Tony Seruga writes on Twitter:
Between 2010 and 2026, governments and corporations poured roughly $2 trillion into solar, wind, and “net‑zero” programs under the promise of an imminent clean‑energy transition. What the public received instead was an illusion—a fragile grid, higher electricity prices, and negligible climate benefits. Energy remained just as carbon‑intensive, but far more expensive and unreliable. The fundamental error was confusing installed capacity with delivered power.
Wind and solar often produce energy only 20 % of the time; fossil and nuclear plants generate 60‑90 % consistently. Billions went to weather‑dependent infrastructure that must still be backed up by coal and gas. Once backups, grid stabilization, and battery losses are factored in, true delivered costs for renewables reach $120–250 per MWh, double or triple those of gas, coal, or nuclear.
When measured by physical reality rather than marketing slogans, that $2 trillion bought roughly the energy output of $400 billion in conventional power. It displaced almost no fossil fuel consumption and arguably reinforced it, since idling backup plants waste fuel. Worse, dependence on Chinese supply chains for solar panels and rare‑earth minerals eroded national energy independence and inflated emissions through hidden mining and shipping costs.
If that same capital had been spent on modern nuclear or advanced natural‑gas infrastructure, the outcome would have been transformative. $2 trillion could have built about 285 GW of nuclear capacity (powering 250 million homes reliably for 70 years) or 1,650 GW of efficient gas plants (enough for 900 million homes for 30 years). Either path would have cut 70–80 gigatons of CO₂, reduced global electricity costs by half, and created genuine energy security.
Instead, the current “green” trajectory delivered rising utility bills, rolling blackouts, and greater reliance on geopolitical adversaries. Global power costs rose roughly 60%, contributing to deindustrialization in Europe, worldwide inflation, and a cumulative $37–40 trillion loss in global GDP—about half of one year of global economic output. That’s the price of mistaking ideology for engineering.
The lesson could not be clearer: physics determines prosperity. Dense, dispatchable energy such as nuclear or gas remains the backbone of civilization, and no amount of subsidies or messaging can legislate thermodynamics. The so‑called green transition did not decarbonize the planet—it impoverished it. The road to sustainability is not paved with solar subsidies but with unapologetic engineering and scientific honesty.
Oh, it was transformative, all right: Much like going to hell in a hat basket is transformative. It doesn’t take more than a smidge of paranoia to think that the messy outcome in the West was always the desired outcome.
According to Google AI…
Between 2010 and 2023, federal subsidies for wind and solar energy totaled approximately $141 billion ($76B for solar, $65B for wind), with overall renewable and energy-efficiency subsidies increasing significantly. Including broader infrastructure, investment is much higher; federal energy and environmental programs invested $2.25 trillion between 2010 and 2024
Per the article this would supply enough allowance for Gas Generated Electricity for 1,650 GW of efficient gas plants (enough for 900 million homes for 30 years).
Well the US has 148,700,000 Housing Units (houses, apartments, Condos, etc.) So those.same gas facilities would be enough to power every home in the US for 180 years.
All part of the plan. 1. Demonize the Capitalist energy system. 2. Bankrupt the Capitalists by sabotaging their industry. 3. Make them reliant on the solution only you can provide economically 3. Ramp up your industry to provide the Capitalists what they can no longer produce and become the world economic leader. Prove me wrong. A plan so audacious no one would believe it and that’s exactly what they came close to doing. Once again. Thank you Trump.
Unfortunately us Brits have a government still determined to bankrupt us with Net Zero.
And they say the Gulf oil crisis is because we did get to Net Zero in time.
We are led by dunces.
[ “We are led by dunces.” ]
No, we are led by traitors & criminal 5th columnists. !!!
Both posters above are right except they leave the God cursed Democrats out of their posts…the bought and paid for, probably by China, scumsuckers all.
You mean Islamophobia isn’t the most pressing issue in Britain?
The Left has many weapons..
Malevolent dunces.
EU proves your case
IMO the exact numbers posted here do not matter much in the bigger battle. The following simple logic is impeccable, and the resulting numeric disparities MUST be very large:
It is not even close, no matter local details.
