Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach
I see that there is some confusion over terminology in the climate field. In response, I’ve put together a list of common terms, along with what far too often they mean in climate science. So without further ado, here’s my climate dictionary.

TERM DEFINITION
an expected result of global warming — “We predicted warming and got a heavy snowfall instead”.
anthropogenic — see “human fingerprint”.
anthropogenic change — “It’s warmer than usual”.
anthropogenic climate change — “Weather we don’t like”.
autocorrelation — “Say what? We don’t have to deal with that”.
Bonferroni correction — see “autocorrelation”
carbon dioxide — “The secret knob that controls the climate”.
cause — “Greenhouse gases”
climate — “It’s warmer than usual”.
climate change — “What ‘global warming’ became after we repeatedly predicted warming and got heavy snowfalls instead”.
climate feedback — see “natural variability”.
confounding factors — “Things that we choose to ignore.”
coupled non-linear chaotic system — ” y = ax + b “
effect — “dangerous anthropogenic global warming”
ever — “qualifier of superlatives to indicate things that haven’t happened since the Earth was first formed in 1970”.
external forces — see “other factors”
human fingerprint — “We can’t explain what caused it, so it must be from people acting badly”.
hundred-year flood — “Any flood recurring more than one news cycle apart”.
Industrial Revolution — “The time of the climate Eden when the temperature was exactly right”.
IPCC Conference of the Parties — “A recurring party attended by only the wokest of the woke”.
it is well known — “I believe this”.
it’s a boundary value problem — “This depends on future boundaries we can’t predict but we’ll act like we can.”
multiproxy study — “We left out the proxies that don’t agree with our theory”.
natural climate fluctuation — “We don’t know why it goes up and down”.
natural variability — “We have no idea what the cause was”.
naturally occurring dynamics — “Something happened that we can’t explain”.
other factors — “Deus ex machina”.
phase reversal — “Cause and effect just went 180° out of phase for no reason”.
predicted sea level rise — “Run for the hills! We’ll all be drowned!”
projections — “It’s a forecast but we don’t stand behind it”.
proxies show — “One tree in Yamal had this to say”.
regime change — “Cause and effect just went 180° out of phase for no reason”.
renewable energy — “This solution requires extensive subsidies”.
requires further study — “Give us more taxpayer money”.
social cost of carbon — “Our analyses will completely ignore the benefits of fossil fuels and the greening of the planet”.
the effect of various lag times — “Things that don’t line up can be made to line up”.
weather — “It’s colder than usual”.
well within expectations – “It’s colder than usual”.
Finally, we have the IPCC Likelihood Scale:
Virtually certain – “All my cool scientist friends agree”.
Very likely – “We really hope this is true”.
Likely – “Two climate models out of three agree”.
About as likely as not – “Nobody has a clue”.
Unlikely – “This outcome offends us”.
Very unlikely – “We really don’t want you going down that path”.
Exceptionally unlikely – “Stephen McIntyre said it first so it can’t possibly be true.”
Best to all,
w.
average global temperature — “No, I did not take STEM. I majored in trans-fluid power dynamics in a cis-normative patriarchal paradigm, with a minor in which bathroom to use.”
Don’t feel bad Max, I never did get through the multiple choice question on sexual orientation.
Critical thinking – “No, I did not take STEM. I majored in pharmacology and needlework. Wanna score?”
evidence — “Anecdotes. The more the better!”
precautionary principle — “We got nothin’.”
precautionary principle — “We cant work out if doing nothing is worse than doing something, so we just decided to do the profitable popular virtue signalling thing and to hell with the future”
I once threw a rock at a hornets nest, a hornet flew into my mouth and stung me. (true story).
Lesson learned, needless to say.
So, I don’t mind stirring up a hornet nest, I just try to keep my mouth shut, old habits die hard 🙂
Attitude – – – see Bald-faced hornet (I love picture dictionaries)
Wonderful list, Willis!
One recent word, overused of course, is unequivocal. It’s also likely the climatoons don’t know the true meaning.
Some other words used in dubious climate research that could use definition are:
Possibly,
Suggested,
Likely,
Could,
Should,
May…
All of which appear to mean something similar to “Don’t hold us, legally, to any of these statements”.
Thanks, Theo. I had thought of wandering into the wide, wild, wonderful world of weasel words, just to prove that I’m an alliterate man …
… but then I thought about how long the list is: could, might, possibly, conceivably, likely, ought to, is predicted to, may, simulations show, projections demonstrate, probable … the number of words used to distance the author from their own claims is so long that I couldn’t figure out how to wrap it tight in some clean package for a dictionary. So I passed it by.
w.
