Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: In 20-40 Years, Global Warming will Make Louisiana Uninhabitable

Beer on the Beach
Beer on the Beach. Jake Bradley jakebradley, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

According to BullSci, in 20-40 years of unchecked global warming people will need air conditioners at least 18 days per year to survive temperatures in Louisiana.

Dealing with climate change requires more fight and less flight

By Dawn Stover | October 26, 2020

America’s West is facing massive wildfires. Its coasts are being inundated by sea level rise. Its desert cities and farms are stressed by ever-increasing demands for air conditioning and water. The Southeast faces increased hurricane risks. The heartland is seeing extremes of both heat and precipitation. In relatively cool places like Alaska and northern Minnesota, temperatures are rising even faster than elsewhere, melting the tundra and turning forests into savannas.RELATED:About last night’s fracking comments in the debate

“Where can I go to be safe?” is the wrong question. The wealthiest Americans can build bunkers or buy private islands. They can pay security guards and private schools. They can access the best medical treatments the world has to offer. They can buy solar panels and Teslas. But they can no more escape climate change than they can stop breathing. They cannot purchase their own atmosphere or their own ocean.

The new climate migrants. Because many Americans do not yet recognize climate change as an emergency, some are still migrating into harm’s way. America’s coastlines and desert cities continue to swell with new arrivals and new housing developments.

That will soon change. By 20 to 40 years from now, under a high-emissions scenario with no policies to mitigate global warming, everyday temperatures in the US South and Southwest will be extremely hot, according to an analysis by ProPublica and The New York Times Magazine of Rhodium Group research. In that scenario, some counties in Arizona will be above 95 degrees for half the year, and some parts of the Midwest and Louisiana will be so humid for about 18 days of each year that humans will need air conditioning to stay cool enough for survival.

Read more: https://thebulletin.org/2020/10/dealing-with-climate-change-requires-more-fight-and-less-flight/

As someone who lives in a place which is warmer than New Orleans, I’m happy to pass on our well researched Aussie emergency survival plan for extreme heat, so you can teach your kids how to deal with the coming climate crisis.

Drag the TV outside, jump in the pool, put up a big sun shade, and buy a large bag of ice for the beer and soft drink cooler.

As with any emergency survival plan, practice drills are essential.

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John Tillman
October 26, 2020 10:14 am

Tell that to the Middle Archaic SE Woodland culture Indians who built mounds in Louisiana from 4000 BC, at the height of the Holocene Climate Optimum.

Russell Cook
Reply to  John Tillman
October 26, 2020 10:35 am

Is there also an archeological record of how Louisiana folks fared during the Medieval Warm Period?

John Tillman
Reply to  Russell Cook
October 26, 2020 12:16 pm

The Mound Builders and other SE Woodland cultured throughout the Mississippi Valley flourished during the Minoan, Roman and Medieval WPs, but declined during intervening cool periods. The onset of the LIA doomed Cahokia, in the St. Louis area, over a century before the arrival of Europeans.

John Tillman
Reply to  Russell Cook
October 26, 2020 1:52 pm

Since yet again a reply appears lost in cyberspace, I’ll just summarize by noting that SE Woodland Cultures flourished during all the warm periods after the HCO, ie the Egyptian, Minoan, Roman and Medieval. Cool periods, not so much.

See the Miund Builders’ chief city Cahokia, East St. Louis, IL, which declined and fell or was abandoned early in the LIA, even before arrival of Europeans.

griff
Reply to  John Tillman
October 27, 2020 12:53 am

Well yes – but they weren’t modern urban dwellers… though large, their populations weren’t as high as currently. They hadn’t shut the water up behind levees, with lack of silt eroding the coast, let alone sea level rise and more extreme storms…

There is surely a quantative and qualative difference between then and now?

John Tillman
Reply to  griff
October 31, 2020 7:32 pm

No, not really.

Their economic base was corn.

Reply to  John Tillman
October 26, 2020 10:42 am

They must’ve run their a/c 19 days a year. 😉

Greg
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
October 26, 2020 1:42 pm

They probably used swamp coolers: “sustainable” a/c .

Nice of them to call this journal BullSci, at least we know what to expect.