Very nice Tony. This is just common sense, a rare commodity now days.
The genie is well and truly out of the bottle, guys.
Fossil fuels and global reliance on them are now seen as an avoidable economic and political issue; not just an environmental problem.
In a way, Trump, with his senseless war in Iran, has sealed the fate of the fossil fuel industry.
But it’s not avoidable because net zero is a myth. It’s about as realistic as calling for economic equality for everyone- can’t be done. Senseless war? So, you’d like Iran to develop nuclear weapons. They’d be nice about it though- wouldn’t threaten anyone, right? Or maybe you’re so naive as to think the West could negotiate with the mullahs and everyone would be happy. Actually, what the war shows is how dependent we are on ff and it’ll remain that way. The conclusion should be every nation that has ff in the ground should drill baby drill! Flood the market with abundant low cost ff. That’s a lot more feasible than Net Zero.
It’s not about WMD, never was.
Of course that’s part of it. Any war is never about one thing only.
Flame on flame warrior!
But it’s not avoidable because net zero is a myth.
Yes, quite. But you have to watch the pea under the thimble. It used to be stop global heating, tackle the climate crisis, That collapsed. Now its, do wind and solar, it makes so much sense for us, and that too is collapsing. Its going to be interesting, sitting around by candle light wrapped in our duvets these winters, watching what the next left mania is. Trans appears to be dying, decolonization appears to have withered. Could be anything. In the UK there are signs it could be old fashioned 1930s style anti-semitism allied with Islamism, as in the Green Party. But you never know.
The only thing you know for sure is that there will be an enemies list, apocalyptic predictions and that if unrestrained it will move rapidly to gulags.
A lot more rational also.
Fossil fuels and global reliance on them are now seen as an
avoidableUNAVOIDABLE economic and political issue.Fixed it for ya!
Maybe the authoritarian regimes can name a ballistic missile factory after you.
Fortunately those Ballistic Missiles would ALL be Duds. Like 99.999% of Users arguments.
If only that were true.
On the contrary, more and more countries will now look to develop their own sources of reliable energy. Wind and solar are never reliable.
And when the Islamic terrorist regime in Iran is hopefully replaced by a more reasonable one that wants to be part of the world, rather than destroying it, fossil fuels will remain as the cheapest, and by far the most reliable, form of energy there is.
Only the western countries have been able to afford the total waste of money on erratic electricity supplies, degrading their grid systems in the process, while leaving themselves with a massive clean-up problem of old solar panels and wind turbines in the near future.
The whole world TOTALLY RELIES ON FOSSIL FUELS, and there is nothing that wind and solar can do to reduce that reliance.
It’s all part of a multiple part plan I do not believe there is a single human group controlling this. It’s not just China but the ultra-wealthy that believe the planet needs fewer people. It is about control. Here in the USA, we keep electing the same people hoping for a different result. What we get are people that would rather destroy us while stealing our property. They plan to live on secluded islands away from the destruction they help bring.
Make everything run on electricity then turn of the electric power. That makes everyone agree to become a slave or servant.
Moving to war. The Trump administration as been trying to slow down China.
Moved Venezuela oil to US control. Effects China and China aligned countries.
Remove Iranian oil. Similar effect on China.
This week-Ukraine – just destroyed Russian refinery assets around the Black Sea.
This is to ensure that the US empire will remain even though trillions of dollars are borrowed to destroy US citizens. As a result, may people will starve from lack of fuel and fertilizer in US and other nations. This is strong medicine. On my 1.5 acres, I cannot grow enough food to my family, but I do what I can.
Jut think, the EPA forced industries out the the US. Our elite wealthy would rather hire foreigners and low wages and fire US citizens. Does Congress act? Yes, they go along with it because it increases their personal wealth.
The nuclear regulatory agency made sure that no new nuclear power plants could be built for years. Did congress do anything to ensure a stable grid? No, they are too busy building their portfolio.
Gonna Serve Somebody from Slow Train Coming – Bob Dylan.
