The Economist adopts Tesla’s ‘Ludicrous Mode’

Guest essay by David Archibald

It used to be that ocean acidification was the last refuge of the global warming scoundrel. When all else fails – lack of actual warming etc., the global warmers claim that increased carbon dioxide will make the seas acid and dissolve the shells off all the little sea creatures.

The Economist magazine has just gone one further and predicted that it will also cause blight. Hundreds of ludicrous claims have been made about the effect of higher atmospheric CO2 levels on this and that but when The Economist feels the need to join the clamour of idiotic voices then that means something. So, they adopt ‘ludicrous mode‘.

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Figure 1: Article reproduced from The Economist

The photo The Economist used to illustrate their article seemingly shows London police wrestling with agitated loons from Extinction Rebellion.

The Economisttugs at the insecurities and ambitions of the status-seeking reader” who wears “aspirations of wordliness”. In short The Economist instructs its readership of what the proper view on a subject is. What the article means is that the long retreat from global warming alarmism has begun. The magazine’s readership may crave acceptance and be highly susceptible to suggestion but not all would be completely stupid. Thus some would notice colder winters and the fact that the world has hardly warmed at all. And some would be aware that higher atmospheric CO2 levels are beneficial to crop production. And then start thinking that higher atmospheric CO2 levels are all good with no downside. So The Economist comes up with a vague notion about something that might go wrong at an unspecifed time. In effect The Economist is conducting a fighting retreat in the death of the global warming meme.

The truth of the matter is that the plants that most of our diet is derived from, the grasses, evolved when CO2 levels were five times what they are today. The following figure is a screenshot from a presentation by Patrick Moore:

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Figure 2: Projected CO2 Level in the Absence of Human Emissions

The Earth’s atmosphere started off at 200,000 ppm CO2. The first plants came along three billion years ago and by 120 million years ago the atmospheric concentration of CO2 was down to one hundredth of its intial level. And then kept falling. If it had kept on that trajectory all life above sea level would have died off from lack of CO2 about five million years from now. Humans evolved just in time to save Creation. That is the inspiring story that should be told, not that there might be blight.


David Archibald is the author of American Gripen: The Solution to the F-35 Nightmare

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Michael C. Roberts
May 1, 2019 9:56 am

About a year ago, there was another attempt in the legislature of the State of Washington, USA where the ‘carbon equivalency’ value of fuels were to be taxed (there was another attempt during this just-finished 2019 session to float a Carbon (dioxide) Tax, but thankfully that attempt did not make it out of committee). At that time, our Illustrious Gubnor, Jay ‘I’ll Pass a Carbon Tax on my Watch’ Inslee (now attempting to run as a Democratic Presidential candidate) presented in televised commercial spots, his support for the latest attempts to tax carbon-based fuels in the State. He quoted as support University of Washington research, presented as conclusive evidence for Ocean Acidification. I researched those UW documents, and sent to my District Legislators the following at that time:

Should bill be enacted: What is the plan when scientific evidence proves that carbon dioxide is not the driver of catastrophic climate change? The science is not settled on this point, and enacting such punitive taxation based upon non-conclusive evidence (in fact there is no evidence of anomalous climate catastrophe in the observable weather record – such catastrophe exists in model projections only) is disingenuous and not in the best service of the constituency of the State of Washington. Washington’s output of Carbon Dioxide to the overall globe is miniscule, and these rules will merely be punitive to industry and more importantly each individual user of any and all fuels purchased in the State.

GOV Inslee’s UW Research Found Lacking for Human-Caused CO2 Attribution

Recently, I have reviewed the back-up documentation presented by GOV Jay Inslee that purports to substantiate the need for such taxation (https://www.governor.wa.gov/issues/issues/energy-environment; https://environment.uw.edu/research/major-initiatives/ocean-acidification/washington-ocean-acidification-center/) and have found the initial attribution of increased global atmospheric CO2 is based solely upon the finding documented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Recently, the IPCC has back-tracked on their dire prediction for future carbon-dioxide caused ‘global temperature increase’, as real-world observations have not tracked with IPCC temperature projections (see: https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspm-projections-of.html; https://judithcurry.com/2015/12/17/climate-models-versus-climate-reality/, https://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/01/01/ipcc-silently-slashes-its-global-warming-predictions-in-the-ar5-final-draft/, and: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/09/26/study-lowers-range-for-future-global-warming-but-does-it-matter/?utm_term=.a18d4d31fde8; http://www.foxnews.com/science/2018/01/23/catastrophic-global-warming-less-likely-study-says.html).