BTW I love the Fosters clip. Say bollox to it seems like the best strategy.

Scissor
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
October 26, 2020 2:01 pm

Yeah, if anything it must be getting cooler and less humid.

Curious George
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
October 26, 2020 5:47 pm

Do these Atomic Scientists do bombs, or nuclear reactors?

Jay
Reply to  John Tillman
October 26, 2020 11:25 am

Exactly! For the purposes of crisis creation, the Pseudo Scientists only look at the temperatures back to 1880 or so – the beginning of “records”. They ignore the really extreme temps of thousands of years ago, a time when humans were not alive to either be blamed for “global warming”, nor be the Savior of the Planet by stopping human behavior. This indicates that there is a mechanism involved that precludes human causation.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Jay
October 26, 2020 10:01 pm

“They ignore the really extreme temps of thousands of years ago, a time when humans were not alive to either be blamed for “global warming””

Huh? Humans weren’t alive thousands of years ago?

Steven swenson
Reply to  Jeff Alberts
October 27, 2020 7:18 am

None of the current ones anyway , so far as is known.

Sara
October 26, 2020 10:20 am

My suggestion is that all those who are truly afraid of global warming just follow the UN’s Agenda 21 and start building those walled cities. They can move there, exist in complete isolation from the rest of the terrifyingly terrifying world outside those walls, and enjoy their special worlds until they run out of food and start giving their neighbors odd looks.

Me, I’ll just move to a quiet place where I can plant tomatoes and stuff for canning and freezing, and ensure that I have a good supply of grains, seasonings, and a house that’s warm in winter and cool in summer, and those Special City Folk in Coventry won’t be allowed to set one toe on my lawn. It’s not hostility on my part. I just don’t want to be “infected” by their fear of the natural world.

Have a nice day. I’m making my Grandmas’ chopped apple cake, keeps well, even freezes well and is good with whipped cream or vanilla ice c ream

D. J. Hawkins
Reply to  Sara
October 26, 2020 10:51 am

and is good with whipped cream orand vanilla ice c ream

Fixed it for you!

Sara
Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
October 26, 2020 11:24 am

Thank you!

Ron Long
Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
October 26, 2020 12:28 pm

D.J., great minds think alike!

Reply to  D. J. Hawkins
October 27, 2020 2:04 pm

DJ
The season is coming for Christmas Pudding with thick custard a n d Devonshire Clotted Cream
Don’t tell my doctor!

Auto

Jeffrey H Kreiley
Reply to  Sara
October 26, 2020 11:03 am

Sara, ha ha , me too. I’m in western NY and nothing in my 50 years of being observant has changed much, flora, fauna, and temperatures. Pretty boring! Ha ha.

Jeffrey H Kreiley
Reply to  Jeffrey H Kreiley
October 26, 2020 11:04 am

Hasn’t changed much. Oooops.

Red94ViperRT10
Reply to  Jeffrey H Kreiley
October 26, 2020 11:45 am

*Pedant Alert* You got it right the first time. Take out the modifier, your sentence becomes “…nothing … has changed much…” If you correct to your recommended correction it becomes a double negative.

Jeffrey H Kreiley
Reply to  Red94ViperRT10
October 26, 2020 2:40 pm

You’re so right. Funny that I went back and thought I saw something.

MarkW
Reply to  Jeffrey H Kreiley
October 26, 2020 11:52 am

You were righter the first time.

Pop Piasa
Reply to  MarkW
October 26, 2020 4:59 pm

Absitively and posolutely!

Carl Friis-Hansen
Reply to  Jeffrey H Kreiley
October 26, 2020 1:19 pm

Isn’t double negative the correct American English way: “I don’t know nothing” 🙂

Sara made me so hungry.

gdt
Reply to  Carl Friis-Hansen
October 26, 2020 5:31 pm

Except for the loss of the double negative in “I could care less”. That one is bewildering.

Jeff Alberts
Reply to  Carl Friis-Hansen
October 26, 2020 10:03 pm

“Except for the loss of the double negative in “I could care less”. That one is bewildering.”

But, Willis says it’s ok, because evolving language.

