Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Can you tell what the previous year’s weather was like, by reading the latest climate science doomsday press releases?
More rainy days from climate change could dampen economic growth: Study
Scientists examined 40 years of data from more than 1,500 global regions.
ByDaniel Manzo
13 January 2022, 04:32More rainy days and extreme rainfall likely will hurt global economies, according to new research from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.
“This is about prosperity — and ultimately about people’s jobs,” Leonie Wenz, a lead scientist, told ABC News. “Economies across the world are slowed down by more wet days and extreme daily rainfall, an important insight that adds to our growing understanding of the true costs of climate change.”
“We know from previous work that flooding associated with extreme rainfall can damage infrastructure, which is critical to economic productivity, and also cause local disruptions to production,” said Wenz, adding that the new findings also suggest everyday disruptions caused by more rain will have “a disruptive effect on businesses, manufacturing, transportation.”
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“Intensified daily rainfall turns out to be bad, especially for wealthy, industrialized countries like the U.S., Japan or Germany,” Wenz said. But smaller, more agrarian economies can see some benefits.
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Read more: https://abcnews.go.com/Business/rainy-days-climate-change-dampen-economic-growth-study/story?id=82185377
The abstract of the study;
The effect of rainfall changes on economic production
Maximilian Kotz, Anders Levermann & Leonie Wenz
Nature volume 601, pages 223–227 (2022)Cite this article
Abstract
Macro-economic assessments of climate impacts lack an analysis of the distribution of daily rainfall, which can resolve both complex societal impact channels and anthropogenically forced changes1,2,3,4,5,6. Here, using a global panel of subnational economic output for 1,554 regions worldwide over the past 40 years, we show that economic growth rates are reduced by increases in the number of wet days and in extreme daily rainfall, in addition to responding nonlinearly to the total annual and to the standardized monthly deviations of rainfall. Furthermore, high-income nations and the services and manufacturing sectors are most strongly hindered by both measures of daily rainfall, complementing previous work that emphasized the beneficial effects of additional total annual rainfall in low-income, agriculturally dependent economies4,7. By assessing the distribution of rainfall at multiple timescales and the effects on different sectors, we uncover channels through which climatic conditions can affect the economy. These results suggest that anthropogenic intensification of daily rainfall extremes8,9,10 will have negative global economic consequences that require further assessment by those who wish to evaluate the costs of anthropogenic climate change.
Read more: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04283-8
Last year the problem was drought;
Climate change and droughts: What’s the connection?
As average temperatures continue to climb, drought has become a permanent part of our vocabulary.
by TIFFANY MEANS AUGUST 18, 2021
For tens of millions of Americans, drought has become an ever-present natural disaster.
Events such as the moderate-to-extreme drought conditions that covered more than half of the mainland U.S. in 2012, the megadrought in the West that continues today, and summer 2021’s record-low water levels at Lake Mead have kept dry spells in the news spotlight and kept drought impacts – strict water conservation measures, crop failures, and fears that dried-up vegetation will spark dangerous wildfires – on people’s minds.
That’s particularly true in the Western United States. Because of the West’s largely semi-arid and desert climates, droughts are natural occurrences across the region. However, regional climate isn’t the only culprit in drought activity. Climate change, namely rising average temperatures driven by human-generated emissions of heat-trapping greenhouse gases, is contributing to droughts, too.
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Read more: https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2021/08/climate-change-and-droughts-whats-the-connection/
Of course, CO2 is an each way bet when it comes to extreme weather. Climate scientists probably feel no contradiction trying to attach their narrative to contradictory weather events. Every kind of bad weather is evidence that the demon molecule is cooking the world, including extreme cold and snow events.
“ the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.”
Well, that’s what they call it.
They haven’t taken Edenhofer’s advice on the illusion of environmental policy as a means of wealth redistribution
The Drought Doomsday Industry in Australia is in terminal decline (but not with the MSM of course), the following rainfall at Melbourne was said to be “in decline”:
So, … the ‘de-commissioning’ of base load power generating capacity to below-requirements levels is absolutely necessary under “climate abatement’ policy – regardless of the catastrophic impact on “industry”, but the weather’s impact on industry is so great that we must “change the climate” – by magic?
” we must “change the climate” – by magic?”
No one’s gonna change sh!t.
Only on Mondays and Wednesdays and leap years
Yes. It’s about the prosperity and jobs of the paid professional Climate Liars and the assorted cabal of cackling clucking Climate Caterwaulers.
We have the same solution to both drought and more than expected rain: adaption. The cost of adapting is a small fraction of that spent on wishful attempts to engineer the climate of the 30 climate zones and sub zones. Instead of viewing various weather conditions as threats, we would do well to look at how we can use these to our benefit. If our ancestors were doing this two and three thousand years ago, with all the modern technology we should be able to become more efficient in adapting. Fools are alarmists but wise people adapt.
They’re right, in reverse. We are entering a little ice age. Back in 1315 when the last little ice age started, they had so much rain they had the great famine of 1315. When the sun is at a grand minimum, aka little ice age, cosmic rays greatly increase rainfall: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Famine_of_1315%E2%80%931317
“We know from previous work that flooding associated with extreme rainfall can damage infrastructure,”
They know from previous work not from common sense! And we know from previous work by climateering renewable energy blighters that economies are being devastated by man made-up climate fantasy.
Quote: For tens of millions of Americans, drought has become an ever-present natural disaster. – end’
Hogwash!!!! I find no back up in the writer’s assettion, none at ALL! I can say either “obviously, the writer has never been to a grocery store” or that “it’s made up of cobwebs, moonbeams and dust bunnies and a lot of wishful thinking”.
If anyone is going without food, (and after watching people lining up at food pantries), there is no validity in anything that particular twidget says. It is BALDERDASH and wishful thinking, nothing else. Period.
KGW TV article on ”Too much rain!!” Just this summer it was :”It ain’t gonna rain no more!!”
https://www.kgw.com/article/tech/science/climate-change/climate-change-landslides-increase/283-c77bca1a-5102-414d-9ba8-3dee5ee3838a
Unfalsifiable, global warming is.
“Heads I win, tails you lose!”
CO2 is like baseball! CO2 is to climate change like baseball is the foundation of Western Civilization.
The increased precipitation from human activity is calculated to be only about 0.08%. Sect 6 of https://watervaporandwarming.blogspot.com
Climate change causes droughts in some areas, and floods in other areas.
El Nino causes droughts in some areas, and floods in other areas.
La Nina causes droughts in some areas, and floods in other areas (not the same areas as for El Nino).
Has anyone ever found a correlation between CO2 concentrations and sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific (which drive El Nino and La Nina)? If not, then we just need to adapt to the precipitation we get. Let’s build dams and reservoirs to catch water from wet years to be used during dry years.
History tells us that the Roman Empire built many aqueducts over 2,000 years ago to transport snowmelt from the Alps and Appian mountains to cities along the Mediterranean coast with drier climates. Some of those aqueducts are still there.
Why can’t we do as the Romans did?
Bulldust
https://joannenova.com.au/2021/12/climate-change-causes-largest-ever-australian-wheat-crop/
If there is one thing more dismal than Economists, it is surely Economists who think they can also calculate climate at the same time.