Science by Lucia, cartoon by Josh.
Josh writes:
Yesterday Lucia sent me an email about the recent Gergis et al ‘on hold’ paper with the subject title “Do you understand the math enough to do a cartoon?”.
My response was, of course, to nervously read the email to gauge just how embarrassing my assured ‘fail’ would be.
Luckily Lucia is a genius at words as well as numbers and after a few emails back and forth she had explained the problem sufficiently well and suggested a possible cartoon solution. So this is truly a joint cartoon with all the clever bits by Lucia and some drawing by me.
She even wrote a haiku.
Screening fallacy:
If you sieve for hockeysticks
that’s just what you’ll get.
If you want to understand more, head over to The Blackboard or Climate Audit, there’s lots to read.
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“Hockey stick-o-matic”! 😀 Now THAT’S funny!
It’s almost like Manna from heaven!
In the cartoon, as Gerbis stands by the falling hockey sticks, she suddenly exclaims, “Holy Hockey Sticks, Batmann!”
John
Link to Josh’s cartoon is broken it appears. Luckily it can be seen on Josh’s site and I must say it’s a good one!
REPLY: Link removed, it was errant, besides the cartoon is right in front of you!
Photo link went dead. Try this one:
http://www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2012/6/12/science-by-lucia-cartoon-by-josh-173.html
(Or this one: http://www.webcitation.org/68OF8n6xN )
REPLY: the “photo link” was errant, besides it is right in front of you!
The puck stops here !
Gergis another hockey stick …
Pointman
Well, I don’t see the cartoon either here. Gerbis and the rest of her team will wince when they see it. Good job Lucia/Josh.
REPLY: Finally somebody with enough clarity to explain what was going on, previous commenters said “link” was bad…
Issue had to do with the train wreck image cache system at Bishop Hill’s website. You can’t view the image if you haven’t been to his website first, and of course the way the email was sent to me, it referenced the cache image rather than the actual one. So I made a local copy. I wish he’d dump that buggy thing and move to wordpress.
GerGis btw…- Anthony
Mathematician and wit David Berlinski once described a similar process in attempts to duplicate the origin of life:
“They began with what they needed and purified what they got until they got what they wanted.”
Anthony, as of 9AM ET, the cartoon is not showing up on your page, not “right in front” of us, which is what I think Darrin and daveburton were trying to say.
Try here:
http://www.bishop-hill.net/storage/thumbnails/902844-18725897-thumbnail.jpg?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1339576210655
Disregard. Your reply to Ric Werme showed up after I posted.
I think the caption should have been:
What is now commonly referred to as ‘research’.
RTF
Or perhaps just “Now commonly referred to as ‘research’.”
RTF
I vaguely remember reading something when I was about 8 years old that if you dropped a needle on to a chessboard the probability of it falling entirely within a square was something to do with Pi.
If Lucia’s table had had a tablecloth with a chessboard pattern that would have bamboozled the warm-mongers even more! I think…
This is one of the best to date. Bravo!
There could be afollow up cartoon showing the view from the other side of the wall where what is falling from the “waste” shut being the truth.
Jimmy Haigh. says:
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
June 13, 2012 at 7:07 am
Gordon Bennet! Sorry – spell checking spelling error – “shut” should be “chute”…
I second RTF’s caption.
I, having arrived at the party after the refreshments were found, think Lucia and Josh should be congratulated for their efforts.
A great cartoon. Fantastic.
Thanks, to both.
——————-
An aside: The chute for waste suggests the processors of the “data” hope the stuff going that way will disappear. In the early days of potato processing the peelings – thought of as waste – were flushed out the back of the structures where they decomposed and reentered the waterways and fields of the agricultural community. As the quantity of the processing grew the problems of waste had to be addressed.
Very nice. Would be cool if a window were in the building allowing a glimpse of just how big that “waste pile” was compared to the few sticks that made through the machine. 😉
The only improvement on the cartoon is to remember that they are ‘green’. So, it is not ‘waste’, it is ‘compost’. Because obviously they do not recycle it. And it if reappears later, it resembles fertilizer.
The only improvement I can offer is to remember that the AGW crowd considers themselves “green.” So, it would not be “waste”. It would be “compost”. It is obviously not recycled, but if it does come back later, it really resembles fertilizer.
John Whitman says:
June 13, 2012 at 5:07 am
In the cartoon, as Gerbis stands by the falling hockey sticks, she suddenly exclaims, “Holy Hockey Sticks, Batmann!”
John
– – – – – – –
Oops. Sorry for misspelling her name, it should be Gergis.
John
Hockey Stick the Musical
Well this graph is Automatic, it’s Briffa-matic, it’s Mann-O-matic
Why it’s Gergis-lightning
We’ll get some overhead sifters and cherry picked proxies oh yeah
keep talkin’ whoa keep talkin’
Diversion cut offs and predictor selectors oh yeah
I’ll get the money, I’ll see you get the money
With hockeysticks on the floor, they’ll be waitin’ at the door
You know that ain’t shit when we’ll be gettin’ lots of tit in Gergis lightnin’
Chorus
Go, Gergis lightnin’, you’re burnin’ up the grants
Gergis lightning, go Gergis lightning
The waste chute should circle right into a big red dumpster, overflowing with non-hockey sticks (arcs, zigzags, waves). The dumpster should be labeled:
Hide the Decline
Hide from FOIA