Bill Powers
Reply to  Sara
October 26, 2020 11:22 am

10+Sara, I have long said, here in the States, we don’t need a wall to keep people out. We need to wall up these big blue cities and keep the hysterical snowflakes, afeared of global warming, IN.

We need to post sharp shooters around the outside of the cities to prevent their escape, which they will attempt, once their quality of life has turned to shite and they realize this whole thing has been a Global Political Flim Flam sponsored by the UN from the very beginning.

It will be necessary to terminate escapees in order to protect future free living offspring from being infected by their alarmist mental and emotional instability which is orders of magnitude more contagious than COVID. Not to mention their mental disorder leads to mass starvation and death due to exposure.

Editor
Reply to  Bill Powers
October 26, 2020 1:14 pm

Bill Powers, thanks:

I’m now having memories of Kurt Russell as Snake Plissken escaping from New York and Los Angeles…and having been a resident of the suburbs of both cities, I can understand the need to escape them.

Regards,
Bob

PS: Stay safe and healthy, all.

TomB
Reply to  Bob Tisdale
October 27, 2020 7:47 am

Snake Plissken? I thought he was dead.

buggs
Reply to  TomB
October 27, 2020 10:47 am

While I know like buttons become just a popularity contest, this really deserves a like. Signed: old enough to know.

Alex Emodi
Reply to  Sara
October 26, 2020 12:44 pm

Can I have that recipe please?

Sara
Reply to  Alex Emodi
October 26, 2020 3:15 pm

Yes, you may, and I’m glad you asked about it. The recipe card is so old and tired it’s turning brown.

Let it cool completely before you cut it. I have made this with both whole wheat flour and mixed whole grain flour, and with regular flour as well, and I think the extra nutrients from the whole grain make it even better. If you have to use non-gluten-based flour, a test run is a good idea.

Chopped Apple Cake – Grandma Wiley’s recipe
2 cups brown sugar
2 cups water
1 cup shortening (butter is best)
1 cup seedless raisins
2 teaspoons cinnamon
1 ½ teaspoons nutmeg
2 cups chopped apples (peeled or not, your choice)

Cook above ingredients together for about 20 minutes on medium heat (do not boil)

Let this cool, while you sift the following dry ingredients together.

Add the following mixture to the mixing bowl, and mix thoroughly:
3 ½ cups flour
2 teaspoons baking soda
1 teaspoon salt
¾ cup English walnuts, chopped

Bake in a greased loaf pan lined with waxed paper for about 1 hour.

Oven temperature should be 325F to 350F

Allow the cake to cool completely. Test doneness with a wooden skewer. If nothing sticks to it, the cake is done. It requires no icing.

My mother used to bake this in an angel cake pan, the kind with the standing tube in the center, but my paternal Grandma used the loaf pan. I’ve done it both ways and both work. It can be cut into sections and frozen (if it lasts that long).

Serve with whipped cream or good vanilla ice cream.

Thanks for asking about it. I miss both of my Grandmas these days.

Reply to  Sara
October 26, 2020 3:58 pm

Many thanks, ma’am. Added to my recipe files. I only ever knew one of my Grandmas – but I miss her terribly, too.

Reply to  Sara
October 26, 2020 6:05 pm

To avoid the ‘unbearable heat’ of climate change, those walled cities should be built above the Arctic Circle, or a similar location with a frigid climate today. The crops will be better next year; trust us.

That would solve so many of our problems…

pwwatson8888
October 26, 2020 10:21 am

Global Warming seemingly makes otherwise rational men extremely stupid.

PC_Bob
Reply to  pwwatson8888
October 26, 2020 12:15 pm

The FEAR of Global Warming seemingly makes otherwise rational men (AND women, too) extremely stupid. There, I fixed it for you.

Gregory Kelly
Reply to  pwwatson8888
October 26, 2020 1:59 pm

**** you are correct, ignorance is forgivable but to know something is wrong and do it anyway is stupidity and not forgivable!

Pop Piasa
Reply to  Gregory Kelly
October 26, 2020 5:11 pm

Those folks make the mistake of assuming that everything the MSM says is the truth and are the ONLY facts that matter. They think that they don’t need to look any further than the pretty faces that parrot the script penned by the current science darlings designated as experts the media proprietors.

