New IPCC report on ocean warming cites a flawed and retracted paper

Via Retraction Watch:

A major new report about the dramatic warming of the oceans cites a 2018 Nature paper on the topic that was retracted earlier this week — the same day, in fact, that the report dropped.

But one of the authors of that paper tells Retraction Watch that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report, released September 25, must have meant to cite a different paper by the same authors. 

The report concluded that:

It is virtually certain that the global ocean has warmed unabated since 1970 and has taken up more than 90% of the excess heat in the climate system (high confidence). Since 1993, the rate of ocean warming has more than doubled (likely).

What makes the flawed citation more remarkable is that researchers have been aware of errors in the analysis for more than 10 months. As we — and others — have reported, almost immediately after publication of the paper Nic Lewis blogged about his concerns with the analysis, concerns that eventually prompted the retraction.

Full story at Retraction Watch


The paper, Resplandy et al. has been well covered in WUWT since Nic Lewis first pointed out the fatal flaw in the “peer reviewed” paper.

This latest blunder seems pretty par for the course with the IPCC, and as we’ve seen in the past they’ve not only used “grey literature” but travel brochures as references to “scientific” assessments.

This latest blunder underscores the worthlessness of the IPCC to real science.

What we can do though, is alert them with reports about this error. From their website:

In case of a suspected error in an IPCC report, please send a mail to ipccerrorprotocol@wmo.int containing the following information: Complete name, Telephone, Organization, Country, Publication, Chapter, Page, Line, and Comments. The IPCC Protocol for Addressing Possible Errors is here

I suspect all we will get is what Retraction watch got – a form email. Doesn’t hurt to try, the squeaky wheel gets the oil.

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61 thoughts on “New IPCC report on ocean warming cites a flawed and retracted paper

  1. The Science experts at Skeptical Science were Screaming that this paper proved the oceans heat content was rapidily increase – past the point of no return.

    funny, I dont see SK noting the retraction

  2. You have to remember that the people who actually write the IPCC summary report are mostly not scientists, they were probably unaware of the complaints.
    So this is another the Himalayan Ice will all be gone by 2035 type mess up, I hope it embarases hell out of them.

    • The IPCC has 100% cover from the Propaganda Press. Nothing negative to the IPCC will ever be released to the public at large. And the public at large doesn’t even know nor care what the IPCC is.

      If the IPCC ever comes up in conversation (rare) I always point out that the IPCC is a corrupt political agency of the totally anti-American and corrupt United Nations.

  3. I heard on the radio yesterday that the ipcc was in Monaco to talk about the “rising sea levels”, it seems they were to busy wasting tax powers money on plush hotels and in the casino, and totally forgot that the report was wrong… To much free champagne does that to you….. Saenr as the u.n, they travel the world in planes, taxis, cars, helicopters, while eating, sleeping for free on our tax money, all while scaring us in to giving them free money so they can save us from the weather aka Mother nature…

  4. Thermal greenhouse gas energy, the only energy to show the quantum phenomenon of non locality, jumping from magic CO2 molecules to the deep ocean while ignoring space and time.

    • Robert, it might be some of that “neutrinoless double-beta decay” from yesterday? EUREKA! it has been witnessed!

  5. So what warms the oceans? Sunlight, definitely. Submarine volcanoes? Probably. Downwelling longwave radiation from atmospheric ghgs? Certainly not. Infrared radiation can only penetrate a few microns into the ocean skin.

    So with that in mind is the IPCC saying that the oceans are also being heated anthropogenically?

    • There is a process whereby warm surface water not only sinks, but stays warm at the bottom of the ocean for decades, maybe even centuries when it resurfaces even hotter than when it sank. I believe it’s called “Trenberthing”

      • Describe the process, if you would. I can see tidal forces ‘mixing’ warm surface water at the places where tides cause motion into and out of estuaries, for example, the Bay of Fundy, but not otherwise.

        Do tell.

      • In principle yes. Tidal dissipation does to some extent go into heating the ocean (and the solid Earth) due to hysteresis. It also goes into slowing the Earth’s rotation and into mechanical erosion of coasts and seabottoms.

        However it is on the order of tens of mW per square meter, i. e. about an order of magnitude weaker than geothermal heating.

    • Old emu

      So with that in mind is the IPCC saying that the oceans are also being heated anthropogenically?

      Yes! It’s all those people “making a warm patch” when they go for a quick swim.

