Massive iceberg discharges during the last ice age had no impact on nearby Greenland, raising new questions about climate dynamics

Peer-Reviewed Publication

OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY

Impacts of Heinrich Events
IMAGE: THE GRAPHIC DEPICTS THE IMPACTS OF HEINRICH EVENTS GLOBALLY. view more 
CREDIT: OLIVER DAY, OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY

CORVALLIS, Ore. – During the last ice age, massive icebergs periodically broke off from an ice sheet covering a large swath of North America and discharged rapidly melting ice into the North Atlantic Ocean around Greenland, triggering abrupt climate change impacts across the globe.

These sudden episodes, called Heinrich Events, occurred between 16,000 and 60,000 years ago. They altered the circulation of the world’s oceans, spurring cooling in the North Atlantic and impacting monsoon rainfall around the world.

But little was known about the events’ effect on nearby Greenland, which is thought to be very sensitive to events in the North Atlantic. A new study from Oregon State University researchers, just published in the journal Nature, provides a definitive answer.

“It turns out, nothing happened in Greenland. The temperature just stayed the same,” said the study’s lead author, Kaden Martin, a fourth-year doctoral candidate in OSU’s College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences. “They had front-row seats to this action but didn’t see the show.”

Instead, the researchers found that these Heinrich events caused rapid warming in Antarctica, at the other end of the globe.

The researchers anticipated Greenland, in close proximity to the ice sheet, would have experienced some kind of cooling. To find that these Heinrich Events had no discernible impact on temperatures in Greenland is surprising and could have repercussions for scientists’ understanding of past climate dynamics, said study co-author Christo Buizert, an assistant professor in the College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences.

“If anything, our findings raise more questions than answers,” said Buizert, a climate change specialist who uses ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica to reconstruct and understand the Earth’s climate history. “This really changes how we look at these massive events in the North Atlantic. It’s puzzling that far-flung Antarctica responds more strongly than nearby Greenland.”

Scientists drill and preserve ice cores to study past climate history through analysis of the dust and tiny air bubbles that have been trapped in the ice over time. Ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica provide important records of Earth’s atmospheric changes over hundreds of thousands of years.

Records from ice cores from those regions have served as pillars for scientists’ understanding of past climate events, with ice collected from both locations often telling similar stories, Martin said.

The impact of Heinrich Events on Greenland and Antarctica was not well understood, spurring Martin and Buizert to try to find out more about what was happening in those parts of the world.

The core used for the latest study was collected in 1992 from the highest point of Greenland, where the ice sheet is around 2 miles thick. Since then, the core has been in storage in the National Science Foundation Ice Core Facility in Denver.

Advancement in scientific tools and measurements over the last few decades gave Martin, Buizert and their colleagues the opportunity to re-examine the core using new methods.

The analysis shows that no changes in temperatures occurred in Greenland during Heinrich Events. But it also provides a very clear connection between Heinrich Events and the Antarctic response.

“When these big iceberg discharges happen in the Arctic, we now know that Antarctica responds right away,” Buizert said. “What happens in one part of the world has an effect on the rest of the world. This inter-hemispheric connection is likely caused by change in global wind patterns.”

The finding challenges the current understanding of global climate dynamics during these massive events and raises new questions for researchers, Buizert said. The researchers’ next step is to take the new information and run it through climate models to see if the models can replicate what occurred.

“There has to be a story that fits all of the evidence, something that connects all the dots,” he said. “Our discovery adds two new dots; it’s not the full story, and it may not be the main story. It is possible that the Pacific Ocean plays an important role that we haven’t figured out yet.”

The ultimate goal is to better understand how the climate system is connected and how the components all interact, the researchers said.

“While Heinrich Events are not going to happen in the future, abrupt changes in the globally interconnected climate system will happen again,” Martin said. “Understanding the global dynamics of the climate system can help us better project future impacts and inform how we respond and adapt.”

Additional co-authors are Ed Brook, Jon Edwards, Michael Kalk and Ben Riddell-Young of OSU; Ross Beaudette and Jeffrey Severinghaus of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography; and Todd Sowers of Pennsylvania State University.

The research was supported by the National Science Foundation, the Global Climate Change Foundation and the Gary Comer Science and Education Foundation.


JOURNAL

Nature

DOI

10.1038/s41586-023-05875-2 

METHOD OF RESEARCH

Data/statistical analysis

SUBJECT OF RESEARCH

Not applicable

ARTICLE TITLE

‘Bipolar impact and phasing of Heinrich-type climate variability

ARTICLE PUBLICATION DATE

24-Apr-2023

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barryjo
April 24, 2023 6:19 pm

Oh goody. “Help us project future impacts”. Just what I wanted. More Projections.

Scissor
Reply to  barryjo
April 24, 2023 6:31 pm

I see a tall dark handsome…

Reply to  Scissor
April 24, 2023 8:45 pm

Iceberg?

Bill Powers
Reply to  Scissor
April 25, 2023 8:02 am

…who’s preferred pronouns are They and Them.

Alan
Reply to  barryjo
April 24, 2023 8:49 pm

I project you will get more projections.

michael hart
Reply to  Alan
April 25, 2023 2:11 pm

Projections lead to mistakes.
Mistakes lead to cover-ups.
Cover-ups lead to lies.
Lies lead to the Dark Side.

