Arctic Sea Ice Could Be Holding Back An Economic Boom, Pompeo Says

From The Daily Caller

Tim Pearce | Energy Reporter

The melting sea ice in the Arctic region might uncover a vast wealth of resources and open up new international trade routes, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Monday.

Pompeo delivered remarks from Finland, where he attended a meeting of nations with territory in the Arctic region. Pompeo largely focused on Chinese and Russian interests in the area but mentioned that melting sea ice afforded the U.S. economic prospects. (RELATED: Trump Approved The First-Ever US Oil Facility In Arctic Waters)

“The Arctic is at the forefront of opportunity and abundance,” Pompeo said, according to CNN. “It houses 13 percent of the world’s undiscovered oil, 30 percent of its undiscovered gas, an abundance of uranium, rare earth minerals, gold, diamonds, and millions of square miles of untapped resources, fisheries galore.”

“Steady reductions in sea ice are opening new passageways and new opportunities for trade,” Pompeo added. “This could potentially slash the time it takes to travel between Asia and the West by as much as 20 days.”

Pompeo warned that Russia is increasingly aggressive about the region, and he said China appears to have a vested national security interest in the region. Pompeo said both countries could be trying to claim the Arctic’s vast natural resources for themselves, Reuters reported.

Pompeo’s criticisms “were totally out of sync with the facts,” China Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang said, according to Reuters. “It is inconsistent with the general trend of peaceful cooperation in the Arctic, completely confuses right with wrong, and has ulterior motives.”

Front row from left, Foreign Ministers of Russia, Sergey Lavrov, Sweden, Margot Wallstrom, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Finland's Foreign Minister Timo Soini pose for a picture during the Arctic Council summit at the Lappi Areena in Rovaniemi, Finland May 7, 2019. Mandel Ngan/Pool via REUTERS

Front row from left, Foreign Ministers of Russia, Sergey Lavrov, Sweden, Margot Wallstrom, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Finland’s Foreign Minister Timo Soini pose for a picture during the Arctic Council summit at the Lappi Areena in Rovaniemi, Finland May 7, 2019. Mandel Ngan/Pool via REUTERS

The Finland meeting brought together the Arctic council composed of eight member countries. Besides Finland, Russia and the United States, the rest of the council is made up by Canada, Denmark, Iceland, Norway and Sweden. China obtained observer status on the council in 2013.

The council sought to agree upon a joint declaration of goals for the Arctic, but could not get the U.S. to sign on to a proposed document, The Associated Press reported.

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climanrecon
May 30, 2019 10:54 am

“Steady reductions in sea ice …” Huh? Let me introduce you to periodic oscillations.

Joel O'Bryan
Reply to  climanrecon
May 30, 2019 11:20 am

Natural oscillations in natural systems doesn’t fit doomsday scenario propaganda.
Linear extrapolations on ascending or descending nodes of a sine wave are what sells climate porn.

Sara
Reply to  climanrecon
May 30, 2019 1:50 pm

Wait a minute!!! First, it’s all melting, then it’s not melting but getting thicker, then it’s melting, then it’s getting thicker. So now it’s melting and thinning out again?

I can’t keep up with this stuff. I just can’t. Either it’s melting or it isn’t, and if it is, does that explain cloud fairies and seeing CO2?

Bryan A
Reply to  Sara
May 30, 2019 2:27 pm

In March it’s melting, in September it’s not melting

Rocketscientist
Reply to  Sara
May 30, 2019 2:33 pm

It seems netither can Pompeo stay abreast of the present trends. As for increase trade traffic, I’m afriad that ship has sailed. And it got stuck in the ice if I recall.

Greg
Reply to  Rocketscientist
May 30, 2019 3:39 pm

Well he sure hasn’t looked a changes in Artic sea ice in the last 10years. But that’s too easy we have data on all that, any one can work that out.

