Texas frozen wind power – outages ensue, electricity now at unheard of $9000 per megawatt-hour

There’s a saying in the lone star state “Don’t Mess with Texas” which actually started out as an anti-littering campaign but has become sort of a slogan for the rugged, no-nonsense way of life that people have there. Now with dead wind turbines littering the state, the focus on deploying unreliable renewable energy in the name of “saving the planet” has literally “messed with Texas” in a huge way.

Ice storms knocked out nearly half the wind-power generating capacity of Texas on Sunday as a massive deep freeze across the state locked up wind turbine generators, creating an electricity generation crisis.

Wind generation ranks as the second-largest source of energy in Texas, accounting for 23% of state power supplies last year, behind natural gas, which represented 45%, according to Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) figures.

ERCOT reports today the spot price for electricity in Texas is currently a stunning $9000 per MegaWatt-hour. Even in the high demand summer months, $100 per MW-hr would be high.

Source: http://www.ercot.com/content/cdr/contours/rtmLmp.html

At the same time the freezing temperatures were driving electricity demand to record levels, ERCOT reported while calling on consumers and businesses to reduce their electricity use as much as possible Sunday, Feb. 14 through Tuesday, Feb. 16.

“We are experiencing record-breaking electric demand due to the extreme cold temperatures that have gripped Texas,” said ERCOT President and CEO Bill Magness. “At the same time, we are dealing with higher-than-normal generation outages due to frozen wind turbines and limited natural gas supplies available to generating units. We are asking Texans to take some simple, safe steps to lower their energy use during this time.”

Source: http://www.ercot.com/news/releases/show/225151

graphic provided by ERCOT shows the huge gap between electricity supply and demand today:

Texas electricity demand vs. supply forecast. Source: ERCOT

Capacity is expected to fall short of demand by as much as 20,000 megawatts today, while the National Weather Service in Dallas predicts record low temperatures between -6° F to 3° F for Monday night.

A map from poweroutage.us is showing the scope of power outages in Texas shows that about 75% of the state is experiencing power outages in varying percentages with a significant portion having no power at all:

Approximately 75% of Texas has some level of power outage – source: poweroutage.us

At the moment, ERCOT is placing rolling power outages in effect to prevent a complete collapse of the power grid saying:

“ERCOT has issued an EEA level 3 because electric demand is very high right now, and supplies can’t keep up. Reserves have dropped below 1,000 MW and are not expected to recover within 30 minutes; as a result, ERCOT has ordered transmission companies to reduce demand on the system.

This is typically done through rotating outages, which are controlled, temporary interruptions of electric service. This type of demand reduction is only used as a last resort to preserve the reliability of the electric system as a whole.”

Source: http://www.ercot.com/eea_info/show/26464

It is sad and ironic that in a state known for its huge petroleum and natural gas resources, the lack of reliability of wind power has brought the state to its knees in a time of crisis, not unlike that which California experienced in 2020 during record heat where wind and solar power could not keep up with demand and was near collapse.

The folly of chasing renewable energy as a means of mitigating “climate change” is making itself abundantly clear today in Texas. When will politicians wake up and realize that renewable energy almost always equates to unreliable energy?

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James
February 16, 2021 2:25 pm

What a boondoggle! Well the ones around here are turning and it was way worse weather. Well let me rephrase the ones that dont have broken blades or haven’t caught on fire or just dont work. We would not have any of these things if they were not being paid for with government money. No one in the private sector will fund this dumpster fire.

john
Reply to  James
February 16, 2021 2:45 pm

Put Patrick Wood III on the hot seat. Lots of questions going back to his days at FERC.

john
February 16, 2021 2:38 pm
micho
February 16, 2021 3:27 pm

TEAR DOWN THAT “WALL” OH, I MEANT WIND TOWERS….

Michael A
February 16, 2021 3:29 pm

Nothing like thousands of gallons of environmentally friendly de-icing substance to get those turbines unbound.

SoCalMike
February 16, 2021 3:32 pm

Democraps drive and promote this garbage.
“We gotta get off oil, we gotta get off oil, we gotta get off oil.”
Teachers Democrap scum burn this trash into kid’s heads non stop and have been for 2 generations now.

Complete self serving BS.

john
Reply to  SoCalMike
February 16, 2021 3:49 pm

WD -40 is made of… Fish oil! Call greenpeace now!🤣

ArmyAviator
February 16, 2021 3:34 pm

Wind generators pose many problems that are conveniently ignored by the Left and their adherents. We here in west Texas have relied on wind generators for about 23% of our electric needs. This storm, we are now living through PROVES the fallacy of wind generators as “the solution” to energy for Texas. We are already facing the problems of how to dispose of DEAD wind generators as they only work for about 20 years then die! Lots of toxic materials to go to the landfill, but Progressives don’t care about that!

