New El Niño causal pattern discovered

From the University of Hawaii ‑ SOEST: Climate researchers discover new rhythm for El Niño El Niño wreaks havoc across the globe, shifting weather patterns that spawn droughts in some regions and floods in others. The impacts of this tropical Pacific climate phenomenon are well known and documented. A mystery, however, has remained despite decades…

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On Guemas et al (2013) “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”

I received a number of emails about the newly published Guemas et al (2013) paper titled “Retrospective prediction of the global warming slowdown in the past decade”. It’s paywalled. The abstract is here. It reads: Despite a sustained production of anthropogenic greenhouse gases, the Earth’s mean near-surface temperature paused its rise during the 2000–2010 period1.…

La Nada, El Niño, or Three-Peat La Niña for 2012/13 ENSO Season?

Readers may have noticed the WUWT ENSO meter is in the neutral zone. Bob Tisdale asks where it will head next. Guest post by Bob Tisdale Last year about this time, the El Niño-Southern Oscillations (ENSO) models from around the globe predicted ENSO-neutral to El Niño conditions for the 2011/12 ENSO season. But the two…

Kiribati – a global warming refuge?

From an NSF press release, comes this strange new term, look for real estate prices to soar and airports to be built there soon. Oh, wait, that’s Tuvalu/Maldives, which global warming is supposed to inundate with sea level rise. Never mind. But then there’s this: In September 2011, Kiribati’s President Anote Tong and the UN…

So Many People … So Little Rain

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach Well, I started a post on Kiribati, but when it was half written I found Andi Cockroft had beaten me to it with his post. His analysis was fine, but I had a different take on the events. President Tong of Kiribati says the good folk of the atolls are…

Do Latest Solar Studies Confirm Upcoming Global Cooling?

Guest post by Matti Vooro I fully support the findings of  Jan –Erik Solheim , Kjell Stordahl and Ole Humlum and their very recent paper called The long sunspot cycle 23 predicts a significant temperature decrease in cycle 24  dated February 2012. The abstract reads: Relations between the length of a sunspot cycle and the…