“It houses 13 percent of the world’s undiscovered oil” . Wow, that’s clever. He knows quite precisely how much “undiscovered oil” there is. I’ll bet he even knows how many unknown unknowns there are in climatology.

xenomoly
Reply to  climanrecon
May 30, 2019 2:12 pm

Yeah -what exactly are they going to tell people when the cool phase of the AMO makes the sea ice extent the way it was in the 1970s?

mwhite
Reply to  climanrecon
May 31, 2019 9:07 am

Yep, make your projections now….

Vuk
May 30, 2019 11:01 am

“Pompeo warned that Russia is increasingly aggressive about the region, and he said China appears to have a vested national security interest in the region. Pompeo said both countries could be trying to claim the Arctic’s vast natural resources for themselves, Reuters reported.”
First come, first served. Russians are rapidly enlarging their nuclear powered ice breakers fleet.
A cording to wikipedia USA has only two coast-guard Arctic active ice breakers (one 40+, the other 20 old old) and one for great lakes, probably unsuitable for Arctic
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_icebreakers#United_States_Coast_Guard
without larger number of purpose built ice-breakers not much can be done up there.

Gerald Machnee
May 30, 2019 11:04 am

**“Steady reductions in sea ice are opening new passageways and new opportunities for trade,” Pompeo added**
Why are not these politicians up to date?
Where is the CIA?
I thought the intelligent services would have noticed what a few of us have noticed. that the Arctic ice has STOPPED DECREASING in the summer.
So what is next? An increase? It has as good a chance of increasing as decreasing.
So much for shipping. What happened in 2018?

Bindidon
Reply to  Gerald Machnee
May 30, 2019 5:40 pm

Gerald Machnee

“… what a few of us have noticed: that the Arctic ice has STOPPED DECREASING in the summer.”

Here are the numbers for September’s absolute sea ice extent in the Arctic since 1979:

1979 | 9 | 7.05
1980 | 9 | 7.67
1981 | 9 | 7.14
1982 | 9 | 7.30
1983 | 9 | 7.39
1984 | 9 | 6.81
1985 | 9 | 6.70
1986 | 9 | 7.41
1987 | 9 | 7.28
1988 | 9 | 7.37
1989 | 9 | 7.01
1990 | 9 | 6.14
1991 | 9 | 6.47
1992 | 9 | 7.47
1993 | 9 | 6.40
1994 | 9 | 7.14
1995 | 9 | 6.08
1996 | 9 | 7.58
1997 | 9 | 6.69
1998 | 9 | 6.54
1999 | 9 | 6.12
2000 | 9 | 6.25
2001 | 9 | 6.73
2002 | 9 | 5.83
2003 | 9 | 6.12
2004 | 9 | 5.98
2005 | 9 | 5.50
2006 | 9 | 5.86
2007 | 9 | 4.27
2008 | 9 | 4.69
2009 | 9 | 5.26
2010 | 9 | 4.87
2011 | 9 | 4.56
2012 | 9 | 3.57
2013 | 9 | 5.21
2014 | 9 | 5.22
2015 | 9 | 4.62
2016 | 9 | 4.51
2017 | 9 | 4.80
2018 | 9 | 4.71

Are you serious?

RACookPE1978
Editor
Reply to  Bindidon
May 30, 2019 6:34 pm

And, just what do you fear?

We only have 40 years of September sea ice records.
12 years of near-flat, with a peak in 82-84.
16 years of declining sea ice minimums.
12 years now of steady (flat!) sea ice minimums: 2007-2018.

Just the beginning of a 66-80 year oscillation:
Late 1978 was the start of the satellite record.
82-84 was maximum.
2007-2018 was the minimum.
It may continue increasing, it may remain steady.

The less Arctic sea ice all year round, the more heat is lost to the infinite cold blackness of deep space.

Do you truly believe a simplistic straight line exaggeration is correct into the future?
Your exaggeration starts off higher than any recorded value, continues straight down until it is lower than any recorded value.

