Former Aussie PM Malcolm Turnbull: “When is physics going to mug political complacency and [Climate] denialism?”

Turnbull waves goodbye after a news conference in Canberra today.

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

Former Aussie PM and Goldman Sachs Partner Malcolm Turnbull thinks Chinese Coronavirus is a “high speed metaphor” for Climate Change. A few weeks ago Turnbull upset his own party so much there were calls for his expulsion.

Pandemic also a reckoning for climate change: Turnbull

By Latika Bourke
May 8, 2020 — 9.18am

London: Former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull says climate change is a greater existential threat than the coronavirus, which he says has provided governments with a unique opportunity to simultaneously boost clean energy and stimulate pandemic-battered economies.

Turnbull told a conservative think tank in London that the pandemic had been a reckoning of science and political complacency, which he said served as a “metaphor, at high-speed” of climate change politics.

“The COVID virus has been a case of biology confronting and really shaking the complacency of day-to-day politics with a physical reality of sickness and death on a scale we haven’t seen for a very long time,” Turnbull told the Policy Exchange audience.

“And so the question really is: why do so many people in government and so many people in politics – particularly in the Anglo sphere – not take the scientific evidence on climate change just as seriously?

“When is physics going to mug political complacency and denialism? “

Read more: https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/pandemic-also-a-reckoning-for-climate-change-turnbull-tells-british-audience-20200508-p54qza.html

Turnbull is not alone in wondering when the great climate catastrophe will strike, and vindicate all his dire warnings.

… We will be open to criticism though with what we do add in subsequent drafts. Someone is going to check the final version and the Aug 12 draft. This is partly why I’ve sent you the rest of this email. IPCC,me and whoever will get accused of being political, whatever we do. As youknow, I’m not political. If anything, I would like to see the climate change happen, so the science could be proved right, regardless of the consequences. This isn’t being political, it is being selfish.

Climategate Email 1120593115.txt, Professor Phil Jones of the CRU Speaking

Occasionally climate worriers figure out they were wrong all along and have the guts to admit it, like the inventor of Gaea Theory James Lovelock.

“The world has not warmed up very much since the millennium. Twelve years is a reasonable time… it (the temperature) has stayed almost constant, whereas it should have been rising — carbon dioxide is rising, no question about that.”

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PaulH
May 8, 2020 10:06 am

Turnbull: “Physics… physics… physics!

The rest of us: “You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.”

Scissor
Reply to  PaulH
May 8, 2020 12:19 pm

I’m reasonably sure he would be stumped if asked what the molecular formula of CO2 is.

H.R.
Reply to  Scissor
May 8, 2020 10:01 pm

LOL!

+1 , Scissor.

Reply to  PaulH
May 8, 2020 2:52 pm

Comment from circa 2012:
The global warming alarmists have a covert agenda and they KNOW they are lying to us.
No rational person could be this stupid for this long.
___________________

“Malcolm Turnbull = Turnbullsh!tter”

Pop Piasa
Reply to  ALLAN MACRAE
May 8, 2020 7:09 pm

Allen, Maybe Malcrum Turnabout might be an applicable nickname too.

Samuel C Cogar
Reply to  PaulH
May 8, 2020 3:49 pm

Former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull says:

“And so the question really is: why do so many people in government and so many people in politics – particularly in the Anglo sphere – not take the scientific evidence on climate change just as seriously?

I would like to see the climate change happen, so the science could be proved right, regardless of the consequences. This isn’t being political, it is being selfish. …

“DUH”, in the 1st paragraph above Malcolm T explicitly states …. “there is scientific evidence of climate change”.

And in his 2nd paragraph above Malcolm T explicitly states .…. “he would like to see evidence of climate change”.

Evidence of climate change is like evidence of flatulence, …. and Malcolm T can honestly claim he can hear and smell evidence of flatulence, ….. but he would really like to see the evidence also.

Robert B
Reply to  Samuel C Cogar
May 9, 2020 12:25 am

Good analogy.

It smells so someone in the elevator cut the cheese. Not sure how a second release proves who did it.

Reply to  Samuel C Cogar
May 9, 2020 1:20 am

The second quote is an email from Phil Jones of CRU not Turnbull

Samuel C Cogar
Reply to  Redge
May 9, 2020 4:06 am

OOPS, ……. my error.

But anyway, no problem, ……. those two are like …… “two peas in same pod”.

