From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
By Paul Homewood
Car manufacturers must ensure that electric cars make up at least 33% of their total registrations this year or face swingeing government fines of £12000 for every car they are short.
So far, they are struggling at below 22%, which is even less than at the same stage last year. They finished 2025 at 23.4%, well below the government Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandated target of 28%. The harsh reality is that few private buyers want one, despite what the government orders.
Manufacturers who fall below target may be able to offset part of their shortfall if the CO2 emissions from non-electric cars are below the baseline set, for instance if they sell a lot of hybrids. But this is a limited option. They can also buy surplus ZEV allowances on the open market or “borrow” against future surpluses.
The Dept of Transport has now published the full overview of ZEV compliance for 2024 registrations, when EV sales reached 19.8% against a target of 22%. Overall, credits from lower emissions have balanced out the 2.2% shortfall.
But as ever, the devil is in the detail, with some manufacturers forced to buy surplus allowances or borrow, while others make a handy profit.
According to the DfT overview, major manufacturers who have had to buy ZEV allowances include:
That’s over 43000 allowances. According to the DfT, the average price was around £4000, making a total bill of around £170 million.
But it does not stop there.
The principal beneficiaries of this car industry destroying madness have been Tesla and the three major Chinese electric carmakers. Together they have been handed a windfall of around £150 million.
This is, however, just the tip of the iceberg.
Auto industry experts say that the market for ZEV allowances was soft in 2024, given the overall availability of allowances. Carmakers with surpluses have been tempted to cash in now, rather than risk holding out for a higher price in future years.
But already it appears that it will be a much tighter market for 2025. If this year carries on as it has started, the demand for allowances will be much higher than the supply; as a consequence, the price for them will rise close to the £12000 fine, with buyers desperate to outbid each other.
It is not a stretch to guess that the bill for allowances/fines could reach a billion next year. It is no wonder many carmakers, such as Stellantis and Hyundai, are warning that ZEV targets will lead to some manufacturers simply pulling out of the UK market. It is estimated by the SMMT that the car industry is already subsidising EVs to the tune of £11000 for every car sold, in an attempt to attract buyers.
In the meantime, the British Government is happy to hand over hundreds of millions to the Chinese car industry.
If you wanted to decimate the country’s motor industry, it is hard to think of a better way to do it!
I thought fundamental muslims loved EVs???
Yeah, they’re the bomb.
Central Planning by central planners –
Since when has this been known to work?
PS and N.B.: China is falling apart, BTW, receipts: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=of3o9tZiIoA
And Canada got a Champion of the Bureaucracy and central planning for its PM. The Carney. He has launched Canada into even higher deficits than his predecessor Justin.
Adam Smith’s invisible hand always rises up to smite the totalitarians ie, central planners
Well, you would never know if you haven’t read their “5 year plan” /s
The buyers of ICEs will be thrown into prison until they comply, of course.
Is that not how it is done in the ‘free world’ today?
When is the revolution?
I guess everyone feels the need to misuse the word “decimate” ever since Trump decided to truth it.
Is that better or worse than dropkicks who whine over inconsequential stuff?
Well you can argue that half the carmakers pulling out of the market doesn’t qualify as decimation, the carmakers would probably disagree. Consumers will most likely see much higher prices with less firms trying to sell them cars and argue that doesn’t quite reach decimated levels. I would imagine the autoworkers who will be unemployed with no way to earn similar wages will definitely feel decimation. Like most leftoids 1 out of 3 probably is probably good enough for the girls you go out with so there is that. BTW your handle is an oxymoron.
Decimation means removing one in ten or 10%
From Google AI.
The word certainly is overused and having taken 2 years of Latin in high school I dislike hearing people misuse the word.
Language is fluid. Definitions change based on common/social use and are context derived.
A word means what you want it to mean it the play today. No need to supply the context and no need to efficiently communicate.
Decimate now has a “modern” definition akin to nuclear destruction.
I disagree, but the reality is most people do not care about correct language.
Bad is now good and good is now bad.
It’s a long, long list.
“Language is fluid.”
Hence, Verbal Darrhoea !!
If Government Subsidies were ended EV sales would decline precipitously further decimating the EV sector.
If the Government Mandates were rescinded tomorrow EV sales would plummet to Nil as no-one really wants one.
