Claim: 5 million deaths a year caused by global climate related abnormal temps

More than five million deaths a year can be attributed to abnormal hot and cold temperatures


Research News


More than five million extra deaths a year can be attributed to abnormal hot and cold temperatures, according to a world first international study led by Monash University.

The study found deaths related to hot temperatures increased in all regions from 2000 to 2019, indicating that global warming due to climate change will make this mortality figure worse in the future.

The international research team, led by Monash University’s Professor Yuming Guo, Dr Shanshan Li, and Dr Qi Zhao from Shandong University in China and published today in The Lancet Planetary Health looked at mortality and temperature data across the world from 2000 to 2019, a period when global temperatures rose by 0.26C per decade.

The study, the first to definitively link above and below optimal temperatures (corresponding to minimum mortality temperatures) to annual increases in mortality, found 9.43 per cent of global deaths could be attributed to cold and hot temperatures. This equates to 74 excess deaths for every 100,000 people, with most deaths caused by cold exposure.

The data reveals geographic differences in the impact of non-optimal temperatures on mortality, with Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa having the highest heat and cold-related excess death rates.

Importantly, cold-related death decreased 0.51 per cent from 2000 to 2019, while heat-related death increased 0.21 per cent, leading to a reduction in net mortality due to cold and hot temperatures.

The largest decline of net mortality occurred in Southeast Asia while there was temporal increase in South Asia and Europe.

Professor Guo, from the Monash University School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, said this shows global warming may “slightly reduce the number of temperature-related deaths, largely because of the lessening in cold-related mortality, however in the long-term climate change is expected to increase the mortality burden because hot-related mortality would be continuing to increase.”�.

Professor Guo said previous studies had looked at temperature-related mortality within a single country or region.

“This is the first study to get a global overview of mortality due to non-optimal temperature conditions between 2000 and 2019, the hottest period since the Pre-Industrial era,”� he said.

“Importantly, we used 43 countries’ baseline data across five continents with different climates, socioeconomic and demographic conditions and differing levels of infrastructure and public health services, so the study had a large and varied sample size, unlike previous studies.”

The mortality data from this groundbreaking Monash study is significantly higher than the second-largest study published in 2015, which was based on 74 million deaths across 13 countries/regions and estimated 7.7 per cent of deaths were related to cold and hot temperatures.

Professor Guo said that showed “the importance of taking data from all points of the globe, in order to get a more accurate understanding of the real impact of non-optimal temperatures under climate change.”�.

Of the global deaths attributed to abnormal cold and heat, the study found:

*More than half occurred in Asia, particularly in East and South Asia

*Europe had the highest excess death rates per 100,000 due to heat exposure

*Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest death rates per 100,000 due to exposure to cold

Professor Guo added understanding the geographic patterns of temperature-related mortality is important for the international collaboration in developing policies and strategies in climate change mitigation and adaptation and health protection.�



* Africa 1.2 million

* Asia 2.6 million

* Europe 835,000

* South America 141,000

* UK 52,000

* US 173,600

* China 1.04 million

* India 74,000

* Australia 16,500


* Africa 1.18 million

* Asia 2.4 million

* Europe 657,000

* South America 116,000

* UK 44,600

* US 154,800

* China 967,000

* India 655,400

* Australia 14,200


* Africa 25,550

* Asia 224,000

* Europe 178,700

* South America 25,250

* UK 8000

* US 18,750

* China 71,300

* India 83,700

* Australia 2300

From EurekAlert!

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Bill Toland
July 8, 2021 10:05 am

So 90% of temperature related deaths were caused by cold temperatures. This means that we need more global warming immediately to reduce the overall death toll.

Last edited 1 year ago by Bill Toland
Reply to  Bill Toland
July 9, 2021 1:30 am

This equates to 74 excess deaths for every 100,000 people, with most deaths caused by cold exposure.

Bingo. I wonder how the Graun will cover this. Wait …

More people died of cold than heat in past 20 years but climate change is shifting the balance

More than 5 million people die each year globally because of excessively hot or cold conditions, a 20-year study has found – and heat-related deaths are on the rise.

spin … spin … spin.


Robert of Ottawa
Reply to  Greg
July 11, 2021 5:41 pm

Note that the deaths will be due to heat or cold. Talk about hedging you deaths.

Reply to  Bill Toland
July 9, 2021 1:47 am

Correct Bill T – the title of our 2015 paper says it all:

So why doe the author of the subject paper lump together cold and hot deaths, except to obscure that fact and promote the very-scary global warming false narrative?