Reply to  Samuel C Cogar
May 9, 2020 6:07 am

No worries, we all make mistakes.

Of course, some of us recognise our mistakes ans correct them whilst others have them glorified by the IPCC

Reply to  PaulH
May 8, 2020 6:49 pm

Turnbull apparently hasn’t figured that he would be better off consulting a psychic than a physicist since the truth according to the laws of physics defies their narrative, while a psychic’s advice isn’t bound by those laws. It’s really no surprise since so much of what the left pontificates nowadays doesn’t match the ground truth, and it’s because political bias supersedes truth as the media reinforces the lies for the same reason.

Reply to  co2isnotevil
May 9, 2020 3:09 am

He’s dyslexic then.

Bill Powers
Reply to  PaulH
May 10, 2020 11:47 am

Here is what he is really saying:

“When is Physics going to declare that Red is Blue and allow us to lock down the world for our personal playground because Climate Change.
We have a growing public school educated population who believe it wouldn’t change if the global elite enjoyed totalitarian control of the worlds activities and restrict the great unwashed masses for the benefit of the Elite few.
Isn’t it hilarious that so many accept the implication that climate changes because man burns fossil fuel and that natural variability of the climate never existed. Why i have told that lie so many times I have begun to believe it myself.”

pete
Reply to  PaulH
May 14, 2020 7:01 am

Ahhh Malcolm Turnbull, i always wanted to meet him so i could find where Goldman Sachs attaches the strings, they do pay large bonuses for their management employees who go into politics, (it makes it so much easier for them to have their policy,s made into law that way).
Americans should realize he is a Labour Party supporter (thats a Democrat in U.S terms) who wanted to be parachuted into a senior position in that party, but was told he would have to start at the bottom like anyone else, so he used some bankers influence to be parachuted into the liberal party (read Republican if you are American) and has been promoting Labour policy,s and white anting the conservatives from within ever since.
Interestingly both he and his deadly enemy within the Liberal party, Tony Abbot are Rhodes scholars, so they both had their Oxford University education paid for by Lord Rothschild as part of the Cecil Rhodes bequest.
The difference between them is stark, Abbot seemingly being far more trustworthy than Turnbull, and Abbot was much more a climate realist, truth seems to have more moral weight with him, i suggest that is a result of his religious convictions which seem to be genuine, (as opposed to Turnbull who was raised Presbyterian, converted to Catholicism to match his wife, and when its convenient to his career or financial advantage pretends he is is Jewish, thats not something he broadcasts in the media here, but in Israel the headlines i read billed him as Australias first Jewish Prime Minister, which demonstrates the level of his posturing overseas, the point being that he will pretend to be anything in order to advantage his/Goldmans agenda ) lets not forget Cardinal Pell is close to him and Pell is also a climate realist.
So if you want to know what Turnbull is going to say on climate, look at what would be Goldman Sachs view be ?

John Bell
May 8, 2020 10:15 am

Amazing how easy it is to sell leftists a bill of goods when i agrees with their twisted ideals.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  John Bell
May 9, 2020 3:46 am

hes an ex glodbags sux man
lotta bucks in green scams
hes NOT our PM for good reason
if they hadnt thrown him out theyd have lost bigtime
his books a flop like his buddy hillarys
only the abc and the invested friends support him.
everyone else goes stfu mal and turns the radio/tv off or another channell

rhoda klapp
May 8, 2020 10:18 am

If coronavirus is an example of the experts being able to see what’s coming, assess it correctly from a position of incomplete knowledge and prepare us for it, why would we expect better from ‘climate science’?

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  rhoda klapp
May 8, 2020 9:32 pm

It is reasonable to mention the worth of models of the spread of a virus and the spread of global warming. The COVID-19 modeled spread is “spotty” and others for climate modeling are “trending”. Both are invalidated by observations.

Scientists are giving science a bad name. Here’s a practical suggestion. From now on, specialists should not be called “scientists” as if it was a special class of human above all reproach. They should be described as they are trained and qualified: geologist, mammologist, phrenologist, apologist and so on as appropriate. A lot of the bunkum would be swept away when the discussions and claims are seen to be coming from people with recognized, specialized knowledge. When a proctologist stands to make engineering-oriented claims about how renewable energy systems should be subsidized and grid-connected, we can assess what standing the advisor has without further investigation.