Bindidon
Reply to  RACookPE1978
May 31, 2019 1:07 am

RACookPE1978

What should I fear?
What about you keeping at bare numbers, instead of guessing?

Linear estimates in Mkm /decade for extent (15+ % ice) / area (100 % ice):

1. 1979-2019: -0.74 ± 0.07 / -0.64 ± 0.07
2. 2007-2019: -0.46 ± 0.13 / -0.34 ± 0.13

“12 years now of steady (flat!) sea ice minimums: 2007-2018.”
Under steady (flat!) I inderstand something quite different.

And by the way: do you know what happens when instead of cherry-picking and starting in front of the 2007 increase you start in 2008?

2a. 2008-2019: -0.65 ± 0.14 / -0.65 ± 0.14

Nice try, like starting a UAH trend in 1998!

F1nn
Reply to  Bindidon
May 31, 2019 4:00 am

Yes. And would you now please tell what do you fear? Can you answer a simple question without that blaablaa?

It´s just water, harder or softer, less or more.

Ouluman
Reply to  Bindidon
May 31, 2019 8:43 am

What you fear is that Arctic ice has natural cycles and is not in freefall. When you have 200 years data then you might be able to make reasonable predictions. Until then might be best to keep quiet with the fearmongering.

garyh845
Reply to  Bindidon
May 31, 2019 9:52 am

You’ll note that there’s no further downward trend for the past 12 years.

Also a since 2012, the downward trend in receding glaciers in Greenland has come to an almost dead halt, with many now advancing.

Perhaps a change is afoot.

Bindidon
Reply to  garyh845
May 31, 2019 1:20 pm

garyh845

Do you have difficulties in reading comments?

2008-2019: -0.65 ± 0.14 / -0.65 ± 0.14

This means that during the last 10 years, the Arctic region loses sea ice (in both extent and area) at a rate of over 0.5 million km² per decade.

And that you comment with “no further downward trend” ???

Perfect.

garyh845
Reply to  Bindidon
June 1, 2019 11:35 am

comment image

cp
Reply to  Gerald Machnee
June 6, 2019 2:02 am

Intelligent Services 🙂

Martin Hovland
May 30, 2019 11:19 am

They better start building new and heavier nuclear fuelled ice management vessels, also called icebreakers. I don’t think the ice in the arctic will suddenly stop forming, even though IPCC’s models and Al Gore say so…

Bryan A
Reply to  Martin Hovland
May 30, 2019 12:21 pm

Doesn’t matter much what All Bore says about Ice

Alan the Brit
Reply to  Bryan A
May 31, 2019 12:45 am

Well clearly he’s made sufficient squillions $$$ from his scamming operation, that’s why he’s gone all quiet, I presume!

Windsong
May 30, 2019 11:28 am

The DC article featured here is over three weeks old. The Monday remarks by Sec. Pompeo mentioned in the first paragraph are from May 6, 2019.

Bruce Cobb
May 30, 2019 11:40 am

Maybe he should read up a bit about arctic sea ice and not count his golden chickens before the eggs are laid. Arctic sea ice could just as easily expand.

Reply to  Bruce Cobb
May 31, 2019 12:53 am

Expand like his 52-inch waist band.

Enginer01
May 30, 2019 11:43 am

A whole lot of people are going to upset when the current Dalton Minimum becomes apparent.
If the farm belt gets going at all, there are rumors of summer freezes this year….

Gamecock
May 30, 2019 11:45 am

I’ve been saying it on these pages for many years: Arctic sea ice is NOT desirable. More is not good news; less is good news.

Rocketscientist
Reply to  Gamecock
May 30, 2019 5:06 pm

Good news for the environment, however the strident whine will become evermore shrill as the alarmists continue to spin good news into doom.