The entire Western world is running on pure bullsh!t, false narratives about imaginary scares like Climate and Covid, promoted by corrupt governments that are working for our enemies. certainly not for us.

Global warming and grid-connected green energy are false crises – we wrote that in 2002.

The Covid-19 lockdowns were never justified – we wrote that on 21March2020.

The elites then linked the two scams, saying “to solve Covid we have to solve Climate Change” – utter nonsense, not even credible enough to be specious.

We are being governed by scoundrels, traitors who were elected by imbeciles.

Now that America has fallen to the Bidens, who are owned by the CCP, there is no where left to run to.

Regards, Allan
Joe d’Aleo and I had written a paper on Excess Winter Mortality based on other evidence when the major Lancet study was published, so we revised our paper to include that excellent study. Our summary reads:
“Cold weather kills. Throughout history and in modern times, many more people succumb to cold exposure than to hot weather, as evidenced in a wide range of cold and warm climates.
Evidence is provided from a study of 74 million deaths in thirteen cold and warm countries including Thailand and Brazil, and studies of the United Kingdom, Europe, the USA, Australia and Canada.
Contrary to popular belief, Earth is colder-than-optimum for human survival. A warmer world, such as was experienced during the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period, is expected to lower winter deaths and a colder world like the Little Ice Age will increase winter mortality, absent adaptive measures.
These conclusions have been known for many decades, based on national mortality statistics.”
by Joseph D’Aleo and Allan MacRae

July 9, 2021 7:50 am

Imagine the impact of cold weather when combined with a transformed unreliable electric grid.

Reply to  wadesworld
July 9, 2021 12:13 pm

We don’t have to imagine it. Texas gave us a perfect example this past winter.

July 8, 2021 10:08 am

Nonsense! Global Warming is supposed to raise nighttime temperatures more so than daytime highs.

What are all these people dying from; moonstroke?

Marty Cornell
Reply to  H.R.
July 8, 2021 5:44 pm

Exactly. Plus the warming is not uniform over the globe, being magnified (Tmin, i.e. nighttime) in the higher latitudes with essentially no change in the tropics. Low cost HVAC would solve the problem.

July 8, 2021 10:12 am

Deaths “related to” is the grand catch all.

We can say with certainty that 100% of all deaths in the world today related to no longer breathing.

That statement is just as relevant as the claim the 5 million deaths are attributable to climate change … but the difference is, at least my statement is true.

Gordon A. Dressler
Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 11:59 am

Duane posted: “We can say with certainty that 100% of all deaths in the world today related to no longer breathing.”

Not so fast. People can continued “living” (autonomous brain activity and continuing metabolism), and be successfully resuscitated, after minutes to hours since having stopped breathing. The longest successful CPR recovery for a severely hypothermic victim was 6 hours 30 minutes (ref: ).

However, many other causes of death—severe blunt force trauma, heart attack, severe hemorrhaging, acute poisoning, gunshot to the head or heart, etc.—can cause true (irrecoverable) death within seconds to tens of seconds.

Reply to  Gordon A. Dressler
July 8, 2021 12:39 pm

All deaths are still related to no longer breathing. All dead persons do not breath.

Gordon A. Dressler
Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 5:53 pm

All dead persons likewise:
do not eat
do not comb their heir
do not shave
do not brush their teeth
do not change their clothes
do not drink water
do not watch TV
do not use a cell phone
do not take walks
do not drive cars
do not get medical checkups
do not receive vaccinations
do not use money or credit cards
do not pay taxes
—let’s just pause right here to admit that 100% of all deaths in the world today are related to no longer doing an almost infinite number of things . . . are we all better for knowing this? —-
do not send Christmas cards
do not play Monopoly
do not visit restaurants
do not go swimming


Craig from Oz
Reply to  Gordon A. Dressler
July 8, 2021 6:49 pm

Another curious scientific phenomenon is the fact that the fingernails grow after death, as does the beard.

The toenails, on the other hand, never grow at all.

Pamela Matlack-Klein
Reply to  Craig from Oz
July 9, 2021 1:58 am

Not so, this is a myth. It only looks like beard and fingernails are growing after death because the skin dehydrates, shrinking away from the nail beds and follicles, giving the appearance of growth.

Reply to  Gordon A. Dressler
July 8, 2021 7:20 pm

Yah, but… they DO vote Democrat, Gordon.

Steve Case
Reply to  H.R.
July 9, 2021 3:56 am

Ha ha ha ha ha
That was good (-:

First chuckle of the day,

Reply to  Gordon A. Dressler
July 9, 2021 1:34 am

do not comb their heir ?

