The Atmospheric Lapse Rate and Molar Density

By Andy May, Michael Connolly and Ronan Connolly

In this post, we will discuss the tropopause, atmospheric molar density and the lapse rate (the change in atmospheric temperature with altitude). The key points are:

  1. A change in the molar density versus pressure best-fit line is a change in the equation-of-state.
  2. The NOAA and WMO definitions of the tropopause are different and somewhat clumsy.
  3. Molar density plots are a better and more robust way to pick the tropopause.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) defines the tropopause as:

“The boundary between the troposphere and the stratosphere, where an abrupt change in lapse rate usually occurs. It is defined as the lowest level at which the lapse rate decreases to 2°C/km or less, provided that the average lapse rate between this level and all higher levels within 2 km does not exceed 2°C/km. (International meteorological vocabulary, as seen in Wikipedia)

The lapse rate is simply the change in temperature with height, it is often presented as positive when temperature decreases with height (as in the WMO quote above), but here we will present it as a negative number when temperature decreases with height. In the “standard atmosphere” it is assumed to be -6.5°C per kilometer below the tropopause. NOAA defines the tropopause as an abrupt change in the lapse rate to neutral (zero) or positive (temperature increasing with height). These definitions often don’t work well, so here we will discuss a new method of locating the tropopause using atmospheric molar density.

We have analyzed the IGRA weather balloon dataset of over 20 million balloons for lapse rate and other values. The dataset includes balloon flight records from the 1940’s to the present day. The stations in the dataset at four selected times are shown in figure 1.

Figure 1

Global coverage is sparse in the 1940’s, but it fills in by 1960. The data collected includes atmospheric pressure, temperature, and relative humidity. Data is collected up to the point where the balloon bursts, generally an altitude of 30 to 40 km. In figures 2 and 3 we present the Northern Hemisphere summer (June-July-August) and winter (December-January-February) lapse rates computed from the balloon data in 15° latitude bands around the Earth.

Figure 2, Summer Lapse Rates, for each latitude band the tropopause is the sudden reversal of the lapse rate in the noted region.

Figure 3, Winter Lapse Rates, for each latitude band the tropopause is the sudden reversal of the lapse rate in the noted region.

In both figures the Southern Hemisphere rates are shown in oranges and reds. The Northern Hemisphere rates are shown in blues and greens. The inset figure is the international standard atmosphere (ISA) temperature distribution. The ISA temperature distribution is also plotted in the main graph as a heavy black line, so it can be compared to the data. As we can see the ISA lapse rate is only a very rough estimate of the average measured lapse rate. If we used the tropopause definition preferred by NOAA (a zero-lapse rate crossing) we can see that the various latitude bands cross this threshold between 8 and 18 km. After the lapse rate crosses zero, it typically reaches a local maximum and reverses direction. After it reverses direction it sometimes stays positive at about the same positive value. Other times, after the reversal, it returns to negative and then crosses the zero point again. Surface temperature inversions sometimes result in positive values at the surface.

Most of the points on the graphs are averages of over 10,000 balloon records, and some points are averages of well over 100,000 records. However, at very high altitudes (> 35 km) there are few records, so we don’t include any points on either graph with fewer than 10 records.

The two most southern winter (Northern Hemisphere summer) latitude bands (south of 60°S) do not cross the zero-lapse rate line until well into the stratosphere, thus using the NOAA definition they do not have a tropopause. However, both have a noticeable lapse rate reversal (see figure 2) at about 10 km and this point was used as the base of the tropopause since it meets the WMO tropopause definition (> -2°C/km).

The altitude displayed in figures 2 and 3 is computed from temperature and pressure readings. It is usually accurate to within 600 meters or so, but above 11 km it loses accuracy quickly and is potentially off by more than a kilometer. Some possible reasons for this are discussed in Connolly and Connolly 2014, paper 1 (section 4.1) and here. The tropopause occurs between about 8 km and 18 km depending upon the latitude and the surface temperature. It is higher in the tropics and mid-latitudes and lower in the polar regions. It is lowest in Antarctica in the Antarctic summer.

The height of the tropopause in the NH winter and summer is shown in figure 4. This is where the lapse rate first goes below zero, ignoring places where it is below zero at the surface, like in the polar regions during the winter. As mentioned above, the two points south of 60S in the NH summer are lapse rate reversals between -2 and zero (see figure 2).

Figure 4, height of the tropopause

Molar Density versus Lapse Rate

The weather balloons provide enough measurements to compute the molar density of the atmosphere, if we assume the ideal gas law. This is described in detail in Connolly and Connolly, 2014, paper 1, but we will summarize the key points here. Molar density is the number of moles of the atmosphere per cubic meter. Molar density or “D” is then n/V, where “n” is the number of moles and “V” is the volume. As Connolly and Connolly then show, D is also equal to P/(RT), where R=8.314 (the universal gas constant), “P” is pressure and “T” is temperature. So, all you need to do is divide the P (Pressure) values by the corresponding temperature multiplied by 8.314. One would expect a slope of 1/T, if we plot the molar density versus pressure as we have done for the Northern Hemisphere winter and summer in figure 5.