WE NEED NUCLEAR GENERATING STATIONS to provide clean, reliable and constant electric power in our Texas country. That and natural gas, oil and coal fired generating plants is the solution our our “problem.” NOT a bunch of hippy designed, weirdo ideas that as I write are PROVEN to be crackpot memes that simply don’t delver, when the chips are down!

Michael Arko
February 16, 2021 3:51 pm

Does no one else find it particularly ironic that it is the weather itself that is attacking and crippling the same renewable power that was engineered to save us from the weather?

Leonard Mullen
February 16, 2021 4:06 pm

Al Gore promised me oceanfront property and endless summers. He said my kids would not remember snow. I would like to punch him in the face. I live on an iceberg. I have not opened my pool in two years. My kids remember snow…every week.

February 16, 2021 4:13 pm
Ryan
February 16, 2021 4:47 pm

“When will politicians wake up and realize that renewable energy almost always equates to unreliable energy?”

Never! What do they care?

Chris
February 16, 2021 4:51 pm

AL Gore insisted NYC would be completely underwater by the year 2014 . You can tell how much these left wingers believe in global warming by how many ocean front houses they have recently purchased .

The whole Climate Change nonsense is about one thing and one thing only and that’s needing a reason to tax citizens into oblivion to fund the U.N’s globalist agaenda.

Steve45
February 16, 2021 4:52 pm

According to Gov Abbott natural gas and coal generators also frozen. So I guess that doesn’t quite fit your convenient little BS narrative does it?

Years of incompetent republican mismanagement the more likely explanation. Meanwhile the reliable, state-owned TVA is totally dunking on Texas right now. The Lone Star State wanted privatized power on an untied Texas-only grid, and those big ol’ Dallas Fryers is a-comin’ home to roost.

fred250
Reply to  Steve45
February 17, 2021 1:58 pm

MORE LIES from Steve IQ=45

Problem was with using electric blowers on the gas pipelines rather than the usual gas powered blowers.. to reduce emissions.

Of course when electricity issues happen gas also had issues

Even so, GAS was doing the BULK of the supply

Wind and solar mostly MIA

COAL flat chat, just not enough of it left.

Years of Republicans bowing to the greenie anti-CO2 agenda is the real explanation.

IT NEEDS TO STOP.. NOW

comment image

Steve45
Reply to  fred250
February 17, 2021 11:17 pm

Thanks for the graphic incel. Looks like coal and natural gas spectacularly failed from the 15th onwards. Another manifestation of republican incompetence.

goldminor
Reply to  Steve45
February 17, 2021 10:27 pm

Two out of the 7 coal plants failed for some reason, or perhaps they were just down for maintenance. The main failure came from natural gas as the demand soared. Another ingredient to all of this is that the population of Texas has soared over the last 20 years. With the ever yammering agw crowd pushing for supposedly non carbon energy sources Texas appeased that crowd with 30+ billion dollars worth of wind turbines which are mostly useless every winter as wind diminishes down there every winter.

February 16, 2021 5:03 pm

Democrats like people to suffer. They’re malicious nasty people.

Bobbi Whiskers
February 16, 2021 5:10 pm

Why are wind turbines in Wyoming and Montana still working, in even colder sub zero temperatures?

UNGN
Reply to  Bobbi Whiskers
February 16, 2021 6:27 pm

Too cold/dry for freezing rain?

The reality is the turbines are a convenient excuse for a lot of problems. Texas used to have coal plants. Not any more. The “valves” don’t “freeze” on a coal plant.

rah
Reply to  UNGN
February 16, 2021 9:29 pm

The problem with freezing for a coal fired unit would be the water source, But bubblers can take care of that, I would suspect that in more arid Texas water sources are generally shallower and that they never took any precautions because in the past when these cold polar blasts they generally only last a day or two and then it started warming right back up,

UNGN
February 16, 2021 5:20 pm

I had 40 hours without power in DFW. Temps were 17 to -2. House was 41 degrees inside for 13 hours. Power came back on 3 pm today. spent 2 hours unthawing pipes before Water pressure went to zero. Still have Ice plugs in shower..

Neighbor across the street is on an older, easier to fix above ground grid, kept his landscape lights on all night to taunt me. In a 50 minute Dunkin Donuts line for coffee/food there was a 2021 Aston Martin SUV and BMW M8 Competition. Big bucks were in the same boat I was in my 21 year old SUV, so change is coming.