Gordon A. Dressler
Reply to  Greg
July 9, 2021 11:48 am


Reply to  Greg
July 9, 2021 12:14 pm

People are said to groom their heirs. Perhaps that includes combing.

Reply to  Gordon A. Dressler
July 10, 2021 10:26 am

Silly rebuttal !! The ONLY one related to life or death is “do not drink water”.
That is one that the UN studies AREN’T looking at.

Shanghai Dan
Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 1:21 pm

I think a stronger correlation can be made:

100% of all deaths are related to people breathing. It is a proven fact that 100% of all deaths were found with oxygen in their lungs and blood.

Clearly, we need to ban our 8th element as it is exactly correlated with death.

Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 1:30 pm

I wonder what criteria was applied to determine that the proximate cause of death was heat or cold, when in most cases bad planning, bad government or bad people were likely at fault. For example, the large rise in heat related deaths found along the Southern border.

Reply to  co2isnotevil
July 8, 2021 1:43 pm

They used to find in Britain, the commuter rail lines leading to the city would have cases of people ‘dropping dead’ while waiting on the platform for the train in cold weather. They just werent wearing adequate clothing for the temperature that morning. While in Moscow that was extremely rare as those commuters dressed appropriately for the harsher weather.
The ‘new sudden death from cold’, now comes from younger people who like to explore the outdoors, but arent really ready for the colder temperatures they encounter, they buy their clothing from an ‘ lifestyle outdoors store’ , which is really urban wear.

Gerry, England
Reply to  Duker
July 9, 2021 6:45 am

And young people believe that the world is getting evah warmer….until they freeze to death and learn that they had been lied to….belatedly.

Reply to  co2isnotevil
July 9, 2021 1:36 am

you posted some links on, they don’t seem to work. “Coming soon”. Did you get censored?

Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 3:16 pm

plus they all drank water, could be a contributing factor;

and possibly ate carrots, need more funding on that one.

Joel Snider
Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 4:36 pm

When we had a 12 year hiatus in hurricanes it was global warming, when we finally had a few hurricanes, it was global warming – ANY weather that occurs is global warming.
Exploitation and propaganda.
And all we need to solve it all is more laws and regulation and micromanagement of a single species fractional contribution to a single greenhouse gas.

July 8, 2021 10:15 am

Sounds normal to me. With gradually warming temps cold deaths decreased slightly which is the only significant statistic. With cold deaths vastly outnumbering heat deaths, this should be good news!

Reply to  John
July 8, 2021 12:54 pm

There is nothing “abnormal” about temperatures that are above or below averages. That’s “normal” – and is otherwise called “weather”.

Weather reporters and meteorologists constantly talk about “normal” temps or precip but normal is average plus or minus known or even unknown variations. The purpose of assigning averages to “normal” is to distort human perceptions. The average high in Seattle may be 85 deg F for some particular day, and if the heat wave shoots it to 105 deg, that is clearly way above average, possibly even a record, but it’s not abnormal. It’s still within the range of possibility so is still “normal”. If the average rainfall in Houston is a half inch per day, but a tropical storm stalls over the city as it did a few years ago and they get 15 inches or rain in a small part of the Houston watershed, that’s still “normal” because tropical storms are known to produce lots of rain especially if they stall out due to steering air currents and pressure systems.

People who are used to dealing with hydrological data clearly understand that extreme values are not infrequently experienced over small areas for short periods of time – it’s all built into the modeling data that engineers use all the time to design highways, channels, damns, culverts, and such. But across large areas over extended timeframes, the extremes are greatly tamped down.

Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 1:45 pm

Weather reporting is the new porn… extremes are sought out, even better with young attractive people in the story.

Reply to  Duane
July 8, 2021 2:42 pm

I’d be willing to bet, if we went through all the records we would find it a rare day that exactly matched those “normals”. So in actual practice, above or below normal is normal, at least more normal than to exactly match normal. Clear as mud?

Last edited 1 year ago by Red94ViperRT10
Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
July 8, 2021 4:53 pm

This is very true, especially since normal changes every 10 years, at least in the US.

Last edited 1 year ago by starzmom
Reply to  Duane
July 9, 2021 1:39 am

Yes, this constant misuse of the word “normal” instead of average is pervasive. It is even very common on this site despite my constantly pointing out it is wrong and misleading.

Even in a “normal distribution” all values are a “normal” part of the distribution. None are “abnormal”.

Reply to  John
July 9, 2021 8:31 am

“With cold deaths vastly outnumbering heat deaths, this should be good news!”

Maybe that’s their real complaint?

July 8, 2021 10:20 am

So the mass graves signage needs to be changed.