No-one is an absolute. Very few would be better phraseology.
But either way could be proven.
It only takes one found to want an EV to falsify your statement.
The point of your post is without mandates, the EV sales will asymptotically approach zero.
Because of poor EV sales Volkswagen is shedding 50,000 workers by 2030. Other manufacturers, especially in Europe, are facing similar problems and the job losses are going to be severe if the politicians don’t change their mandates.
VW is looking to start building missiles and military vehicles for Israel per recent reports.
It’s possible these folks will keep their jobs.
I can’t remember a time when “decimate”, “unprecedented”, “factoid”, or the phrase “beg the question” were ever used in the way perhaps you and I would consider correct. We can lament that, but when I see those words I think I do infer the intended meaning correctly so it’s harmless. I can even tolerate people saying “literally” when they mean the opposite. Those words have all acquired additional meanings.
I draw the line when words are used to deceive, like “safe space”; “your words are literal(!) violence”, and “trans-women are women”.
You might like this (or not). In addition to one’s pronouns, the following “land acknowledgement” is now appearing on email messages at CU Boulder.
“The University of Colorado Boulder, Colorado’s flagship university, honors and recognizes the many contributions of Indigenous peoples in our state. CU Boulder acknowledges that it is located on the traditional territories and ancestral homelands of the Cheyenne, Arapaho, Ute and many other Native American nations. Their forced removal from these territories has caused devastating and lasting impacts. While the University of Colorado Boulder can never undo or rectify the devastation wrought on Indigenous peoples, we commit to improving and enhancing engagement with Indigenous peoples and issues locally and globally.”
What sort of “engagement” do they mean? What about the Clovis people?
The Clovis People were here first after all.
It could mean scalping them via tuition, room and board. Just guessing.
In other words: “soz”.
I’ve often thought that the remaining Native Americans should open casinos everywhere and invest the profits in buying properties all over the US. Then, slowly, they will buy back the nation piece by piece until it’s all theirs again. Concentrate on regions at a time and convert vast tracts back to indigenous control. (every piece they buy Can be considered indigenous land once ownership is transferred).
Trans Women are “Trans Women” and, as such, deserve their OWN sports class so they only compete against other “Trans Women” and separate facilities so they only shower, restroom, or change clothes with other Trans Women.
nope they are men – period
Actually they’re Eunuch individuals.
Warning … Warning ..
Danger Will Robinson, Danger!!
Severe TDS alert
The Donald** didn’t start this; first usage was likely during the U.S. Civil War: {“The troops, although fighting bravely, were terribly decimated.” [See the site: worldwidewords ]
“decimate” is one of the many words that have been hijacked to do work they were not originally intended for. Humpty Dumpty, a character from Lewis Carroll’s “Through the Looking-Glass,” famously discusses the nature of words and their meanings.
Others: “love” a term from tennis; “Normal” fondly coined by meteorologists; “gay” once used to describe happy little children.
**When one’s brain is occupied by DJT more than 10% of the time, it can be said to be decimated.
Decimated or Decimalated
Decimalated as Only a small portion remains active for critical processing.
People have been misusing the word decimate for generations. It is nothing new.
How can a vehicle which harvests and stores power from a distant source which creates emissions in the production of that power and then uses the power later be called a zero emissions vehicle? The user of the power should be credited with the emissions once they use the power.
bingo!
And that’s not even counting the additional emissions from the additional power required to manufacture the batteries for “Zero” emission vehicles which is much larger than that to make an ICE vehicle, and is estimated to take 10 years of vehicle use to compensate for those added emissions from battery manufacture, which is likely longer than. The lifespan of the average “zero” emissions vehicle battery….
Oldseadog:
It’s more properly called a DEV: a displaced emission vehicle.
What kept the fledgling company called Tesla afloat during its first few years was selling indulgences [aka carbon credits] to other car maunfacturers. Nowdays, having to buy these credits is going to kill multiple car companies in he UK. China is laughing all the way to the bank.
And to be sure: DEVs, [and PHEV, HEV, etc] will not have any effect on climate, or weather.
I used to call them ZEHV. (Zero Emissions Here Vehicle)
“Car manufacturers must ensure that electric cars make up at least 33% of their total registrations this year or face swingeing government fines of £12000 for every car they are short.”
