Flashback: The Politics of Polar Bears CBC documentary from 2014

From Polar Bear Science

Worth watching if you haven’t seen it – and a second look if you have – a rare balanced documentary produced by the CBC in 2014 on polar bear conservation, with interviews with biologists Mitch Taylor and Andrew Derocher.

Politics of polar bears title

“In The Politics of Polar Bears, Reg Sherren will pick his way through the message track to help you decide what is really happening with the largest land carnivore on the planet.”

Short version here (about 18 minutes):

Entire version (45:30):

https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/2499432823

Online summary by the producer of the film, Reg Sherren (see excerpt below).

The most up-to-date discussion of polar bear numbers and the politics of polar bears are in my popular new book, The Polar Bear Catastrophe That Never Happened.

From Reg Sherren’s (2 September 2014) summary article:

“For some time now the suggestion has been that polar bears are in trouble and that many sub-populations of Ursus maritimus are decreasing, making them an iconic symbol in the fight against global climate change.

But there remains an ongoing debate within the scientific community that studies polar bears and their populations about whether the narrative of declining numbers is a stark reality or convenient myth.

Andrew Derocher, a professor of biological sciences at the University of Alberta, has spent his decades-long career studying polar bears, and has been more outspoken than most about the peril the big bear may face in the coming years.

“Our estimation is that we probably won’t have polar bears in Churchill once we get out to mid-century … They could be gone in a couple of years.”

“Our estimations are, if we had a very early melt, and a very late freeze, we could see up to 50 per cent mortality in a single year. You put a couple of years like that back-to-back, and things could happen very quickly,” says Derocher, in reference to a worst-case scenario about certain sub-populations he has studied. [SJC – see my post here on that issue]

But not everyone agrees polar bears are in trouble. Biologist Mitchell Taylor has studied polar bears and advised governments for more than thirty years, living in the high Arctic for much of that time.

“They’ve certainly been around through the last interglacial period,” says Taylor. “During that interglacial it was warmer than it is now: we had pine trees on Baffin Island, deciduous forests north of the Arctic Circle. Polar bears had to have survived that or we wouldn’t be seeing polar bears now,” he says.

Taylor asserts that polar bear populations “don’t appear to be declining” in any group that he is “aware of so far,” and that the science of estimating polar bear numbers has never been precise. He says that many of the current estimates are based upon a lacking methodology, admitting that some of his previous work incorporated the allegedly faulty technique as well.

Taylor says the problem lies in the way population estimates are extrapolated from samples.

“When you don’t sample the whole area you underestimate survival, you underestimate population numbers, and in fact the culmination of those biases can result in a scientific estimate that suggests a decline when none exists.” [SJC – See my post here about that issue]

It was just over a decade ago, says Taylor, that the notion that polar bears could be threatened by climate change gained traction. But he takes issue with the IPCC’s projection models for sea ice changes in the Arctic.

In 2008, he signed the controversial Manhattan Declaration on climate change, which argued that there was no conclusive evidence that carbon dioxide emissions from modern industrial activity was causing catastrophic changes in global climate.

“There was only one perspective, and that was what was provided by the IPCC,” says Taylor.

Taylor says that because he lived in the north he had direct contact with the people in the area, giving him a unique perspective on what was really happening on the ground.

“What they were describing was quite simply inconsistent with what I was hearing from local people, what I was seeing myself.”

Related posts for background and follow-up

Sea ice experts make astonishing admissions to polar bear specialists July 29, 2014

Dodgy new clarification of global polar bear population estimate (yes, another) July 5, 2014

Polar bear population numbers are for kids, says specialist Andrew Derocher [April 9, 2018]

Southern Beaufort polar bear ‘decline’ & reduced cub survival touted in 2008 was invalid, PBSG now admits March 24, 2014

Polar bears and melting ice_three facts that shouldn’t surprise you July 20, 2014

Even with Inuit lives at stake, polar bear specialists make unsupported claims April 23, 2019

Western Hudson Bay polar bears in great shape after five good sea ice seasons September 5, 2019

People go to Churchill to see polar bears in the wild and PBI controls the info they get September 18, 2019

Advertisements

47 thoughts on “Flashback: The Politics of Polar Bears CBC documentary from 2014

  1. “during the last interglacial we had pine trees on Baffin Island and deciduous forests north of the Arctic Circle” is a real money quote, because it puts a lie to the “we only have 10 years left to save the planet” spin. Awesome! I like polar bears, but from a distance, thank you.

    • I do like the polar bears and black holes and all, but I’d really like to see more Extinction Rebellion folks glue themselves to revolving doors, being arrested and getting pulled off the tops of trains by working folks, etc.

      • I would like to see a large number of Extinction Rebellion activists travel to the far north to hug polar bears.

      • “I do like the polar bears and black holes and all, but I’d really like to see more Extinction Rebellion folks glue themselves to revolving doors, being arrested and getting pulled off the tops of trains by working folks, etc.”
        But only if those working folks then glue them to the tracks in front of the train.
        PS don’t tell the driver

    • Caribou herds over much of BC are in precipitous decline. The indirect causes may be wolves which benefit from resource road construction and a completely insensible Provincial management strategy for large ungulates. Thank goodness we can blame AGW. The Porcupine herd is in decline but in BC so are porcupines, wolverines, fishers, most salmonid stocks, most mule deer populations, most moose populations, most big horn sheep populations. This is the result of decades of mismanagement caused by global warming I contend, as the only environmental issue ever discussed in the centres of power is AGW. Black bears and white tailed dear seem to be doing fine, as are coyotes and wolves. Species that like people and which can take advantage of a massive network of abandoned resource roads are doing well.

