The World Just Missed a Five Year Paris Agreement Deadline to Raise Climate Ambition

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

h/t Dr. Willie Soon; Further evidence that the Paris Agreement is so dead, most countries can’t be bothered to even pretend to care, even nations which expect to receive climate aid.

World misses symbolic February deadline to ratchet up climate action before Cop26 

Published on 07/02/2020, 7:00am

The 2015 Paris Agreement seeks to raise global ambition every five years. But only two nations have issued upgraded climate plans nine months before Cop26 in Glasgow

By Alister Doyle

Almost all countries are set to miss a symbolic 9 February deadline to strengthen plans to fight climate change under the Paris Agreement even though the United Nations says action in 2020 is vital to avert runaway global warming.

A little-noticed paragraph 25 in the 2015 UN decision implementing the Paris Agreement says that such climate action plans, known as Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), are meant to be submitted to the UN “at least 9 to 12 months in advance of the relevant session” of the Cop.

Sunday 9 February marks nine months before the start of Cop26, from 9-19 November. NDCs are crucial in defining national policies for the next 5-10 years.

“It’s disappointing,” Andrew Higham, who led drafting of the 2015 Paris Agreement at the UN Climate Change secretariat, told Climate Home News of the dearth of NDCs by the informal February deadline, which is not legally binding.

Of almost 200 governments, only the Marshall Islands and Suriname have so far provided enhanced NDCs to rein in their greenhouse gas emissions and adapt their economies to ever more heatwaves, droughts, more powerful storms and rising sea levels.

The two account for about 0.01% of world greenhouse gas emissions.

Asked about the lack of action, a COP26 spokesperson said: “We encourage all parties to submit ambitious NDCs in good time before COP26 this November.

We are delighted that the Marshall Islands and Suriname have already submitted their NDCs and look forward to the rest of our international partners doing so in the coming months.”

Read more:

I’m sure France at least will submit its plan at some point in the next few months.

Or perhaps not – thanks to the Yellow Vest riots, which were originally triggered by carbon taxes France imposed on fuel, maybe even President Macron has learned to tread carefully when it comes to French climate ambition.

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February 7, 2020 10:22 pm

Thank God and Donald Trump.

USA 🇺🇸 will not submit a Nationally Determined Contribution this year. Unfortunately, maybe Bernie will send it in next year.

Reply to  RelPerm
February 7, 2020 10:44 pm

Hopefully Donald Trump will hold the line in 2020. If the Democrats get in, I fear for the future of America and all it represents. And I don’t even live there.!

Bryan A
Reply to  Scwatllan
February 7, 2020 11:05 pm

If a Democrat gets elected in 2020, you can be sure the U.S. will start preparations for reparations and begin Tithing to the UN. BUT, unless the agreement is passed through Congress and ratified, it would likely be overturned by the next seated Republican. A Presidential edict can always by countermanded by another President.
But, allowing the Paris Agreement to pass through Congress takes the chance that it would not pass favorably at which point the agreement would fall apart.

Reply to  Bryan A
February 8, 2020 5:00 am

Don’t be too sure. See DACA. O started it with an EO and Trump isn’t allowed to end it.

Reply to  Bryan A
February 9, 2020 8:31 am

Surprises nobody that Compliance is all measured and guidelines deliverables are demanded
….but they are incapable of measuring what those actions actually do with Ecology, environment and Green

Patrick Healy
Reply to  Bryan A
February 9, 2020 10:27 am

It lucky that you Yanks have a sensible leader.
Over here in the never never land of Blundering Boris, just days after (maybe) getting us out of the EU, he signed up to ban all proper grown up vehicles by 2030 to be replaced by Scalectrix pretend cars.
Also banned all gas fired central heating and cooking by that date.
All this electricity is to be provided by windmills.
It is estimated that we need to commission one every hour before then.
The production of our abundant supply of natural gas is banned.

Reply to  Scwatllan
February 8, 2020 2:03 am

I’m thinking Trump will take 39-40 states as things stand now. It’s the Senate that I’m more concerned about. If we want to stop a lot of climate change legal sludge then conservative judges will be the back stop for a generation verses the other two branches which will most likely change hands one or more times in the same period. Keeping the Senate and the presidency is the key. Trump has declared that his goal is the leave no judicial seat unfilled before he leaves. Already 25% of seated justices were put there by Trump. Another Trump term with a Republican senate majority may see that total jump up to 40%. Further I don’t think Ginsburg is going to make it and Stevens is also very long in the tooth. Conservative replacements for each will negate for a long duration the ability of the less than reliable Chief Justice Roberts to swing the vote. I don’t foresee the democrats being able to muster the kinds of majorities in both houses to force through a court packing scheme in the foreseeable future.
Another factor. I agree with Representative Nunes near the top of the list of the President Trumps accomplishments has been exposing the democrat media for the liars they are and thus showing Republicans that they can blow them off and not lose. That exposure and the total TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome) they have displayed will have long lasting effects on many issues including climate change.