The Islamic terrorist regime in Iran does not want to destroy the world as an end goal (possibly the means of achieving the end goal, however), the end goal is to rule the world.
“the end goal is to rule the world.”
They have to destroy western civilisation to do that.
There is no genie but the bottle exists. The bottleneck created by demanding the use of unreliable Green Energy Sources…by Government Edict!
Put a cork in it, mate, it ain’t over till the differently-sized vocalist of ambiguous gender identity concludes their aria, after consulting their lived experience, preferred pronouns, and emotional support therapist.
Oh no, not the rainbow! It scares me!
Then why paint it on your bedroom walls ??
It should.
It is just another war fossil fuel brought us, but this time we have alternatives.
trump destroys the powers that got him elected.
Iran war sparks renewables boom as Europeans rush to buy solar, heat pumps and EVs
Yet Europe can’t even power its industry with electricity from wind and solar…
People are just wasting their money on things that don’t work, based a short term scare…
Remember where all those things are made.. China.. 😉
JAPAN REVERSES COAL PHASE-OUT AS LNG RISK BUILDSJapan is preparing an emergency shift back to coal.
The government will lift operating restrictions on coal-fired power plants for fiscal year 2026, bringing older, previously suppressed units back online from April that had been sidelined due to CO2 targets.
Japan is heavily dependent on imported liquefied natural gas (LNG), much of it routed through the Persian Gulf. Escalating tensions are threatening those supply chains. In response, Tokyo is prioritizing fuel sources that do not rely on Middle East transit.
Unlike LNG and oil, coal can be sourced from more stable and diversified suppliers, and stockpiled extensively domestically. By removing caps on coal plant utilization, Japan is hoping to conserve LNG reserves and stabilize electricity supply.
Japan had planned to reduce coal’s share of electricity generation from roughly 31% in 2022 to 19% by 2030, alongside the retirement of older plants. Restarting idled capacity and increasing utilization pushes the system in the opposite direction.
This is not an isolated adjustment. It reflects a broader shift underway across Asia, where governments are quietly prioritizing grid reliability over emissions targets as fuel risks rise.
Turning attention to oil, there is only so much ‘jawboning’ the US can perform.
Positioning data in the futures market shows extreme bullish exposure, with options activity reportedly reaching levels far beyond historical norms. Goldman Sachs reports strikes as high as $450 per barrel are being bought. This is not retail placing these bets. It shows institutional concerns of severe supply disruption.
A price anywhere near $450 a barrel would tank the global economy.
Energy systems respond to risk, not targets. When LNG flows are uncertain and oil markets are pricing extreme stress, dispatchable generation comes first. Coal remains one of the few scalable, on-demand sources available.
Japan’s decision makes that clear.
Shame the UK dismantled its last remaining coal plant in 2024.
If we have alternatives…true alternatives…then the War is harmless against energy prices isn’t it? As Oil is meaningless in the grand scheme.
This is a correct and very interesting observation about the evolution of Climatism.
It did indeed start out as claims about the environment, in particular the claim that global CO2 emissions would lead to a disastrous rise in global temperatures. For a couple of decades all you would see on this site or Ars Technica etc would be arguments about the Hockey Stick, the MWP and RWP, the validity of the temperature record, climate sensitivity, urban heat islands etc. This was the era when the debate apparently was about the climate of the planet, one had the impression that if this were settled, the conclusions about action would come automatically.
It was also the era when belief was the important thing, when skeptics were classed as ‘deniers’ or said to be ‘in denial’, of claims that the ‘science is settled’. There was a high level of rage directed at dissidents. The religious and apocalyptic overtones were clear to outside observers. This was the era of the Guardian style guide – don’t talk about global warming, but about heating. It was the era of the BBC decision never to broadcast any skeptical voices because that would be false balance. A bit like the Marxist concept of false consciousness.
At the same time, with no real critical scrutiny, Western governments started trying to move their economies away from oil, gas and coal, and in the first instance to wind and solar for power generation.
