The Climate Dictionary

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach

I see that there is some confusion over terminology in the climate field. In response, I’ve put together a list of common terms, along with what far too often they mean in climate science. So without further ado, here’s my climate dictionary.

climate dictionary.png

TERM                                                    DEFINITION

an expected result of global warming — “We predicted warming and got a heavy snowfall instead”.

anthropogenic — see “human fingerprint”.

anthropogenic change — “It’s warmer than usual”.

anthropogenic climate change — “Weather we don’t like”.

autocorrelation — “Say what? We don’t have to deal with that”.

Bonferroni correction — see “autocorrelation”

carbon dioxide — “The secret knob that controls the climate”.

cause — “Greenhouse gases”

climate — “It’s warmer than usual”.

climate change — “What ‘global warming’ became after we repeatedly predicted warming and got heavy snowfalls instead”.

climate feedback — see “natural variability”.

confounding factors — “Things that we choose to ignore.”

coupled non-linear chaotic system — ” y = ax + b “

effect — “dangerous anthropogenic global warming”

ever — “qualifier of superlatives to indicate things that haven’t happened since the Earth was first formed in 1970”.

external forces — see “other factors”

human fingerprint — “We can’t explain what caused it, so it must be from people acting badly”.

hundred-year flood — “Any flood recurring more than one news cycle apart”.

Industrial Revolution — “The time of the climate Eden when the temperature was exactly right”.

IPCC Conference of the Parties — “A recurring party attended by only the wokest of the woke”.

it is well known — “I believe this”.

it’s a boundary value problem — “This depends on future boundaries we can’t predict but we’ll act like we can.”

multiproxy study — “We left out the proxies that don’t agree with our theory”.

natural climate fluctuation — “We don’t know why it goes up and down”.

natural variability — “We have no idea what the cause was”.

naturally occurring dynamics — “Something happened that we can’t explain”.

other factors — “Deus ex machina”.

phase reversal — “Cause and effect just went 180° out of phase for no reason”.

predicted sea level rise — “Run for the hills! We’ll all be drowned!”

projections — “It’s a forecast but we don’t stand behind it”.

proxies show — “One tree in Yamal had this to say”.

regime change — “Cause and effect just went 180° out of phase for no reason”.

renewable energy — “This solution requires extensive subsidies”.

requires further study — “Give us more taxpayer money”.

social cost of carbon — “Our analyses will completely ignore the benefits of fossil fuels and the greening of the planet”.

the effect of various lag times — “Things that don’t line up can be made to line up”.

weather — “It’s colder than usual”.

well within expectations – “It’s colder than usual”.


 

Finally, we have the IPCC Likelihood Scale:

Virtually certain – “All my cool scientist friends agree”.

Very likely – “We really hope this is true”.

Likely – “Two climate models out of three agree”.

About as likely as not – “Nobody has a clue”.

Unlikely – “This outcome offends us”.

Very unlikely – “We really don’t want you going down that path”.

Exceptionally unlikely – “Stephen McIntyre said it first so it can’t possibly be true.”

Best to all,

w.

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March 16, 2018 10:14 pm

average global temperature — “No, I did not take STEM. I majored in trans-fluid power dynamics in a cis-normative patriarchal paradigm, with a minor in which bathroom to use.”

noaaprogrammer
Reply to  Max Photon
March 16, 2018 10:42 pm

Don’t feel bad Max, I never did get through the multiple choice question on sexual orientation.

Reply to  Max Photon
March 17, 2018 2:39 am

Critical thinking – “No, I did not take STEM. I majored in pharmacology and needlework. Wanna score?”

March 16, 2018 10:21 pm

evidence — “Anecdotes. The more the better!”

March 16, 2018 10:23 pm

precautionary principle — “We got nothin’.”