I have nothing against polymaths, but the title of “scientist” is being deliberately misused. All specialists should be known by their specialty. That’s how it is with doctors. Why not with physical scientists?

May 8, 2020 10:32 am

I do not have enough expletives in my vocabulary to convey my honest reaction to this idiotic proclamation.

Physics already mugs what it needs to mug, which is climate hysteria. Physics that is properly applied, that is, and not re-written into an astrology-like pseudo representation of its proper self.

Physics probably could “mug” the current corona-catastrophism, if applied on a micro-scale properly.

What a total, wrong-headed, ignorant, out-of-touch-with-reality fool this man is — to speak of physics, as if he has any clue about what he is talking!

commieBob
Reply to  Robert Kernodle
May 8, 2020 1:54 pm

Physics already mugs what it needs to mug, which is climate hysteria.

What Turnbull has exactly wrong is his definition of climate denier. Climate deniers are the ones denying natural climate variability. Physics mugs them on a regular basis but they manage to deny that too. ‘Tis but a scratch

Komrade Kuma
Reply to  Robert Kernodle
May 8, 2020 3:48 pm

Don’t even bother to react to the detail of what he says, he is just another green sheep when it comes to science. The reality is its just poor little Malcolm in a Muddle scratching around for msm attention. He is far and away the most self important PM we have ever had, got turfed when leader of the opposition for a quinella of gormless decisions then again as PM for pretty much the same and a discinnected arrogance. He supported the ‘republic’ cause a couple of decades ago and I think it is clear he had aims on being president. Fellow Aussies, can you just imagine Malcolm as President? Shudder…..

Boganboy
Reply to  Komrade Kuma
May 8, 2020 5:56 pm

That’s certainly an irrefutable argument against a republic. But I always thought Malcolm would make an excellent Labor prime minister.

Megs
Reply to  Boganboy
May 10, 2020 4:41 am

Trouble is Boganboy is that too many of our sitting so called conservatives are lefties. Look at Stokes and Keon, both pushing the renewables in NSW as though they belonged to the Greens Party. Even Morrison thinks his ‘quiet Australians’ are pro renewables. He doesn’t even realise that we voted for him because Labor or the Greens are all for renewables and we didn’t want a bar of them. Our stupid politicians choose to believe the MSM and the ABC, to lay to talk to the people.

ex-KaliforniaKook
Reply to  Robert Kernodle
May 8, 2020 6:09 pm

Robert, I really like your second paragraph.

I agree with all you said, but that second paragraph is critical. Climate Science currently is more like astrology than science. Both employ models, both have at least one college to teach their subject, both have many followers, and both claim whatever happens is what was predicted by the model. Neither use verified or validated models.

It’s really difficult to see the difference in their actual implementation, although fewer people are embarrassed to say they believe climate science.

May 8, 2020 10:36 am

Is this like a knock knock joke?

Go on then Malcolm:

When is physics going to mug political complacency and [Climate] denialism?”

I’m sitting down…….

Reply to  philincalifornia
May 8, 2020 11:00 am

philincalifornia

When everyone gets bored of waiting for Klimate Katastrophe and goes back to their day job of course…..Silly.

noaaprogrammer
Reply to  HotScot
May 8, 2020 7:04 pm

Knock, Knock.
Who’s there?
Malcolm.
Malcolm who?
Malcolmtent.

Interested Observer
Reply to  noaaprogrammer
May 8, 2020 8:32 pm

I prefer:

Knock, Knock.
Who’s there?
Malcolm.
Malcolm who?
Exactly!

The tag for the picture is: “Turnbull waves goodbye…” If only that were true.

The sooner we see the last of that smug, greedy carpetbagger the better.

n.n
May 8, 2020 10:48 am

What is: when [catastrophic] [anthropogenic] climate changes is not political myth and evidence without regular infusions of brown matter to force a consensus with observation.

markl
May 8, 2020 10:53 am

So two decades into serious CC narrative (longer but less vociferous) we still can’t attribute any world problems to AGW. Deaths? Coastal flooding? Tornadoes? Hurricanes? Fires? Asthma? Insect infestations? Animal extinctions? Anything? All of the CC horror stories have been debunked as either historically incorrect or mangled data yet there are those that still hold out for human annihilation for their redemption. Can’t we just off those people? They’d be happy to prove themselves correct at last and we could get on with life as normal 🙂

May 8, 2020 10:56 am

The left are desperate to draw comparisons between CV and climate.

