Guest essay by Larry Hamlin
A recent ClimateRealism Fact-Check June 2024 article addressed the climate science data unsupported claims by climate alarmist media that hyped phony temperature “records” (shown below) have occurred in June across the U.S. which the article establishes as being completely false.
NOAA has updated its Contiguous U.S. climate temperature anomaly and absolute temperature measurement data results through June 2024 with these results showing that the temperatures experienced this June were not “record” high outcomes as falsely portrayed by the climate alarmist media’s phony political campaign hype.
NOAA‘s June 2024 Contiguous U.S. USCRN maximum temperature anomaly data (shown below) clearly indicates that not only is there no established trend of increasing maximum temperature anomalies during the period starting in 2005 but also the June 2024 anomaly value (2.84 degrees F highlighted in red) is below the prior highest June value of 3.91 degrees F in 2021 as well as far below the highest anomaly value ever recorded during this period of 7.72 degrees F that occurred in March 2012.
NOAA’s Contiguous U.S. maximum absolute temperature measured data for the month of June for the period 1895 through June 2024 (shown below) establishes that June 2024 (84.61degrees F highlighted in red) value is only the 6th highest measured June value with the highest June value occurring in June 1933 of 85.91 degrees F (as shown in the table).
Furthermore, NOAA’s Contiguous U.S maximum absolute temperatures measured for all months between 1895 and June 2024 (shown below) establishes that the June 2024 maximum measured absolute temperature is only the 1,340th highest measured temperature (84.61 degrees F shown in red) out of a total of 1540 measured maximum temperatures with the highest being July 1936 at 90.81 degrees F (as shown in the table).
Looking at NOAA’s California month of June maximum temperature data (shown below) from 1895 to June 2024 we see that the June 2024 high is only the 5th highest measured maximum temperature (88.8 degrees F shown in red) compared to the highest maximum temperature of 89.8 degrees F in June of 2021 (shown in the table).
Additionally, NOAA’s maximum measured temperature data for all 58 counties in California establishes that the June 2024 outcomes did not represent the maximum June temperatures for any of these 58 counties.
Furthermore, NOAA’s measured data for June 2024 for all 48 Contiguous U.S. states establishes that the June 2024 maximum measured temperatures were not the highest measured June temperatures for any of these 48 states with that also being true for the state of Alaska as well.
Also, NOAA’s June 2024 temperature data for all 9 of its U.S. climate regions (shown below) establishes that none of these regions experienced a “record” high June month in year 2024.
Looking at NOAA’s measured California maximum temperatures for all months from 1895 through 2024 (shown below) we find that the June 2024 value (88.8 degrees F shown in red) is only the 1382nd highest out of a total of 1554 total maximum temperatures with the highest ever measured in July 1931 at 95.6 degrees F as shown in the table.
Additionally, NOAA’s June 2024 updated data establishes that record high June temperatures did not occur in the cities of Los Angeles, San Diego, San Francisco or Sacramento and that record all time high temperatures did not occur for any of NOAA’s 9 tracked California cities during June 2024.
The climate alarmist media falsely hyped many dozens of phony “record” high June 2024 temperature stories across the country while NOAA’s official U.S. national, regional and state measured temperature data clearly established that these “record” claims are completely phony and represent dishonest and climate science incompetent media driven climate alarmist political propaganda.
Discover more from Watts Up With That?
Subscribe to get the latest posts sent to your email.
Uh, did they look and any minimum temperature anomalies? A [Ctr-f] search on “minimum” says they didn’t
[Trenberth in Climategate1, 2009] The fact is that we can’t account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can’t.
No “Record High” U.S. Maximum Temperature Anomaly or Absolute Temperatures Occurred
The travesty goes on
My local NWS forecast has added a banner telling me the worst weather in the country. They love two words — excessive and dangerous. Here in WV in July 90 is excessive. Ridiculous scary semantics. Save the children.