Figure 5

In the top portion of each seasonal plot in figure 5 we have plotted the average molar density and lapse rate versus pressure for the latitude band from 30N to 45N. The lapse rate first crosses zero at 9,000 Pa and 11,000 Pa for winter and summer, respectively. The left-hand lower plots show the troposphere points, they have a slope of 0.0004 and a positive intercept greater than 3.3, with an R2 of 0.998 and 0.999, due to some minor curvature at the lower pressures (higher altitude). The remaining points are in the tropopause or stratosphere and they are plotted to the lower right for each season. The points have a slope very close 0.0006 and a very small intercept of -0.03 to -0.06. The tropopause here is roughly at 9,000 Pa or approximately 17 km in winter. In the summer it is roughly 11,000 Pa or 15.5 km. The troposphere and stratosphere lines are significantly different, suggesting a state-change in the gases. There is no change in gas composition at that altitude and temperature changes can’t account for the change in slope, since the slope is 1/T anyway.

The Connolly and Connolly, 2014, paper 2 suggests that the change taking place at the tropopause could be the formation of oxygen multimers. This is a possible explanation that fits the known data at this point. See the paper for more details.

The remarkable new information is that the slope changes at the tropopause. Figure 6 shows the same set of plots for the Southern Hemisphere latitude band from 30S to 45S in the Southern Hemisphere winter.

Figure 6

In figure 6 we see that the line describing the troposphere is distinctly different from the line describing the tropopause and stratosphere. Both lines have an R2 of 0.999.

The Tropopause

The tropopause usually occurs at a temperature between 195K and 225K as seen in figure 7.

Figure 7

The details of the conditions in the tropopause are discussed in Connolly and Connolly, 2014, paper 2. Plots of all the latitude bands are presented in their figure 4.

So far, we have used the conventional definitions of the tropopause. We’ve interrogated the atmospheric pressure, altitude and temperature profiles and interpreted a tropopause when we see a sudden reversal of the lapse rate from negative to “more positive.” The WMO chooses a -2°/km cutoff and NOAA chooses a zero-degree cutoff. In both cases, other reversals near the surface or in the stratosphere must be ignored. All these rules and exceptions make these definitions less than satisfying.

A simpler definition is possible using molar density. The molar density versus pressure line in the stratosphere intersects the molar density versus pressure line from the troposphere at the tropopause everywhere as far as we can tell. The lines fit the data so well that few points are required for an accurate result. Figure 8 is for the Antarctic region in winter. This is one of the previously mentioned latitude bands where the lapse rate does not cross zero as required by the NOAA definition. By using crossing molar density best fit lines we can establish a tropopause at the lapse rate reversal between -2 and zero; which is where we would put it using the WMO definition quoted at the beginning of the post. Solving the two best fit lines for their intersection we can show they cross at 22,576 Pa.

Figure 8

Discussion

The data presented here shows that the tropospheric lapse rate is not the constant -6.5°C/km often assumed. The lapse rate curves vary considerably around the world and are never straight lines. It also appears that the atmospheric equation-of-state changes for some reason, possibly the formation of oxygen multimers, at the base of the tropopause.

While the NOAA tropopause definition works most of the time, the requirement for a lapse rate crossover at zero can be problematic. In some records, especially in the Antarctic in winter, the zero crossover is not reached; although the shape of the lapse rate versus altitude curve suggests a tropopause is present. In these circumstances the WMO definition works better. Both definitions are somewhat imprecise, and we suggest that molar density versus pressure best fit lines might locate the tropopause more precisely and rigorously. These lines can be created with points deeply in the stratosphere and deeply in the troposphere and the intersection of the lines would be the tropopause. There always seems to be a change of state at the tropopause that causes the slope and intercept of the lines to change abruptly. In some areas there is some apparent curvature near the boundary, but by choosing the points used to establish the lines above the tropopause and some distance below it, corruption by this transitional curvature can be avoided.

The tropopause is lower in the polar regions and higher between 40N and 40S latitude. This might be partly due to surface temperature, but the shape of the curves in figure 4 suggests that factors other than surface temperature are involved. As can be seen in figure 7 and in table 1 from Connolly and Connolly, paper 2, the temperature and pressure conditions at the tropopause vary considerably around the world.

