature in vitriolic ad hominem attack disguised as some sort of a science-based screed.
    —————–
    I must have missed something.
    What are you even bitching about ?
    Care to expand your comment to include, anything, other than vitriol (to borrow a term).

  126. Paul Coppin says:

    joeldshore says:
    October 28, 2012 at 11:38 am


    Still another, at least here in the eastern Great Lakes region, that the Buffalo forecast office has been discussing is the fact that the winds will be out of the north to northeast direction, which is an unusual direction for us to get winds of such magnitude (as our strongest winds are usually out of the west and southwest).

    ..
    Actually, no, for the lower Great lakes basin. The prevailing wind sector is WSW to ENE. The WNW to N quadrant is most frequently the strongest blows – the back side of passing lows with cold frontal boundary pushing on the low’s back door. What makes the south and WSW winds so strong is that they are usually associated with the warm sector of lows and have a large warm moisture content, both from what is brought up from the gulf via the Mississippi heat pump and what is carried over the fetch of Lake Erie. What Great Lakes sailors call “heavy air” (and it is too – 30 knots of moisture laden sw summer blow will lay a surprisingly big sailboat over. I’ve been forced into many a round up trying to point too high in a blow and refusing to bear off…:)

    Based on current model data for Buffalo, the strongest wind will be Monday night at midnight, just ahead of the max pressure low, pegged for about 5am Tuesday and it will almost due south, veering to the SW by sunrise and westerly by noon. You can see the NAM 84 hour profile for next week for KBUF here. line curves red for temp, blue for windchill, upper green for dew point, white surface pressure and lower green/white, integrated total precip.

  127. Paul Coppin says:

    Nuts – missed a closing italic tag after the quote…

    [Fixed. — mod.]

  128. Paul Coppin says:

    Nuts again – got the link wrong in the post: KBUF wind profile

  129. Keith AB says:

    Thanks Paul, muchos gracias.

  130. joeldshore says:

    Paul:

    I don’t really understand your point, which seems to be a mixture of confirming my statements (that the strongest winds tend to be from the W thru SW) and saying things that are wrong (like that the winds are expected to be from the S or SW during this event. Here is the relevant part of this early afternoon forecast discussion from the Buffalo NWS office:

    UNLIKE MOST HIGH WINDS EVENTS…WINDS WILL BE NORTH OR NORTHEAST…WHICH WILL GENERALLY INCREASE THE LIKELIHOOD FOR DAMAGE TO TREES AND STRUCTURES. SINCE STRONG WINDS TYPICALLY ARE FROM THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST…TYPICALLY PROTECTED
    LOCATIONS MAY BE MORE VULNERABLE.

  131. joeldshore says:

    Paul, And here is the relevant quote from the latest Buffalo forecast discussion:

    THE OTHER CONCERN IS THE NORTHERLY WIND DIRECTION. STRONG WINDS FROM
    THE NORTH ARE VERY RARE. TREES IN THIS AREA GROW ROOT STRUCTURE TO
    ANCHOR STRONGLY AGAINST THE PREVAILING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND…AND
    ARE MUCH MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO DAMAGE FROM STRONG WINDS OF A DIFFERENT
    DIRECTION. WITH THIS IN MIND…EXPECT MORE WIND DAMAGE WITH THIS
    EVENT THAN WE TYPICALLY SEE WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE 50-65 MPH RANGE.
    THE RECENT AND UPCOMING RAINS HAVE ALSO MADE SOILS SOGGY…WHICH CAN
    INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE.

    I am somewhat puzzled how you imagine us having south to southwest winds when the storm is to the southeast of us and the winds will be counterclockwise around it.

  132. Random Thoughts says:

    ‘It’s FrankenSTROM.’.

    Apologies to Mel Brooks.

  133. barn E. rubble says:

    RE: TomB says: October 27, 2012 at 11:26 pm
    “Anthony, one piece of advice: “Don’t feed the trolls!””

    Hey, stop teasing the trolls! There could be a movie in this, IE: When Stupid met Sally

  134. Paul Coppin says:

    “I am somewhat puzzled how you imagine us having south to southwest winds when the storm is to the southeast of us and the winds will be counterclockwise around it.”

    You are right about wind direction – I read it too fast and misread my own chart. :( Interpreted the barbs 180 degrees… eek.) Trying to do too much today…

  135. T-Bird says:

    I kind of reminds me of this little bit from the Iowahawk:

    http://iowahawk.typepad.com/iowahawk/our_precious_planet/page/10/

  136. Paul of Alexandria says:

    A note of caution on Dr. Indur Goklany’s article, however. Most of the decrease in fatalities from hurricanes is probably due to better forecasting and weather satellites. The fact that we can track the things across the entire Atlantic is a huge help.

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