Ashley, they love another word too –
“UNPRECEDENTED”
Almost every day! UNPRECEDENTED! The sky is falling!
Well, today IS unprecedented …
… it’s never happened before, & will never happen again.
And all previous today’s are now yesterdays.
Since the universe is expanding, every moment is not just unprecedented, it is unique. Think about that for a minute.
That’s why telling the future is so hard.
Tomorrow in Boulder the forecast had called for 102F a few days ago, then 100F yesterday and now it’s supposed to be 98. We’ll see what actually happens.
I’ve noticed a tendency for the weather service to bias their forecasts high. Still, the hottest summer in Boulder was 1954.
Where in WV?
Far east in a high hidden valley surrounded by National Forest near Wardensville. I look up at Great North Mt the crest of which is the VA line and western side of the Shenandoah Valley. Just 100 miles west of Fantasyland DC but so rugged there is no tower cell service.
Stonewall Jackson country. My hero when it comes to kicking Federal butt.
I’m from southeastern VA but spent a lot of time in the Appalachians in VA and WVA (guess it’s actually the Alleghenies in WV) in geology field trips in college.
I’ve been up Rt. 259 from I-81 a number of times, but never made it to Wardensville because I turn west onto Corridor H at Baker. Lovely country.
Lies, lies, lies and more lies. It’s all they have and all they do.
This is where all the trendologists run for their usual “this is not global” canard.
Cue the Jeopardy Theme Song.
Story tip – More Bad News on the Electric Vehicle Front – American Thinker
A relative is currently working at a Ford factory in Tennessee that makes both vehicle batteries and EV automobiles. He is a union employee that deals with forklifts and other machinery used for moving and arranging heavy things. His schedule is seven days per week, 8 hours on Sunday but 10 hours per day for the other six days. I don’t know what it means but there is more than one current in that sea.
ClimateRealism is misrepresenting the WaPo article. The article is saying these records were all set on the same day, not that no comparable records have ever been observed for those locations on different days and different years.
I don’t know who these gish-gallop temperature articles on WUWT are for, but they are so packed full of disinformation it would take an entire team to comb through them and point it all out (I guess that’s the point).
I don’t know who these gish-gallop temperature articles on WUWT are for, but they are so packed full of disinformation
So, you’re here to set us straight, remedy our ignorance?
This is the real deal
I’m commenting on the fact that these recurring monthly articles on WUWT about the NOAA US temperature index seem to follow a format intended to overwhelm readers with misinformation and misleading statements.
Yours mainly?
What “misinformation” are you referring to?
As for me personally, I love seeing heat records established in the 1930’s. Heat records that refute claims that today is the hottest day ever.
The truth is good for people to hear.
Misleading statements?
Are you talking bout the tropical tropospherical hotspots?
Are you talking about the errors of model projections?
Are you talking about the complete loss of Arctic summer sea ice?
Are you talking about the different rate of warming in the Southern Hemisphere?
No. You are talking about one day in a 4 billion year old climate system.
Thanks for clearing that misunderstanding up.
Only mis-information is in your feeble little posts.
Everything you type is juvenile attempts to discount reality.
Who pays you to write this trite ?? Because they are wasting their money !
As I wrote into the “Join the Discussion” window (thus it will post at the current end of the comments), these articles are not about measured high temperatures, they are all about some calculated value that, as far as I can see, NOAA doesn’t explain. Regardless, the “maximum” values shown are FAR less than actual highs.
/yawn/
You are typing mindless irrelevant gibberish again. !
A single warm day is not “climate”, and ignoring all the much warmer days that have happened at similar times of the month is just manic alarmist cherry-picking.
What is amazing given all the “global warming {lol}” is that even during a very strong El Nino event, with masses of urban warming…
…. It still can’t reach temperatures set around the same time of the month many decades or even more than a century ago.