As they did this, something interesting happened: the focus of the climate activists changed. They gradually stopped talking about either climate or temperature, they largely stopped talking about the coming catastrophe from global heating. We now had coverage which majored on things like free fuel from the wind and sun, stranded assets in the form of oil, gas and coal reserves, The wind and solar programs started no longer to be justified by their supposed effect on stopping global heating, but instead were presented as sensible stand-alone investment decisions.
To do this a new investment appraisal had to be invented, and it was – LCOE, which would be in any other context classed as accounting fraud. The method, at least as uninversally used, leaves out half the costs of wind and solar and also overstates electricity production, thus fraudulently understating cost per MWh.
The argument had moved to correspond to the policy. It had become clear since Paris and after the various COPs that no-one outside the West was going to reduce their emissions. On the contrary, they were going to grow their economies, let the emissions go where they would, and attend COP with the aim of preventing it reaching any binding resolutions. It was also becoming clear that anyway nothing much was happening to the climate.
In the face of this, the de facto policy being advocated was to attempt to reduce the 25% of emissions due to power generation from about 25% of the global economy by the move to wind and solar. This had to be justified in itself, since it clearly was too small a result to have any effect on the climate. And so we now have the era when the mainstream press stops talking about global warming and moves coverage to the climate crisis, which is evidenced by every instance anyone can find of a bad storm or a high temperature reading somewhere, but advocacy of wind and solar is justified by claims about low cost of renewables and energy security,
This too is now collapsing due to the simple and unavoidable fact of intermittency. The so called energy transition is not happening and will not happen, And now you see governments in the West walking back from the renewables agenda.
Except for the UK, with its combination of a fanatic in charge of energy and a vacillating and weak Prime Minister, where the lunatics are still cheering as they drive the country closer and faster to the cliff of blackouts and energy rationing.
I dunno it is far more likely that the Marxist Concept of false consciousness could be very real. I haven’t met a Socialist/Communist/Marxist yet that had a real conscience. And if you break down the word it applies well to Climate Science… Con-science.
Saw a map if an atomic bomb was dropped on NYC—not an inconceivable thought. The 100% death zone contains my family. I want the crazy Iranians in charge vaporized. Sorry, not sorry
EMP or a dirty bomb is probably more likely, but the end result is just as cheerful to our resident trolls…we should be so lucky it the trolls got to glow in their own basements. Yeah, I’m bloody minded when it comes to idiots like those clowns.
Flame on flame warrior!
TFN:
No, renewables are not the answer to FF uncertainty: they are too intermittant & of too low density.
It is telling that when the US AI companies (Microsoft, Google, Musk, Facebook) decided to invest in their own electric energy plants, none of them went for wind or solar; they chose nuclear & nat gas.
Regardless of the wisdom of Trump’s war, it has proven the utter dependency of modern civilization on fossil fuels. The “energy transition” (aka NetZero) has just been an expensive, counter-productive fools-errand. And it has had no measureable effect (IMO nor will it) on the weather, or climate.
Get lost, troll.
It also encouraged the authoritarian regimes to continue with nuclear programs and mass production of ballistic missiles. So you get a twofer on this one. The Doomsday Clock should spin faster with Obama, Biden, and the greens pushing it there in blind lockstep.
Happy… My Westhaven coal shares jumped 6% over the weekend. 🙂
People want COAL. !!
If EV’s are expanding in China.. they have to have reliable electricity to power them..
That means COAL, GAS, HYDRO………
Where does Westhaven trade? I found Westhaven Gold and White Haven Coal, but not Westhaven Coal.
I meant Whitehaven Coal.. sorry.. (early morning comment)
The IEA say
“Coal fired generation in SE Asia is projected to rise through to 2040″
“Coal fired power remains the largest dispatchable source worldwide to 2035 with capacity set to peak at around 2500GW”
“Natural gas fired capacity also sees robust growth and overtakes coal”
“Mounting evidence that solar panels installed in the early 2010s, particularly in utility scale projects, are now being replaced in many instances after just 10-15 years of operation because the technology is outdated or the performance has degraded”
IEA ‘World Energy Outlook 2025’ (Nov. 2025)
Can anyone help me to get this article into a format which I can email to every elected individual in the Federal Government of Australia.
