Guest essay by Eric Worrall
According to BullSci, in 20-40 years of unchecked global warming people will need air conditioners at least 18 days per year to survive temperatures in Louisiana.
Dealing with climate change requires more fight and less flight
By Dawn Stover | October 26, 2020
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America’s West is facing massive wildfires. Its coasts are being inundated by sea level rise. Its desert cities and farms are stressed by ever-increasing demands for air conditioning and water. The Southeast faces increased hurricane risks. The heartland is seeing extremes of both heat and precipitation. In relatively cool places like Alaska and northern Minnesota, temperatures are rising even faster than elsewhere, melting the tundra and turning forests into savannas.RELATED:About last night’s fracking comments in the debate
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“Where can I go to be safe?” is the wrong question. The wealthiest Americans can build bunkers or buy private islands. They can pay security guards and private schools. They can access the best medical treatments the world has to offer. They can buy solar panels and Teslas. But they can no more escape climate change than they can stop breathing. They cannot purchase their own atmosphere or their own ocean.
The new climate migrants. Because many Americans do not yet recognize climate change as an emergency, some are still migrating into harm’s way. America’s coastlines and desert cities continue to swell with new arrivals and new housing developments.
That will soon change. By 20 to 40 years from now, under a high-emissions scenario with no policies to mitigate global warming, everyday temperatures in the US South and Southwest will be extremely hot, according to an analysis by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine of Rhodium Group research. In that scenario, some counties in Arizona will be above 95 degrees for half the year, and some parts of the Midwest and Louisiana will be so humid for about 18 days of each year that humans will need air conditioning to stay cool enough for survival.
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Read more: https://thebulletin.org/2020/10/dealing-with-climate-change-requires-more-fight-and-less-flight/
As someone who lives in a place which is warmer than New Orleans, I’m happy to pass on our well researched Aussie emergency survival plan for extreme heat, so you can teach your kids how to deal with the coming climate crisis.
Drag the TV outside, jump in the pool, put up a big sun shade, and buy a large bag of ice for the beer and soft drink cooler.
As with any emergency survival plan, practice drills are essential.
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This sounds like climate porn. Better known as climate disinformation. Or plain stupidity if one didn’t know any better. It’s been hot and humid every summer in Louisiana for a long time.
I tell my drinking buddies to avoid Corona beer, cause it might cause corona virus. They just laugh..and then I tell them they are also consuming CO2 pollution in the beer. And they laugh some more. I told some kids I know that pop (or the new Soda Stream water flavor) is also CO2 pollution in their favourite beverage, and they also laugh. I wonder if anyone takes this seriously, other than those with an agenda.
By those standard, most of Central and South America has been uninhabitable for years.
You could also respond to Global Warming™ this way:
https://www.ispot.tv/ad/nxvq/corona-extra-no-hurry-no-worry-featuring-snoop-dogg
I lived in Louisiana as a kid, and I can guarantee you the AC was on more than 19days a year.
You mean “like has happened for the last 20 – 40 years”?
Massive wild fires, sea level rise, increased hurricane risk…..That reads like an Obama stump speech for Biden. It’s hard to find a line in it that is not false, whether intentional or by ignorance.
Where can I go to be safe? Martha’s Vineyard! That’s right. That’s the ticket….
+20
There are people suffering in dire energy poverty, even in major nations because of “cost of carbon” tax fraud. Choosing between food and warmth. Oft losing some of both.
I call it the Bulletin of the Atomic Bums, because of the mushroom cloud of pseudoscience, lies, and propaganda they release.
Bruce it’s likely they are paid for this sort of ‘marketing’, to sell more renewables products.
Must act now, before it’s too late! Selling fast. New improved product. You too can be a part of the ‘save the planet’ scheme!
The urgency is that people are finally waking up and the scheme is going to collapse.
Maybe it really is time to put a pool in my backyard here in Ohio. I think with a pool and cooler full of gin, ice, and tonic water. I will be good.
See Prof Landray interview on France Soir. He seemed at a loss in explaining why trial patients were so HUGELY overdosed.His response to the French medical expert questioning the dosage level is alarming.
RECOVERY WAS A DESIGN TO FAIL EXERCISE!
More warming will do great things for the planet. 😉
https://notrickszone.com/2020/10/26/scientists-have-determined-a-5c-warmer-earth-would-provide-more-habitable-conditions/
The age of Hit Piece Pseudoscience is upon us or maybe “Binge BS”. No passcode is required, just scare and more scare. The combinations are endless–That means you get to count anything as academic output for your annual raise and promotion.
And in 20-40 years will anyone at the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists take responsibility for this claim? Has anyone who made projections of a 20 year tripping point in 1995 taken responsibility for being wrong yet?
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists did one smart thing, they put the coming doom at 40 years in the future, so they can go a long time before being humiliated by their bad predictions.
The rest of the Alarmists only give us nine or ten more years before the end. We get to call them out on their bad predictions much sooner than we could call out the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
I predict that in 40 years we won’t be hearing all this Human-caused climate change BS anymore. Maybe sooner.
Hmmmm . . . I never knew that climate change was linked to issues related to “atomic” (fission or fusion) science. Who knew???
The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists has lost whatever credibility they once may have had by parroting the meme of CAGW climate change™.
Look for them to next claim that increasing global atmospheric temperature has increased the rate of radioactive decay in certain naturally-occurring radioactive materials in Earth’s crust and core, such as U-238, Th-232, K-40 and radon.