They are utterly different physically, philosophically and practically. Their contortions really are pathetic.

Happy VE Day everyone.

We Allies beat the crap out of socialism 75 years ago, we can damn well do it again!

Joe Crawford
Reply to  HotScot
May 8, 2020 1:47 pm

The model reliability and accuracy are very similar :<)

May 8, 2020 10:58 am

What kind of a mentality is this–hoping a disaster will happen so you can be proved right? It sounds like monstrous egotism plus a pathological lack of empathy for other human beings.

fred250
Reply to  Ralph Dave Westfall
May 8, 2020 1:26 pm

“It sounds like monstrous egotism plus a pathological lack of empathy for other human beings.”

Pretty good description of Turnbull’s better qualities.

Add in “slimebag extraordinaire”, and a few reference to the bottom of the human sewer, and you pretty much nailed it.

Jim Simpson
Reply to  fred250
May 10, 2020 9:04 am

Little more than a ‘last hurrah’ from The Ghost Who Sulks’ who should, for ever more, be ignored..

Ron Long
May 8, 2020 11:00 am

One of the key ideas of the left is to not let a crisis go to waste. Ex-VP, and presumptive Democrat Party Presidential candidate Joe Biden, has said that the Chinese Virus is an excellent opportunity to fundamentally change America. It is virtually certain this means more control/dependency on Big Government, more taxes, and more option to cheat the voting protocol (like cheat by mail). The left is doom and gloom, the right is roll up our sleeves and fix this problem. The potential voting is too close to call. Stay sane and safe.

Alex
May 8, 2020 11:07 am

Meat factories are hard hit by the Coronavirus worldwide.
Does the virus infect cattle or porks?
Swine influenza is also a Coronavirus…

Klem
Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 11:17 am

Fortunately meat is not in short supply. If the leftists get their way, you and your family will be eating insects every day for supper.

‘Pass the mealworms, Alex”

Alex
Reply to  Klem
May 8, 2020 11:33 am

“meat is not in short supply”

wait a bit.

markl
Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 12:43 pm

Alex: The slaughter houses are running out of butchers because of demographics, not tainted meat. Congress with Dem backing centralized most of the meat business and now we are dependent on fewer, but larger, slaughterhouses. Those business employ mostly immigrants who live, and work, in close quarters. I’ve also read that the workers have been left up to their own devices for protection against #19 so if they don’t catch it at home they can get it from work.

Reply to  markl
May 8, 2020 3:20 pm

Same thing here in Alberta. 2 operations do almost all the processing, both have large covid outbreaks (Brooks and High River) so some shortages developing. Mostly workers from Somalia, Philippines, etc, locals don’t want the work, may not have choice at some point.
Plenty of supply, massive bottlenecks

Cost efficiency isn’t everything

Spetzer86
Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 5:11 pm

There’s actually a lot of meat. The prices for cattle and swine are really low, so there’s animals a plenty to be had. The problem is processing. If you knew a farmer and a willing independent butcher, you could have yourself a bunch of meat fairly quickly.

Drake
Reply to  Spetzer86
May 9, 2020 8:07 am

Wife and I went to town to get some pork for green chile enchaladas. Went to Wallyworld, only one package allowed. Went to Smiths, only one package allowed. Went to the local small chain food store Lynns, pork butt buy one, get the second one free.

Big corporate chains buy from big corporate suppliers, small local chain buys from local supplier, big difference in result. Apparently Walmart and Smiths do not have the flexibility to adapt to the current situation. Those too big to fail are failing to adapt.

Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 11:24 am

Alex

COVID-19 has nothing to do with Coronavirus any longer, it’s now a mental illness.

I agreed with the lockdown in the UK for the first 2 x 3 week periods until we understood what we are dealing with. Now it needs to be lifted as it’s becoming clear the virus does not spread by occasional contact, it spreads in confined environments like Hospitals, Care Homes, and domestic dwellings where people are exposed to it over a protracted period of time in close confinement.

Indeed, it has been established that there has not been a single case found (worldwide?) where a child under 10 years old has infected an adult.

It’s also becoming clear that a major influence on the survival rate is Vitamin D. The vast majority of all deaths of CV victims are found to be Vitamin D deficient. This is especially notable amongst the Black/Asian/middle eastern communities; they don’t absorb sunlight as well as white skinned Caucasians.