Reply to  ResourceGuy
July 8, 2021 11:28 am

2.5 million extra Asians died.

How many of those were Uighurs?

Reply to  DonM
July 8, 2021 11:58 pm

So cold weather causes Communism which kills Uighurs!

Reply to  Jon
July 9, 2021 5:59 pm

*cold weather causes hardship

*Hardship causes emotional stress

*emotional stress pushes the weak and weakened minds further over to the end of the political spectrum where the naturally emotionally driven live.

*too big/fast of a tilt to the left causes communism

so yes, cold weather causes … communism, which really doesn’t discriminate as to who it kills.

Coach Springer
July 8, 2021 10:30 am

The overwhelming volume of misinformation is … overwhelming. What is clear is that the lies travel much faster than we can catch up to and debate them. Not sure that turning a lie into a debate is all that effective in countering it.

Rud Istvan
July 8, 2021 10:34 am

Who knew that during the PAUSE temperatures increased 0.26C per decade? Only in faulty climate models, not actual UAH measured temps.

Another problem. Most deaths from cold in Asia and Africa?? Nope. Nonsense.
maybe IF it had snowed there, but it didn’t or somebody would have noticed.

Reply to  Rud Istvan
July 8, 2021 10:56 am

You’ve not noticed folks in South Asia huddled around fires if the temp drops below 70F? More cold deaths there than in Nepal or Tibet, I bet.

Bill Toland
Reply to  Rud Istvan
July 8, 2021 10:57 am

I noticed that cold deaths outnumbered heat deaths in Africa by 46 to 1. I found that rather surprising.

Reply to  Bill Toland
July 8, 2021 1:50 pm

The hottest places, outside the tropics, can get very cold at night
Then there is the high altitudes of many regions including savannas

Izaak Walton
Reply to  Bill Toland
July 8, 2021 2:29 pm

The paper doesn’t say that cold deaths outnumber heat deaths in Africa but rather that excess cold deaths due to abnormal cold weather outnumber excess heat deaths in Africa. Which is not surprising given that people living near the equator are use to living with high temperatures and have learnt how to adapt. Cold spells are unusual and thus cause a larger increase in mortality.

Rory Forbes
Reply to  Izaak Walton
July 8, 2021 2:59 pm

As usual you’re 100% wrong about everything you write. You haven’t the vaguest idea what you’re talking about.
Cold weather kills far more people than hot weatherDate:
May 20, 2015
The Lancet
Cold weather kills 20 times as many people as hot weather, according to an international study analyzing over 74 million deaths in 384 locations across 13 countries. The findings also reveal that deaths due to moderately hot or cold weather substantially exceed those resulting from extreme heat waves or cold spells.

The study also found that extreme temperatures were responsible for less than 1% of all deaths, while mildly sub-optimal temperatures accounted for around 7% of all deaths — with most (6.66% of all deaths) related to moderate cold.

People are far more likely to die from the cold in a warm country than from heat in a cold country.

Reply to  Izaak Walton
July 8, 2021 6:02 pm

The same is true everywhere on the planet.
When temperatures get substantially below what is considered normal, people start dying in droves.

Ben Vorlich
Reply to  Rud Istvan
July 8, 2021 11:21 am

I believe it’s the case that for most of the world humans need heat, clothes and shelter for at least part of the year. Without them exposure and hypothermia are a constant problem. Add in a poor or insufficient diet then death from cold wouldn’t be a surprise.

Reply to  Rud Istvan
July 8, 2021 1:42 pm

That number caught my eye as well, so….
UAH TLT for the stated period Jan. 2000 – Dec. 2019
slope = 0.149 deg./decade.
(just for the record)

Richard M
Reply to  TonyL
July 8, 2021 7:57 pm

The cooling from Dec. 2019 – June 2021 was 0.45 C. Essentially, all the warming has disappeared. Or, better yet a trend of -3.32 C / decade.

Rory Forbes
Reply to  Rud Istvan
July 8, 2021 5:45 pm

Another problem. Most deaths from cold in Asia and Africa?? Nope. Nonsense.

maybe IF it had snowed there, but it didn’t or somebody would have noticed.

Not so. Cold is just deadlier in general than heat. Extremes are responsible for less than 1% of deaths. More people die from the cold, in warm climates than from the heat in cold climates. People are more likely to die from exposure to cold where they’re most likely to be exposed … that would be Asia and Africa.

July 8, 2021 10:35 am

Climate liars have no qualms about lying…..shouldn’t be necessary to point it out….

Danley Wolfe
July 8, 2021 10:39 am

GIGO… garbage. The biggest problem with global warming is too many academics and politicians on the payroll.