    • Caribou populations, particularly those that survive mostly on the tundra, go through wild population swings. This is largely owing to their food source, mostly ground lichens. Lichens are slow growing and can and do become over-grazed. When this happens, caribou populations decline, even collapse, providing a chance for the lichens to recover. Which allows caribou to recover. Rinse and repeat.

      • It’s too bad the Caribou didn’t evolve quicker to eat a much more variable diet than just lichens. They evolved in close proximity to the glacial tundra throughout the ice ages where lichen was the only thing to eat. The Mule Deer are doing just fine, because they can eat a lot of variety of vegetation. The Caribou are dying to go extinct. No pun intended. And so is the Spotted Owl, because they can’t adapt fast enough to compete with the Barred Owl. Evolution is filled with many such cases, including dozens of large land mammal megafaunal extinctions that were probably finished off by humans after suffering set backs over thens of thousands of years of ice ages when CO2 levels were barely above extinction levels for many plants species which was also a major stressor in their decline over time. Extinction is a normal process, and while humans have certainly sped things up in many instances the last 20,000+ years, it is survival of the fittest and no amount of protection of habitat is going to save either the Caribou or the Spotted Owl. Especially if you protect the Wolf, so they can finish off the Caribou.

  2. ALL publically funded “science” must be transparent (all data and analysis available) and replicated before it is accepted for policy-making.

  3. In my area, WWF has started running ads that claim the polar bear’s population is plummeting because the sea ice is all melting.
    (Being a child of the 70’s, WWF will always be the World Wrestling Federation. That’s what I think of as soon as I see it.)

    • “the World Wrestling Federation”

      That’s what I think of too, when I see those initials.

      I’ve seen WWF ads like you descirbe lately. They want us to adopt a polar bear by sending them $12 a month. I think that is the amount they were quoting. Their tv ad showed a polar bear and her two cubs seemingly wandering aimlessly on ice with lots of melted areas visible.

      It’s all a scam. The WWF is cashing in on the biggest hoax in scientific history. They are not alone.

  4. What?? CBC?? Were we not advised by several regulars here to never watch CBC? Is CBC not a Socialist, anti-business, anti-science government run taxpayer funded network spouting only Marxist propaganda?

    • I think you are missing the point. This exposes the lies or wilful deception of the modern media by showing a video that was made the media’s modus operandi was to silence all CAGW dissent.

    • Alastair, largely, yes, you pretty well hit the main ones. At one time they were TV and Radio greats, perhaps the worlds best. Do you know that a CBC producer (alas name?) coached the BBC back in the 50s on how to do drama? BBC stuff looked like stage plays in a school auditorium at the time.

      Climate Change, identity politics, Eurocentric néomarxiste global governance, killing history, culture, achievement, scholarship – the Great Dumbing Down K-PhD, anti Semitism, the Age of Enlightenment a crime against humanity, by the woke folk… CBC along with 90% of the big media jumped on the wagon.

  5. The politics of polar bears

    Funny, because polar bears don’t give a flying frack about politics. Maybe they’re more sensible than eco-loons.

    • “Maybe they’re [Polar Bears] more sensible than eco-loons.”

      Definitely. Polar Bears deal in reality. Eco-loons deal in dark fantasy.

  6. Speaking of the CBC, 15 years ago, before it was completely co-opted by green leftists, it broadcast this documentary: Global Warming – Doomsday Called Off:

    • Sorry for this. It didn’t end up where I intended it to, and it’s off topic with the main hoax under discussion.

  7. Here’s a comment I made a couple of years ago:

    “It should be explicitly stated that polar bear alarmism, like several other false alarms, is a microcosm of global warming alarmism. (E.g., the high strong “nature-defender” and “earth-is-fragile” mentality of the leading researchers, and their mendacity, and their exclusion of dissenting experts.)”

  8. 1992

    This animated film uses the Arctic landscape and the traditional Inuit characters of the Bear, the Seal and the Owl to raise young people’s awareness about the harmful effects of substance abuse. A polar bear experiences hallucinations after inhaling fumes from an abandoned gas can. A nearby owl and seal help to show the bear the error of his ways, thus preventing him from falling further into addiction. This film was an initiative of the Natives of the Institution La Macaza to warn children of the dangers of inhaling toxic chemicals

    https://www.nfb.ca/film/sniffing_bear/

    • Yes, mostly sniffing gas and glue. That was probably a good way to use animals to reach the kidz and relate to them. But even the kidz now, especially the Inuit, know that there is no problem with Polar bears. Some of the adults have gotten on the gravy train about the melting permafrost, but many of them are paid by the NGO’s to be on their payroll. A lot of the melting permafrost is asphalt highways soaking up sunlight and under buildings etc, from thermal heating above even if their structure is on stilts. But things never stay the same forever, and there was also some coastal erosion in the 1930’s when it was also a lot warmer than the cooler periods when things stayed frozen longer.

  9. I’ve always found that when someone’s eyes blink rapidly while making a statement it is likely to be untrue. The blinking is a subconscious action because they know that. Interesting interviews, watch the eyes.

Comments are closed.