Rod Evans
Reply to  RelPerm
February 7, 2020 11:36 pm

If anyone wishes to see how the jobs for the boys bureaucrats at the UN operate this is the Paris Agreement.
If you take the time to read it, you will see its prime objective is to develop ever more bureaucracy.
What a joke document the Paris agreement is. No wonder Obama signed it.

Chris Wright
Reply to  Rod Evans
February 8, 2020 3:39 am

And no wonder that Trump is taking the US out of the ridiculous thing.

Reply to  RelPerm
February 9, 2020 3:20 am

LOL! No.

Paul Penrose
February 7, 2020 10:26 pm

Posers and hypocrites always expose themselves, you just have to patient.

February 7, 2020 10:38 pm

It’s dead Jim. Only the academia faithful believe in it.

Reply to  beththeserf
February 7, 2020 11:13 pm

Dr McCoy puts his medical opinion on the Paris Climate Agreement:

Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2020 2:49 am

“He’s worse than dead Jim …. his brain is missing. ”

Isn’t that what they said after the JFK assassination?

Maybe that’s the information Trump wanted to release , where his brain was being kept. No wonder the deep state had to intervene.

Bryan A
February 7, 2020 10:52 pm

The indicies of the NDCs are Not Descriptively Inclusive

February 7, 2020 11:17 pm

““We are delighted that the Marshall Islands and Suriname have already submitted their NDCs and look forward to the rest of our international partners doing so in the coming months.””

And every other little nation that wants a climate hand-out. It’s how climate welfare scam works. An effort to enslave the masses with a honey-pot of money while the kleptocrat pols walk away with the loot in a Cayman bank account never to be seen again.

Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2020 2:58 am

Most countries in Europe, and now Canada, already have their carbon tax schemes in place. They have no intention of turning that cash over to the UN, they’re going to use it to tighten their grip on power and control.

I don’t blame them one bit. This is what their citizens voted for, after all.

Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2020 3:24 am – Oil Per capita (tCO₂/person)

In the lead:
Curacao: 32 tonnes
Small island states are 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 9th, 10th,11th, 13th, 14th.

US is 15th at 7.2 tonnes, followed by Canada and then more Small Island States, including ones like the Seychelles, claimed to be drowning.

It seems if you live on a small island, you need oil…

Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7
Reply to  dennisambler
February 8, 2020 5:16 am

For small islands, diesel generators end up being the least expensive way to produce electricity. And of course the oil has to be imported by ship. Many have tried the wind+solar route, but oil continues to provide the bulk of generated power.

Dan Sudlik
Reply to  Joel O'Bryan
February 8, 2020 6:40 am

“Of almost 200 governments, only the Marshall Islands and Suriname have so far provided enhanced NDCs to rein in their greenhouse gas emissions and adapt their economies to ever more heatwaves, droughts, more powerful storms and rising sea levels.”

How about showing some evidence of the ever more heatwaves, droughts and storms. All we get is yada yada yada.

Crispin in Waterloo
Reply to  Dan Sudlik
February 8, 2020 8:39 am

You’ve heard that orange is the new black?
Assertion is the new fact.

Johann Wundersamer
Reply to  Dan Sudlik
February 21, 2020 4:31 am

Crispin in Waterloo:

You’ve heard that orange is the new black?

The bad news is

February 8, 2020 12:23 am

Obama’s contention the Paris Agreement is not a very important agreement although it may involve billions of dollars to require senate concurrence. To Obama executive concurrence was sufficient. Trump could have submitted the agreement to the senate for ratification justifying it as a major treaty requiring senate concurrence and have it turned down before submitting the US withdrawal. In which case, the next president would be duty bound to secure senate concurrence before getting back into the agreement.

Reply to  eo
February 8, 2020 1:31 am

Obama is accused of tremendous overreach. link Congress should be making the laws but Obama found ways to circumvent that. Now, the Democrats squeal like stuck pigs when Trump follows suit.

Reply to  eo
February 8, 2020 2:00 pm

The political problem with your scenario is it would have forced Republican senators to vote against it, opening them needlessly to the Dimwits criticism as “climate deniers.” Certainly it never would have been ratified (needing 67 votes), but it would be a needless political wound.

Carl Friis-Hansen
February 8, 2020 1:07 am

Did the government officials at all read “A little-noticed paragraph 25”?
Are the government officials afraid their “ambitions” would cause too much resistance at home?
Or is there another reason why they have not submitted their report timely?

Ron Long
February 8, 2020 1:30 am

During COP26 the USA will vote on their NDC, via the 2020 Presidential election. There are two NDC choices: Frack On! or Frack Off!

February 8, 2020 2:53 am

They are always talking about “ambition” in these NDCs and negotiations. I thought I check up exactly what that means. Miriam-Webster:

“Ambition definition is – an ardent desire for rank, fame, or power.”

Yep , just about sums it up. Nothing to do with doing the right thing, saving the planet or anything like that. Just a rank desire for power.