But of course, it’s another reason to have a go at the white community, but it’s an evolutionary phenomenon, what can I say??

There’s many advantages of having a darker skin, unfortunately, this isn’t one of them.

Disputin
Reply to  HotScot
May 8, 2020 11:55 am

You’ll note that there doesn’t seem to be all that much of a problem with coronavirus in Africa. The people there catch it, feel a bit groggy for a bit, and then get better. Not many deaths. Pretty much like white people in UK. Note that most of the deaths are among old people in hospitals and (especially) care homes.

What connects them? Low Vitamin D levels!

The reason so many black people in UK die so often is simply that their skin can’t absorb enough of our very weak sun to generate enough Vitamin D. I’m waiting for some bright spark to try giving massive doses of Vitamin D to people in care homes or dark-skinned people.

My bet is on death rates plummeting.

commieBob
Reply to  Disputin
May 8, 2020 2:25 pm

With regard to Africa …

It has been noted that countries with high malaria incidence seem to have a low incidence of this coronavirus. example

Patrick MJD
Reply to  Disputin
May 9, 2020 12:04 am

“Disputin May 8, 2020 at 11:55 am

You’ll note that there doesn’t seem to be all that much of a problem with coronavirus in Africa.”

It’s Africa, and there is no longer any media attention to it since Live Aid and the Ethiopian famine of the 80’s. If a black person dies in Africa and no-one sees it, did it happen? Lets ignore the fact Africa is being Royally f@*&ed by China right now.

Disputin
Reply to  Patrick MJD
May 9, 2020 2:38 am

Patrick,

Yes, that’s (to some extent) true, but there is some news that gets out. After all, we did hear about ebola.

It’s interesting about China though. isn’t it.

Scissor
Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 11:40 am

Not dead ones.

MarkW
Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 12:15 pm

In meat factories, lots of people work in very close quarters. Also those who work in meat factories tend to be poorer, which also means they live in houses that are more crowded than is average for the population and have less in the way of health care.

It has nothing to do with the virus infecting the animals themselves.

Reply to  MarkW
May 8, 2020 12:51 pm

The meat factories concerned in Germany work with people from east Europe living in accommodations several people in one room. So the infections spread very well and fast

Richard M
Reply to  MarkW
May 8, 2020 12:54 pm

Add to that many government inspectors have been found to have the virus. They either come from or often visit urban locations as well as rural meat factories. Government itself spreading the disease.

Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 1:04 pm

The meat supply chain, not the meat supply is impacted by SARS Cov-2. The meat is being produced, but the farmers have no back-up plan to get it to the consumer if the processing plants slow down or stop processing meat. Prior to WWII, pigs and cattle were killed and “processed” in local slaughter houses. The NIMBYs got most of those shut down and regional processing plants became the norm.

Tom Abbott
Reply to  Brooks Hurd
May 9, 2020 9:28 am

Meat facilities will be one of the first places where we get a handle on the virus and how to control it. The techniques used here will also apply when we get other flare-ups of the Wuhan virus.

Joe
Reply to  Alex
May 8, 2020 6:06 pm

Time for some chickens in the backyard, and rabbit-snares in the paddock.

ozspeaksup
Reply to  Alex
May 9, 2020 3:58 am

swine flu is H1N1 its not a corona
ASF is also NOT a corona
https://extension.psu.edu/african-swine-fever-and-covid-19-novel-coronavirus-are-not-the-same

meat shortages are due to closures of processing plants not a shortfal of animals
though as theyre too stingy to FEED the ones they have for a couple of weeks and have slaughtered and dumped them..there will be some supplychain gaps coming too
interesting thing?
CHINA owns Smithfield meats
and is still exporting pork TO China while local supplies are cut, i have read
also explains why they were hapy to have “american pork” exports so fast, when they went to brazil and other places for other meats

bluecat57
May 8, 2020 11:19 am

When koalas fly.

ResourceGuy
Reply to  bluecat57
May 8, 2020 12:05 pm

+20

MarkW
Reply to  bluecat57
May 8, 2020 12:17 pm

comment image

Bob Hoye
May 8, 2020 11:21 am

Control freaks will use anything to extend their power.
There are a number of theories about how the economy works.
But Keynesian intervention became dominant for one reason.
It enhances the power and wealth of the state.
Same for “Global Warming”. It has really worked whereas “Global Cooling” could not be used to control society.
And now there is the fear of Wuhan Flu that has been used to impose control.
All three promotions have found ways to get around the otherwise formidable US Constitution.
There has been two earlier great experiments in authoritarian government.
Third Century.
Sixteenth Century.
The two previous experiments were driven until the bureaucrats ruined the economy.
This seems to be happening now.

