The Old Town Square at Christmas time in the center of winter Prague.

Czech Extreme Weather Fatalities Study Finds “Statistically Significant Falling Trend”…Most Related To Cold!

Reposted from the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin on 6. July 2021

A study of Czech extreme weather fatalities show that the trend has been “significantly falling”. Most weather extreme fatalities were related to cold…less than 2% “heat related”!

German climate site Die kalte Sonne reports on on new study that looked at fatalities due to weather extremes in the European landlocked country of the Czech Republic.

Let’s recall how climate alarmists claim the number of fatalities due to extreme weather from global warming will rise rapidly and that mankind now even faces “an existential threat”.  But it isn’t so, a new study finds.

In the newly released study appearing in the journal Natural Hazards Earth Systems Science authored by Rudolf Brázdil et al., the researchers made an analysis of fatalities attributable to weather conditions in the Czech Republic during the 2000–2019 period.

The analysis was performed for floods, windstorms, convective storms, rain, snow, glaze ice, frost, heat, and fog. For each of them, the associated fatalities were investigated in terms of annual frequencies, trends, annual variation, spatial distribution, cause, type, place, and time as well as the sex, age, and behavior of casualties.

More deaths in cold

The study found there were 1164 weather-related fatalities during the 2000–2019 study period, exhibiting a statistically significant falling trend. Those attributable to frost (31%) predominated, followed by glaze ice, rain, and snow.

Fatalities were at their maximum in January and December.

The minimum number happened in April and September. Fatalities arising out of vehicle accidents (48%) followed by freezing or hypothermia (30%). Most deaths occurred during the night., when it’s colder than in the daytime.  Adults (65%) and males (72%) accounted for the majority of fatalities.

The study had another surprising result: cold weather deaths rose!

“According to the database of the Czech Statistical Office, deaths caused by exposure to excessive natural cold are markedly predominant among five selected groups of weather-related fatalities, and their numbers exhibit a statistically significant rise during 2000–2019,” the study’s authors found.

Only 20 fatalities (<2%) attributed to heat (heat waves)

The analysis also found:

Only 20 fatalities in the Czech Republic were attributed to heat (heat waves) during the 2000–2019 period, an average of 1 fatality a year. Nine such cases were recorded in 2006,…”

Only 2 heat deaths in the last decade. Shown above are the heat-related fatalities in the Czech Republic during the 2000–2019 period. Chart: Rudolf Brázdil et al. (2021). 

To all the warming alarmists: Heat is not the problem, stupid.

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July 7, 2021 6:46 am

If more solar and wind farms are built, and dependable power plants shut down, heat deaths will rise. High pressure systems with low or no winds during the summer will be a problem. The loss of wind power during September 2017 in west Texas was not an issue then because there was enough dependable power to provide almost all the record electric power needed (wind providing less than 1%). We are on the verge of a self-fulfilling prophecy.

July 7, 2021 7:04 am

Fight them with data.

Reply to  Duane
July 7, 2021 10:36 am

They don’t care about data.

Reply to  BobM
July 7, 2021 11:34 am

They’ve been vaccinated against data.

Reply to  MarkW
July 7, 2021 1:51 pm

But not against Covid.. they only think they have.

Reply to  BobM
July 7, 2021 6:54 pm

We will never convince the dedicated warmists. It’s the other 80% of the population that is persuadable with data.

Michael in Dublin
July 7, 2021 7:09 am

Most heat deaths can be avoided by following sensible inexpensive measures. Avoiding cold deaths is, however, far more costly.

July 7, 2021 7:12 am

As a result of the historic cold, the supply of fresh produce in east Africa has declined dramatically in recent months, sending prices soaring.

…the region’s much-hyped heatwave is subsiding, and now record cold (and summer snow) looms over the vast Russian province as the #GSM intensifies.

Last edited 1 year ago by Allan MacRae
Peta of Newark
July 7, 2021 9:17 am

This is from February 2020:
BBC Headline:”Climate change: Why are tomato prices in Africa increasing?”

What especially got me was why they have become dependant on tomatoes as some sort of staple crop

As plants go and also as part of the Nightshade family, they are extremely hungry crops, they need very good soil and loads of fertiliser
Even before a fresh ripe tomato is 96% water.

Am I correct about the popularity of Tomato Ketchup here in the west, esp among kids?
Are they addicted to the Alkaloid (nicotine mimic) Poison they contain in their skins
Also potatoes and Bell Pepper Capsicums?

It gets even worse as, some years ago now, the whole (UK) country went totally crazy about people having Laburnum Trees in their gardens, chock full of Alkaloid and the hideous threat these plants were to, you guessed, Children.