February 8, 2020 2:57 am

We are delighted that the Marshall Islands and Suriname have already submitted their NDCs

I too am delighted ! Thank you Marshall Islands for building all those new tourist hotels and a new airport, 1m above sea level. Now how much money would you like us to pay you stop using them and STFU?

BTW please stop convening cabinet meetings under water, all that hot air will raise ocean temperatures.

Carl Friis-Hansen
February 8, 2020 4:04 am

The UN does not need an agreement of ambitions for acquiring “protection money” within the GCCM (Global Climate Change Mafia) umbrella❗
Honest science and democratic approval is substituted by cult and authoritarian framework ⚠️
Resistance is futile, the books will be burned 🔥

Reply to  Carl Friis-Hansen
February 8, 2020 9:14 am

The beatings will continue until morale improves.

Emrys Jones
February 8, 2020 4:26 am

If this stuff was actually important, then
1. The UK govt. would not allow the meeting to be held in Glasgow,
2. Ditto the Scottish govt.,
3. Ditto the EU.
They would be hold it in London or Edinburgh, i.e. London. It is just conceivable they would allow Manchester. Sturgeon OTOH never ever allows anything important to happen outside Edinburgh.

February 8, 2020 5:22 am

I don’t know, as long as they were receiving bucket loads of dollars US they were quite adept at pretending to care, dry up the cash are reality rapidly sets in.

Coeur de Lion
February 8, 2020 5:54 am

It was the Maldives actually. (Scuba committee meeting). They need US taxpayers Green Climate Fund money to build another airport.
The horror of the Paris Agreement was the explosion of joy in the Press Office when agreement (‘should’ drafted not ‘will’) was reached. Not a single gnarled crusty cynical old hack said “Wait a mo, fellers, this is all crap isn’t it?”

Colin H
February 8, 2020 7:49 am

I briefly looked at the Paris Agreement. If I’m not mistaken, it seems to be a way to transfer wealth from Developed countries to undeveloped countries? Much the same as a welfare system? And it seems to take a way the sovereignty of the nations that have agreed to it and forces countries to hand over tons of cash with no choice?
If this is the case, this is so wrong on so many levels.

Gordon Dressler
February 8, 2020 8:03 am

Why is it so hard for any country to issue an updated (“enhanced”) NDC?

The submission can be this simple: “We will continuing doing what we did over the last five years to fight climate change, only more so and with more vigor.”

(Submitted pro bono for your consideration.)

Reply to  Gordon Dressler
February 9, 2020 4:50 pm

Well said, Mr. Dressler.

Mark R Leberer
February 8, 2020 8:46 am

We may not make a financial contribution, but we will likely lower our emissions again voluntarily in 202 like we did in 2019 …. proving once again free-markets are the best solution…

February 8, 2020 8:59 am

AGW is a testament to divide and conquer. What the anti Capitalists didn’t account for is man’s desire to prosper, increase their standard of living, and pass on the prosperity to their children. The Paris Discord, Green New Deal, and all the other so called “environmental friendly” demands are nothing but wealth redistribution schemes that will definitely impact the successful nations while maybe, just maybe, help the less prosperous ones and the people know it. Globalization failed to give the expected results so now we’re on to AGW. For the Marxists/Socialists it will always be something the successful nations are doing to suppress the ROW.

Tom Abbott
February 8, 2020 10:31 am

From the article: “Of almost 200 governments, only the Marshall Islands and Suriname have so far provided enhanced NDCs to rein in their greenhouse gas emissions and adapt their economies to ever more heatwaves, droughts, more powerful storms and rising sea levels.

The two account for about 0.01% of world greenhouse gas emissions.”

This just about says it all. This is reality. This so-called Human-caused climate change catastrophy that is going to supposedly end life as we know it, is not taken seriously by most of the world.

All the fervent CAGW believers will be so disappointed. One of these days a lot of people are going to wake up and say to themselves, “I had it completely wrong!”

They were fooled by unscrupulous political scientists.

mike macray
February 8, 2020 10:49 am

“We are delighted that the Marshall Islands and Suriname have already submitted their NDCs…
You beat me to it Joel O’Bryan.
While chasing typhoons for Uncle Sam almost three decades ago I can attest to the fact that Moen Island seat of Majuro the capital of the Marshall Islands was gaining on SLR through acres of land fill in the shallows. The waste stream for the landfill was greatly enhanced by the import of food, beverages (mostly beer) and other disposable commodities to sustain the transplanted populations of Bikini and Enewetok atolls which were needed for A and H-bomb tests in the 40’s and 50’s..

February 8, 2020 4:46 pm

From the IPA in Australia this Press Release dated 23 August,2018-
“Paris Agreement to cost Australia $52 billion”.
It accompanied a Research Report “ Why Australia must exit the Paris Agreement”
The cost of meeting the Agreement between 2018 and 2030 is estimated at $52 billion economic cost or $8,566 per family.
To quote Senator Everett Dirksen, “A billion dollars here and a billion dollars there and suddenly you’re talking real money”.

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