Mount Tambora Volcano, Sumbawa Island, Indonesia - March 6, 2009, NASA Earth Observatory

Climate Assumption Busted: Mega-Volcano, Falling CO₂

A recent piece in Eos highlights a result that will likely make climate modelers a bit uncomfortable: during one of Earth’s more dramatic volcanic episodes, atmospheric CO₂ didn’t spike—it fell. And not by a trivial amount, either.

We’re talking about roughly a 50% drop in atmospheric CO₂ during the emplacement of the Emeishan large igneous province (LIP) about 260 million years ago. That’s not a rounding error. That’s a regime shift. The standard storyline goes something like this: large-scale...

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Bryan A
March 25, 2026 3:32 pm

Wasn’t this particular volcanic event associated with the Permian Triassic Extinction event?

Causing a Mass Extinction would certainly drastically lower CO2 levels as Animal Emissions would almost completely cease over a short period of time.