Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: In 20-40 Years, Global Warming will Make Louisiana Uninhabitable

Beer on the Beach
Beer on the Beach. Jake Bradley jakebradley, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

According to BullSci, in 20-40 years of unchecked global warming people will need air conditioners at least 18 days per year to survive temperatures in Louisiana.

Dealing with climate change requires more fight and less flight

By Dawn Stover | October 26, 2020

America’s West is facing massive wildfires. Its coasts are being inundated by sea level rise. Its desert cities and farms are stressed by ever-increasing demands for air conditioning and water. The Southeast faces increased hurricane risks. The heartland is seeing extremes of both heat and precipitation. In relatively cool places like Alaska and northern Minnesota, temperatures are rising even faster than elsewhere, melting the tundra and turning forests into savannas.RELATED:About last night’s fracking comments in the debate

“Where can I go to be safe?” is the wrong question. The wealthiest Americans can build bunkers or buy private islands. They can pay security guards and private schools. They can access the best medical treatments the world has to offer. They can buy solar panels and Teslas. But they can no more escape climate change than they can stop breathing. They cannot purchase their own atmosphere or their own ocean.

The new climate migrants. Because many Americans do not yet recognize climate change as an emergency, some are still migrating into harm’s way. America’s coastlines and desert cities continue to swell with new arrivals and new housing developments.

That will soon change. By 20 to 40 years from now, under a high-emissions scenario with no policies to mitigate global warming, everyday temperatures in the US South and Southwest will be extremely hot, according to an analysis by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine of Rhodium Group research. In that scenario, some counties in Arizona will be above 95 degrees for half the year, and some parts of the Midwest and Louisiana will be so humid for about 18 days of each year that humans will need air conditioning to stay cool enough for survival.

Read more: https://thebulletin.org/2020/10/dealing-with-climate-change-requires-more-fight-and-less-flight/

As someone who lives in a place which is warmer than New Orleans, I’m happy to pass on our well researched Aussie emergency survival plan for extreme heat, so you can teach your kids how to deal with the coming climate crisis.

Drag the TV outside, jump in the pool, put up a big sun shade, and buy a large bag of ice for the beer and soft drink cooler.

As with any emergency survival plan, practice drills are essential.

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Craig from Oz
October 26, 2020 5:04 pm

So much pure page filling word count here. All this article needs is “Number Seven will AMAZE you” and the click bait will be complete.

Let us look at just part of the article, shall we?

“That will soon change. By 20 to 40 years from now, under a high-emissions scenario with no policies to mitigate global warming, everyday temperatures in the US South and Southwest will be extremely hot, according to an analysis by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine of Rhodium Group research.”

Or, to word it slightly differently:

“It may already be too late. In some vaguely defined period an abstract amount of time in the future, under the worse case scenario we deliberately selected because it gives the best numbers and which does not actually match to current observations, a vaguely defined large area of North America will hotter by a non scientifically defined amount. We back these claims by quoting a research ‘group’ you have never heard of but who have an official sounding name and an openly Left Wing media outlet. How dare you. How dare you! How Dare You!

Also Orange Man Bad.”

RoHa
October 26, 2020 8:20 pm

Louisiana was always uninhabitable.

Tom Abbott
October 27, 2020 6:10 am

From the article: “America’s West is facing massive wildfires. Its coasts are being inundated by sea level rise.”

Hyperbole much?

A couple of milimeters of sea level rise over a ten year period is not an inundation.

We have people who don’t understand the situation trying to describe the situation, and they get it completely wrong as a result.

griff
Reply to  Tom Abbott
October 27, 2020 7:45 am

I would say there is no hyperbole at all attached to the statement about wildfires…

This handy summary certainly shows record area and cost in 2020…

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Western_United_States_wildfire_season#Year-to-date_wildfire_figures

Megs
Reply to  griff
October 27, 2020 2:07 pm

What’s the latest figures on fires started by people Griff? The ones they know about?

We were suffering a long dry spell in parts of Australia before the rain returned in February. The grasses were long and crispy dry. We had four small fires within five kilometres of our home in December and January. I say small because fortunately in each case the fire dept contained them be fore they got out of control. We counted ourselves very lucky Griff, as you know, Australia’s last fire season was big.

What made it particularly scary for us Griff was that these fires all occurred within a short distance from our local solar industry. We have 310 hectares (766 acres) of thin film solar panels close by. We spoke to the local fireman about the causes of these local fires. He said that two were started by people flicking lit cigarette butts out of the windows of their cars. One was started by a camper who didn’t fully extinguish his camp fire, the other was caused by a fencing welder.

We asked a senior fireman how he’d put out a fire at the local solar works. He said, “we’d let it burn, you wouldn’t want to be around the toxic smoke”. Unfortunately we have the thin film variety of panels. I told him that we lived just over the hill from them, he just shrugged. He said that you can’t train a hose onto the damaged infrastructure anyway as the system is live. He said best way to fight a solar fire was from the air. Fires travel fast on a windy day, I have no idea where the nearest water bombers are, but our town could be well alight by the time they arrived.

So you see Griff solar works add to the fire risk. The same with wind turbines, they have a habit of catching fire too, but they throw the fire around!

Griff all this hype about global warming is a lie, the only reason there is more fires is because there’s more people to start them, accidentally or otherwise.

The hype and urgency to ‘do’ something about so called ‘global warming’ is just another ploy from the AGW marketing department to sell more renewables. It’s just marketing Griff. Extinction Rebellion, David Attenborough, Prince Charles, any famous actor who thinks that what they have to say is important. And don’t get me started on the ‘science’ articles in newspapers.

These people are not scientists Griff, they don’t actually ‘know’ what they are talking about in regard to ‘climate’. They just fell hook line and sinker for the scam and they want to present to the world that they are one the side of ‘good’, virtue signallers. They are the perfect marketing tools simply because they are famous, they are household names, but they are not scientists Griff.

My distain for these people is that they have asked no questions, they are effectively promoting death and destruction. They have no clue about the effect their AGW cure (renewables) are having on the planet. Much like yourself Griff.

October 27, 2020 7:15 am

Louisianans can handle the HEAT !
Home of Tobasco sauce 🙂

MST
October 27, 2020 8:29 am

Lived in Louisiana during their hottest years on record (’98, ’99). Loved it. Not a big AC guy, either. Play golf in the morning, knuckle heads.

“..so humid…”? So the humidity is going to go above 100%? Supersaturated air kills! Who knew? An extra 18 or 19 days of AC for most Louisianans is a rounding error.

tty
October 27, 2020 3:42 pm

New Orleans has an annual average temperature of 20 C. There are a few places in Africa with annual averages over 30 C which are definitely inhabitable since they are inhabited (and without A/C).

Admittedly they are a lot drier, but there are lots of places just as humid as Louisiana with annual averages of 27-28 C. Like e g the Seychelles, a popular holiday spot.

So Louisiana has a pretty large safety margin.

John F Hultquist
October 27, 2020 8:21 pm

Dawn Stover ?! See this:
https://thebulletin.org/2011/11/the-myth-of-renewable-energy/
The myth of renewable energy
By Dawn Stover | November 22, 2011

I need to have another drink and go to bed.

Ratuma
October 28, 2020 8:44 am
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