Molar density is not often discussed in the meteorological literature to the best of our knowledge, but it greatly simplifies some atmospheric calculations. Temperature varies vertically in complex patterns, pressure trends can also be complex, but less so. Molar density is composed of two fundamental straight lines, one for the troposphere and one for the stratosphere and tropopause. There is a slight curvature between the two lines and more deeply in the troposphere there can be some slight curvature due to humidity changes or precipitation events. However, for any given location and time the detection of the slope and intercept for a molar density versus pressure plot is easy to detect and the fits are very good. This would seem to be a useful tool in meteorological and climate modeling.

While Andy May wrote this post, much of the technical work was done by Michael and Ronan Connolly.

Excel spreadsheets containing the data used to make the plots (and much more data) can be downloaded here.

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October 29, 2017 9:12 am

An elegant dissertation in climate science that, had it not appeared on WUWT, many of us would have been unlikely to have come across it. I say elegant because it uses classical science to explore a phenomenon and, in the process, makes a scientific discovery, pointing to cause for the shape of the lapse rate changes. PV=nRT, indeed! NOAA and WMO use a blindman’s understanding of what an elephant is by feel. https://wildequus.org/2014/05/07/sufi-story-blind-men-elephant/
(“It’s physics” indeed) and the boffins at NOAA and WMO don’t go to a physics equation that cries out to be employed in a tailor-made situation and miss out on cause, the Holy Grail of scientific inquiry. It is a change in the equation of state – whether it is oxygen monomerization, polymerisation or some other combination of the molecules of the atmosphere that reduces “n”. No wonder their models are patchwork quilts of guesses of blindmen experiencing the physical world.

Out of spite, the Philistines won’t change their definition in a hurry.

Reply to  Gary Pearse
October 29, 2017 9:34 am

Gary, you incorrectly labeled this as a “dissertation.” It is not.

October 29, 2017 10:48 am

I think that the word, “dissertation”, has a general sense, as well as a more specific sense. Obviously, the article is not a PhD thesis, but I don’t think that this was the intended use of the word, “dissertation”, here.

October 29, 2017 11:43 am

This may seem like a dumb question, but if the place we call the tropopause is so indistinct and variable, what exactly is it’s significance?
Why do we need to know exactly where it is, or have a precise definition of it?
Is it an imaginary place, one that we are imposing but has no actual physical meaning?

Reply to  menicholas
October 29, 2017 1:35 pm

I may be sticking my nose in where it doesn’t belong but …
The altitude and clear differentiation of the tropopause may differ from place to place but it seems there are significant differences between the troposphere and the stratosphere (such as the importance of water vapor and the fact that the temperature decreases with altitude in one yet increases with altitude in the other). At least in most parts of the world there seems to be some definite area that differs somewhat from both troposphere and stratosphere. The universe doesn’t always cooperate with our abstractions but having a term for that area, even if great precision is not possible, makes it easier to think about and easier to discuss.

Reply to  Andy May
October 30, 2017 7:37 am

Andy,
I don’t see your problem.
At the tropopause the lapse rate gradient changes.
The reason is that conduction driven convection comes up against warming from heat generated by radiative material directly intercepting incoming solar radiation.
Convection cannot go any higher because of the warming that takes place above the tropopause. Convection depends upon a falling density/temperature gradient with height and cannot overcome a reversal of the gradient. The tropopause is simply an inversion layer at great height.
Two separate means of energy transmission produce different lapse rate slopes and the tropopause is the point of contact.
The height of the tropopause is highly variable because of the cell based structure of convective overturning. Low pressure cells (low at the surface) push it up and high pressure cells (high at the surface) pull it down.
What are you seeing that makes that explanation hard to accept?

October 30, 2017 12:39 am

There are several valuable insights in this material. Although I am qualified in some aspects of the topic, that means not all aspects can escape my further study to do it justice to me. To help that further study and to expose my ignorance, I have a couple of questions.
First, I note the dilution of CO2 with altitude, such as in moles per cubic metre, plus repeated assurances from elsewhere that much radiation to space happens near the tropopause. This seems to impose additional energetic load on CO2. Such sparse disposition, plus the whole of that global warming to send to space. Is there no barrier to the energy that the molecule can hold before disposal by emission of energy? I have to study this because quantum state understanding I was taught in the 1960 era did suggest upper limits. To be fair, most spectroscopy theory then was in terms of atomic rather than molecular examples. But we are led to the old question of whether 400 ppm by volume at the surface is adequate to handle the energy, when one thinks instead of moles per cubic metre. Intuitively, a handful of molecules could not serve the load of the whole earth, so how many molecules per cubic metre do there have to be present before there is a measurable effect? From theory, not from inference, preferably.
The second question is whether the species above and below the tropopause, now defined by the break in slope, have equivalent emission properties. I am ignorant of oxygen multimers and their spectroscopy. Is there adequate literature about them? Have spectra been taken at places like the poles when seasons bring the tropopause to the surface?
Thanks. Geoff.