April 24, 2023 6:38 pm

OK, maybe they are right. But what caused the unusual amount of icebergs breaking off North America? This would have to be the result of a warming event and/or a rapid increase in snowfall on the Laurentide ice cap.

So, is their cause-and effect hypothesis (which definitely needs some details about the causation mechanism before it gets to be a credible theory) just a way of trying to link two separate responses to an underlying climate event?

I know what it’s like – I did a PhD thesis many long years ago. You spend three or four years collecting a load of disparate data, then you have to try and tie it together and draw conclusions. They don’t have to be the right conclusions; they just have to sound plausible. Sometimes, when I’m feeling cynical, I think that advanced degrees are just prizes for being a good storyteller.

Reply to  Smart Rock
April 24, 2023 8:47 pm

1% inspiration, 99% perspiration

Gilbert K. Arnold
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
April 25, 2023 11:38 am

Sayeth Thomas A. Edison

Reply to  Smart Rock
April 24, 2023 9:18 pm

But what caused the unusual amount of icebergs breaking off North America? 

Earth’s climate is self-correcting but subjected to very large swings in peak solar radiation at any particular location.

When the northern oceans warm up under the influence of the shifting sun, the water vapour in the atmosphere increases and that results in heavier snowfall. Eventually the snow accumulates. It is a long time before the negative feedback occurs but it happens when there are enough ice shelves calving into the northern oceans to cool the surface water and slow down the water cycle. Snowfall reduces and the ocean level starts to rise thereby loading up the ice shelves and more start breaking off. That leads to further ocean surface cooling so the process accelerates until most of the ice shelves in the NH have gone. Where we find ourselves at this point in Earth’s climate evolution.

The ocean floor around the North Atlantic have glacier scouring down to at least 700m so the keel of deep glaciers are of the order of 600m below surface level. Imagine the upthrust on these big boys when the sea level is rising causing the stress that breaks them free so they can drift southward.

Writing Observer
Reply to  Smart Rock
April 24, 2023 9:39 pm

More pithily – “Piled higher and Deeper.”

Ron Long
April 24, 2023 6:43 pm

“While Heinrich Events are not going to happen in the future…”: Wait for it. Maybe a thousand year wait, but be patient.

Editor
Reply to  Ron Long
April 24, 2023 7:31 pm

I looked up Heinrich event in Wikipedia, and came across this: “As with so many climate related issues, the system is far too complex to be confidently assigned to a single cause.“. Would someone please tell the IPCC and the other CO2 people.

Gary Pearse
April 24, 2023 6:44 pm

“Understanding the global dynamics of the climate system can help us better project future impacts ”

Yeah, better would be good.

Reply to  Gary Pearse
April 25, 2023 2:04 am

In other words, we’re not there yet. We need a lot more understanding.

Greytide
Reply to  Tom Abbott
April 25, 2023 7:31 am

Money………

heme212
April 24, 2023 6:53 pm

hubris. pure and simple

Editor
April 24, 2023 7:18 pm

“It’s puzzling that far-flung Antarctica responds more strongly than nearby Greenland.”.

It’s puzzling that they think that Antarctica doesn’t just do its own thing.

Reply to  Mike Jonas
April 24, 2023 8:28 pm

Bingo!

fansome
April 24, 2023 7:33 pm

How long do these icebergs need to melt and what’s the time resolution in these ice cores? My understanding that the ice core resolution is at least 100-yrs. Do these icebergs have a short time response that the ice cores would never pick up?

observa
April 24, 2023 8:39 pm

Nup! I’m sticking my fingers in my ears and going nanananana…the science is settled….the science is settled..

April 24, 2023 9:04 pm

But it also provides a very clear connection between Heinrich Events and the Antarctic response.

It is only a matter of time before we are informed that warmer oceans in the Northern Hemisphere is leading to more water vapour in the atmosphere that causes more snow when the land gets cold in winter and we are heading into glaciation. Who could have predicted that!

April 25, 2023 1:32 am

Slightly on-topic – where the fugg did they get/measure/record this:

Quote: In March, sea surface temperatures off the east coast of North America were as much as 13.8C higher than the 1981-2011 average.

13.8 Celsius – and they wanna hang that onto ’emissions’??????
These people truly are insane.

I found it here at the BBC

April 25, 2023 2:22 am

From the article: “There has to be a story that fits all of the evidence, something that connects all the dots,” he said. “Our discovery adds two new dots; it’s not the full story, and it may not be the main story.”

So, the science isn’t settled. Why are we bankrupting ourselves with windmills and solar when the science isn’t settled? It’s because our leaders are stupid and/or conniving.

From the article: “While Heinrich Events are not going to happen in the future, abrupt changes in the globally interconnected climate system will happen again,” Martin said.”

Yeah? What timeframe are you talking about? Next week?

Yes, eventually there may be an abrupt change in the Earth’s climate, but don’t expect any in the near future, like for the rest of our lives. What we have here is an ambiguous climate change prediction which means nothing. Got to keep that climate change fear level up.

April 25, 2023 3:07 am

Words of a co-author cited in the article:

“If anything, our findings raise more questions than answers”

Translation, in plain English: “Give me money!”.

bobpjones
April 25, 2023 5:38 am

BBC has an article “Accelerating melt of ice sheets now ‘unmistakable'”
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-65317469

and they’ve also reported that “climate scientists are now worried about “unexplained ocean warming”.
Seems, they’re ramping it up.

Duane
April 25, 2023 5:39 am

But they told us the science was settled? That consensus rules, not actual empirical data?