In response to a study from the University of Washington posted on WUWT (and elsewhere) today about a shift in the AMOC and a very clear statement about it not collapsing (as posited for collapse by many), including Michael Mann, Dr. Judith Curry gave this response to the Daily Caller’s Mike Bastasch:
Right now, here’s what the North Atlantic SST looks like – colder than normal (ellipse mine):
From Ryan Maue (via TR on Twitter): Compared to last year, sea surface temperatures (SST) between 60°N and 60°S are on average 0.14°C cooler — over the past 28-days. What this shows is that SST can be incredibly volatile irrespective of energy uptake.
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The discussion has moved on, but for the record for Mosher and Stokes, predictions in science need to be unique, not just predictions, i.e. caused by your theory, not just happening.
I can predict that the sun will rise in the east tomorrow and for the rest if the month, but that doesn’t mean my Thierry that it is the chariot of Appolo will be proved correct if it does. There are other explanations.
So you need to predict things that otherwise will not happen. Sadly temperature rise doesn’t work since we are trying to disentangle natural from anthropogenic.