David Hoopman
May 8, 2020 11:30 am

If Turnbull’s intent is to say the official response to coronavirus is “a ‘metaphor, at high-speed’ of climate change politics,” he may be speaking the truth, however inadvertently. Pretty respectable arguments are made every day that the U.S. response, especially in the blue states, is a high-speed dress-rehearsal for implementing the Green New Deal.

OweninGA
May 8, 2020 11:32 am

Like most investment banker types, he could not care less about climate change except that he sees very large, world dominating, dollar signs every time someone mentions “Carbon Trading”. The only people who will get rich enough to ignore all the virtue crying and maintain their lifestyles will be the investment bankers.

ghl
Reply to  OweninGA
May 9, 2020 9:45 am

The Labor Party has promised to drop quotas and increase the price of carbon dioxide emmissions. Under Labor merchant bankers will make more money, therefore Malcolm is working to damage the Libs. It’s only business.

May 8, 2020 11:33 am

Where I live, the nightime low/daytime high range is about 15 C. Winter low / Summer high range is about 70 C. Nobody has been able to show that a couple of degrees average increase over a century would be the cause of anything other than a warmer climate with a negligible amount more rain. The animals and plants are already adapted to far greater extremes. So what’s with these people calling me a “denier” ?

Reply to  DMacKenzie
May 8, 2020 3:26 pm

They are fascists, of course.
New boss, same as the old boss

Eliza
May 8, 2020 11:57 am

Glad I left Australia and recinded my citizenship of this country years ago its a backward looking nanny state dictarsorship England and Ireland are the same I was born in Ireland now I am ashamed of my own country fortunately i now live where there is FREEDOM in South America will never return to these horrible places looks like the USA is also self immolating from ignorance. Eisteins was right human ignorance is eternal. You deserve it for your stupidity mr Mockton and Jo anne Nova take note!!

Randle Dewees
Reply to  Eliza
May 8, 2020 12:36 pm

Eliza, don’t count USA out yet! Which county in South America do you call home now?

Randy

Robert W. Turner
Reply to  Randle Dewees
May 8, 2020 1:10 pm

A remote location in Uruguay seems more and more attractive every day in today’s post truth world.

Mr.
Reply to  Eliza
May 8, 2020 2:23 pm

And Eliza, I see you left that duty-free bag of punctuation at the airport before you left Oz.
On purpose, or did it exceed the carry-on cabin luggage allowance?

Juan Slayton
Reply to  Mr.
May 8, 2020 4:46 pm

If she flew Qantas, perhaps it landed in the bin of missing ‘u’s.

fred250
Reply to  Juan Slayton
May 8, 2020 11:14 pm

Its actually QANTAS: Queensland and Northern Territory Aerial Service

Joel Heinrich
Reply to  fred250
May 9, 2020 7:59 am

And it’s actually “it’s” – it is. 🙂

May 8, 2020 12:27 pm
Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 1:51 pm

Zoe,
You have obviously never had a decent course in engineering heat-transfer analysis.

Reply to  Dan Pangburn
May 8, 2020 2:25 pm

Dan,
With all due respect, reconsider your comment.

What is wrong with my analysis?

Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 9, 2020 7:55 pm

To someone competent in heat-transfer analysis, the fact that the earth is about 33 C warmer than it would be without a GHE is empirical proof that the GHE exists. I am sorry but your model is so wrong that it is not even relevant. But cheer up, the GCMs are egregiously wrong also and they are by people who should know better.

NASA et al are correct that a GHE exists but they are wrong about it being caused by CO2. The temperature of the planet has risen slightly (about a degree C since 1895) and human activity has contributed to about half of the increase. The temperature increase has been caused by water vapor increase, not CO2 increase.

Reply to  Dan Pangburn
May 12, 2020 7:39 pm

“To someone competent in heat-transfer analysis, the fact that the earth is about 33 C warmer than it would be without a GHE is empirical proof that the GHE exists.”