Danley Wolfe
Reply to  Danley Wolfe
July 8, 2021 10:40 am

also liberal newspapers like the New York Times. If you believe it illness and death now is due to global warming … or coronavirus, join me in laughter.

Reply to  Danley Wolfe
July 8, 2021 1:53 pm

‘Excess deaths’ in US last year were around 500,000…so what was it killing those people ?

Andrew Wilkins
Reply to  Duker
July 8, 2021 4:13 pm

You often hear about people dying from a “life of excess”
Is that what they mean be excess deaths?

Reply to  Andrew Wilkins
July 8, 2021 8:54 pm

My doctor told me wine, women, and song were killing me

So I gave up singing.

Andrew Wilkins
Reply to  H.R.
July 9, 2021 12:53 am


Reply to  H.R.
July 10, 2021 10:38 am

Admit it, it’s a 1930’s English joke.

Reply to  Danley Wolfe
July 8, 2021 6:05 pm

According to CNN, law abiding people who buy guns, are the reason why crime rates are soaring.

July 8, 2021 10:49 am

During the same period world population increased by 27% and if you do the math using heat related deaths they decreased over that period. Another scaremonger “study” twisted to serve the AGW narrative.

Richard M
Reply to  markl
July 8, 2021 8:00 pm

Thanks, I was wondering if they did any correction for population changes.

John Hultquist
July 8, 2021 10:49 am

Everything about this report reeks. Reminds me of . . .
On a training outing near a lake, a Black Lab rolled in a dead Bigmouth Buffalo (sucker type fish).
The stench was so bad we went home with our heads out the windows.
The dog was pleased with himself.

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  John Hultquist
July 8, 2021 11:26 am

The name “EurekAlert” has been changed. It is now “WeStinkAlert”. More accurate.

Rich Davis
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 8, 2021 1:16 pm

aka YouReekAlot!

July 8, 2021 10:54 am

A lot less people would be dying to to heat or cold if they had access to cheap reliable energy. These morons want it to go the other way.

Reply to  MAL
July 8, 2021 1:55 pm

Good point. And in many places they are cutting down the forests to get warmth and fuel for cooking , leading to other problems.

Rory Forbes
July 8, 2021 11:01 am

In other words, this study has nothing to do with anthropogenic global WARMING. It’s about human’s ignorance that cold is more dangerous than heat … even in hot climates.

July 8, 2021 11:03 am

Five million are many. Do something about climate change!

Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 11:58 am

Trying to “do something” about an obvious scam is the biggest problem in today’s world! You haven’t realized, the natural ongoing cyclic changes are just that… Normal?

Caligula Jones
Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 12:27 pm

Give a decent programmer a few hours on whatever crappy model they used and they could knock that 5 million down to zero if you’d like. I’d take a crack at it with my dusty programming skills for a tenth of what they made on this “science”…

Rory Forbes
Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 12:47 pm

Do something about climate change!

What would you suggest? I suggest renaming it and it’s gone!

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 12:57 pm

Throw a few virgins into a volcano?

Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 8, 2021 1:31 pm

No, keep the virgins. Throw a few alarmists into the volcano.

Reply to  Jim Masterson
July 8, 2021 1:59 pm

Vestal Virgins had that gig all worked out in antiquity
These individuals cultivated the sacred fire that was not allowed to go out. Vestals were freed of the usual social obligations to marry and bear children and took a 30-year vow of chastity in order to devote themselves to the study and correct observance of state rituals…..’
Vestal was the goddess of the ‘fireplace’

Reply to  Duker
July 8, 2021 3:45 pm

Were there 16 vestal virgins who were leaving for the coast?

Reply to  Bruce Cobb
July 8, 2021 5:40 pm

Confirm their claimed status first though.

Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 2:51 pm

Horrors!!! According to my newspaper, some section I never noticed before titled “Obituaries”, people die every day! Lots of them! We must do something to stop this senseless carnage!!! (How’s that for a factually accurate but meaningless alarm?)

Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
July 8, 2021 5:39 pm

And have you noticed from the deaths notices that people die in alphabetical order?

Reply to  Mr.
July 8, 2021 9:01 pm

wOw! Yeah, Mr. You’re right.

Is there nothing that CO2 cannot do?

Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 3:05 pm

More cold than heat death, so start your SUV, turn around and warm the earth.

Carlo, Monte
Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 3:10 pm

Do what?

Reply to  Carlo, Monte
July 8, 2021 9:07 pm

Stop using fossil fuels. Raise taxes. Form a One World Government. Redistribute the wealth.