Yes the media systematically “hypes” records, but for once I disagree with the approach taken here at WUWT; even if it is a guest post.
The NCEI (ex-NCDC) “Daily Weather Records” webpage includes both US and Global “calendar-day” records.
URL : https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records
A screenshot of today’s (11th July 2024) table for the USA is attached below.
Over the last 365 days almost 37 thousand “calendar-day HIGH-MAX” records were set … as happens every year.
So what ?
Over the last 30 days, roughly 20/6 to 10/7, 3140 individual weather stations around the United States established station-specific new “Hottest EVAH !” records for a specific day… as happens every month.
So what ?
.
Hysterical click-bait-seeking media gonna hysterically click-bait … Big Whoop …
So…. you’re a thought criminal…
Didn’t our esteemed host show that some 90%+ of surface sites are affected by urban warming?
In the UK Its a similar story, two or three hot days and Its the hottest ever recorded.
The Uk probably suffers more from Urban heat than most countrys with a dense population
But the summer of 1976 still holds the record for high temperatures.
55 days over 25 C and 21 days over 30 C 1826 was also hot with 59 days over 25 C
and 9 days over 30 C
These so-called records are from UHI. The dataset is polluted by UHI and is not fit for purpose. UHI is not climate change and has nothing to do with greenhouse gas emissions.
Well said, sir !! 🙂
But there is another point. Whatever the basic cause, and regardless of how many times it happened before, there are many high temperatures that are not represented in NOAAs “maximum” values. Those maximum numbers are some kind of high divided by low calculation, or some other calculation, NOT what people experience on the ground for the day’s high temperature.
Yet the ‘pristine’ USCRN has been warming slightly faster than the adjusted ClimeDiv data over their joint period of measurement since 2005. Currently +0.39C per decade in the pristine reference network and +0.32C per decade in the adjusted one.
It would appear that the adjustments are cooling rather than warming the actual trend.
The all time record high in my town was 108 F. That was in 1908.
I’m positive people were complaining then about how hot it was. But all those people are dead now, so it doesn’t matter to politicians who count votes.
What I find interesting is this is proclaimed a Global Crisis but the US data shows no discernable average maximum temperature ramp out of the ordinary. In fact it shows multiple rise and falls.
The apparent higher readings since ~ 1995 could be impacted by numerous factors, urbanization, additional roads, land use, and elimination of sulfur from diesel fuel. That aside, the US reduction in CO2 does not seem to have affected the minor rise in temperatures.
Interesting thing about record highs (and lows). If you plot them, say for each day in the year at a location you get a sawtooth pattern. One day might be several degrees higher or lower than the next. But dates do not determine temperature so it is extremely likely that the cooler highs will be surpassed sooner or later. Thus breaking records is to be expected. This is also true at other scales and for other climate variables.
I just did a quick scan of the temperature records for my little spot on the globe. (Central Ohio.)
Since January 1 to today, July 11, in 2024:
Zero record highs.
Zero record lows.
Zero record “max highs”.
Five record “max lows”.
We know these maximum temperature presentations are calculated values, not actual temperatures but there seems to be no information about how the numbers are calculated. NOAA’s maximum is not reality’s high.
I’ve lived in and near various particular locations that can be selected. There have been multiple days at each place where the highest temperatures, forecast in weather reports and measured on those days, were well above 100 F. Yesterday in Las Vegas it was 117 F. Most likely there were both lower and higher temperatures at different places in and around Las Vegas but the highest temperature was at least that high. For at least most of these particular locations, NOAA shows the maximum as under 100 F at any and every time chosen in their controls when weather reports show the day’s temperature to be very much higher. Whatever is being claimed in this article is not about temperature measurements nor about what people experience.
Very nice. Did NOAA make any comments or did they just give us the numbers? At some point the media needs to be held accountable. Lying is not a protected right. I am fed up with them.