Of note is the ambiguity in the UW research in this area, in a footnote found in the document found in the above appended URL and titled:
“Ocean Acidification in Pacific Northwest coastal waters: what do we know?” which concludes (Bolded emphasis mine):
“28. Published summaries of datasets from diverse national and global locations have shown substantial differences in the variation of pH or CO2 concentration of marine waters (Hoffmann et al 2011 (see below
for full reference); Waldbusser and Salisbury, 2013). What is equally clear in Washington coastal waters is that ocean acidification differs between locations in ways that reflect local drivers. Data collected at regional scales reveal substantial spatial and temporal variability (Scientific Summary on Ocean Acidification, 2012). Over time, we see seasonal and daily variations in pH and aragonite saturation state, hence a single value does not and cannot describe the ocean acidification status of a system. Diurnal changes in production and respiration, tidal intrusions interacting with river plumes, and seasonality in phytoplankton growth and respiration processes all contribute to the ocean acidification signal, and all vary over different scales of time and space.”

Talk about ‘settled science’. Looks like local conditions of tides, upwelling, and the seasons have a greater influence on ‘ocean acidification’ than atmospheric carbon dioxide?? This is the Governor’s reasoning to impose huge amounts of taxation on fuels purchased in the State?

To conclude, to stumble into punitive and regressive taxation by placing a ‘YES’ vote for SB 6335, 6203 based upon inconclusive, partial scientific evidence is not what a member of our State Senate should like to see as part of their life’s legacy, looking back over a lifetime from that eventual rocking chair on the front porch. The attributions for causation are correlated but causation is not conclusively restricted to man-produced atmospheric carbon dioxide releases from a modern lifestyle. Please, consider a ‘NAY’ or ‘NO’ vote for SB 6335, 6203, or for any other future attempt to create revenue from a beneficial and from all scientific evidence, relatively innocuous trace gas. We have elected and placed our trust in you to weigh the evidence and vote on our behalf. Please, consider what you are about to asked to do, and to vote “No” for any and all Carbon Dioxide Taxation measures.

Thanks,

Mike Roberts

Needless to say I was contacted by both of my District Representatives. I guess I posted this, to say you can have an influence on the governmental process, and it is not all that hard. Also thought it may be appropriate to post this here given Mr. Archibald’s’ mention of Ocean Acidification.

Regards,

MCR

William Astley
May 1, 2019 10:38 am

I agree.

The Economist magazine 25 years ago was appropriately critical of policies and full of facts to justify any criticism or recommendation.

The Economist 25 years ago would list pros and cons, alternatives, and did not hesitate to report on critical data that disproved ineffective policy.

The Economist now has become a propaganda magazine that pushes policy ignoring reality such as cost, effectiveness in actual CO2 reduction, observations that show there is no CAGW, and so on.

Past atmospheric CO2 Measurements (CO2 Gate?)

The past CO2 direct measurement data has been filtered (removing measurements that do no create a steady increasing line on a graph to support CAGW) to hide the fact that atmospheric past CO2 level 1866 to 1990 and has been as high as 550 ppmv. (See the Tom Segalstad’s review of the monkey business concerning the creation of the so-called Bern model of CO2 resident times and sinks).

CAGW disappears as a worry if humans did not cause the majority of the rise in atmospheric CO2.

showed that the raw data ranged randomly between about 250 and 550 ppmv (parts per million by volume) during this time period, but by selecting the data carefully Callendar was able to present a steadily rising trend from about 290 ppmv for the period 1866 – 1900, to 325 ppmv in
1956.’ .

Slocum pointed out that it was statistically impossible to find a trend in the raw data set, and that the total data set showed a constant average of about 335 ppmv over this period from the 19th to the 20th century.

Bray (1959) also criticized the selection method of Callendar, who rejected values 10% or more different from the “general average”, and even more so when Callendar’s “general average” was neither defined nor given.”

https://www.co2web.info/ESEF3VO2.pdf

Carbon cycle modelling and the residence time of natural and anthropogenic atmospheric CO2: on the construction of the “Greenhouse Effect Global Warming” dogma by Tom V. Segalstad

There following are a couple of the dozen different papers that have all found the data supports the assertion that humans caused less than 5% of the rise in atmospheric CO2.