Mere assertion.
My theory perfectly explains the 33C gap without using silly backwarming theory that can’t be verified by experiment.

MarkW
Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 4:48 pm

Blankets don’t warm you, they prevent the heat from escaping.

What is it about sky dragons and their inability to form valid analogies?

Reply to  MarkW
May 8, 2020 5:41 pm

Did I not just quote NASA claiming GHGs act as a blanket? It’s in my article.

You admit that blankets don’t warm you, but you still believe GHG blanket raises surface temperature by 33C.

What is it about lukewarmers making analogies that refute them?

You admit blankets don’t raise your temperature. But why not? Don’t blankets absorb IR? Don’t they send photons back to your body?

If they don’t, why would GHGs? So silly.

MarkW
Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 6:37 pm

Zoe’s so bad at making analogies, she can’t even tell when other people are attempting the same poor analogy that she uses.

Blankets and GHGs have completely differrent mechanisms, as I and dozens of others have tried to explain to you. Just because someone else uses the same brain numbed analogy does not make the analogy correct.

Since none of your analogies have any basis in actual physics, nothing you have written has refuted me. Trying to teach you is like trying to teach any of the alarmists. None of you know anything about science and you all cling to broken analogies.

Reply to  MarkW
May 8, 2020 8:26 pm

“Blankets and GHGs have completely differrent mechanisms”

No! Conductive, Convective Radiative transfers are in play in both scenarios.

All 3 types don’t make blankets raise your temperature.

All 3 types don’t make GHGs raise your temperature.

You’re the one that can’t understand analogies. You just pretend that blankets don’t absorb IR. But for CO2 it matters.

Matthew
May 8, 2020 1:01 pm

“…physical reality of sickness and death on a scale we haven’t seen for a very long time…”

Show me the evidence. Where is this sickness and death that is soooo out our the ordinary? Oh, right. There isn’t any such thing, but it makes a good sound bite.

Mike O'Ceirin
May 8, 2020 1:20 pm

I am Australian and you do not know the half of it with this guy. He was the Prime Minister of what we call the coalition it is composed of what we call the Liberal party and the National party. Liberal in the Australian sense is not the same as the USA. It is a party that has been very much promoting right-wing deals since it was founded by a man called Menzies. Recently MT wrote a book in which he explained how he was the instigator of establishing the Guardian newspaper in Australia. He is a rich man and claim would not have looked right for him to fund it figured being $20 million so he decided one of his friends to do so. He set up a media organisation that was directly opposed to the principles of his party and he is proud of it! Unfortunately it says much about those that supported him in his party. His actions for me always pointed to a wish to destroy his party.

fred250
May 8, 2020 1:21 pm

Poor Turnbull a-hole is still suffering from relevance deprivation syndrome.

Many more people are now awake to his CON-MAN status. Most just laugh at his puerile attempts.

Ian Coleman
May 8, 2020 1:35 pm

The trouble with the climate change catastrophe story is that it will take so long to falsify. The big horror is always ten years away. When it doesn’t happen in ten years, well, it will predicted to happen in ten years after that.

Climate change hysteria has always seemed to me like fear of nuclear war. In fact, Greenpeace was initially founded as an organization to ban nuclear weapons. That was a popular cause until about 1990, when people just ceased to worry about it. You can only say, catastrophe will happen soon, for four decades before people notice that it hasn’t happened and probably never will.

In thirty years, Greta Thunberg will be 47, and still waiting for the mass extinction that she has dedicated her life to preventing. By that time even she might get a little tired of the wait. Until then, we’re all going to have to put up with these people.

Incidentally, I have never heard an adult who wasn’t being paid in some way to raise the alarm about climate change spontaneously claim to be worried about climate change. Most people don’t really care.

matt
May 8, 2020 1:45 pm

Did he really say he’d like to see “THE climate change happen” Does he think it will be a singular event that we are all waiting for. Will he expect to see snow in Barbados in July. And that this strange weather event will be the new permanent state until another singular change occurs.
I’m fairly sure climate is not a measurable “thing”; it is a perception. Climate is what you expect to see as you go to open the curtains each morning based on experience, thirty years of records and memory and taking into account the time of year and where in the world you happen to be. And what you see through the glass is the weather. A slow gradual change in our expectation, is brought about by changes in the daily weather over a thirty /forty year period. Or am I wrong? Either way what on earth is the point of giving this person the benefit of any attention at all.

