Guest essay by Eric Worrall
As the La Niña warmed Western Pacific Ocean surface delivers much needed rainfall to Australia’s arid regions, the Climate Council urges everyone to remember that warmer temperatures are bad.
STEAMY AND STORMY: CLIMATE CHANGE AND SUMMER 2021-22
La Niña is set to shape Australia’s summer 2021-22 with above-average rainfall forecast for eastern parts of the continent; elevating flood risks. Most of Australia, except in parts of the southeast, should expect above average maximum summer temperatures.
This explainer distils the latest advice from the Bureau of Meteorology on what to expect this summer. It takes stock of extreme weather risks, takes a close look at the impact of La Niña – the dominant climate driver affecting our weather now – and puts it all in the context of our changing climate.
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The odds are stacked (1.5 to 3 times more likely) in favour of some unusually high maximum temperatures for most of the country away from the southeast. Below average daytime temperatures are likely for eastern NSW.
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What extreme weather risks are we looking at this summer?
The Bureau of Meteorology’s Summer Outlook 2021-22 shows it is likely to be wetter than average for eastern parts of the continent, with higher risk of heavy rainfall and widespread flooding for these areas.
When it comes to cyclones, during La Niña years there are typically more cyclones in the Australian region than during non-La Niña years. During the 2010-12 La Niña there were several notable cyclones, including Cyclone Yasi – one of the strongest and costliest in Australia’s history. Every year in which there have been more than one severe landfalling tropical cyclone in Queensland was a La Niña year. The Bureau of Meteorology has predicted an average to slightly-above-average number of cyclones for the 2021-22 season.
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Read more: https://www.climatecouncil.org.au/steamy-stormy-climate-change-summer-2021-22/
If slight La Niña warming can bring all this desperately needed rainfall to Australia, imagine if there was a permanent warming of the entire Pacific Ocean surface. Imagine if Australia, California, Arizona, Western Mexico, the Atacama Desert, and all the other arid regions bordering the Pacific ocean had a wetter climate all the time, instead of just when a visiting La Niña or El Niño temporarily boosts local sea surface temperatures.
The entire Pacific Rim would be a garden, with former deserts filled with wildflowers and trees, and lush farms filled with prosperity.
But nothing like this is likely to happen in my lifetime, sadly.
Great post, Eric!
The Climate Council, like all good Marxists, spin a tangled web of lies and half truths! Just as Howard Zinn’s fictional history of the US has been used to poisoned two or more generations of students against their own country, the high priests of Climastrology have pushed their cult religion against the wealth and freedom of capitalism to all they encounter!
Fortunately, only weak and immature minds fall for their blend of doomsday religion and fully adjustable science; but many children are being emotionally scarred by their scare stories! And, of course, that explains why so many politicians fall for them as well!
Can’t wait to see what happens and that won’t take long.
What arrogant assholes.
“Climate Council urges everyone to remember that warmer temperatures are bad.”
So, what are ya going to do about it? Destroy your economy? What I thought.
Australian annual rainfall averaged 450 mm in the 1910s, rising to 490 mm in 2010s, but with annual variations from 290 mm to 750 mm. From droughts to floods, welcome to Australia.
Over the same time frame, according to the Bureau of Meteorology, average temperatures have increased by 1.5C (may include some “adjustments”)
The BoM ignores weather data records from before 1910 because of the heatwaves that interfere with BoM warming models.
My Country. Poem by Dorothea Mackellar: https://www.google.com/amp/s/lifeism.co/my-country-a-poem-by-dorothea-mackellar/%3famp
Readiing this poem one immediately recognises the ‘climate change’ of today also occuring during Mackellar’s lifetime.
Climate hoaxers will go on the attack when Dorothea’s poem is mentioned, they seem to be worried about her description that undermines their deceptive claims. They refer to her as a city person who did not know what she was writing about.
The fact is that she was from a very wealthy city family with pastoral property investments where the family often spent time. Later her brother owned a couple of country properties and she visited regularly.
”Most of Australia, except in parts of the southeast, should expect above average maximum summer temperatures”
So El Nino causes higher avg temps and La Nina causes higher avg temps?
Well not where I live (south east) , and from what I hear not up the coast either.
So what causes lower than avg temps?
Up to today the weather has been very wet and cold.
You have have to love the Aussie government and media and the UN for that matter. So too much rain and warm weather is bad for Australia, but if the recent adds trying to scam up donations for UNICEF have a message, it’s that cold weather is bad and causes more children to die globally than anything else!
Climate Council have been caught completely wrong footed by this 2nd la nina.
They have to continue the alarmist rhetoric now with the floods and try to frighten us.
Yes floods are unpleasant and do a great deal of damage to crops and livestock but on a large scale the floods are vastly beneficial to the country. It would be nice to have the perfect weather balance all of the time, but nature does not work like that.