Why is the penalty based on a percent of sales rather than a numerical limit on petroleum-powered vehicles sold? Expected damage to the environment doesn’t care about the percent of “polluting” cars … it cares about the amount of “pollution” which depends on the pollution per vehicle mile and the miles driven.
Or our friendly government could simply put a limit on the amount of gasoline and diesel fuel sold. That would be effective and also fun to watch — “I’m sorry Mrs. Jones, we have reached our limit for selling gasoline this month. Come back next week — I suggest getting here early because there are always long lines early in the month.”
And History repeats itself.
1970s gas rationing.
If they do that I will have to start a still. Corn will be cheap and with major jet size increase my 53 will easily run on pure ethanol.🤔
In other news….PBS Terra sez Antarctica is melting….yes, Al Gore ,meted the Arctic tears ago… and now they are going southward. Also, there is a story about how beavers are helping in the battle against that Evil Carbon…….those cute lil creatures just want to help.
From the good folks at the Daily Sceptic:
Lid Lifted on the Filthy Manufacturing Secrets Behind the ‘Clean’ Green Power Revolution
In October 2024 the UK’s National Engineering Policy Centre published a ‘Critical Minerals Report’
which in part looked at the amount of mining required to support the UK’s projected sales of EVs by 2040
They said that a 30% reduction of battery size in the largest EVs sold could save 46,000 tonnes of lithium, which to mine would require excavating 75,000,000 tonnes of earth.
To put this in a more easily understood quantity for people in the UK they said this was enough earth to fill Wembley Stadium 19 times.
However if the 30% reduction did not happen the total lithium requirements for the UK market for EVs up to 2040 would be 268,000 tonnes requiring 488,000,000 tonnes of rock to be mined.
“To put this in a more easily understood quantity for people in the UK they said this was enough earth to fill Wembley Stadium 19 times.”
That’s an incorrect SI unit of volume.
For accuracy, you should use … double-decker buses, whales, Olympic swimming pools or Wales. (:-))
When you publish these articles, you really ought say which country you are talking about up top. I think this one was about the UK.
Your comment suggests you have not been a reader of Paul Homewood’s site. You have missed 15 years of interesting posts. Catch up, please.
I am reading wattsupwiththat.com not Paul Homewood, whoever he, she, or it may be. My comment is directed to the editors of WUWT.
“If you wanted to decimate the country’s motor industry, it is hard to think of a better way to do it!”
It’s not a secret: The “Collapse” Quote: Strong famously posed a provocative question during the lead-up to the Rio Summit: “Isn’t the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn’t it our responsibility to bring that about?” This is now seen as the foundational “mission statement” for policies that prioritize environmental targets over industrial output.
idb:
These people are ultimately anti-human.
But I would change your “over industrial output” to “over human flourishing.”
The climate alarmists I speak with really squirm when confronted with the immoral
effects of their policies that affect 100s of millions of people now.
Obama’s “Electricity rates will skyrocket…” clip:
https://youtu.be/-NKzVvKIoLI
Australia is already seeing the pull out under Labor’s NVES. Nissan will cease to sell 3 of its 8 lines simply because they’re not viable under the current cost shifting model – non-compliant ICEVs must subsidise compliant imported (CCP) EVs. As time progresses the qualifying threshold for ICEVs will lower – possibly to physically unattainable levels, with Beijing laughing all the way to the bank.
Sadly current polling suggests voters will not change government despite the harm it’s causing the country, or the complaints of oh so many voters.
Well what can I say? A government mandated target. Purely artificial crisis, what a bunch of dummies.
Here’s some interesting information for all you ‘benefits-of-BEV-deniers’. (wink)
“CATL and CHANGAN Launch World’s First Mass-Production Sodium-Ion Passenger Vehicle”
https://www.catl.com/en/news/6720.html#:~:text=Yakeshi%2C%20Inner%20Mongolia%20%7C%205%20February,with%20its%20sodium%2Dion%20roadmap
Ah, sodium ion. Once we have more than a few of those cell/batteries deployed, then we will find out the real problems with them.
Which I’m sure will be fixed. Can you give any examples of new technology that never had any future problems that had to be addressed?
The spade, the pick, the lever