Prepare for Eclipse Viewing with Live Coronal Prediction

Leif Svalgaard writes to share the predicted view of the total solar eclipse on Apr 8

https://www.predsci.com/corona/apr2024eclipse/home.php

View Eclipse at My Location

This is our latest prediction of the solar corona for the April 8, 2024 total solar eclipse. The above images show two versions of the predicted white light brightness in the corona at totality; the left is with solar north up, and the right is for Dallas, Texas. Click on the link to see the orientation of the corona for your location. The images have been processed with a radially-graded filter, to approximate what a human eye might see during the eclipse.


How the Prediction has Evolved in Time
Evolving View as Seen from Earth

The Sun is near the maximum phase of the solar cycle, so the solar magnetic field is evolving rapidly. To better capture the dynamic nature of the Sun at this time, we are using a time-dependent MHD model that is updated in near real-time with the latest measurements of the surface magnetic field.T hese animations show how the Sun and our prediction are evolving with time. The animation on the left shows how the prediction at totality has evolved to the present. The animation on the right shows the modeled evolution of the Sun from the start of the prediction.


Magnetic Structure, Prediction in Time
Magnetic Structure, Earth’s Evolving View

These animations are the same as those above but show a special visualization of the three-dimensional (3D) magnetic field. By tracing magnetic field lines at extremely high resolution, we can calculate a 3D map of the so-called squashing factor (Q) – a scientific measure designed to indicate the presence of complex structuring in the magnetic field. We then integrate the map along the line-of-sight, with special weightings to create a composite that resembles solar eclipse images. This is intended to highlight the inherent complexity of the Sun’s magnetic field and its intimate connection to visible emission from the solar corona.


Check out: https://www.predsci.com/corona/apr2024eclipse/home.php

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Bob Weber
March 26, 2024 2:46 pm

Nice job Pete Riley & Co at PredSci. We’ll be checking those plots against actual…

When will NASA park a satellite between the Sun and the Moon so we can see the Dark Side of the Moon all lit up during total eclipses?

hiskorr
Reply to  Bob Weber
March 26, 2024 6:49 pm

You remind me of the time The Mickey Mouse Club explained to my kids that “One side of the moon always faces the Earth. The other side is always in darkness.”

1saveenergy
Reply to  Bob Weber
March 27, 2024 1:55 am

. There is no DARK SIDE of the MOON without Pink Floyd

March 26, 2024 3:41 pm

The eclipse will be total for my little spot on the globe. I hope the clouds cooperate!

Reply to  Gunga Din
March 27, 2024 2:54 am

Part of my State is in the path of a total eclipse, and the authorities are recommending that residents stock up on food and gasoline, and are requested to stay off the roads if possible, as they are expecting a lot of visitors coming to the State to watch the show.

Reply to  Tom Abbott
March 27, 2024 7:20 am

they are expecting a lot of visitors

Depending on your state, I would be among those. And yes there will be a lot – I booked my hotel room a year ago and it was already one of the last available, and had to be pre-paid. Anyone in the path can expect insane crowds.

michael hart
March 26, 2024 5:22 pm

Apparently there is also a Nova expected sometime before September.

Not a supernova, but it will briefly be a new, nearly brightest, star in the night sky for a week or so.

March 26, 2024 5:40 pm

The more important prediction will be cloud cover.
The synoptic depictions from both the GFS & Euro have been very erratic / inconsistent for tApril 8th since April 8th entered the model time space. Fingers crossed for a mostly clear outcome along the path !

John McKeon
April 1, 2024 9:03 am

I dont get why its such a big deal. The sun is eclipsed by the moon once every lunar cycle…what makes this one so special? <sarc>

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