By P Gosselin
Comparing July. 2023, data to the up to date 1991-2020 reference period, July in Germany was practically dead normal in terms of temperature, sunshine and precipitation. But that’s not what the DWD national weather service wants the media and public to hear.
The latter part of July in Germany was wet and cool, thus putting a damper on a summer that began hot and dry. Symbol image by P. Gosselin
The early part of July in Germany was hot with lots of sunshine, according to the data from the German DWD National Weather Service, but the weather turned and the latter part was cool and wet, and so ended up making the month near normal.
July mean temperature close to normal
“At the beginning of the last third of the month, an unsettled westerly weather situation set in, ushering in a significantly cooler and precipitation-rich period of weather nationwide, reports the DWD in its preliminary July report. “All in all, this year’s July was too warm, wet and sunny.” This is the conclusion drawn by the DWD, based on the data collected from some 2,000 measuring stations across the country and comparing it to an outdated 1961-1990 reference period.
According to the DWD, the average temperature in July 2023 was 18.7 degrees Celsius (°C), Compared to the 1991 to 2020 reference period, it was 4 tenths of a degree warmer than normal. The high temperature for the month was 38.8 °C recorded on July 15th.
“Cooler air masses prevailed in the last third of the month. From the 25th to the 27th the highs were only below 20 °C in many places. At night, too, it got chilly in many places,” reports the DWD.
Wetter than normal, drought alleviated
July, 2023, was wetter than normal in Germany, with around 100 liters per square meter (l/m²) falling. It was almost 15 per cent more than the mean of the 1991 to 2020 reference period (87 l/m²). “This alleviated the previous extreme dryness in the extreme north as well as in the south and southwest. The Bavarian Alps, along with the North Sea coast, were among the wettest regions with over 200 l/m².”
Normal sunshine
With a 230 hours of sunshine, July was normal. The mean of the 1991 to 2020 reference period is 225 hours of sunshine. The eastern parts of the country reported the most sunshine hours (>250 hours).
Finishing with the least sunshine (around 200 hours) were the Alps, the western low mountain ranges and large parts of the northwest.
10% less sunshine in the 1960s, 70s and 80s
The mean amount of sunshine in July during the back-to-the-ice-age days of the 1961 to 1990 reference period in Germany was only 211 hours, which in part explains why the period was cooler. Today, July in Germany sees about 10% more sunshine, so little wonder the mean July temperature is up a degree or two since the 1970s.
I live in the central region. For about 120 days (up to early July), severe drought….2 x brief sowers in that whole period. Temps ranged mostly 25 C to 32 C in this time period. Not severely hot. What I consider ‘average’. Around 2nd week of July, total change. Showers almost daily. Temperature ranged mostly 18 C to 24 C. Some evenings dropping to 12 C.
It is the most moderate and cool summer I’ve ever experienced in Germany. Probably one-third of society wearing October-gear (no shorts), and the public pool system has collapsed with almost no customers showing up.
That weather continues ’til today.
Rain radar from today, as for the last weeks:
https://kachelmannwetter.com/de/regenradar/deutschland
Since COP 26 there has been an unrelenting push through the [UK] media, education and state institutions to catastrophise the weather and maintain a state of, well, a state of crisis. Why would Germany be that different?
Once upon a time they might have forecast rain. Now, it’s accompanied by a warning of “a month’s worth of rain” in ‘n’ hours. Noah; build that Ark.
July 2023 set to be world’s hottest month on record – Reuters
July 2023 could be hottest month in 120,000 years – The Telegraph
Met Office explains why there was so much rain this July…
“However, despite temperatures remaining above average for most, some parts of the country have seen much more rainfall recently – with short and sharp showers leaving many confused about whether to wear shorts or a full-on diving suit.”
https://metro.co.uk/2023/07/13/weather-uk-met-office-explains-why-there-is-so-much-rain-this-july-19122742/
Above average temperatures? They are taking the smeg.
The MetO don’t say that – the Metro does ….
“July has been slightly cooler than average, with a mean temperature of 14.9C. This is 0.3C cooler than the current 30-year meteorological averaging period (1991-2020).”
I haven’t heard the Met Office complaining about media output, have you? Please give us a link, I’d be very interested to see what they say.
The current Outlook for June, July and August gives a 45% chance of the season will be hot with a 50% chance of it will be near average. Whilst it gives a 65% chance of near average rainfall with a 15% chance of a dry season.
The elevated risk of a warmer than average summer this year, is consistent with wider global warming trends and the UK’s warming climate”
https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2023/05/30/is-it-going-to-be-a-long-hot-summer/
But not consistent with the jet stream and reality.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2023/wettest-july-on-record-for-northern-ireland
“But not consistent with the jet stream and reality.”
It was at the the time of publishing (30th May) …. record warm June.
Also we have August to get through yet before the season ends.
The Metro article was written on 13th July and looking at charts temps would have been running a little above average for the month at that stage.
A record only as far as the MO is concerned
It was never, as you say, correct at the time of publishing – it was their forecast and it was wrong
Dear oh dear …
“A record only as far as the MO is concerned”
And that is all that matters.
(In the Non rabbit-hole world of meteorology).
And I’d never expect the most rabid ideological bigots here to accede that fact.
I thought for a micro-second that you may not be being disingenuous.
Silly me.
“and it was wrong”
As stated above.
The seasonal (err, 3 months) forecast was issued before June which (sorry) was record warm UK wide.
July was tad below average.
We are only 6 days into August.
Ergo it is not (yet) wrong (or right).
You’re welcome.
And the issue is with: “The elevated risk of a warmer than average summer this year, is consistent with wider global warming trends and the UK’s warming climate” [sic]” Is a plug for the abnormal global warming official narrative.
As you were folks. Robust weather is coming down under-
Bureau of Meteorology super computer delays ‘very concerning’ ahead of summer (msn.com)
Its Strange that the MET office are using 15.8 C as the July Mean temperature, when the average from 1650 was 15.9 C and from 1878 it was 16.0 C Net weather are using a more modern temperature of 16.5 C
Is there a sub rosa competition being staged to see who can come up with the most posts/words/exaggerations posted for public distribution? It feels as tho each scribe is trying to outdo the last one. If so, this is getting rather threadbare.
Here’s an interesting one, as attached.
you will love it
You’ll instantly recognise the place, noted for its verdant fields &forests, bounties farms, vineyards and happy smiling people driving BMW
(like maniacs as is the way of all BMW drivers)
The red circle highlight is wrapped around place name of Tamanrasset and inset is the summary for the weather there for July 2023
Note how the Monthly Max temp is lower than recorded in Germany and at 275mm or rain for the month, hardly a drought is going on there.
or is there… what is going on there?
Isn’t that strange that Tamanrasset, almost bang-on the Tropic of Cancer recorded a lower daily max than a weather-stations did in Germany – at about 25° further north?
What’s another interesting thing to do is check the barometric pressures for the week/month/year whatever – it gives a sort of clue about the presence or absence of a Heat Dome
If you ‘visit’ Southern Germany and scratch around the weather stations then compare them to what was recorded at Tamanrasset ……
….you’ll find that Germany at 1020mB typically, ran about 10mB higher barometric pressure over the month of July than in the centre of the Sahara.
what’s happening there then?
btw: A truly lovely photo you have there of Soil Erosion, thanks for that.
When was it taken? I’m guessing and from the ‘yellow stuff’ in the background, maybe April or May?
(If it actually is = Canola, it would be a brown tangled mass by mid-July if not already been through a combine harvester)