FiftycalTX
February 16, 2021 5:22 pm

I’vew already called my state rep and Senator. The Legislature and Governor have already called for investigations. I predict there will be lots of used wind turbines for sale soon.

rah
Reply to  FiftycalTX
February 17, 2021 5:27 pm

I hope your right, but I doubt it. Anyway God Bless Texas!

I’m a Hoosier but I spent a total of over 2 1/2 years living at Ft. Sam Houston. My son graduated in the same class as Shaquille O’Neil at the small HS on post. One day he brought that tall regularly built kid by our family quarters on Chaffee Ave. He was very polite and respectful. Had to duck to pass through the door. Good kid. He had already settled on LSU but I had to ask him if he had considered IU. Not a chance. I never had a clue he would bulk out to the monster proportions he obtained as a Pro.

February 16, 2021 5:25 pm

Somewhere deep within the Polar Vortex Al Gore continues to keep the dream of global warming alive.

al_gore_flame_thrower2.jpg
rah
Reply to  Greg Burton
February 18, 2021 2:06 am

Won’t work. Ever hear of the “Gore Effect”?

youshouldbelieve
February 16, 2021 6:09 pm

Valentina Zharkova lifts this comic tragedy from the realm of humor into pathos. She is a mathematical physicist in England and a world renowned solar researcher. Her concentration is the relationship of the sun’s two great magnetic fields to one another. It is that cyclic, predictable relationship that vastly dominates the variable climate of our solar system’s planets.

To hear meteorologists on the news and other non-engineering, non-scientists… especially politicians… we are currently suffering a “polar vortex”, or “the polar express”, without what seems the least understanding of true cause. Some of us of little understanding are blaming atmospheric CO2 for causing global warming and driving the cold out of the Arctic and Antarctic to plague us all. But computer simulations and prophesies are really cartoons and only as good as the political beliefs of those who draw them. You can generate any numeric outcome your belief system desires. Any. All you have to do is not include certain facts as they should be and accentuate others that shouldn’t.

What Zharkova and her team… and others… have done, is to measure those long duration magnetic fields generated within the sun, and correlate their cyclical activity to the great climate blessings and catastrophes of our long term past. When the fields are closer to being in sync there is global warming. When they oppose each other there is global cooling. We are swiftly heading toward the latter. The results are guaranteed to be incredibly catastrophic for mankind if we don’t come to our senses and stop worshipping at the altar of global warming political correctness. We may…MAY… avert some of the worst consequences of global cooling if we take thought and action soon.

The most recent of the major tragic global coolings occurred during the period of the Maunder Minimum from 1645 to 1715, and was caused by the sun’s magnetic fields being opposed to each other over a long term. All of the other minima that have been accurately studied, both prior and since, have the same cause. As mentioned, the warming maxima have the opposite cause: the sun’s fields being cyclically in sync.

It’s the temperature minima that cause devastation. When the sun’s magnetic fields tend to cancel each other they don’t prevent cosmic rays… the universe’s most energetic particles… from reaching Earth’s atmosphere from far outer space as readily as the fields do when they are more in step with each other. When the fields are in step the result is a magnetic field that extends far into the solar system and deflects incoming cosmic rays at a high enough rate to help prevent their seeding clouds in our atmosphere.

The sun’s emission of electrons also counters incoming cosmic rays, which are largely protons. This Solar Wind, emitted through sunspots, occurs more strongly when the two magnetic field cycles correspond. It’s largely these two effects taken together that cause the rate of cosmic ray incidence to be decreased.

This is a good thing. Fewer cosmic rays means fewer clouds. This leads to the warming of Earth and allows civilization to flourish. Going hand-in-hand with this is that the general energy output of the sun is at a level to comfortably warm the oceans and atmosphere. Agriculture is more plentiful. Comfort is more widespread. Mass emergency migration is prevented. War doesn’t occur as readily.

But what of the times of greater cosmic ray penetration? According to Heinrik Svensmark’s research in Denmark, up to 30% of Earth’s cloudiness is caused by cosmic rays interaction with molecules in our atmosphere. The obvious result is cooler climate, more rain and snow, shorter growing seasons, less food produced, more strife.

Millions died in Europe during the Maunder Minimum because of the increased cold, decreased food production, increased sickness. The population of Earth was at one billion people in 1800, and perhaps only seven hundred million or so eighty-five years before that in 1715 at the end of the Maunder when Earth warmed up again. Today, Earth’s population is eleven times that of 1800.