Good to see this claim from the Washington Post being debunked here
Obviously if this was the 6th warmest June on record for the entire USA, it’s not possible there could have been record cold days as well.
6th’s warmest June, at the end of a prolonged El Nino.
YAWNNNN !!!
Glad you agree. The Washington Post is hyping these coldest temperatures evah, but the average June record proves they are wrong.
Now, prove what “average June record” actually means. There are at least 2024 of them. Since its all done with math, it should be easy for you to show.
In this case it’s the average of maximum temperatures throughout June across – you know the figures used in this article. It was the 6th warmest since 1895.
So 1933 has never been matched, even with all that urban heat and “global warming [lol]”
Funny ! 🙂
You are loopy..
WP is hyping HIGH temperatures, that weren’t. !
They mentioned cold records , that were. !
“They mentioned cold records , that were. !”
The coldest temperature in Billings is -49°F which I suspect is colder than 39°F even using Fahrenheit. Even if they meant record low for June, the actual record is 26°F.
https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/billings
The same with Sheridan, Wyo, the coldest June low was 27°F set in 1951. With an all time low set in 1936 of -38°F.
https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/sheridan-wy
Poor bellboy, still hasn’t figured out the difference between “hyping” and “mentioning”.
You are saying they were wrong on both counts.
That’d be the WP for you. !
Very funny !!
It was the 6th warmest June in terms of Maximum temps, but the 2nd warmest in terms of Average temps, behind 2021. According to the satellite product, UAH_USA48, June 2024 was the warmest June on record in the US, but that record only begins in 1979.
Yes. In fact as I was talking about record lows it would be more accurate to use the minimum records, in which case June 2024 is the 3rd warmest, behind 2021 and 2015.
Larry “how can I deceive today” Hamlin is a professional data miner. Or he is just ignorant
Greenhouse warming mainly affects TMIN
So Hamlin data mines to show only TMAX
And only for one month
In only one nation.
While the rest of the world talks about average temperature (TMIN + TMAX / 2)
The average temperature of the contiguous U.S. in June was 71.8°F, 3.4°F above average, ranking second warmest in the 130-year record. Approximately 24 million people across portions of the West, South and Northeast experienced their warmest June for overnight temperatures.
Arizona and New Mexico recorded their hottest Junes ever, and 18 other states set a top-10 hottest record for the month.
Respectfully, (Tmin + Tmax)/2 is *NOT* an average temperature. It is a mid-range temperature. Since the daytime temp is basically a sine wave and the nighttime temp is an exponential decay the “average” temp is the integral of the entire temp curve divided by 24 hours. It will *not* come out to be the mid-range temp.
The mid-range temp is not even a good metric for determining climate. Two entirely different climates can have the same mid-range temp value. Las Vegas and Miami are two good examples.
Provide what you consider to be better data and show us how it compares to the TMAX + TMIN / 2 average
With no data, you have no idea if your more complex methodology would reflect a faster, slower or nearly the same warming rate.
The biggest problem with NOAA data is no one can verify if their national average is accurate — it is whatever they feel like telling us.
NOAA tells us USCRN has faster warming than bClimDiv but they are very close, as if siting makes no difference. That claim makes no sense. So I can not trust NOAA. They also cooled the 1930s.
I don’t trust NOAA but I trust my personal experience with a lot of winter warming in SE Michigan since the 1970s.
The author seems to trust NOAA TMAX data, which he presents in great detail, but not NOAA TMIN data, which he ignores. That is data mining
“USCRN has faster warming than bClimDiv but they are very close”
OMG, you are so thick !!!
You still haven’t woken up to the fact that ClimDiv started a bit higher and they have gradually honed their matching parameters so they are now closer together.
Look how close the trends are over the period 2017-2023 (see below)
Winter warming is a facet of URBAN infilling and expansion.
As you have shown many times, there is no evidence CO2 has anything to do with it..