  6. The CBC is in full flight with Greta meeting Trudeau. The CBC “Kelly Crowe is a medical sciences correspondent for CBC News, specializing in health and biomedical research. She joined CBC in 1991, and has spent 25 years reporting on a wide range of national news and current affairs, with a particular interest in science and medicine.” A specialist indeed… The article is to legitimize Cook, Lewandovsky and others non climate scientists publications!
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/climate-change-denial-fossil-fuel-think-tank-sceptic-misinformation-1.5297236
    This article is using the word of “deniers” and is accusing others of exactly what the climate movement has been doing for 30 years!
    The journalist Kelly Crowe is not worried of misrepresenting the credentials of her guests:
    For instance:
    “Canadian climate researcher Matto Mildenberger said…”
    Except that he is no climatologist:
    “Matto Mildenberger is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of California Santa Barbara. His research explores the political drivers of policy inaction in the face of serious social and economic threats posed by global climate change. …”

    Political science, pimpled teenagers, environmental sociologists… The irony is that Kelly terminates her article with this example:
    “One group was shown a petition signed by thousands of “scientists” — even though most of them were not climate experts — who said humans have not caused global warming. A second group was also shown the petition, but the difference is that before seeing it, they were told about the misinformation tactic of using “spokespeople who convey the impression of expertise without possessing any relevant scientific expertise.”

    Well Kelly, this is exactly what you have done in your CBC article: using sociologists and political scientists to legitimize climate science. What does it say about your methods, your integrity and ethics?

    The CBC has proven if needed that it is a propaganda outlet with little respect for its readers.

    • Mildenberger said current climate misinformation has evolved. He said one tactic climate skeptics use is targeting climate activists for their personal carbon footprint, in an effort “to discredit [those] who are trying to make reforms by accusing them of hypocrisy.”

      Indeed, how do we dare demanding their prophets abide with their message! We should open our ears, believe and close our eyes. And depending on which side they stand, people are either justly stigmatized for their sinful behavior or absolved because their action is supposedly serving the greater good… If that does not smack of elitism and sophistry…

    • Add CTV and Global to CBC. They are in Trudeau’s pocket as he is dolling out 650 million to the struggling fake media, just before announcing a general election. They are failing because they are fake.

  7. Please provide an accurate reference to the claim regarding “travel brochures,” as I could not find anything specific at the link provided except more claims about relying on travel brochures. I am not inclined to believe that the claim is false. Too much has happened for me to believe that, but we shouldn’t fall into the trap of making unsupported claims. ….

    After much searching, the closest I was able to come to a reference to a “travel brochure” was here: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/02/01/ipcc-gets-the-boot-cleaned/

  8. The IPCC has 100% cover from the Propaganda Press. Nothing negative to the IPCC will ever be released to the public at large. And the public at large doesn’t even know nor care what the IPCC is.

    If the IPCC ever comes up in conversation (rare) I always point out that the IPCC is a corrupt political agency of the totally anti-American and corrupt United Nations.

  9. Surely, we have arrived at a point in this argument where a timeline cutoff point needs to be agreed to? If we are not all dead or dying in 12 years, those that are promoting this dramatic emergency, should they not be made accountable? Seeing as how we have now swung from an impending iceage, to global warming and now climate change inside 50 years from 1970, with all previous predictions having gone by without whimper, shouldn’t the key salesmen be put on notice to put up or shutup?

  10. This alarmist report is all over the MSM like a rash as far as I can tell. The discovered/known flaw and retraction, nothing in sight about that. But that does not matter, the damage is done.

  11. Coastal erosion due to climate change.

    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/victoria/this-victorian-surf-club-is-under-threat-as-climate-change-eats-away-at-the-coast-20190927-p52vgy.html#comments

    “University of Melbourne geomorphologist, Professor David Kennedy, says it is likely this ridge was the coastline about 4000 to 6000 years ago, a period known as the mid-Holocene highstand when global temperatures were about 1 to 2 degrees higher than now.”

    So which is it? Warmer 6000 years ago or hottest evah over the last 5 years? Climate science is so confusing. Here Mr. Politician, take some taxes off me and make energy vastly more expensive to reduce my anxiety levels.

  12. ‘This latest blunder underscores the worthlessness of the IPCC to real science.’

    This is a developing story.

    It appears the cite is wrong, not the study used. IPCC does a lot of review, much of it of high quality.

  13. I was expert reviewer of the 5th Assessment Report and concluded (June 2019):
    “A remarkable lobbying product for the IPCC,
    but a document failing to fulfill scientific standard”.
    We must say the same about the Special Report of September 25.
    best wishes
    Nils-Axel Mörner
    sea level specialist

  14. The question to be asked is: Why did (the commercial, no longer scientific, venture) Nature take so long to retract that infamous paper? Why did they take action only when the sea-level IPPC doomsaying “report” was being distributed?

    This does not seem to be casual, one may think that it was a purposeful delay.

  15. Sep 30, 2019 Tucker Carlson – That Existential Threat

    Tucker Carlson explores the veracity of claims that climate change is as “existential threat.” Do the presidential candidates who advocate policies based on that premise believe it themselves?

    https://youtu.be/jVdvEMhlFos

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