Forests good. Savannas bad. Except savannas are okay where they already exist. But forest must under no circumstances ever change to savanna. Also, savanna must never change to forest. Change bad.
. . . which leads directly to the implication: status quo good, evolution bad.
We all should have stayed as slime algae . . . and been much happier.
“Global Warming will Make Louisiana Uninhabitable”
If Louisiana (or in fact the entire US Gulf Coast) is such a dangerous place to live, why do people live there?
“Some of the deadliest tropical storms and hurricanes to ever hit the United States have struck the Louisiana shoreline. Memorable storms include Ike in 2008, both Rita and Katrina in 2005, Andrew in 1992, Camille in 1969, Betsy in 1965, Audrey in 1957. These storms claimed many lives from the area. Audrey had the highest death toll in modern times, in the United States, from any tropical cyclone, with 526 lives lost in Cameron and nine in Texas.”
https://www.beauregarddailynews.net/news/20170524/brief-history-of-louisiana-hurricanes
Louisiana is right in the middle of “Hurricane Alley”.
It shouldn’t be a surprise that they feel the effect of a lot of hurricanes. Some weather forecasters I have listened to in the last few days seem to think it is unusual for Louisiana to get hit by a lot of hurricanes.
If a Gulf hurricane passes west of Louisiana, the state still gets some of the effects of the hurricane. If a Gulf hurricane passes east of Louisiana, the state still gets some of the effects of the hurricane. It’s not unusual for Louisiana to have a lot of problems from hurricanes.
Note that the apocalypse du jour is always 20-40 years in the future these days when they hope you have forgotten or they have retired or moved on. Every time a shorter window is used for tipping points to save the planet or for the Arctic to melt or for NYC to submerge they have of course failed miserably.
If you test the data for the 2 LA stations in the Climate Reference Network for a time trend there is none. The data only goes back to 2003. Even so, a 17 year period on no warming is hard to reconcile with unlivable in 20 years. LA is a humid place and has lots of water around. It is unbelievable to me that people that who call themselves scientists don’t understand that the water cycle puts an upper limit on heating. Many of the science institutions in the US are in for a rude awakening.
Thanks, Nelson –
There is an easier way to examine the trend at any locale.
You go to “wolframalpha.”
This is a web site that is supposed to be able to answer all kinds of questions.
you enter in the blank:
“average temperature baton rouge la past 60 years”
a graph will show up with these data plotted for you. Usually in a few seconds.
Baton Rouge actually shows a decrease in avg temps!
Enter any city you like.
I was presenting a data analysis seminar to some grad students. A focus was on: matching data to a hypothesis. [Radical, I know. Why was I brought in to educate grad students on this? Because they had done their bachelors degrees after 1985, after the Communists took over academia, so all that matters is social virtue – and data analysis has suffered.]
This group happened to have people from many paces, including outside USA. I had them nominating cities as we searched this WolframAlpha for a hint of Global Warming.
The sample of cities came fro the audience, not from me. We found no “global warming” worth mentioning.
A better way to do this is to have students draw out the graph of what they believe they will find. I do not do this because it is so humiliating that I cannot get my point across.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/
I won’t be around in 20 – 40 years, but Louisiana will still be inhabited by humans.
There have been 40 years now of Global Warming warnings about temperatures rising all over and so far in Louisiana, the temperature average has gone up about 1 F degree or less. The highest temperature ever recorded there was 114 F degree and the lowest -16 F degree, It is hard to see the runaway temperature here or any sort of danger to inhabitants.
A former co-worker of mine grew up in Eastern Washington where he was used to winters, complete with snow. During WWII he was a radio operator in the merchant marine ferrying munitions and aviation fuel between San Francisco and various places in the South Pacific. After one tour of about 6 months he was on leave in Seattle where the temperature was in the 60s (F). He was freezing and needed to wear a parka. Sunk twice by submarines and twice more by kamakazis, I wonder what he would have said to people whining they “might” need to run their air conditioners for 18 days to “survive” Louisiana.
People adapt to fairly extreme temperature changes in periods measured in months, let alone decades. And it is much easier to adapt to warming than cooling.
40 years ago it was common in Louisiana and other Deep South states to see all kinds of Confederate memorabilia with the slogan “The South Shall Rise Again!”. My comment then as now was “sure, but only because some Damned Yankee invented air conditioning”.
And has been noted countless times before, if you believe the IPCC theory, the majority of the predicted warming will occur towards the poles and in the form of increased minimum temperatures. The real problem for places like Louisiana will not be that they need more air conditioning, but that they can’t afford the “clean, green” energy to run them.
You’d have to take RCP 8.5 and cube it to arrive at a scenario that threatens significant consequences in the next 20-40 years.
I’m completely in favor of bringing back the warm period on Earth known as the Carboniferous epoch or era or whatever it was. We can keep the atmospheric oxygen levels at 205, so that we don’t get giant dragonflies and really, really big nasty centipedes, but otherwise, PARTY CENTRAL!!!!
Actually the Carboniferous was cold, with major ice sheets. As a matter of fact the only part of the Phanerozoic about as cold as the present.
What uninformed, derivative anti-scientific crap.
These climate porn predictions are even less credible than televangelist rapture bunk.
Yet, like the televangelists, these climate clowns find a never ending supply of the easily duped.
As someone who survived 2 a day football practices starting on Aug. 15 th and lasting 2 weeks back in the early 1960’s in New Orleans I can confidently predict people will survive into the future down there no matter what happens to the climate. P.S. those practices were held with no water intake at all.
“BullSci”
That pretty much sums the clowns up. 😉