It’s the solution to every problem, innit?

Pat from kerbob
Reply to  Asitha Jayawardena
July 8, 2021 8:43 pm

Love the sarcasm, but you have to be sure people know you are being sarcastic

Otherwise they will think you are an idiot

Although it may be too late….

John Hultquist
July 8, 2021 11:04 am

It is not customary to include that part of Russia east of the Ural Mountains as Europe. There is an obelisk near Pervouralsk that is said to be on the boundary. More than one, perhaps. Wiki shows one, and another with an historical explanation here:

Richard Barraclough
Reply to  John Hultquist
July 11, 2021 4:20 am

And I notice they can’t even spell Celsius

July 8, 2021 11:17 am

Deaths supposedly occurring at higher rates due to expanded ranges of hot and cold temperatures should be qualified for context of the individual in that range of heat or cold.
By this I mean we should be able to know the individuals’ health at the time of death.

The most common global health parameter I can think of is how more people than ever are able to access increased quantities of food calories. This leaves one example for a fatality context that can be related to temperature associated death – namely if the deceased was overweight, since that impacts body thermo-regulation.

Gordon A. Dressler
July 8, 2021 11:36 am

More than 5 million deaths a year just from “climate change”-induced temperature excursions? Really???

It appears to me that the AGW/CAGW alarmists are fronting some new fantastic claims because they have been displaced off the “front pages of the news” by all the SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19/recovery-from-lockdown headlines these days.

Sic transit gloria.

It couldn’t happen to a more deserving group.

Reply to  Gordon A. Dressler
July 8, 2021 12:33 pm

I’m still trying to figure out how the world, maybe, getting a few tenths of a degree warmer, is supposed to cause so much death and destruction.

Reply to  MarkW
July 8, 2021 3:00 pm

I don’t understand this at all. You’re telling me that the aborigines in the U.S. Southwest deserts survived 118 F deg days on end. But after a decade it reached 118.47F deg (which isn’t even based in reality. More likely the daytime high is still the same and the nighttime low is a degree higher.) and that killed almost 10% of them? Come again? Yep, it’s worse than we thought! We’re all gonna die!!!

Reply to  MarkW
July 10, 2021 10:49 am

I doesn’t. The study conflates averages with absolute temperature. People die from low absolute temperatures.

Even the poorest folks living under a bridge know to seek out a warm place when the temperature drops.

Carlo, Monte
July 8, 2021 11:41 am

0.26°C per decade??

To the hundredths of a degree?


Reply to  Carlo, Monte
July 8, 2021 1:45 pm

OK, UAH TLT as above,
0.14939 deg/decade.

{Things like this happen when you have a computer and not enough to do. Sorry.}

Carlo, Monte
Reply to  TonyL
July 8, 2021 3:11 pm


Bruce Cobb
July 8, 2021 11:48 am

Some people died partly due to weather. So? People die from lots of things, some related, some not. People are far safer today from the efects of weather than say 100 years ago, thanks to fossil fuels. Oh wait, they want to take those away. Oops.

Jim Veenbaas
July 8, 2021 11:52 am

9.43% of deaths attributed to hot or cold temps? Utter garbage.

Reply to  Jim Veenbaas
July 11, 2021 8:17 am

100% of deaths are attributed to being alive in the first place. Now we probably need to be careful here because there are a number of brain dead climate scientists and we need to define if they are alive or dead in the first place.

July 8, 2021 12:29 pm

So they are claiming that pretty much all weather related deaths were caused by CO2?

Reply to  MarkW
July 11, 2021 8:20 am

Yep isn’t Climate Science(tm) a hoot and apparently it cause covid, right hand swimming sharks, baldness, blindness, plague, pestilence and almost anything you might class as bad.

July 8, 2021 1:05 pm

22,000 net lives saved.

Joao Martins
July 8, 2021 1:08 pm

Another piece of science-fiction…

John Sandhofner
July 8, 2021 1:11 pm

Might the bigger problem be the lack of proper living conditions in those areas most adversely affected? Many places in the world people live in these extreme environments and survive just fine because they live in a society which provides adequate housing, etc. We need to help them advance their civilization and stop worrying about any climate change which is driven by nature (mostly the sun) not mankind.

Reply to  John Sandhofner
July 8, 2021 1:48 pm

Sorry, John, but unlike Obama, I do not believe “society” provides the housing except in the case of the redistributionist programs of western democracies.

People provide for their OWN housing through PRODUCTIVE WORK through the FREEDOM provided by constitutions that provide for such, you know, the western democracies and now many of the former Soviet Block Eastern European countries. Free Enterprise provides excess goods and services allowing for the continuously improving standard of living that the ACGW cabal is trying to stop.