Reply to  Max Photon
March 17, 2018 2:41 am

precautionary principle — “We cant work out if doing nothing is worse than doing something, so we just decided to do the profitable popular virtue signalling thing and to hell with the future”

u.k.(us)
March 16, 2018 10:30 pm

I once threw a rock at a hornets nest, a hornet flew into my mouth and stung me. (true story).
Lesson learned, needless to say.
So, I don’t mind stirring up a hornet nest, I just try to keep my mouth shut, old habits die hard 🙂

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  u.k.(us)
March 16, 2018 11:02 pm

Attitude – – – see Bald-faced hornet (I love picture dictionaries)

March 16, 2018 10:33 pm

Wonderful list, Willis!
One recent word, overused of course, is unequivocal. It’s also likely the climatoons don’t know the true meaning.
Some other words used in dubious climate research that could use definition are:
Possibly,
Suggested,
Likely,
Could,
Should,
May…
All of which appear to mean something similar to “Don’t hold us, legally, to any of these statements”.

WBWilson
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 10:58 am

That’d be a whole nuther dictionary, Willis. Think of OED unabridged. About 26 volumes I think.

Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 12:54 pm

“wrap it tight in some clean package”

Yup! That’s the deal breaker. So many overused weasel words as CYA, not one of those words is clean or tight. Every word according to climate dogma is vague, obscuring and solely meant as wiggle room for inflating fears while protecting derrieres.
Smart thinking, Willis!
Your climate dictionary as listed is great, and informative.

noaaprogrammer
March 16, 2018 10:37 pm

“It’s worse than we thought.” = Time to wake up the masses again with a scary fake scenario caused by climate change.

Editor
March 16, 2018 10:38 pm

Thanks, Willis. I really enjoyed that.
Cheers,
Bob

Nylo
March 16, 2018 10:46 pm

Anybody has a definition of permafrost? I keep finding in the news and even in scientific articles that some scientists call permafrost to soils that are NOT frozen all year round and where trees are therefore capable of growing and do grow. Read any news about the Batagaika crater and you will see what I mean. The place is surrounded by trees, yet they claim that the crater is caused by melting permafrost.

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  Nylo
March 16, 2018 11:04 pm

permafrost – – – see old style freezer

Nylo
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 1:31 am

That’s interesting, thanks. I had the wrong information that temperatures on earth go up the more you dig down. But in these regions it must be vice-versa at least for some upper layers and some time of the year.
Best wishes.

tty
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 2:02 am

Willis:
You forgot the name of the layer that thaws more or less annually. It is called “The Active Layer”.
It tends to be very wet and mobile particularly on slopes.

Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 4:31 am

And… technically… Permafrost isn’t necessarily permanent. It’s any ground (soil, rocks, gravel, etc.) that maintains a temperature at or below 0 °C for two or more consecutive years.
Under the geological definition of “Permafrost,” melting is not unusual or particularly harmful to anything other than roads.
Under the climate “science” definition, Permafrost has been frozen since the Miocene and the melting of even a small volume will be ginormously cataclysmic.

Tom in Florida
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 6:07 am

Permafrost – perpetual state of H. Clinton.

Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 7:22 am

David Middleton: “Under the geological definition of “Permafrost,” melting is not unusual or particularly harmful to anything other than roads.”
Permafrost is harmful to anything built on the surface. Buildings sink over time. (Yes, some modern buildings are built to eliminate the problem; the Alaska Pipeline, too.)

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 10:15 am

Nylo writes: “I had the wrong information that temperatures on earth go up the more you dig down.
The concept you have stated is called the geothermal gradient.
You are not wrong – just that there are variations.
geothermal variations

Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 10:22 am

Cherba…
Learn to recognize flippant, sarcastic quips.