May 8, 2020 1:56 pm

When is physics going to mug political complacency and denialism?

Well, we “climate model denialists” rely on empirical evidence instead of computer games computer models to understand the physical world, so physics is on our side. Modest warming and sea level rise is no big deal. But if worrying about non-problems is your thing, well…

May 8, 2020 2:24 pm

Blaming CO2 for warming is shallow penetration of science/physics. Analysis using data from Quantum Mechanics calculations by Hitran reveals that water vapor increase has caused about 10 times more ground level warming than CO2 increase. The cooling effect of more CO2 in the stratosphere apparently cancels the small contribution to warming of more CO2 at ground level with the result that CO2 has no significant effect on climate.

WV has been increasing about 1.5% per decade which is MORE THAN IS POSSIBLE from feedback from temperature increase. https://watervaporandwarming.blogspot.com
Most (about 96%) of the WV increase is a result of irrigation increase.

Reply to  Dan Pangburn
May 8, 2020 2:45 pm

Dan,
Cotton blankets absorb IR better than water vapor and CO2, but they don’t warm you.

The first thermodynamics experiments of Pictet in 1800 already debunk the stupid backwarming gas theory. No backwarming solids … no backwarming gases. Simple.

MarkW
Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 4:50 pm

Once again, Zoe demonstrates utter ignorance in all things thermodynamic.
Blankets don’t warm you, they prevent the air warmed by your body from escaping. Much as green houses do.

CO2 warms the air by capturing IR photons and transferring that energy to the air.

Completely different mechanisms.

Reply to  MarkW
May 8, 2020 5:45 pm

The claim is also that GHGs raise the SURFACE temperature. You know, the dirt, water, rocks, plants, etc…

MarkW
Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 6:38 pm

No, the claim is that GHG’s warm the atmosphere. Can’t you at least get your idiocies straight?

Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 8:32 pm

Are you finally admitting the surface is 33C hotter than what the sun alone can do to something other than GHGs?

Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 8, 2020 10:40 pm

No Zoe, technically it’s the Sun that raises the surface temperature, but that temperature is higher with GHGs in the atmosphere because the GHGs are at the atmosphere’s temperature, and they reduce the rate at which heat can leave the surface to the atmosphere, rather than to outer space at -270 C in accordance with Stephan Boltzmann equation.
Here’s an educational article for you:
http://www.mhtl.uwaterloo.ca/courses/ece309_mechatronics/lectures/pdffiles/summary_ch12.pdf

John Bruyn
Reply to  DMacKenzie
May 8, 2020 11:17 pm

In cyberspace that may be true, but the about 1,677 equatorial speed of Earth’s rotation spins every gas to higher altitudes with much lower temperatures before coming back down again. CO2 gets into the upper mesosphere with -100C temperatures. This and all its other roles make CO2 not just a life giving gas but also a cooling agent for surface temperatures.

Reply to  Zoe Phin
May 9, 2020 12:26 am

DMac,
The sun provides the surface with ~165 W/m^2.

Why do you believe that preventing 165 from cooling to 0.000003 W/m^2 raises the surface to ~398 W/m^2?

That’s INSANE.

Blankets prevent your body’s IR from leaving further in that direction, yet your body T doesn’t rise. Same holds true for gases.

fred250
Reply to  MarkW
May 8, 2020 11:18 pm

“CO2 warms the air by capturing IR photons and transferring that energy to the air.”

Utter rubbish !!

There is no empirical evidence that this happens.

Anthony Banton
Reply to  fred250
May 9, 2020 2:59 am

There is a mountain of empirical,evidence, all the way back to Tyndal in 1859.

The fact that you and other sky-dragon slayers on here deny it does not make it so, and in fact matters not a jot.
Other than to weaken any “argument” sceptics may have in attacking the science because they don’t the implications of what it says to us.
So do carry on.
I know you will ignore any and all evidence put to you but for what it’s worth …..

https://climatefeedback.org/claimreview/simple-measurements-demonstrate-that-co2-is-a-greenhouse-gas-tim-ball/

Oh, and ultimately Fred , Zoe et al … if you say so.

Reply to  fred250
May 9, 2020 8:36 am

IR absorption is not the greenhouse effect.

The role of lukewarmers is to give legitimacy to the junk science of alarmists.

You have no evidence, you have circular assertions and reification. You’re a cult of imbecility. You get no respect.