What the pandemic revealed about scientific publishing
Here are a few selected excerpts from this excellent article from elemental
Mark Humphries Jun 3 · 7 min read

I was reading my umpteenth news story about Covid-19 science, a story about the latest research into how to make indoor spaces safe from infection, about whether cleaning surfaces or changing the air was more important. And it was bothering me. Not because it was dull (which, of course, it was: there are precious few ways to make air filtration and air pumps edge-of-the-seat stuff). But because of the way it treated the science.
You see, much of the research it reported was in the form of pre-prints, papers shared by researchers on the internet before they are submitted to a scientific journal. And every mention of one of these pre-prints was immediately followed by the disclaimer that it had not yet been peer reviewed. As though to convey to the reader that the research therein, the research plastered all over the story, was somehow of less worth, less value, less meaning than the research in a published paper, a paper that had passed peer review.
Imagine reading about the discovery of the structure of DNA with that same reticence we use today: “In a recent Letter to the journal Nature, Cambridge University scientists James Watson and Francis Crick proposed a new structure for DNA (not yet peer reviewed). They claim their “double helix” model, a spiral of two strands of bases, both explains decades of experimental work, and provides a clear mechanism for copying genes. Their proposal drew heavily on data contained in Letters in the same issue of Nature from the teams of Rosalind Franklin (not yet peer reviewed) and Maurice Wilkins (not yet peer reviewed).”
Or consider this modern take on a certain scientist’s annus mirabilis:
“The past year of 1905 has been a remarkable for one Herr Einstein, who proposed no less than four theories new to modern physics in a series of papers. His first was on a much-anticipated explanation of the photoelectric effect (not yet peer reviewed), the second on how Brownian motion arises from the collision of invisible particles (not yet peer reviewed), the third on the equivalence between mass and energy (not yet peer reviewed), and the final paper updates Newton’s mechanics to be more accurate for objects moving close to the speed of light (not yet peer reviewed).”These imagined reports are both eye-wateringly ridiculous.
Continuing…
Pandemics don’t conveniently hang around waiting for that slow, grinding peer review process to judge science. Science in the time of Covid-19 has had to be nimble, quick on its feet, has had to show its findings to the world without the layers of review-and-revise. We’ve needed rapid research into models of transmission, into immunity and reinfection, into public health messaging and effective interventions, into drugs to treat symptoms, machines to support the severely ill, and the development of radically new types of vaccine. So pre-prints, those manuscripts put on the internet for all to read before peer review, became the weapon of choice. Long common in physics, pre-prints in biology and especially medicine exploded in number during the pandemic.
And the media have dealt with this explosion by consistently pointing out when research has not yet been peer reviewed. Presumably they do this to warn the reader that the research lacks the safeguards that peer review brings. The problem with that warning is peer review guards against nothing.
Does it catch fraud or manipulations of data? No, patently not: peer reviewers are not omniscient, so they cannot divine made-up data, nor can they check all the outputs of a lab to see when they’ve simply copy-and-pasted data between papers. If they were, we wouldn’t have the website PubPeer stuffed to the gills with people flagging potentially serious misdemeanors in published papers, nor Retraction Watch’s endless reporting of papers so dodgy they’re expunged from the literature.
And finally concluding. This is an excellent piece and should be read in its entirety at the source.
This then is why I was so bothered about how Covid-19 research is reported: peer review is no guard, is no gold standard, has little role beyond gate-keeping. It is noisy, biased, fickle. So pointing out that some piece of research has not been peer reviewed is meaningless: peer review has played no role in deciding what research was meaningful in the deep history of science; and played little role in deciding what research was meaningful in the ongoing story of Covid-19. The mere fact that news stories were written about the research decided it was meaningful: because it needed to be done. Viral genomes needed sequencing; vaccines needed developing; epidemiological models needed simulating. The reporting of Covid-19 research has shown us just how badly peer review needs peer reviewing. But, hey, you’ll have to take my word for it because, sorry, this essay is (not yet peer reviewed).
Mark Humphries researches computational neuroscience at the University of Nottingham, U.K., and is the author of “The Spike: An Epic Journey Through the Brain in 2.1 Seconds” (Princeton University Press) out now.