Izaak Walton
May 30, 2019 11:53 am

It is good to see that the current US administration is consistent. They believe
in global warming if it will allow open up new areas for oil and gas drilling
but disbelieve in it if it shuts downs existing areas for oil and gas drilling.

mike the morlock
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 30, 2019 12:12 pm

Izaak Walton May 30, 2019 at 11:53 am

“but disbelieve in it if it shuts downs existing areas for oil and gas drilling.”

Actually it does not matter. Just build some ice breakers. Just like the Russians and the Chinese.
If the ice is going to melt why build ice breakers? Surprise.

michael

ATheoK
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 30, 2019 1:08 pm

A false strawman.
Pompeo stated neither U.S. doctrine nor beliefs. He simply stated facts according to a popular mindset.

“The Arctic is at the forefront of opportunity and abundance,” Pompeo said, according to CNN. “It houses 13 percent of the world’s undiscovered oil, 30 percent of its undiscovered gas, an abundance of uranium, rare earth minerals, gold, diamonds, and millions of square miles of untapped resources, fisheries galore.”

“Steady reductions in sea ice are opening new passageways and new opportunities for trade,” Pompeo added. “This could potentially slash the time it takes to travel between Asia and the West by as much as 20 days.”

Nor does the USA require less ice to find and tap into oil deposits. Only that less ice makes it easier.

Reply to  ATheoK
May 31, 2019 12:56 am

It only needs to invade an oil-rich country and steal its oil resources so it can establish democracy and provide humanitarian aid. Thanks.

Denis Ables
Reply to  Izaak Walton
May 30, 2019 7:40 pm

LOL. An official single climate change voice is lacking in the Trump administration.

Earthling2
May 30, 2019 12:02 pm

If the South China Sea is any indication how China views international sea boundaries and just outright bullying and theft of the EEZ of claimant countries resources, then Canada/USA/Europe better be prepared to cooperate together in the Arctic to beat back these land/ocean grabbers. China has little scruples when it comes to respecting the rights of other countries, and even less about the health of the local environment. For these reasons and many more, it will take the re-election of DJT to keep China in line in the Arctic just as we see with the current trade issues where China had been given a free pass on almost everything it had been involved with since Tiananmen Square. While the Arctic will probably freeze up again in the long term climate cycling between warmer and cooler weather, let’s ensure that all countries adhere to maritime rule of law in the Arctic and the rest of the planet.

Reply to  Earthling2
May 31, 2019 1:02 am

Many of us don’t respect China and its lack of human rights for citizens, however, it doesn’t have 1000+ military bases or installations around the world, it doesn’t control NATO, etc.

Earthling2
Reply to  Dana
May 31, 2019 6:06 am

Can you imagine what kind of world we would have if USA didn’t have the 1000+ military bases and installations around the world? The world we have today is because of USA and Nato allies and the fact we won WW2 both in Europe and Asia.

HD Hoese
May 30, 2019 12:07 pm

Wooden Boat Magazine has an article (May/June 2019, no. 268) about a double-ended gaff rigged sailboat named LADY FREE, design based on a pilot boat. In summer 2017 they went through the NW passage from W to E in order to complete circumnavigation of N and S America. With help from Canadian Coast Guard they made if with small difficulties. They mostly sailed in a low wind situation along with a few others holding cans of fuel on their deck. Article has photo of crew of 4 inspecting an ice floe. A toughly built boat, fascinating story. WBM is not PC, these guys know about oceans and scale.

Boat owner is a mathematics professor from University of Bergen who sailed from Norway to Brazil solo, doing math in his head.

tty
Reply to  HD Hoese
May 30, 2019 1:35 pm

He was lucky, 2017 was a good ice year, 2018 was bad.

tty
May 30, 2019 12:14 pm

There is very little to suggest that any new areas will become accessible anytime soon. The Northeast Passage might possbly become passable for ice-reinforced vessel the whole year when Russia finishes their new giant Nuclear Icebreakers (at present it is only passable July-November).