Or maybe, I could start with every member of the Liberal Party, the National Party and One Nation.
Somehow, this summary of information needs to be presented to the Parliament from within the Parliamentary Library. It is of limited us amongst those of us who have not been deceived by the last 50 years of deception.
You presume your elected Australia officials can read. Based on their pronouncements, I do not.
Unless you include a large check in a written submission to a politician it is unlikely to be seen or read by said person. In the USA, I tried to send a message to a politician in another state, and it was filtered out because I did not live in her district.
There is a claim that a fellow named Martin Luther nailed 95 Theses to the door of a church in Wittenberg on 1517. True or not, he managed to get his ideas into the public realm. You need to find a church with a wood door!
If you’re on a windows PC, right-click your mouse anywhere on the article and choose ‘print’ from the context menu. You should get an option to save as a PDF, and you will get options for formatting, which pages to save etc. If you’re using the Chrome browser you can choose an extension from the app store that gives you more flexibility. There are a few available, I recommend ‘PrintFriendly PDF’, which enables you to exclude any ads on the page. You can then attach the PDF to an email.
Once again we see this site presenting data that the mainstream media carefully suppresses at the risk of losing large donations from green advocacy groups and left-leaning governments. Hopefully enough consumers will resist the push for overpriced energy efficient devices that have already been propped up by taxpayer-funded subsidies because they’ve done enough damage to pocketbooks while failing to bring about anywhere nearly-enough savings nor emissions reductions.
I went to a site called WikiBious for a note by Anne Tyler that was, I thought, going to tell me about Tony Seruga. A waste. In October of 2023 she claims he is a 38 year-old “knowledge investigator.” Lines in a table meant to characterize Mr. Seruga all say “Update Soon.”
I have no idea what a knowledge investigator is.
Seems she still hasn’t found any! 😉
From the source (link provided at the top of this post / Xwitter):
“Tony Seruga @TonySeruga
Big Data Pioneer | Intel Ops | Think Tank for Hire | Enterprise AI Implementor | AI M&A | Healthcare M&A | Space Warfare M&A | CIA/NSA Contractor/Whistleblower
Newport Coast, CA 92657 tonyseruga.substack.comJoined July 2009
13.5K Following
315.7K Followers”
… and much more biographical and bibliographical materials.
Has anyone ever seen Lusername and Rusty Nail in the same room? No? Me neither -just saying.
try the ladies room.
Sir, I’m not that optimistic as you are. They do not think that “The Green Revolution Collapsed”. Moreover they believe it’s going to win (they now call it “just transition”). Actually, this US$2 trillion has been for starters. They demand US$7 trillion per year starting from now. Please look what Global Environment Outlook 7 report, the UN’s “environmental manifesto”, reads: “Transformation of the economic and financial systems would include delivering the estimated US$6-7 trillion per year of investment needed to reach net zero greenhouse gas emissions globally by 2050”. Thanks anyway for your effort.
Imagine you invested heavily in the Green Scamolution, and were still heavily invested.
Then imagine you were an idiot.
But I repeat myself.
“Clean energy”
CO2 is not “dirty”
What it takes to extract the resources and produce those “clean” obscenities is anything but clean in terms of real pollution, and hazardous waste disposal.
And wind and solar are NOT CLEAN..
They are, in fact, the most environmentally destructive form of electricity there is.
Why was the subsidy on EV’s only $7 thousand. If the subsidy was $70 thousand everyone would be driving a free EV and immune to $4 gas. 1/2 the population believe this nonsense, forgetting to ask where the $70 thousand comes from.
They didn’t forget. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren campaign for a wealth tax all the time.
People who accumulate wealth are evil as all Marxists know, and must repent their evil ways. No better way to do that than to forcefully collect money from them.
But remember, all wealth was accumulated after taxing the income that produced it. So they want to tax it one more time. But only because they are exceptionally good people who have much better morals than you do.
The UK government’s policy is that all imported energy simply IS clean energy. How do you even begin to deal with that level of stupidity. Miliband must believe the energy fairy just delivers it.