Sources and sinks of CO2 Tom Quirk

http://icecap.us/images/uploads/EE20-1_Quirk_SS.pdf

The yearly increases of atmospheric CO2 concentrations have been nearly two orders of magnitude greater than the change to seasonal variation which implies that the fossil fuel derived CO2 is almost totally absorbed locally in the year that it is emitted.

A time comparison of the SIO measurements of CO2 at Mauna Loa with the South Pole shows a lack of time delay for CO2 variations between the hemispheres that suggests a global or equatorial source of increasing CO2. The time comparison of 13C measurements suggest the Southern Hemisphere is the source.

This does not favour the fossil fuel emissions of the Northern Hemisphere being responsible for their observed increases. All three approaches suggest that the increase of CO2 in the atmosphere may not be from the CO2 derived from fossil fuels. The 13C data is the most striking result and the other two approaches simply support the conclusion of the first approach.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257343053_The_phase_relation_between_atmospheric_carbon_dioxide_and_global_temperature

The phase relation between atmospheric carbon dioxide and global temperature
Summing up, our analysis suggests that changes in atmospheric CO2 appear to occur largely independently of changes in anthropogene emissions. A similar conclusion was reached by Bacastow (1976), suggesting a coupling between atmospheric CO2 and the Southern Oscillation. However, by this we have not demonstrated that CO2 released by burning fossil fuels is without influence on the amount of atmospheric CO2, but merely that the effect is small compared to the effect of other processes. Our previous analyses suggest that such other more important effects are related to temperature, and with ocean surface temperature near or south of the Equator pointing itself out as being of special importance for changes in the global amount of atmospheric CO2.

Thomas Stone
May 1, 2019 10:52 am

The risks of proceeding at ludicrous speed: (hope the link works)

jep
May 1, 2019 11:53 am

For years now I have heard skeptics claim once CO2 reaches a certain level, it reaches a saturation point and more CO2 will lead to no additional warming. While I am a skeptic myself, where is the experimental evidence to support this contention?

It’s important for us skeptics to get the facts straight. It should be important for everyone, but in this debate the true believers are never held accountable for getting anything wrong.

David Lupton
May 3, 2019 10:12 pm

Figure 2 has the co2 levels falling until all the plants die. But would this happen? The carbon cycle posits some sort of equilibrium between plants turning water and co2 into hydrocarbons and oxygen and animals turning them back into co2 and water. All life sequesters carbon, hence over time the decline in figure 2 and this will push the equilbrium to reduce plant activity (the reverse of what we are seeing with increasing co2). So the rate of absorbtion of co2 will reduce. If some trees and animals die as a consequence they might rot and return sequestered co2 to the atmosphere. So we have the elements of a self balancing system albeit on very long time cycles.

Johann Wundersamer
May 5, 2019 10:05 am
Johann Wundersamer
May 5, 2019 10:22 am

And then there’s “euro rallies”:

Germany police seize 120 sports cars during Eurorally ‘race’ – The Irish Times

vor 2 Tagen · Cars including Porsches, Lamborghinis and Audis were stopped on Thursday on the A20 east of Wismar, in northeast Germany, on a stretch of the autobahn without speed restrictions. Concerned drivers had notified authorities after some of the cars were witnessed travelling at estimated speeds of up to 250km/h (155mph).

https://www.google.com/search?client=ms-android-samsung&ei=yhTPXLroCeeGrwT28JnICQ&q=germany+illegal+city+car+racings&oq=germany+illegal+city+car+racings&gs_l=mobile-gws-wiz-serp.

Johann Wundersamer
May 5, 2019 10:41 am

Anyone who has driven to the shift every day under deadline pressure and back again after the shift

thinks 3x before setting a car into operation.

Johann Wundersamer
May 5, 2019 1:37 pm

“Besides, you don’t have to drop $150k for a Model S P80D to get the “ludicrous effect.”
___________________________________________________

Not to forget the ‘vw golf generation’ effect:

https://www.google.com/search?q=steiermark+vw+golf+meetings&oq=steiermark+vw+golf+meetings&aqs=chrome.

___________________________________________________

Generation Golf, generation X, millenials, AO-C’s, xtinctions, Greta Thunberg friday child crusader loctites without a clue.

Live goes on without Glue.