Ron Long
October 26, 2020 10:25 am

Aw yes, here comes Dawn Stover, BA (not BSc) in Biology from Carelton University and, wait for it, MA in Communication from New York University. Science writer for alarmist/liberal/socialist agendas based in Washington (state, not DC). The Aussie advice works for me, and for sure there are about a billion human beings surviving in climate conditions worse that Dawn predicts. Her latest is just more Pulp Fiction for the poorly misinformed. Put another shrimp on the barbie.

JohnH
Reply to  Ron Long
October 27, 2020 6:51 am

Take a look at some of her other journalistic “accomplishments.” [sarc] https://thebulletin.org/biography/dawn-stover/ No agenda here; just good investigative reporting. Dawn reminds me of the dictum “look for a tree for the place, not a place for the tree.” She’s planting her agenda wherever she can dig a hole.

Paula Cohen
October 26, 2020 10:26 am

No kidding? They’ll need air conditioning in Louisiana 18 whole days A YEAR? I wonder what the hell they do now, in the summertime? We use it pretty much continuously from June to early October — in New York City! I may need to move to New Orleans just to stay cool!!

Reply to  Paula Cohen
October 26, 2020 10:47 am

Granted, New Orleans is WAY cooler than New York City. Must be the beignets and not Mayor “Lurch” DiBlasio.

Reply to  Paula Cohen
October 26, 2020 11:23 am

We visited New Orleans in the late 1970s. It was already too hot and humid then … before all the “global warming.” I refused to eat soup with a turtle in it. My wife tried it — said it tasted like chicken.

Ron Long
Reply to  Paula Cohen
October 26, 2020 11:33 am

Paula, you might want to wait a week or so to move to New Orleans, until hurricane Zeta finishes passing through. Just saying.

HD Hoese
Reply to  Paula Cohen
October 26, 2020 12:33 pm

I am real glad that the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists was not around when Japan was whipped by such a weapon. Last I checked“Isle de Jean Charles, ” is still there and “…..Louisiana will be so humid for about 18 days of each year that humans will need air conditioning to stay cool enough for survival” must be a typo as it is ten times +++ that number, additional 18 days would not be noticed, at least by residents (3 decades myself) that survived there. Doomsday is their motto now so apparently survival has changed its meaning.

Mr.
October 26, 2020 10:31 am

The greatest threat to humanity at the moment is drowning in leftist bullsh1t.
It’s just too easy these days to produce it and shovel it out to the masses.

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Mr.
October 26, 2020 11:56 am

Mr.
Yes, when I read the first sentence, “According to BullSci,” I thought that maybe Eric had a typo. 🙂

Kai
Reply to  Clyde Spencer
October 26, 2020 12:09 pm

+1

Peter W
October 26, 2020 10:32 am

Isn’t it amazing to see that, in the vicinity of the equator where it is warmer than Louisiana, people have lived for thousands of years without air conditioners!

Personally, 5 years ago I moved to central Florida in order to escape what I refer to as “that terrible Global Warming up north!” (See all the reports this past week from the likes of Montana, the Dakotas, etc., for examples of “terrible Global Warming!”

fred250
Reply to  Peter W
October 26, 2020 1:49 pm

You can see that the cold anomaly over most of the USA is the flip-side of the warm anomaly over the Arctic

comment image

Trouble is , both anomaly areas are now below zero C in real terms.

October 26, 2020 10:32 am

Do these atomic scientists think that mass from atmospheric water is being converted into energy? How else can they explain all the new energy that must be added to the system in order to maintain the alarmists wet dream.

Coeur de Lion
October 26, 2020 10:32 am

It’ll be interesting when La Niña morphs into a negative AMO and solar cycles 24 and 25 and we get 30 years of cooling à la 1940-1973. Lot of cover up oh no I didn’t really say.

SteveM
Reply to  Coeur de Lion
October 27, 2020 6:03 am

If it happens, they’ll just adjust that cooling out.

sendergreen
Reply to  Coeur de Lion
October 27, 2020 8:51 am

Coeur de Lion says :
” … and we get 30 years of cooling à la 1940-1973″
———————————————————–

Or, the first cold strikes of the Big One hit. We are after all quite well past the average time that Interglacial Warm Periods last. What I’ve read suggests the drop into deep glacial era level cold manifests in under a century, and perhaps as short as a decade.