Reply to  Andy May
October 30, 2017 9:16 pm

Thank you, Andy. Geoff.

October 30, 2017 4:33 am

I should deal here with a point made by Willis Eschenbach in the past.
His contention was that convective overturning is a zero sum process and so could not affect planetary surface temperatures. He proposed a cooling of the surface beneath rising columns of air as being exactly offset by a warming beneath descending columns.
His error arises from the fact that the S-B equation represents a MINIMUM surface temperature at a given level of insolation. In that situation energy can radiate out at the speed of light with no obstruction from an atmosphere.
To reduce the surface temperature below S-B at any given level of insolation, conduction and convection would have to operate FASTER than radiation in shedding energy to space but obviously it does not.
The truth is that the surface stays at the full S-B temperature throughout the first convective overturning cycle.
The descending columns then add the removed surface kinetic energy back to the surface in addition to continuing insolation so that it is not a zero sum process and the surface temperature must rise.

I urge folks to read this carefully:

https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2017/06/15/stephen-wilde-how-conduction-and-convection-cause-a-greenhouse-effect-arising-from-atmospheric-mass/

As frolly’s video clearly points out, the radiative greenhouse theory is dead as the dodo in light of the gas laws.

October 30, 2017 7:45 am

Andy,
Your link says this:

“The air above the tropopause (i.e., in the tropopause/stratosphere) adopted a “heavy phase”, distinct from the conventional “light phase” found in the troposphere. This heavy phase was also found in the lower troposphere for cold, Arctic winter radiosondes.”

What do they mean by ‘heavy’ and ‘light’ in that context?

I suspect that they just mean that the tropopause is generally unstable and warmer parcels tend to rise whereas the stratosphere is generally stable and parcels of air resist upward movement.

There is nothing puzzling in that given the density differentials introduced by the temperature change when the lapse rate slope reverses.

I think they are getting terribly confused over simple non radiative fluid mechanics.

Reply to  Stephen Wilde
November 2, 2017 10:39 pm

I have posed a second video relating to this subject that you guys may be interested in Regards 1000Frolly;

Don132
Reply to  frolly
November 8, 2017 5:21 am

test

Don132
Reply to  frolly
November 8, 2017 5:25 am

If the temperature of the earth is 255K + 33K, a result of solar insolation plus the gas laws (as stated earlier in the video) but on the other hand you derive surface temperature from surface pressure, surface density, and mean moles, then where does solar insolation come in? I’m confused.

November 3, 2017 4:28 am

frolly,

Nicely done.

Also see here:

http://www.newclimatemodel.com/greenhouse-confusion-resolved/

from 2008

http://www.newclimatemodel.com/the-ignoring-of-adiabatic-processes-big-mistake/

from 2012

http://www.newclimatemodel.com/why-the-radiative-capabilities-of-gases-do-not-contribute-to-the-greenhouse-effect/

from 2013

all of which support frolly’s proposition and other articles at my site are also of general relevance.

November 8, 2017 3:21 pm

Don, good question.
The hypothesis I am proposing to explain Earth’s near-surface atmospheric temperature, is that solar insolation provides the first 255 Kelvin in accordance with the black body law, then the “other” 33 Kelvin comes from adiabatic auto-compression in the atmosphere, which occurs in any atmosphere which is >10kPa in pressure.
The key number to remember is 10kPa. Once the gas pressure passes this level, a temperature gradient is set up. See;
Robinson, T. D., & Catling, D. C. (2014). Common 0.1 [thinsp] bar tropopause in thick atmospheres set by pressure-dependent infrared transparency. Nature Geoscience, 7(1), 12-15.
First proposed by Loschmidt in the 1860’s by using a derivation of Maxwell’s Ideal gas law. See; Flamm, D. (1997). Four papers by Loschmidt on the state of thermal equilibrium Pioneering Ideas for the Physical and Chemical Sciences (pp. 199-202): Springer.

Now to your question; where is the input from the differing soar insolation levels on each planet?
The answer is that this is automatically “baked-in” to the gas parameter pie!
In other words, the gas pressure, density and even over time, the molar weight depend largely on the level of insolation at that planet’s location.
Note that other climate-related parameters are also automatically ‘baked in’, including albedo, cloud changes and yes, even any greenhouse gas effects.

Don132
Reply to  frolly
November 8, 2017 9:44 pm

frolly, thank you for your reply, it’s very helpful. I’ll have to think about all of that.

Don132
Reply to  frolly
November 9, 2017 3:39 am

For those of us who weren’t science majors, can you elaborate on how solar insolation levels are baked into the gas pressure, density and molar weight of an atmosphere?

Don132
November 9, 2017 8:48 am

Nevermind, I’ve got it. Insolation affects pressure and density.