
It’s finally happening. After years of government subsidies, media cheerleading, and financial markets propping up a house of cards, a hedge fund manager has come forward to say what many of us have known all along: the so-called clean energy sector is “dead for now.” Nishant Gupta, founder and chief investment officer at London-based Kanou Capital LLP, didn’t mince words when describing the dire state of solar, wind, hydrogen, and fuel cell investments.
“The whole sector… is dead for now,” Gupta stated plainly. This marks a turning point—when even those inside the financial world, who have long played along with the green energy narrative, admit that the numbers simply don’t add up.
It’s no secret that the clean energy sector has been in trouble. Over the past year, the S&P Global Clean Energy Index has plummeted by 20%, while the broader S&P 500 has gained 16%. That’s a devastating underperformance, especially in an industry that was supposed to be on the cusp of taking over the world.
Gupta cites several reasons for the industry’s collapse, including high interest rates, supply chain struggles, and what he calls “political headwinds” in the U.S. The latter is a reference to the Biden administration’s green agenda losing steam, and with the Trump administration poised to undo climate-focused regulations, green investors are panicking.
In simple terms, the entire “green energy revolution” has been built on a foundation of government intervention rather than market fundamentals. Now, as subsidies and mandates run into reality, the industry is showing just how weak it really is.
Gupta is not alone in his assessment. The market is making its judgment clear. Take Sunnova Energy, a solar company that just saw its stock price crash by a staggering 71%. The supposed transition to green energy has hit a wall, with traditional green darlings like Orsted A/S also suffering major setbacks.
Even hydrogen, which was supposed to be the next big thing, is floundering due to persistently high costs. Turns out, running an economy on a fuel that takes more energy to produce than it provides isn’t the magic solution politicians claimed it would be.
If green energy is failing, what’s next? According to Gupta, energy investments will continue, but not in the way climate activists might hope. His hedge fund is looking at supply-chain-related opportunities, particularly companies that focus on efficiency improvements rather than outright green energy production.
Gupta’s picks include Ingersoll Rand, a company specializing in energy-efficient air and gas compressors, and Legrand SA, which benefits from rising electricity demand driven by electric vehicle chargers and heat pumps. In other words, while the climate policy crowd insists on windmills and solar panels, the real money is in companies that deal with the inefficiencies their policies create.
For years, climate activists, politicians, and corporate ESG warriors have been telling the world that fossil fuels were on their way out, and that renewables would take over. They created a fantasy land where economics, engineering, and basic supply-and-demand principles didn’t apply.
Now, reality is catching up. As investors pull their money from failing clean energy ventures, the only question left is how much taxpayer money will be wasted before the political class admits defeat.
Gupta’s declaration isn’t just a market insight—it’s a confirmation that the laws of physics and economics still apply, no matter how much wishful thinking governments engage in. The “clean energy revolution” may not be completely dead, but it’s certainly on life support. And as the world’s energy needs continue to grow, reliable and affordable energy sources—not politically driven experiments—will win the day.
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“Renewables” was always a bet on politics.
Gupta should have been reading WUWT. He could have figured Net Zero was dead long ago, instead of just noticing now, when everyone else is noticing.
When will UK and German politicians and Leftwing States of the U.S. start noticing? They should be readiing WUWT, too. Then they would have a clue.
There was money to be made, however corrupt and devious it was. Now the rats are leaving the ship, looking for new hoards to raid. I think politics has so distorted the markets that fundamentals are not what they used to be.
Political rats, however, are a different animal and will cling to their sinking narratives since admitting they were wrong is not an option.
They have Net Zero on the Poles and on the Moon?
What the government giveth, the government can taketh away.
All that the government can ‘give’ is something they have ‘taken’ from somebody else.
If the proponents of “green energy” genuinely believe that the world is in peril, and hate mankind and hate themselves, don’t want to have kids, or otherwise they’ll abort them…let them make a true sacrifice. We should round them up and use them as biological batteries, Matrix-style. Or they can take the Soylent Green option.
“For out of it you were taken because you are dust, and to dust you shall return.”
-Genesis 3:19
sounds like a good time to buy the next batch of solar panels
Would that be for after the last hail storm or for after the next hail storm in 6 months?
Have yet to hear about Hail destroying a Gas or Nuclear Generation plant
The price of the panels themselves is one of the smallest costs to building and running a solar farm.
Even if the panels were free, they would still be money losers.
Kind of like printers. You can get one pretty cheap, but the ink…
Not worth the wire it takes to connect them without government funding. Sustainable. That is what it means.