Hillbillary’s It Takes a Village was based on African culture, which, in general does not provide quality of life as shown by the state of Africa as a whole.

The US was SOOOO lucky that the socialist/communist Hillbillary (has anyone seen her masters thesis yet?) was set aside by TRUMP! If she had won, we would already be down the drain as a country. BUT we would not have had the China Virus to deal with. (Just because you are a conspiracy theorist, does not mean it was not a conspiracy)

Reply to  Drake
July 8, 2021 6:14 pm

The quote was, It takes a village to raise a child.
Since the village was usually pretty small, there was a good chance that everyone was related. So another way of phrasing that would be, It takes an extended family to raise a child.

It wasn’t that many years ago, when people considered it normal for the kids to be outside while a number of the neighbors sat on their porches, talking to each other while keeping an eye on the kids. The kids all knew that if they got out of line, the news would be reported to their parents, and consequences would ensue.

Trying to Play Nice
Reply to  MarkW
July 9, 2021 4:55 am

The reason they were sitting on the porches was because nobody had central air conditioning. The funny thing is that in my neighborhood, even without the A/C, nobody ever died from the heat. That’s just amazing. It must have been because humans were heartier back then.

Reply to  John Sandhofner
July 10, 2021 11:00 am

Before 1920 or so every country suffered from heat waves, every year. The ice truck for the ice box came around every day or two. Refrigeration and air conditioning were VERY expensive.
So, people sat around in the shade sipping watery drinks and putting the ice box t good use.

Old timers would often outlive younger folks who partied too much, didn’t save, and got stuck in a bad place, such as the Badlands in the Dakota’s at a bad time.

July 8, 2021 1:16 pm

Perhaps the relationship of cheap reliable electricity and cheap reliable air conditioning and heating would provide a strong correlation with excess death rate due to temperature extremes.

On the outer Barcoo
July 8, 2021 3:22 pm

Everybody dies … get used to it.

July 8, 2021 3:44 pm

Funny how the left and some on the right claim to cry about the deaths from swings in the weather. Its exactly what they want. Every last one of them is zero population growther. They are crying crocodile tears.

Reply to  Optimus
July 8, 2021 6:05 pm

Hold on everyone! Didn’t the world’s population increase over the period in question? Was that due to AGW, ACC or simply two people of opposite sex, lying in bed trying to get warm. It seems to me the argument stated above is totally irrelevant!

July 8, 2021 5:36 pm

Have you also noticed that the numbers do not always add up? 🙂
E.g. China
cold + warm: 1.04 mln
cold: 967,000
warm: 71,300

cold + warm: 74,000
cold: 655,400
warm: 83,700

If the researchers cannot do basic arithmetic, how are they supposed to handle big data basis?

Then again, they did say “ 9.43 per cent of global deaths could be attributed to cold and hot temperatures” and used the magic word “could”. They are not sure.

Richard Barraclough
Reply to  Peter
July 11, 2021 4:35 am

The numbers for China add up just fine.

I think you’ll find the India total should have been 740,000 rather than 74,000 which looks like a typo in the transcription of the article, rather than a maths error

Edward Katz
July 8, 2021 6:04 pm

It’s ironic that Chinese scientists are issuing this information or maybe warnings because China is by far the world’s worst producer of carbon emissions, the supposed driver of climate change. What that country intends to do about them is essentially the same as the rest of the planet; i.e., not enough to reduce them if such action has a negative effect on economic growth and/or poverty alleviation.

Craig from Oz
July 8, 2021 6:58 pm

I like that pretty summary graphic.

“Look! More people we die in Asia than Oceania!”

Yeah… more people live in Asia c.f. Oceania. Those dials are simply pretty things to fill up the page to keep the short attention span generation happy.

Hari Seldon
July 8, 2021 8:52 pm

Hm, could the researcher publish the list of deads due to climate change simply to check their numbers? To produce the list would be rather easy because the dead certificates always include the cause of death. Or do the researcher present only fairy tales without any concretion?

July 8, 2021 10:55 pm

0.051 x 4,594,000 >>>> 0.021 x 489,000

Therefore global warming is bad.

I seriously wonder if they get anyone to read these reports with even a modicum of scepticism before they rush to publish.

Reply to  Dean
July 9, 2021 1:01 am

missed the extra 0.0 …….