There REALLY is a collective insanity going on out there= an unshakeable fixation on All Things Negative and near complete and total lack of self confidence – among individuals and Government.
There are Spooks and Ghoulish Things simply everywhere and when they’re not immediately obvious, require to be manufactured – as per Climate Change

Last edited 1 year ago by Peta of Newark
July 7, 2021 7:19 am

Joe d’Aleo and I had written a paper on Excess Winter Mortality based on other evidence when the major Lancet study was published, so we revised our paper to include that excellent study. Our summary reads:
“Cold weather kills. Throughout history and in modern times, many more people succumb to cold exposure than to hot weather, as evidenced in a wide range of cold and warm climates.
Evidence is provided from a study of 74 million deaths in thirteen cold and warm countries including Thailand and Brazil, and studies of the United Kingdom, Europe, the USA, Australia and Canada.
Contrary to popular belief, Earth is colder-than-optimum for human survival. A warmer world, such as was experienced during the Roman Warm Period and the Medieval Warm Period, is expected to lower winter deaths and a colder world like the Little Ice Age will increase winter mortality, absent adaptive measures.
These conclusions have been known for many decades, based on national mortality statistics.”
by Joseph D’Aleo and Allan MacRae

July 7, 2021 7:28 am

Time to re-visit Leonard Nimoy’s Ice Age video of the bigger threat to humanity …

July 7, 2021 8:09 am

The majority of cold deaths by freezing are alcohol related. Passing out by the lakeshore has more severe consequences at -30 than at +30

Last edited 1 year ago by DMacKenzie
Reply to  DMacKenzie,
July 7, 2021 8:49 am

“The majority of cold deaths by freezing are alcohol related. Passing out by the lakeshore has more severe consequences at -30 than at +30.

Not true – Excess Winter Deaths in the USA total ~100,000 per year – most are related to seasonal flu’s.

in the UK, per capital deaths in some years are 2 or 3x the USA average – typically in bad flu years but winter deaths are also caused by energy poverty – elderly Brits who cannot afford to heat their homes sicken and die. It’s all thanks to the green energy fraud..

The global warming and green energy scam is a crime against the elderly and poor.

Last edited 1 year ago by Allan MacRae
Michael in Dublin
July 7, 2021 11:18 am

I knew an old lady whose husband, a composer, had worked for the BBC. At the end of a long winter he died in March 1947 at the age of 45 of pneumonia. The cold played a direct role in his death. That is also why so many old folk die of covid in the winter.

Reply to  Michael in Dublin
July 7, 2021 6:51 pm

The highest death toll from COVID was last summer, not winter. Cold weather does not cause virus transmission. Direct contact with virus particles causes disease transmission.

July 7, 2021 6:49 pm

Flu isn’t caused by cold weather. It is caused by human to human transmission of virus particles.

Cold related deaths are caused by direct exposure to cold, wind, and moisture, and result from hypothermia.

Reply to  DMacKenzie,
July 7, 2021 8:54 am

I was on the Board of the largest homeless shelter in Canada for 16 years. We do get occasional deaths and injuries caused by alcohol-related freezing in winter – amputation of toes and fingers is most common, sometimes loss of feet and legs. I can only recall two freezing deaths and alcohol did play a major role in one or both of these fatalities.

Last edited 1 year ago by Allan MacRae
July 7, 2021 9:04 am

Hmmm no mention of this summer’s heatwave and tornado in the Czech republic? which was climate related…

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 9:10 am

The study is called “Fatalities associated with the extreme weather conditions in the Czech Republic 2000 to 2019” and griff thinks he’s making a brilliant comment by asking why an event in 2021 is not included. Read the title, griff.

Right-Handed Shark
Reply to  Alba
July 7, 2021 10:40 am

grief is programmed to respond only to trigger words, comprehension is not required for him to comment.

Reply to  Right-Handed Shark
July 7, 2021 3:57 pm

Griff is a bot, crudely programmed by the IPCC and the WEF.

AI is still in its infancy – long on the A and short on the I.

We should be nicer to Griff.

– SPCM (Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Machines)

July 7, 2021 5:12 pm

Griff may be a NPC (non-player characters) which are supplied by the
video game maker so the human participants have someone to
interact with. I’ve joked that Anthony Watts uses NPCs as foils to enliven the debate. Too bad AW can’t get better programmers since the NPCs on display come up with some really dumb things. LOL

Rich Davis
Reply to  B Zipperer
July 7, 2021 5:31 pm

I’m pretty sure that Anthony has denied that griff is a bot. I agree that it seems very hard to believe.

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 9:27 am

I see that griff is still trying to convince themselves that everything bad is caused by CO2.

Rich Davis
Reply to  MarkW
July 7, 2021 5:34 pm

His name is Legion? (cf Mk 5:9)

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 10:14 am

Tornado is hadly caused by AGW…. and heatwave in CZ was prety week this year and is cold/rainy since then… so far one of the coldest summers and its hopefuly stays this way.

I didnt use AC last two yesrs since i brought ceeling fan, which is enought so far.

Reply to  Shania
July 8, 2021 3:45 am

But current heatwave is much stronger, I live in Slovakia, former Czechoslovakia and today we are attacking heat records. Yesterday 36,4C, today attacking 38C, week ago 37C. But this is mandatory 2 hot summer weeks, otherwise it was cold during whole spring.

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 10:42 am

Hi Griff. Would you prefer living in 1700 to 1775 when CO2 was so benign, or this terrible time of dangerous CO2, causing, in your opinion, climate related heatwaves and tornados?