If the global cooling that we are headed into by way of the predictable decline of the sun’s overall magnetic field is as severe as that of the Maunder… and top researchers are warning that the Maunder will indeed reoccur… we are in big trouble around the world.

According to Zharkova the cold will hit in two great waves, the first of which has only recently begun and will be with us over a period of a few years. There will then be a moderate respite for a few short years, when temperatures will increase slightly toward a more comfortable level. The first wave will be bad enough. The second will be tremendous. Politics will be thrown out of the window. Mass migration, war, revolution, starvation, freezing and disease could (will?) be the norm… UNLESS we throw global warming on the junk pile and develop an outlook based on science and reality.

Click on Valentina Zharkova and also Heinrik Svensmark to learn from the experts.

youshouldbelieve
February 16, 2021 6:35 pm

Correction: Earth’s population is now eleven times that of 1715, not that of 1800.

hu fan
February 16, 2021 10:58 pm

Serious question here. I’m not anti EV, but how in the world will an already stressed power grid hold up to the addition of 10 million+ cars being charged? Someone better look at this before we end up a country of cars that can’t be driven due to lack of energy. 1973 all over again.

ResourceGuy
Reply to  hu fan
February 17, 2021 5:31 am

Details, details

We have to save that for the next crisis play. Planning and questioning are outmoded concepts in the Climate Crusade.

youshouldbelieve
Reply to  hu fan
February 17, 2021 9:56 am

Exactly hu. An analysis I read several years ago brings this out in spades. In order to power tens of millions of e-vehicles, the nation’s power grid will have to be redone, running into the trillion$. Current transmission lines aren’t capable of handling the necessary upload. Cryogenic transmission systems will have to be used throughout the country. This means special, super expensive, non-copper conductors and distribution facilities that operate at cryogenic temperatures will have to be put in place. The transmission lines can’t be strung overhead like today’s. They’ll need to be dug into the ground all over the country and fully insulated.

And there’s the need to have increased power generation. With global cooling setting in until about 2050, solar is out because of increased cloudiness and snow and ice. Wind will still be unreliable and only able to provide a fraction of the need. That leaves us with traditional gas/oil, hydroelectric and nuclear fission. There’s hope that nuclear fusion will be available, but they’ve been working to get that running for more than sixty years. There are (ongoing) new developments with the necessary magnetic containment for the fusion process, so maybe it will be here in time. But why plan our future on a just-in-time basis?

And I’m surprised that the greenies haven’t taken up the sword against the humongous amount of CO2 released in the production of e-vehicle batteries. The amount released to produce one battery is equal to the amount released by driving a regular car for nine years.

Reply to  youshouldbelieve
February 17, 2021 11:04 am

The transmission lines can’t be strung overhead like today’s. They’ll need to be dug into the ground all over the country and fully insulated.

LOL. There’ll be about as much luck w/that as w/new pipelines….

John Garrett
February 17, 2021 5:41 am
Reply to  John Garrett
February 17, 2021 7:47 am

“Abbott said that several natural gas and coal generators had been unable to generate power because of the freezing conditions. Several wind turbines were also frozen, but even so, ERCOT data showed that wind-driven power exceeded expectations.”

So there you have it, wind outperformed.
Does he realize that ERCOT has a real time page allowing us to see it?

Since monday i have watched it, seems like wind has moved around 4-12% of nameplate.

If that is outperforming, then there are pretty low expectations.

Its at 5% right now. If wind was at 50-60% there would be no rolling blackouts

Kevin kilty
Reply to  Pat from Kerbob
February 17, 2021 8:20 am

Exactly. The ERCOT site shows wind generated resource power potential (WGRPP) for the past couple of days, today, and tomorrow appear to be just about nil in the morning hours. Currently around 3% of name plate capacity, while the actual generated power is a tiny bit above at maybe 4%. So, it is truthful to say it is exceeding expectations, but not useful. In fact, since the WGRPP is based on 80% probability of being exceeded it would be poor effort for it to not exceed expectations!

At any rate, there has to be a lot more wind installed, or Texas has to put in place more baseload power from nuclear or coal (coal as it doen’t compete with residential gas for heat).

Reply to  Pat from Kerbob
February 17, 2021 9:41 am

The 5% that’s working is exceeding expectations… 😉

ETHAN BRAND
February 17, 2021 5:43 am

“It is sad and ironic that in a state known for its huge petroleum and natural gas resources, the lack of reliability of wind power has brought the state to its knees in a time of crisis, not unlike that which California experienced in 2020 during record heat where wind and solar power could not keep up with demand and was near collapse.