July 9, 2021 12:53 am


* Australia 16,500…”


* Australia 14,200

Oh what a load of bullshit!!!
Does that include heart, stroke and cancer patients dying on hot or cold days? This number is garbage!! I don’t believe it for a second. The coldest it gets in Australia (where people actually live) is probably around 2 or 3 degrees. (at night when people are warm in bed) Average is probably more like 10C at night and 17-20 (?) during the day. Who are all these people dying of cold – or heat for that matter?

Last edited 1 year ago by Mike
Reply to  Mike
July 11, 2021 8:37 am

We locked down the entire country to keep covid deaths to 910 … can you imagine what we would do if that was true.

So now lets look at how the Attribution Statistics game is played so you start with the total number of deaths per year so for 2019 that was 169,301. Now what you do is take the number of days above average and the number of days below average which in itself is pretty funny metric. 2019 was 1st or 2nd hottest year according to the adjusted and sanitized BOM figures.

So now every person who died on those above average days died from the heat so there was about 9.74% of days above average …. so 9.74% of the 169,301 people who died was due to heat.
0.0974 * 169301 = 16489 people

More humour 66% of deaths in Australia for 2019 were over 75 but age isn’t a contributing factor according to that report.

Welcome to Climate Science(tm)

July 9, 2021 3:45 am

majority are in spots with NO POWER to run aircon or heating I see
as for 2300 in aus
homeless poor n elderly who cant AFFORD to own or run aircon but even then I call BS on the numbers

Trying to Play Nice
July 9, 2021 5:26 am

These numbers must be completely made up. Their US numbers are 173,600 annual deaths while the CDC WONDER database of underlying cause of death has 23,614 total deaths from 1999 through 2019. That seems to be quite a difference. I looked at causes X30 ((Exposure to excessive natural heat (hyperthermia)) and X31 (Exposure to excessive natural cold (hypothermia)). Even if they included earthquakes, floods and other natural disasters and exposure to man-made heat sources the number only goes to 32,132.

Last edited 1 year ago by Trying to Play Nice
July 9, 2021 8:40 am

A gunshot wound, fall from high place ect. check for Covid19.

July 9, 2021 9:38 am

A simplified view of Fossil Records prove more deaths from cool climates than hot climates by mass extinction events. While volcanic and massive meteors follow as second and third respectively for mass extinction at localized areas, they attribute to a global cooling event by the aerosols blocking solar radiation. When Hothouse conditions existed in the past all lifeforms increased from the equator to the poles and lower elevations to the higher elevations. As Icehouse conditions came as Glacial Maximums extinctions occurred from the poles to the equator and from the higher elevations to the lower elevations. Species that could travel as climate changed were able to survive better than those that couldn’t (flora) or wouldn’t (territorial fauna).

Humans are the most adaptive of all species of fauna, that has learned to live in all climates when they use the modern technology of their time. That most “climate related mortalities” could be reduced – the infirm will always be high risk and make up the majority of these death’s – by having more electricity and fossil fuels available in these higher mortality rated countries is apparent, as are the governments that control those utilities and sources apparently the cause and effect by not allowing them and/or creating high cost.

July 10, 2021 10:18 am

This is a Eurika! alert. The ! is a warning that the results are over blown.
Pulling random deaths associated with high temperatures is not a quantitative measure. It’s an opinion.

Much other research points to economic well being is the best measure to explain the connections between death rates and temperature.

Nobody really lives in Death Valley so the only folks that die there had some sort of accident. Nob0dy dies of cold in Antarctica because nobody ever gets to make a mistake except by accident.

Fractional death rates caused by heat are easy to reduce by a better standard of living. The possibility that that small temperature increases may cause be better addressed by higher standards of living, not trying to shut down the world economy to try and reduce “global warming”.

The “Climate Scare” is a stalking horse for the United Nations started by the United Nations Environment Program started in 1972 by a Canadinan oil millionaire, Maurice “human caused” global warming. Surprise! They’ve been able to find it, after millions of dollars expended.

Robert of Ottawa
July 11, 2021 5:37 pm

Well, they didn’t get them with Covid, so back to climate change

July 22, 2021 3:40 am

52000 is probably due to the cold and seniors who cam not afford constant heating, no way is it the heat I can confirm that, as england is never hot long enough for anything to die.. I wonder if Al gores private Jet use or Leonardo DiCaprios Use of diesel powered yachts helped the planet heat up?

July 22, 2021 4:00 am

Just watching sky new Uk, they are talking about the Perma frost melting in Siberia, John Kerry said we have 100 days to save the planet, and a “scientist” on the show said we need to cut carbon, he mentioned the USA and UK but not india and china… This post states people are dying from the cold, yet they are saying Denmark is 3 degrees hotter. How did life survive before both arctics froze?

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