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 11:38 am

Tornados are caused when a cold air mass collides with a warm air mass.
If the CO2 myth is accurate, then CO2 will warm the arctic more than the equator, which results in a decrease in temperature differences.
Your own religion states that a warmer world will have fewer tornados, yet here you are claiming that CO2 causes more tornados.

For you sins, say 15 Hail Gretas then pound your head on the ground 7 times.

Mike Lowe
Reply to  MarkW
July 7, 2021 12:36 pm

Tornados, tomatoes? Let’s call the whole thing off!

Rich Davis
Reply to  MarkW
July 7, 2021 2:01 pm

7 times 70 times

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 12:38 pm

So the right number of tornadoes and heatwaves in Czech is zero, is that what you’re saying?

Climate believer
Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 1:07 pm

Hmmm no mention of polar bears either….. very suspicious.

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 1:19 pm


More evidence that you don’t read the articles posted here, you are really here to spread your baloney like a good little boy.

The Study covered the years 2000 to 2019, here is the title of the PUBLISHED (Knew you didn’t read it) Paper,

Fatalities associated with the severe weather conditions in the Czech Republic, 2000–2019

You are terrible at this climate/Weather stuff, you can’t fool Mother Nature or rational thinking people here.

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 1:54 pm

Another griff drive-by mooning !

Rich Davis
Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 2:00 pm

We’re all still waiting for your reply to BobM, griff.

Now I wonder why you would ignore him?

Reply to  Rich Davis
July 7, 2021 2:50 pm

I forget how many years people were asking griff to apologize to Dr. Crawford for claiming that she had no training in arctic wild life. Never happened. As always, griff just pretends he doesn’t see anything he can’t answer.

Reply to  Rich Davis
July 7, 2021 4:42 pm

I’m still waiting on an answer about the right number of tornadoes, heat waves, etc.

Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 3:41 pm

You really need someone to control you’re runaway mouth, perhaps not so many lies would spew forth.

pHil R
Reply to  griff
July 7, 2021 8:45 pm

It was not “climate related.”

Reply to  griff
July 9, 2021 10:23 am

Hmmm griff,
Why don’t you czech-out your data before griffing; e.g. a real simple sample here:
Prague, Prague, Czechia Monthly Weather | AccuWeather
(there you can advance to see your heat-wave or retard to czech the winter as well)
BTW, on the bottom of each month data is a nice colorful graph of it all 😉
Ceers, JaKo

July 7, 2021 12:29 pm

Certainly you meant RISING.

July 7, 2021 3:43 pm

Cold bad, warm good, leftards stupid. Got it? And don’t even get me started on plant food.

July 7, 2021 4:17 pm

“The study had another surprising result: cold weather deaths rose!”.
Are they saying that as average temperatures rose, the winter deaths increased?
If so, that suggests that it’s not things like fuel poverty that caused the increase in winter deaths, but behaviour – ie, something like complacency.
Does anyone have more on this?

Reply to  Mike Jonas
July 7, 2021 8:46 pm

How would a decrease in cold weather deaths imply that the increase in deaths was not caused by fuel poverty?

When you have to choose between food and heat, because energy costs have doubled or tripled, it doesn’t matter that much that the average temperature is 1 to 3 degrees warmer than a decade ago.

Reply to  MarkW
July 8, 2021 5:39 am

The surprise was that cold deaths increased – not decreased – according to the article. If temperatures were generally a bit warmer then you would expect cold deaths to go down. Seems odd to me …

… I have just checked the original paper, and it says “Hazardous behaviour accounted for 76 %. According to the database of the Czech Statistical Office, deaths caused by exposure to excessive natural cold are markedly predominant among five selected groups of weather-related fatalities, and their numbers exhibit a statistically significant rise during 2000–2019.”. They do seem to suggest ‘hazardous behaviour’ – presumably some kind of complacancy – but could it in fact be that fuel poverty increased by ‘more’ than the temperature. Maybe energy prices went up a lot?

Reply to  Mike Jonas
July 8, 2021 1:20 am


I was almost one of their statistics! In Prague in winter 2017 and ill with a chest infection and fever, I contemplated if I might actually die. Probably delirious, I’d started to feel really sick a long way from my lodgings. It was -15 and the sun had just gone down. I worried I wasn’t going to make it on foot between subway stations and safety. I took the risk and made my connections – an Aussie underdressed for the conditions and in the snow and ice I managed to get there.

They keep the temperatures very high though, I believe it was in the thirties celsius inside. I know the heat helped and I hunkered down there for a couple of days before moving to another well heated apartment to convalesce.

If I’d been without a warm shelter, I’m pretty sure I wouldn’t have made it! 😉

Last edited 1 year ago by Scott Wilmot Bennett
Dan Mullock
July 8, 2021 2:33 pm

it is impolite and unprofessional to use the word “stupid” when debating the science of climate change, and most other subjects. We need to respect different points of view particularly when we disagree. The author’s word choice should rise up to the level of their obvious intelligence.

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