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I have found that “It’s not peer-reviewed” is typically employed as yet another logical fallacy (along with ad-hominem and appeal to authority – guess it’s a subset of that one) use to simply dismiss anything that doesn’t fit the desired narrative without having to engage with what is actually being said.
My brother will only read material written by “climate scientists” who contribute to the UNIPCC report. Said climate scientists must have a degree in the subject. Which almost none of them do.
According to Steve McIntyre, at least in climate science publications, reviewers hardly ever even ask for the data.
Financial reviews might not catch fraud in all cases, but whenever I submit an expense report they always demand the receipts.
The problem with “Peer Review” in fields like Climatology is that they have somehow become “People who agree with me reviews” for one side of the debate, and censorship for views they do not like.
If a paper contains statistics, it needs at least one expert on statistics in the review. If there are physics, then at least one person who is a physicist, If it’s a paper on climatology, then at most a few climatologists in the review and preferably ones that will provide real critiquing. This is how one catches mistakes and improves a paper – by feedback from non-friends who may disagree with the findings.
When you think about the term “peer review” it kind of smacks of the term “Old Boys’ Club,” doesn’t it? I heard the late Dr. Kary Mullis, the Nobel Prize-winning inventor of the PCS testing system, lamenting the fact in an interview that are no “wise old scientists” in academia and research anymore. Our scientific community is broken and MONEY rules the field.
The consensus is made up of “scientists” that when given the opportunity to prove their theory created models that all fail on an epic scale. Literally, the consensus consisted of “experts” that can’t model the observations they claim to be experts on. You can’t get more Orwellian than that.
https://imgur.com/1BNMuTq
https://imgur.com/q4RTtDw
https://imgur.com/iWasmOI
Peer review is valuable and necesary in highly regarded journals. There is hardly a paper that is not improved by it, and many dodgy papers are rejected by it.
But it’s not a universal cure-all. It’s not a guarantee that the paper is perfect. No one claimed it was.
It’s true that peer review is poor at detecting fraud if it’s cleverly done. It is pretty good at detecting fraud which is poorly done. I once submitted a review where I essentially said “Sorry, don’t believe it. The authors are going to have to present far better evidence or explanations to convince me.” The authors were unable to do that, and the paper was rejected. Score one for the good guys.
I’ve called it “the panicdemic” since Day #0.
Peer review protects journals, not science.
Science is doubt and replication, peer review is consensus and acceptance. We need recognition and funding for replication efforts – preferrably by junior researchers.
Peer reviews are group think of morons
Boston Consulting Group has a lot to answer for
The pin the tale on the donkey yellow postit note way of getting consensus has taken over the world
Thanks Charles – good find.
Presumably they do this to warn the reader that the research lacks the safeguards that peer review brings. The problem with that warning is peer review guards against nothing.
waaaaaaaaa.
every paper I’m an author on benefited from peer review.
The only real peer review is replication. Without that, peer review is only a superficial check. If papers are truly presenting unique information that is new knowledge, how do reviewers automatically know enough to judge what they never knew before. They are students, not professors when it comes to reviewing new knowledge.
The best that can be hoped for is that reviewers catch obvious logical and math errors. How often do reviewers question the all too commonly used phrase, “due to climate change”, with no information on direct cause and effect? How does this pass through review? How many studies show the process in sufficient detail to allow a reviewer to judge if p-hacking has occured?
As I said, replication is the only true validation of a study. Tax funded research should always be published with sufficient information (or be obtainable) to perform replication. You only have to look at the replication crisis to know there is a problem.
Good comment.
And of course one of the primary and valid criticisms McIntyre has made over and over again is that paleo and other climate papers deliberately obfuscate or invent methodologies and fail to fully disclose and publish all the data.
The claim is that the fate of the world is at stake. So maybe its a good idea to have someone check your work, Dr Mann, before we spend $trillions? What do you mean “how dare they!”?
Read the Peer-Reviewed Sea Level work and then look at these images. It is all a fraud.
https://imgur.com/a/siHPINY
The evidence that relative sea level is falling in the scandinavian countries is clearly explained as land rebound following ice un-loading after the last glacial.
It cannot be used as evidence that global sea level is falling – it isn’t. And glaciers melting since the mid-19th century are a significant cause of global sea level rise. There is no doubt that is true either.