The folly of chasing renewable energy as a means of mitigating “climate change” is making itself abundantly clear today in Texas. When will politicians wake up and realize that renewable energy almost always equates to unreliable energy?”

Unfortunately this is not one of WUWT better articles. While the statements about the loss of wind power is literally true, the article fails to note that the problems Texas is having with its power grid is widespread and complex and is due to cold weather/freezing rain/snow impacts on all of its power generation. For example, one South Texas nuke plant is down due to freezing supply water problems (it is located on the Gulf!). Other Gas, Oil and Coal plants are having problems due to an array of problems, most related to protracted cold temperatures and grid issues. The gas problems appears to stem from over demand resulting in low system pressure. While it is obvious that the loss of wind and solar due to icing, snow, lack of sun etc is clearly predictable, the large loss of “conventional” source is likely due to poor planning, design, construction, and most of all lack of resilience to this type of weather event. Too much reliance on a single power source (gas) which has no inherent fuel “storage”…ie too dependent upon a real time gas pipe distribution system. Any notion that wind and solar could be dependable under these circumstances is insane (icing being a specific problem). The loss of the South Texas nuke plant is absurd. I have worked in nuclear for several decades, and generally they are built pretty darn well to deal with marginal situations. Why the heck this plant went down is a big question.

The bottom line is that the Texas power grid was ill prepared for this event. The reasons will be myriad and complex. I have no confidence that politicians will be part of the solution. Even the Texas governors first reaction is to blame somebody else (ie just like Newsom, California), never saying, WE all need to take a look at how we got here.

To see where the potential solutions/grid improvements will come from, I suggest you first look at any entity that is practicing introspection. If the first element of any analysis is essentially “Its not our fault….”, look elsewhere….the analysis will not lead to anything useful.

A reliable power grid takes a steely eyed approach to the complexity of the problem. There are no simple solutions.

Ethan Brand

Reply to  ETHAN BRAND
February 17, 2021 7:41 am

Agree with what you are saying, total failure to plan.
But looking at ERCOT, total wind generation is still down at less than 5% of nameplate.

I think this shows far too many assumptions were made in every aspect of the utility system.

Takes a massive event to expose it.
As another poster noted yesterday, in the southern usa, gas is allowed to have almost double the water content we allow in Canada, hence our gas lines don’t freeze.

Dehydrating gas costs $$, so maybe an extra process plant needs to be there and run at least from november to end of feb to ensure no freezing.

goldminor
Reply to  ETHAN BRAND
February 17, 2021 10:21 pm

I was reading where Texas has almost 11,000 wind turbines. At an average cost of 3 to 4 million per unit installed those wind turbines were a complete waste of 30+ billion dollars.

ResourceGuy
February 17, 2021 5:53 am

I think we’re going to need video evidence of frozen windmills with all the media ignoring it or writing biased stories (WSJ) to downplay it. Any volunteers?

Tom Abbott
February 17, 2021 9:13 am

I’m profoundly sad to say that Rush Limbaugh has died.

He was the voice of reason in a crazy world. I will miss his perspective very much.

Reply to  Tom Abbott
February 17, 2021 11:00 am

Yeah, Mark Steyn has some gracious comments on it:
https://www.steynonline.com/11078/the-indispensable-man

rah
Reply to  Tom Abbott
February 17, 2021 4:45 pm

Many millions are mourning his passing, including me. The hours he has helped pass for me when driving a big truck are countless. I cannot say how many times he had help to lighten my load with his humor or a message of hope when I was feeling down about events. It was during GWB’s first term as I was working in my office that he warned that the left was working to declare CO2 a pollutant. I will always remember.

While those of us that Loved him mourn a lot of others are rejoicing. Rush had something to say about that too:

From the Ace of Spades HQ blog:
“Rush Limbaugh eulogized Andrew Breitbart, who said of the impotent, no-account Twitter Addicts celebrating his death: “Leftists are filled with an unspeakable, vicious glee today, but Brietbart would have loved to read them for they show the impact he had.”

“Applies to Rush as well”

rah
February 17, 2021 10:46 am

My Granddaughter that lives in Killeen, TX texted that they now have a “stage 5” water usage restriction. She didn’t explain what that is.

goldminor
Reply to  rah
February 17, 2021 10:17 pm

From what I have read the water situation is really bad. Everyone has to boil their water, if they still have water running. They have told everyone to stop dripping their faucets which means many more frozen household taps. Their water reservoirs are running low in some places because the pumps are down.

rah
Reply to  goldminor
February 18, 2021 2:04 am

People have the water in their toilet bowels freezing.