That’d be a whole nuther dictionary, Willis. Think of OED unabridged. About 26 volumes I think.
Yup! That’s the deal breaker. So many overused weasel words as CYA, not one of those words is clean or tight. Every word according to climate dogma is vague, obscuring and solely meant as wiggle room for inflating fears while protecting derrieres.
Smart thinking, Willis!
Your climate dictionary as listed is great, and informative.
“It’s worse than we thought.” = Time to wake up the masses again with a scary fake scenario caused by climate change.
Thanks, Willis. I really enjoyed that.
Cheers,
Bob
Anybody has a definition of permafrost? I keep finding in the news and even in scientific articles that some scientists call permafrost to soils that are NOT frozen all year round and where trees are therefore capable of growing and do grow. Read any news about the Batagaika crater and you will see what I mean. The place is surrounded by trees, yet they claim that the crater is caused by melting permafrost.
permafrost – – – see old style freezer
Nylo, permafrost is a sub-surface layer that is indeed frozen year-round. The earth above the permafrost layer is like most soil, in that it freezes in winter and thaws in the spring; but below it, in the permafrost regions it is always frozen. As a result, if the permafrost layer is deep enough below the surface, trees and grass can grow in the overlying soil.
Now, if that deep frozen layer thaws out and liquifies, as you know, the volume of the ice is larger than the corresponding volume of the water it melts into. And the volume difference is greater in soil, because the ice forms as a bunch of individual crystals, which take up much more room than solid ice.
As a result of both the volume change and the liquefaction of the permafrost layer, the earth above it can form a crater, and the trees growing there can fall into the crater.
What an amazing planet!
My best to you.
w.
That’s interesting, thanks. I had the wrong information that temperatures on earth go up the more you dig down. But in these regions it must be vice-versa at least for some upper layers and some time of the year.
Best wishes.
Willis:
You forgot the name of the layer that thaws more or less annually. It is called “The Active Layer”.
It tends to be very wet and mobile particularly on slopes.
And… technically… Permafrost isn’t necessarily permanent. It’s any ground (soil, rocks, gravel, etc.) that maintains a temperature at or below 0 °C for two or more consecutive years.
Under the geological definition of “Permafrost,” melting is not unusual or particularly harmful to anything other than roads.
Under the climate “science” definition, Permafrost has been frozen since the Miocene and the melting of even a small volume will be ginormously cataclysmic.
Permafrost – perpetual state of H. Clinton.
David Middleton: “Under the geological definition of “Permafrost,” melting is not unusual or particularly harmful to anything other than roads.”
Permafrost is harmful to anything built on the surface. Buildings sink over time. (Yes, some modern buildings are built to eliminate the problem; the Alaska Pipeline, too.)
Nylo writes: “I had the wrong information that temperatures on earth go up the more you dig down.”
The concept you have stated is called the geothermal gradient.
You are not wrong – just that there are variations.
geothermal variations
@Bob Cherba…
Learn to recognize flippant, sarcastic quips.
Thermokarst
robust – the thing we call our results when our stats are a bust
Let me add …
Drought = 2 consecutive days without rain (caused ALWAYS by manmade Global,Warming)
For example … CA’s never ending “drought” has returned(?)
http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?CA
Pay no attention to the 12feet of new snow in the Sierra or constant rain over the 3-weeks. Jerry’s Drought will NEVER end
So that would make:
major drought : two consecutive weeks without rain
historic drought three consecutive weeks without rain
never ending drought a summer without [much] rain
Snow doesn’t count.
Nice Willis!
Perhaps you can define “ship of fools”.
Of course some use little boats, sleds, skies, and ice bergs.
The phrase does seem to have an affinity to cAGW adherents.
Thanks, John. The “Ship of Fools” already has an etymology far funnier than anything I could dream up.
w.
Well, regarding the Alarmists, how about “Shift of Fools”?
Thanks for the link.
If we could know who didn’t laugh, we’d know those with hearts of stone.
Happy St Patty’s Day Willis. I think you’re feeling a wee bit cynical.
Ah, you guys are just so much smarter than everybody else. It’s just a shame there’s not enough of your there to run the whole world better.
“carbon” means “pollution”.
Close. Carbon is an element that readily binds with the pollution anion, forming either a gritty black miasma, or billows of white steam, or a major constituent of the atmosphere that acts like a glass “blanket” to trap head and keep women from attaining wage parity, and definitely IS NOT “plant food.”