Here is the latest plot of the above data (UAH_USA48, ClimDiv and USCRN only it’s the full series from Jan 2005 to June 2024; not a cherry-picked subset, such as we see above.
ClimDiv and UAH_USA48 are still neck and neck (+032 and +0.31 C per decade warming), but the ‘pristine’ USCRN is still warming faster than both (+0.39C per decade).
Or to April 2023, to be precise. You couldn’t lie strait in bed, could you?
Moron, you want to include the El Nino don’t you.
Because you KNOW it is the only warming.
And the post was about how close the trends were, which even a mental basket-case like you should be able to see.
Your whole insipid life is one big LIE to yourself…
… hating fossil fuels yet depending on them totally for your empty-minded existence.
Have you ever posted a chart that isn’t either mislabelled, cherry-picked or flat out fabricated?
It does if the ClimDiv adjustment algorithms are working. USCRN was set up as a reference to determine their accuracy and they appear to be working quite well. Probably they are over-compensating for certain factors like UHI; hence why the USCRN series is warming fasted than ClimDiv.
Wrong again.. Climdiv started above USCRN, and they have gradually honed in their adjustments.
Look at the ClimDiv-USCRN curve, and if you can muster more than two brain cells into working order, you can see exactly what is happening.
That has nothing to do with the rates of warming which are individual to each set.
USCRN is warming at a faster rate that ClimDiv. That’s it.
I’ve gathered that bnice thinks each new data point receives a unique adjustment that is independent of the rest of the series, so he thinks the agencies are gradually drawing nClimDiv closer to USCRN each month, which is what he thinks he’s illustrating with the above graph.
I can give you better data from my own personal weather station!
go here to see a graph of such: https://ibb.co/HpMNB0h
Find the average of this daily temp curve and you will *not* get the mid-range value. Do you know what the average value of one half-cycle of a sine wave is?
I don’t trust *any* temperature database. I found temp data in Berkeley Earth from the late 1700’s that show a measurement uncertainty in the hundredths digit. When I queried them about that they said that would be handled during any analysis of the data. But we *know* how they handle it. They substitute the standard deviation of the sample means, a metric for sampling error, for the measurement uncertainty of the average while ignoring the actual measurement uncertainty of the data itself. They do so by assuming that all measurement uncertainty is random, Gaussian, and cancels. A “joke” of the highest order!
Wrong! Wrong! If TMAX is actual highest temperature, whatever Hamlin presentes, courtesy of NOAA, fall far short of being that.
URBAN WARMING measured at urban sites….. So what.
UHI effect give strong night warming.
CO2 has no measurable warming effect at all, as you keep proving.
Are there lots of greenhouses in America ??
Talk about a YAWN. !
If you are talking about “record high” why mention cooler overnight temperatures. D’Oh !
USCRN gives an anomaly of 2.43ºF for the USA.
There have been many other months with a much higher anomalies.
Accusing others of deceit… really !! You must live in a house full of broken mirrors. !
Your steaming piles of farm animal digestive waste products always seem to fall on the ground after my sensible comments.
Still no evidence… just another child’s tantrum.
Your comments are about as sensible as Joe Biden’s or Kamala’s.
Here’s you in full flight ! 🙂
As I pointed out in several comments, These NOAA “maximum” temperatures are absolutely not the highest temperature recorded at any location. I don’t know what NOAA maximum reported on these graphs is and apparently no one else who comes here has any idea about them either.
I suspect that TMAX is supposedly the high recorded temperature for the day, or summarized TMAX is the highest for any period such as a week, month, year, decade, etc. but maybe there is some other definition of TMAX I don’t know about. At any rate, as far as various places that can be selected and graphed in these NOAA presentations, and where I also have personal experience, the daily high temperatures for many days are a great deal higher than anything shown on the NOAA graphs of which Larry Hamlin in so fond. The difference is so extreme that these NOAA graphs labeled “maximum” are pure deception for anyone looking to find actual temperatures.