I thought this was appropriate:
https://heatmap.news/plus/the-fight/spotlight/renewable-energy-ban-oklahoma
The Growing Push to Ban Renewable Energy in Oklahoma
Will this renewable energy powerhouse become the first state to ban renewable energy?
Jael Holzman, January 08, 2025
There’s a nascent, concerted effort to make Oklahoma the first state to ban new renewable energy projects. And it’s picking up steam.
Across the U.S., activism against wind and solar energy has only grown in intensity, power, and scope in tandem with the recent renewables boom. This is in direct contrast to hopes many in the climate movement had that these technologies would become more popular as they entered communities historically hostile to the idea of switching away from fossil fuels. If anything, grassroots angst toward the energy transition has only surged in many pockets of the country since passage of the nation’s first climate law – Inflation Reduction Act – in 2022.
end excerpt
This movement in Oklahoma is real. There is growing opposition to windmills and solar and over taking land for new power lines.
The current Oklahoma Attorney General. Gentner Drummond, and probably the next Oklahoma governor, is not a fan of windmills, solar, and eminent domain (the taking of private land for public purposes).
Go right ahead, but please use your own money.
🤠 🍷
Nishant Gupta has not been reading WUWT for the past 15 years.
I don’t suppose the return on Kanou Capital LLP is available.
We had the same thought! 🙂
These finance guys should read WUWT if they want to know what’s really going on in the world.
They’ll never admit defeat. They’ll simply blame it on a miss information/disinformation war waged by a well funded minority of deniers
At the end of the day 2 + 2 always equals 4
Reality is a. Itch at times. The Global
Warmists have had a good run for their money. Sorry US AID and George Soros’s money.
“it’s a confirmation that the laws of physics and economics still apply”
So what took so damn long ???
🎶
Tragedy!
When the money’s gone, and you can’t go on, it’s subsidies!
🎶
(Apologies to the Bee Gees)
It’s an elaborate Rube Goldberg machine. Make the “renewable” systems complicated enough, and their thermodynamic impossibility is obscured.
More good news. The takeaway here is that we wouldn’t be in this mess if not for government. Without subsidies, tax preferences, environmental forgiveness and mandates we wouldn’t be in the mess we are in now. Government can live by the lie far longer than the market. Eventually you have to answer to customers, shareholders, owners and others. It can’t be any other way. Government stinks and it needs to get out of the way.
“More good news.”
Good comment, Bob! 🙂
Too many people crave authority. Most of them really want to be told what to do, and there is always a line of applicants more than willing to accommodate them. Just ask an expert!
The love of strong leaders of the type propelled by political parties always leads to disaster. Power corrupts and by the time it is apparent it is too late or at least very costly. Thankfully, change is the other constant. Truth being the first, which never changes.
This is like Joe Biden’s cognitive loss; no one was willing to admit it until it became so obvious they couldn’t. And it has been pushed by the same people who lied about Biden’s decline.
“And it has been pushed by the same people who lied about Biden’s decline”
Democrats!
Sunnova broke $53.00/share back in 2021. It’s at $0.55/share, today. investors are NOT happy.
If you look at the energy landscape, natural gas might be the best investment for the next several years. The expected electrical needs of AI, cryptocurrency mining, and expected growth is driving the construction of many new NG power plants. I’m not an expert or even in the field, only a personal investor in the stock market. Just my opinion, NG prices will slump a little in the summer as demand drops, but when it starts rising in the late fall to meet winter demand, new power plants will start coming online and the price of NG will steadily rise for several years. I’ll be watching the weather forecasts for the US starting in September and buy appropriate stock when the temps start dropping.
I’m too old to be an investor now but if I were I would invest in companies producing CCGTs.
This is a strange/sad misuse of the English language by Gupta.
To describe some forms of energy as, clean, conveys the unavoidable notion that the other energy options are dirty?
When the whole chain of development and installation is factored in, all energy systems are disruptive. Thanks to mining or clearing of natural habitat, or damage to wildlife during operation, even damage to life in general if things go wrong.
His hedging bet is also very odd, talking about. for now?
Ineffective and unaffordable energy options normally called renewables, is dead.
That is the reality.
Renewables/weather dependent energy can’t compete with efficient, effective, dispatchable energy options. The governments that have been prepared to throw tax payers money down the maw of Green energy development, have run out of other peoples money having destroyed the manufacturing base national wealth relied on.
The UK will be worth watching. As one green energy initiative after the other is closed down, because the hype that created them can not deliver the promises they were funded on.