“unprecedented” – happened all the time in the past, but the millenials and snowflakes don’t do history..
I was thinking of this version – “Unprecedented – something that happened long enough ago that nobody will remember that you’re lying about it being something that never happened.”
“worse than we previously thought” – we were wrong, therefore why would you believe us now?
Heh my version of that one – “Worse than we previously thought – not as bad as we previously thought, but we don’t let facts get in the way of a good headline, and we know the gullible masses won’t bother to fact check.”
For the statistically-minded:
Very likely – “Would be wrong about as often as rolling a single die produces a six – in a field where systematic error, confirmation bias, and a need to save the planet didn’t exist.
Virtually certain – “Worthy of mention in the abstract of a traditional science paper.” However, Ioannidis and others have show that perhaps 50% of papers meeting this standard are likely wrong. Before approving a new drug, the FDA normally requires two clinical trials – which they help design and fully audit – demonstrating that the new drug is “virtually certainly” efficacious. Physicists demanded the equivalent of three independent studies showing that the Higgs boson was virtually certain to exist.
ya but the gravity wave discovery was not held to the same standard. There is a raging debate about the existence of gravity waves. I think it is another boondoggle. I have lost faith in science.
I haven’t lost faith in science. I have lost faith in scientists.
The Advanced LIGO detector was too big to fail?
“Radiant Gas” … a gas that radiates heat in all directions
“Carbon Dioxide” … The only radiant gas that only radiates downwards
“15 microns” … wavelength of very low energy emissions
“Carbon Dioxide” …a gas that emits 15 micron, very low low energy radiation that somehow heats up an entire planet.
“Greenhouse Effect” … the heating of an glass-enclosed volume of gas by emissions from an extremely hot star
“Carbon Dioxide” … a cold greenhouse gas whose emissions somehow make the Earth’s surface warm
“Dependent Variable” … a variable that changes after the independent variable has changed first
“Carbon Dioxide” … the only dependent variable in the universe that changes before the independent variable does
“Real Mathematics” … 2 + 2 = 4
“Trenberth Radiation Budget Mathematics … 2 degrees plus 2 degrees = 4 degrees
“Real World Climate Temperature Mathematics” … 2 degrees plus 2 degrees = 2 degrees
QED
And there’s me thinking radiant gas was a nice warm glow from my gas fire on a cold evening, well live and learn!
Thanks for a great giggle Willis and others.
Oh, ocean acidification – the children have just urinated in the sea instead of going to the public toilet.
I might add:
Carbon – “see Carbon Dioxide”
Carbon Dioxide – “see Carbon”
Great list! No definition of model? Maybe GIGO? Or RWS (Real World Replacement) Or POS (Preferred Observational Substitute)
“Climate model – a computer program built upon the assumption that CO2 drives the Earth’s temperature, even though no observation agrees with this mistaken assumption, that we will promote as an accurate simulation of the Earth’s climate to convince the gullible that man’s fossil fuel use is the root of all evil and must be stopped.”
A peer reviewed study suggests = a pre MSc/PhD student wanting more funding to finish the dissertation.
I was looking/hoping for something on peer review
that would have to be circular with “pal review”
I’ve got one – “Peer review – three of my buddies who ALSO couln’t analyze their way out of a wet paper bag gave it a thumbs up after I assured them I’d do the same for their garbage papers.”
A couple of years ago I was gnashing my teeth from yet another poor quality climate paper, so I directed my unease to a simple exercise to help me calm down.
It does not compete with the Willis effort, but it is meant to be complementary and complimentary, see under Einstienium. Geoff.
http://www.geoffstuff.com/si.xls
Oh dear, I dislike auto corrects.
http://www.geoffstuff.com/periodic.xls
Interesting, need to add titles, names of organizations and other impressive official appellations. I suspect there is meaning in there somewhere as when I was in college few outside of an ecology class knew what the word meant. Still not many.
I have collected some to keep from doing yard work. Here are a few.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
Center for Diverse Leadership in Science
Clinical Associate Professor of Environmental Communication#
Department of Earth and Exact Sciences
#This one bothers me much. Maybe have a contest for the longest, dumbest, shortest, etc.
“IPCC – Intergovernmental Propaganda on Climate Control.”
HDH
Did you miss the point of the link to that reference work for Chemists, the Periodic Table of the Elements?
Geoff.
I’m predicting an upcoming Tipping Point because my beer glass is empty.
Willis
How about these ?
“climate amnesia”
Any weather related event that happened more than 5 years ago.
“Extreme events” See ‘climate amnesia.’
tonyb