When that happens the growing seasons of the “breadbaskets” of major northern hemisphere grain producers will be quickly truncated, then disappear for 100-125 K years.

Bruce Cobb
October 26, 2020 10:35 am

BullSci’s motto: “We put the Bull in Science”.

Ron Long
Reply to  Bruce Cobb
October 26, 2020 12:36 pm

Bruce, right on, and don’t forget that BullSci is the keeper of the “Doomsday Clock”, which now shows 100 seconds to midnight (midnight as in lights out on habitable earth). Of course, as in “we only have 10 years to save the planet” the Bullschist Doomer Clock has been stuck on 100 seconds for a few years now. I think we can ignore it.

Olen
October 26, 2020 10:40 am

How are we going to save the world without beer? Practiced drills are necessary.

Good advice but predictions beyond the normal predictions of weather are a little difficult for accuracy. However I believe the world will warm a lot when the sun explodes plus or minus a few billion years. Best to get off it before that happens. Now is a good time to start and bring beer.

October 26, 2020 10:41 am

Good on, ya, Fosters. Glad to see some Aussies keepin’ their heads about ’em.

If anyone in New Orleans currently runs their a/c LESS than 18 days a years then they’re saints. (get it?)
This lame attempt at trying to foster fear is truly pathetic. As for the rich buying their own private island to avoid sea level rise, is that a crack at former President Obama?

A bit off topic, but ‘Science’ magazine just came out with their politics issue (Oct.16, 2020) in which they all but endorse Joe Biden. In the “Voting in a Maelstrom” article, the author refers to David Legates and Ryan Maue as being “dismissive of climate science” and other out right lies. This is what politicized science looks like.

MarkW
Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
October 26, 2020 12:02 pm

In all fairness, they said that you would need AC just to survive.
IE, it will be so hot that anyone without AC will die of heat stroke.

Total BS, as several of our commenters here have mentioned there are many work places where temperatures routinely get well above 120F. All that’s needed for survival is lots of water.

Reply to  Mumbles McGuirck
October 26, 2020 1:40 pm

“The wealthiest Americans can build bunkers or buy private islands.”

Really? Bill Gates and Barack Obama, two astute and wealthy people, recently bought sea-front properties.

John F Hultquist
Reply to  Ralph Dave Westfall
October 27, 2020 8:31 pm

Purchase price to either is about like me buying a fancy grill for the yard.
Further these properties are more for entertainment than living — once Panic2020 allows them to move about as is usual. Gates lives in Washington State. Obama had a house in Wash. D.C. Does he still?
Expect these “sea -view” properties to be sold at a profit before long.
You, I, and they know there is no danger of Gloal warming sea level rise that will ruin either of these places.
Obama’s place could get some storm damage. Not a big deal.

leitmotif
October 26, 2020 10:42 am

BullSci?

Is that the correct spelling?

Reply to  leitmotif
October 26, 2020 11:30 am

It’s almost correct and just needs that ‘h’ and ‘t’.

Alan
October 26, 2020 10:43 am

I used to visit Louisiana quite a bit in my youth. Considering the heat, humidity, (which lasts close to 365 days a year) snakes, gators, skeeters, swamps, corrupt politicians and such. Louisiana has been pretty much uninhabitable since the French got there. Give me the mountains.

October 26, 2020 10:44 am

Why aren’t people in the tropics dying today? What tripe.

Pop Piasa
Reply to  Shoki Kaneda
October 26, 2020 5:35 pm

Bulletin: Atomic Scientists can peer into the future and predict their future wealth plundered from you tax dollars.

Notanacademic
October 26, 2020 10:45 am

The wealthiest Americans can buy an island! some of them already have, somewhere very hot. Hard to believe some people can’t see through this s**t

Tom in Florida
Reply to  Notanacademic
October 26, 2020 11:33 am

Some ex-Presidents can buy beach front property on an island.