WBWilson
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 11:03 am

Thermokarst

March 16, 2018 10:56 pm

robust – the thing we call our results when our stats are a bust

Kenji
March 16, 2018 10:58 pm

Let me add …
Drought = 2 consecutive days without rain (caused ALWAYS by manmade Global,Warming)
For example … CA’s never ending “drought” has returned(?)
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA
Pay no attention to the 12feet of new snow in the Sierra or constant rain over the 3-weeks. Jerry’s Drought will NEVER end

sophocles
Reply to  Kenji
March 17, 2018 4:14 pm

So that would make:
major drought : two consecutive weeks without rain
historic drought three consecutive weeks without rain
never ending drought a summer without [much] rain
Snow doesn’t count.

John F. Hultquist
March 16, 2018 11:10 pm

Nice Willis!
Perhaps you can define “ship of fools”.
Of course some use little boats, sleds, skies, and ice bergs.
The phrase does seem to have an affinity to cAGW adherents.

JohnWho
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 6:15 am

Well, regarding the Alarmists, how about “Shift of Fools”?

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
March 17, 2018 10:21 am

Thanks for the link.
If we could know who didn’t laugh, we’d know those with hearts of stone.

March 16, 2018 11:36 pm

Happy St Patty’s Day Willis. I think you’re feeling a wee bit cynical.

Donald
March 16, 2018 11:39 pm

Ah, you guys are just so much smarter than everybody else. It’s just a shame there’s not enough of your there to run the whole world better.

Phillip Bratby
March 16, 2018 11:47 pm

“carbon” means “pollution”.

Reply to  Phillip Bratby
March 17, 2018 3:11 pm

Close. Carbon is an element that readily binds with the pollution anion, forming either a gritty black miasma, or billows of white steam, or a major constituent of the atmosphere that acts like a glass “blanket” to trap head and keep women from attaining wage parity, and definitely IS NOT “plant food.”

Phillip Bratby
March 16, 2018 11:49 pm

“unprecedented” – happened all the time in the past, but the millenials and snowflakes don’t do history..

AGW is not Science
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
March 17, 2018 9:02 pm

I was thinking of this version – “Unprecedented – something that happened long enough ago that nobody will remember that you’re lying about it being something that never happened.”

Phillip Bratby
March 16, 2018 11:57 pm

“worse than we previously thought” – we were wrong, therefore why would you believe us now?

AGW is not Science
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
March 17, 2018 9:04 pm

Heh my version of that one – “Worse than we previously thought – not as bad as we previously thought, but we don’t let facts get in the way of a good headline, and we know the gullible masses won’t bother to fact check.”

Frank
March 17, 2018 12:17 am

For the statistically-minded:
Very likely – “Would be wrong about as often as rolling a single die produces a six – in a field where systematic error, confirmation bias, and a need to save the planet didn’t exist.
Virtually certain – “Worthy of mention in the abstract of a traditional science paper.” However, Ioannidis and others have show that perhaps 50% of papers meeting this standard are likely wrong. Before approving a new drug, the FDA normally requires two clinical trials – which they help design and fully audit – demonstrating that the new drug is “virtually certainly” efficacious. Physicists demanded the equivalent of three independent studies showing that the Higgs boson was virtually certain to exist.

Alan Tomalty
Reply to  Frank
March 17, 2018 1:12 am

ya but the gravity wave discovery was not held to the same standard. There is a raging debate about the existence of gravity waves. I think it is another boondoggle. I have lost faith in science.

kaliforniakook
Reply to  Alan Tomalty
March 17, 2018 10:28 am

I haven’t lost faith in science. I have lost faith in scientists.

ferdberple
Reply to  Alan Tomalty
March 17, 2018 7:40 pm

The Advanced LIGO detector was too big to fail?