The Northwest Passage (southern route) is at best open a few weeks a year in August-September for shallow draft vessels (max 6 meter draught). The northern deepwater route through Mc Clure Strait requires very powerful icebreakers that doesn’t exist in either Canada or USA.
Last year c. 40 vessels tried to go through the Northwest Passage. Two, both small yachts, succeeded. Out of seven major cruise vessels that were planning to show wealthy tourists how the Arctic is melting, not a single one got through. All cancelled or turned back, one grounded trying out a badly surveyed alternate route and one couldn’t even get as far as the starting point of the cruise in Resolute.

And as for going straight across the Polar Basin, the Swedish icebreaker Odin, the most powerful non-nuclear icebreaker in the World, reported extreme difficulties in getting as far as the North Pole, the ice conditions being the worst in 15 years.

marlene
May 30, 2019 12:32 pm

Despite the periodic oscillations, could these “heads” in the pic have had anything to do with deliberately manipulating the temporary melting ice for their own financial gain?

May 30, 2019 1:29 pm

Arctic politics have been an ongoing game nearly 100 years!

The “legal” relocation of indigenous families became a tactic employed by all the “polar bear countries” in an international chess match to stake claims on Arctic resources. In 1925, Denmark relocated families in Greenland to counter any Norwegian claims to the island. The following year the Soviet government moved a small Eskimo community to Wrangel Island in order to replace an occupation of Alaskan Eskimos that had been established there by American interests. The relocation of families was also a crucial cold-war tactic by Canada to insure their claims on the Arctic, but not just against any Russian threats, but more so from perceived encroachments by the United States.

read McGhee, R. (2007) The Last Imaginary Place: A Human History of the Arctic World. University Of Chicago Press.

Wharfplank
May 30, 2019 1:49 pm

Pompeo tossed that out as a throwaway bridge building line for his Northern nation companions. When in Rome…

Ossqss
May 30, 2019 1:52 pm

Is it just me or does it seem strange to put a definitive % on anything undiscovered? Just sayin…….

ResourceGuy
Reply to  Ossqss
May 30, 2019 2:50 pm

Actually, you already paid for that in salary and benefits for the studies at USGS. They did the same for Afghanistan in case you want to invest there.

Greg
May 30, 2019 3:41 pm

Is that guy on the right a representative of the latest “haulout” or bit part player from the Simpsons?

Pamela Gray
May 30, 2019 4:41 pm

Having the blanket gone, oceans will struggle to keep their heat stored and circulating. Which means access to all those supposed goodies will not last long.

Björn Eriksson
Reply to  Pamela Gray
May 31, 2019 1:55 am

Yeah, I have often thought about the insulation effect from the ice cover. It seems to me like the water should loose more heat energy without ice cover. Does anyone really know how it works out, energy budget wise? Is this yet another thermostat? I find it hard to believe that CO2 would make much difference for sea ice build and melt.

pochas94
May 31, 2019 3:42 am

Pompeo has been talking to Settled Scientists.

James Clarke
May 31, 2019 7:43 am

We humans have a bizarren tendency to believe that people in authority in one area, are more knowledgeable in all areas. History has shown this belief to be completely unfounded.

michael hart
May 31, 2019 9:38 am

Have to say, I’ve not yet seen anything about significant territorial claims by China in the Arctic.

I was under the impression that they are aggressively asserting claims in the South China Sea, where there may be large petroleum deposits. I can easily believe the motives and desires, but action in the Arctic Ocean is still surely a long way beyond their reach?

griff
Reply to  michael hart
June 5, 2019 2:31 am

Just google ‘china arctic claims’.

this is first article returned…

https://thediplomat.com/2018/01/china-stakes-its-claim-to-the-arctic/

jmorpuss
May 31, 2019 2:56 pm

Russia plants flag on North Pole seabed
“Russia symbolically staked its claim to billions of dollars worth of oil and gas reserves in the Arctic Ocean today when two mini submarines reached the seabed more than two and a half miles beneath the North Pole.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/aug/02/russia.arctic

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