Reply to  Notanacademic
October 26, 2020 11:36 am

In 20-40 Years, Global Warming will Make Louisiana Uninhabitable.

It’s a tad ambitious to predict that the ice sheets will have reached as far south as Louisiana in just a few decades.

Sweet Old Bob
Reply to  Phil Salmon
October 26, 2020 12:16 pm

; ) 😉

0

Reply to  Phil Salmon
October 26, 2020 2:41 pm

good one!

MarkW
Reply to  Notanacademic
October 26, 2020 11:59 am

I thought that rising sea levels were supposed to get rid of most islands?

Megs
Reply to  MarkW
October 26, 2020 6:58 pm

That was my first thought too! Such idiots.

Al Miller
October 26, 2020 10:49 am

Panic now! and send all your money to the DemoKrats and UN. They can’t stop anything from changing with the weather or the climate, but they will institute global Communism so if you complain you will be imprisoned and reprogrammed to RITETHINK!

Coeur de Lion
October 26, 2020 10:49 am

During the Cold War the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists was required reading.

Reply to  Coeur de Lion
October 26, 2020 11:33 am

And now it’s BullSci.

Randy
October 26, 2020 10:57 am

I lived in Louisiana for three years from 1978 to 1980, just outside of New Orleans. Believe me, it was pretty much uninhabitable back then. I was in the military stationed at the Naval Air Station just down river in Belle Chase. The first year I was there our living quarters didn’t have any air conditioning. That was the most miserable summer I have ever lived through.

Decrepit Sloth
October 26, 2020 11:04 am

I’ll bet banks are still offering 30 years mortgages in Louisiana….

n.n
October 26, 2020 11:14 am

Dog years? And will it be an evolutionary and/or progressive process?

Robert of Texas
October 26, 2020 11:38 am

Back in around 1980 (a really hot August that year) I survived an entire summer without air conditioning in the OKC region of Oklahoma. I was hot and sleep was hard to get but somehow…I survived. (Actually I started sleeping in the bathtub with a fan blowing across me.) Back in the early 1960’s I grew up in a house that had nothing but an attic fan – putting a new fan in the window was a miracle come true.

Now I live in Texas – it averages around 5 to 7 degrees warmer. I have this wonderful machine called Central Air. I keep the house at around 78 degrees in the summer – many guests complain its hot but I am used to it. “Swamp Coolers” barely work in my area because of the high humidity.

If in 20 to 40 years the people of Louisiana have not caught onto the idea of air conditioners, then they deserve to have to sleep in bath tubs of cool water at night, or use water beds, or just get used to it. I have no idea why these scientists think Louisiana is going to be so much warmer – most warming will be in the cold areas, and most warming will be at night – so if you bought into the worse case of AGW (about 6 degrees) then Louisiana would warm less than 1 degree in the day time – not very frightening.

Besides, the sea level is supposed to rise by 20 meters or some ridiculous amount so most of Louisiana will be under water anyway. And everyone is supposed to be dead by 2031 or so (except apparently the Polar Bears, they seem to be doing fine)

Tom in Florida
October 26, 2020 11:39 am

“under a high-emissions scenario… . In that scenario, some counties in Arizona will be above 95 degrees for half the year”

Phoenix experiences over 100 days per year over 100F.

I will take 106F and dry over 95F with high humidity every time.

Larry
Reply to  Tom in Florida
October 27, 2020 12:45 pm

Agreed. I have lived in the Phoenix area for the last 24 years. After this particularly warm summer, we consider 95 degrees a cold snap. I moved here on a Memorial Day weekend from Austin, Texas and although the temperature was higher, the humidity was lower and the weather was much more comfortable in the dry heat than the warm humidity.

Bruce Cobb
October 26, 2020 11:45 am

You can run, but you can’t hide; from climate “science” drivel like this, that is. It is relentless.

October 26, 2020 11:47 am

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is strictly an alarmist PR organization, with probably not a single atomic scientist among them. Why are we even acknowledging such tripe?

MarkW
Reply to  Pflashgordon
October 26, 2020 12:06 pm

In order to make fun of them.

yarpos
Reply to  Pflashgordon
October 26, 2020 2:06 pm

you let everything go and it gets accepted as fact

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