Guest essay by Larry Hamlin
The Energy Information Administration (EIA) has released its 2019 Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) report for the U.S. showing that the nations year 2050 CO2 emissions will be just over 1 billion metric tons per year lower than its peak year 2007 CO2 emissions of 6.021 billion metric tons which retains and sustains the CO2 reductions achieved because of market driven increased use of natural gas while reducing coal fuel use.
During this same time period the world’s developing nations are forecast to increase their CO2 emissions by more than 14.5 billion metric tons per year bringing their CO2 emissions levels to a total of about 6 times those of the U.S.
The significant U.S. decrease in CO2 emissions since 2007 which is forecast to continue through 2050 is driven by the benefits of increased use of lower cost, higher efficiency and lower emissions natural gas brought about by extensive use of fracking technology with the accompanying continued decline in use of higher cost, lower efficiency and higher emissions coal fuel. The diagrams below provide U.S. energy use fuel components by both total and energy sector use.
The world’s developing nations are forecast to account for about 91% of the world’s energy use growth to 2050 with the U.S. only accounting for about 1.5% of that growth.
The climate alarmist propaganda campaign and its media supporters use deception, distortion and dishonesty to attempt to conceal from the public the unequivocal and indisputable fact that U.S. energy use and emissions performance are completely irrelevant to the huge global energy use and emissions growth that has occurred and will continue to occur in the future.
The U.S. has clearly achieved the appropriate balance in both energy consumption and emissions to sustain a highly productive economy providing great benefits to its peoples while the developing nations proceed to explore and evolve what their appropriate energy, emissions and economic balance needs to be for the benefit of their peoples.
Ridiculous demands by climate alarmist propagandists and media supporters that the U.S. must destroy its economy along with the accompanying present and future opportunities and benefits for its peoples by becoming a “zero” emissions nation are completely unsupported by valid global energy and emissions analysis and therefore absolutely idiotic.