The hydrogen fuel of the future, much hyped like all of its renewable energy club members, is being abandoned by the serious players who have concluded, it will not work.
It is not that clean energy that is being side lined for now, it is inefficient, unaffordable, unreliable energy options that is being abandoned. Hopefully for ever.
Industry phrases don’t always actually describe a product. Just what does “organic” really mean? “Clean” is an image for marketing purposes, nothing more.
Now that we know that CO2 is not the climate control knob, and battery storage is forever, yes, forever too expensive how much longer are we going to continue the W&S climate alarmist industrial complex fraud? What do you think The Donald and Elon think about this fraud?
Here’s the USA alone for the last 10 years:
Here’s a rough estimate of the total federal subsidies for wind and solar energy in the U.S. from 2015 to 2025 according to Copilot aI
2016
: $7.4 billion
2017
: $8.2 billion
2018
: $9.0 billion
2019
: $10.0 billion
2020
: $11.2 billion
2021
: $13.0 billion
2022
: $15.6 billion
Assuming a similar growth rate and considering the massive subsidies authorized in the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, we can estimate the subsidies for the years 2023 to 2025:
2023
: $18.0 billion
2024
: $21.0 billion
2025
: $24.0 billion
Adding these figures together, the total federal subsidies for wind and solar energy in the U.S. from 2015 to 2025 would be approximately $137.4 billion.
That is almost what the US “gave” to Ukraine for it’s proxy war.
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2025/03/06/president-trump-has-exposed-the-u-s-side-of-the-proxy-war-by-disabling-ukraine-access-to-u-s-missile-and-drone-targeting-systems/
Will the collapse of Ukraine lead to a wider Euro/Russian war?
Will Putin victory embolden Xi to enlarge his empire?
Has Trump, Putin and XI already agreed and planed the geo-political future of the world?
Time will tell.
Will Ukraine siphon more money out of Europe and US 😉
Pay a little now to save a lot latter.
Trump needs to bring that figure down to zero.
No more taxpayer subsidies for windmills and solar! Make them compete on their own, just like everyone else. In this way, windmills and solar will be gone in a short time because they are not economically viable on their own so will go broke and shut down. Just what we want.
That could be a new slogan for Trump. He could push “Net Zero” as zero dollars for boondoggles. That would pop any heads not yet exploded!
Inevitable. Net zero or gross stupid tech was always going to lead to artificial markets and lots of bubbles
I think what has happened is that the free/easy money from governments is drying up and the returns are diminishing
The market is far too crowded. I read a while back that to get a new licenses as a green energy provider in the US is a lengthy process, and not all are granted in the end but require huge investments up front – many are abandoning their plans
In light of this, the money from speculation has also dried up, or gone into reverse.
It is based only on hype, and if the hype goes, the valuations start to reflect reality, that this tech is expensive junk
The collapse of the EV market last year may also have played a major part in the shift. It obviously doesn’t bode well for the overall net zero fantasy
“The collapse of the EV market last year”
Was also predicted here at WUWT.
Maybe Anthony should branch out into being a financial advisor. 🙂
I’ve been predicting it from the beginning 😂
I was working with Ballard Power as a youngish nipper in the early 2000s when FC vehicles were the future, though not on the automotive part, on the FCs
They were suddenly ditched, I guess in part because Li ion was a mature tech at small scales and therefore considered a safer bet =they just needed to scale up, what could go wrong…
Also because FCs were just not advancing enough and companies were over promising and hydrogen supply was a killer
It was obvious at that time that EVs were a silly idea, as silly as FC vehicles
The list of foreseeable (insurmountable) problems was long, and hasn’t changed to this day
My only surprise, and continuing frustration because I was telling everyone I knew they were never going to work, was that it took so long
It’s dead, Jim.
It is!
Damn it! I’m a doctor, not an engineer!
Another sector worth watching is the defence sector. UA defence companies in free fall as European ones are soaring. What use is an F35 when you cant get spares and it wont work in Russia?
The dollar is down too.
The renewable sector deserves to die. But the USA as a world power? Allied with a third world dictator from a shitty banana republic? Didn’t see that one coming.
Your TDs on full display. If Europe wants to continue the proxy war, then should pay for it and use their own troops.
“before the political class admits defeat”
sorta implies that they will (ever).
I recall Mark Mills (Manhattan Institute) years ago tell a radio interviewer, when discussing the $ trillions of oil/gas underground in North America that, when he talked to politicians at cocktail parties in DC he told them: “You can pass all the laws you want to restrict fossil energy extraction, but the Laws of Physics will ultimately win.”