Bernard Lodge
March 17, 2018 12:27 am

“Radiant Gas” … a gas that radiates heat in all directions
“Carbon Dioxide” … The only radiant gas that only radiates downwards
“15 microns” … wavelength of very low energy emissions
“Carbon Dioxide” …a gas that emits 15 micron, very low low energy radiation that somehow heats up an entire planet.
“Greenhouse Effect” … the heating of an glass-enclosed volume of gas by emissions from an extremely hot star
“Carbon Dioxide” … a cold greenhouse gas whose emissions somehow make the Earth’s surface warm
“Dependent Variable” … a variable that changes after the independent variable has changed first
“Carbon Dioxide” … the only dependent variable in the universe that changes before the independent variable does
“Real Mathematics” … 2 + 2 = 4
“Trenberth Radiation Budget Mathematics … 2 degrees plus 2 degrees = 4 degrees
“Real World Climate Temperature Mathematics” … 2 degrees plus 2 degrees = 2 degrees
QED

Moderately Cross of East Anglia
Reply to  Bernard Lodge
March 17, 2018 2:38 am

And there’s me thinking radiant gas was a nice warm glow from my gas fire on a cold evening, well live and learn!
Thanks for a great giggle Willis and others.
Oh, ocean acidification – the children have just urinated in the sea instead of going to the public toilet.

PaulH
Reply to  Bernard Lodge
March 17, 2018 2:06 pm

I might add:
Carbon – “see Carbon Dioxide”
Carbon Dioxide – “see Carbon”

DeLoss McKnight
March 17, 2018 12:29 am

Great list! No definition of model? Maybe GIGO? Or RWS (Real World Replacement) Or POS (Preferred Observational Substitute)

AGW is not Science
Reply to  DeLoss McKnight
March 17, 2018 9:09 pm

“Climate model – a computer program built upon the assumption that CO2 drives the Earth’s temperature, even though no observation agrees with this mistaken assumption, that we will promote as an accurate simulation of the Earth’s climate to convince the gullible that man’s fossil fuel use is the root of all evil and must be stopped.”

CCB
March 17, 2018 12:57 am

A peer reviewed study suggests = a pre MSc/PhD student wanting more funding to finish the dissertation.

yarpos
March 17, 2018 1:37 am

I was looking/hoping for something on peer review

sophocles
Reply to  yarpos
March 17, 2018 4:16 pm

that would have to be circular with “pal review”

AGW is not Science
Reply to  yarpos
March 17, 2018 9:12 pm

I’ve got one – “Peer review – three of my buddies who ALSO couln’t analyze their way out of a wet paper bag gave it a thumbs up after I assured them I’d do the same for their garbage papers.”

March 17, 2018 1:42 am

A couple of years ago I was gnashing my teeth from yet another poor quality climate paper, so I directed my unease to a simple exercise to help me calm down.
It does not compete with the Willis effort, but it is meant to be complementary and complimentary, see under Einstienium. Geoff.
http://www.geoffstuff.com/si.xls

March 17, 2018 1:44 am

Oh dear, I dislike auto corrects.
http://www.geoffstuff.com/periodic.xls

HDHoese
Reply to  Geoff Sherrington
March 17, 2018 7:17 am

Interesting, need to add titles, names of organizations and other impressive official appellations. I suspect there is meaning in there somewhere as when I was in college few outside of an ecology class knew what the word meant. Still not many.
I have collected some to keep from doing yard work. Here are a few.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
Center for Diverse Leadership in Science
Clinical Associate Professor of Environmental Communication#
Department of Earth and Exact Sciences
#This one bothers me much. Maybe have a contest for the longest, dumbest, shortest, etc.

AGW is not Science
Reply to  HDHoese
March 17, 2018 9:14 pm

“IPCC – Intergovernmental Propaganda on Climate Control.”

Reply to  HDHoese
March 18, 2018 3:56 am

HDH
Did you miss the point of the link to that reference work for Chemists, the Periodic Table of the Elements?
Geoff.

Thx1138
March 17, 2018 1:54 am

I’m predicting an upcoming Tipping Point because my beer glass is empty.

climatereason
Editor
March 17, 2018 1:56 am

Willis
How about these ?
“climate amnesia”
Any weather related event that happened more than 5 years ago.
“Extreme events” See ‘climate amnesia.’
tonyb