Climate Change Weekly # 578— Countries and Industries Are Abandoning or Reducing Net-Zero Commitments

From THE HEARTLAND INSTITUTE

Heartland Editorial Team,

IN THIS ISSUE:

  • Countries and Industries Are Abandoning or Reducing Net-Zero Commitments
  • Amid Moderate Warming, Hot and Cold Extremes Are Declining
Gemini_CCW-578-lead-image-1

Countries and Industries Are Abandoning or Reducing Net-Zero Commitments

Since the swearing-in of Donald Trump as the 47th president of the United States, climate alarmism and the political machinations in the public and private sector it spawned have experienced the death of a thousand cuts, described for centuries as a favorite torture method of the Chinese.

Trump’s actions as president represent the deepest stab wound to elite promoters of the climate “hoax” or climate “scam”—take your pick of descriptors used by Trump to describe the false-alarm narrative of catastrophic climate change. I have previously described here at CCW some of Trump’s actions that are draining the climate swamp of resources, supporters, spirit, and momentum. These include defunding climate boondoggles across federal agencies, pulling the United States out of the Paris climate agreement, withdrawing the United States from dozens of climate-monitoring and wealth-transfer organizations (most importantly the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change), and rescinding the greenhouse gas endangerment finding. All these actions and more have left the progressive climate elite bereft and seeking solace and continued support, with said solace and support waning in both the public and private sectors in the United States and internationally. The cuts are coming fast and furious

Evidence suggests that with America no longer playing the fool, cast as a villain in the climate scam, other countries and companies around the globe are increasingly refusing to do so. Some entities are withdrawing from their climate commitments entirely and reembracing fossil fuels. Others, while still embracing climate alarm to a degree, are reducing their emission reduction pledges, cutting funding for wind and solar, pushing out the timeline for net zero, acknowledging the continued necessity of fossil fuels for a while at least, or some combination of the above. Of course, they would be doing none of these things if they really believed the hype that the world faces a pending climate catastrophe that can be stopped by eschewing fossil fuels. They are tacitly admitting Trump is right and climate change is a scam or hoax, and acknowledging the need to find a new and different way to profit through fear.

Examples of the rapid decline of the climate alarm narrative are all around us. For example, the UN IPCC recently had its 64th meeting of the science committee, at which it failed, once again, to set a date for the production of the next IPCC Assessment report. It’s not just that they can’t agree on who will write the report or what its scope will be: they can’t even decide on a deadline for when to produce and publish it.

Climate modeler Jozef Pecho described how dangerous and discouraging this impasse is for him and the climate science community in general:

As a climate scientist whose work depends on IPCC assessments, I find what’s happening in Bangkok hard to watch.

The disagreement is framed as procedural. It isn’t. A coalition including Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, India and Kenya wants the timeline pushed later. The practical effect is the same as if you delayed a medical diagnosis until after the surgery: the science arrives, but it can no longer guide the decision. UNEP [United Nations Environmental Program] warns the IPCC trust fund may run out before AR7 is even finished.

What we are watching is not a calendar dispute. It is a slow-motion erosion of the institution that translates climate science into political accountability—and it is happening at the moment that science is most needed.

Why would Saudi Arabia, Russia, China, India, Kenya, and other nations want the timeline extended if they really believed a climate crisis was in the offing? The answer is they wouldn’t, so they really don’t believe climate change poses an “existential threat” to humanity, in the words of former President Joe Biden. It is a tool to be wielded to gain geopolitical concessions, national advantage, and/or continued welfare money.

Another cut is described in one of the preeminent medical journals, The Lancet, in an article in which the researchers warn of public health consequences of the European Union truncating the reach and scope of its emission-reporting requirements. They describe the regulatory change thus:

On Dec 16, 2025, the European Parliament and the European Council reached a provisional deal on the Sustainability Omnibus Package of the European Commission in an effort to streamline and simplify the European regulatory landscape to promote the competitiveness of European undertakings. The proposed simplification exempts an estimated 80% of undertakings (organizations) that were within the previous scope of the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD). The exemptions lead to lower or no data collection from indirect value chain partners, only requiring reporting from undertakings with a turnover exceeding €450 million generated within the EU or having more than 1000 employees (EU based).

Although modest in its environmental data requirements, the CSRD is considered one of the most comprehensive mandatory sustainability reporting initiatives in the world. However, the simplification of the Omnibus severely hampers the creation of an urgently needed data landscape to map and monitor corporate environmental impacts and might impede policies aimed at advancing planetary health.

Once again, researchers seem alarmed, but the governments not so much.

Then there is the case of Germany, where grim electoral prospects seem to be forcing the government to end its enforced adoption of certain green technologies and fuels, a mandate resulting from the country’s previous commitments to net-zero emission goals.

“In a shock move, the German government will allow citizens to use oil and gas to heat their homes again, even though this might increase global temperatures by a thousandth of a degree in 80 years time,” reports Jo Nova. “The government or rather, the taxpayers, will still be forced to subsidize 30 to 70% of the cost of a new heat pump, but won’t actually fine anyone or put them in jail if they buy an oil or gas heater. (Yay, ‘freedom’.)”

The response of the German left to this modest shift toward climate reality was entirely predictable, according to Euronews:

One critic has called the move “an unconditional fulfilment of all the wishes of the fossil fuel lobby”.

“This reform is a disaster,” Green Party parliamentary group co-leader Katharina Dröge told the German Press Agency (dpa).

“The CDU and SPD [Social Democratic Party] have today made it abundantly clear: climate protection is completely irrelevant to this coalition,” she added. “The federal government has abandoned the achievement of the climate targets.”

Moving on to the private sector, industries are quickly abandoning their emission-reduction commitments. As I have detailed in CCW, shortly after Trump was elected but before he took office, hundreds of banks and other companies began abandoning various UN-sanctioned or -endorsed climate groups setting reporting requirements for carbon dioxide emissions and goals for emission reductions. And by early in 2025, big tech companies, fearing a lack of energy for their AI hubs and server farms, began to cease lobbying for state governments and the federal government to embrace net-zero goals and ever-more wind and solar power. They began to embrace nuclear power, natural gas, and to a lesser extent even coal in some locations. They want whatever is needed to power the burgeoning AI industry and their tech reliably, climate concerns be damned.

More recently, the automobile and power industries have joined the stampede away from net zero. For example, MasterResource highlighted an article at Autoblog detailing 18 major automobile manufacturers’ decisions to scale back dramatically or abandon entire lines of electric vehicles. The Autoblog article states,

After years of rapid growth, the electric vehicle boom is hitting turbulence. With demand slowing and incentives fading, at least 18 automakers are now canceling, delaying, or scaling back EV plans in the U.S., including major brands like Ford, Honda, Nissan, and Volkswagen. …

After growing nearly eightfold between 2019 and 2023 [due to tax incentives and mandates], demand for battery-electric vehicles flattened out last year, then took a dive off a cliff after federal tax credits phased out at the end of September. That’s sent an array of automakers scrambling to rethink their EV programs and, by Autoblog’s count, at least 18 brands have now decided to drop existing models, scrap upcoming plans or, at the least, stretch their launches out, hoping to see demand rebound.

And it’s not just car companies. Oil companies (which never should have jumped on the suicidal climate-alarm bandwagon and instead should have been fighting it) and utilities are also reducing their emission-reduction goals. Seeking Alpha reports,

The world’s largest oil and gas companies ratcheted back investment in the energy transition in 2025, marking the first annual decline in eight years, according to BloombergNEF. Spending on low-carbon technologies by oil and gas majors fell by more than a third over the past year, to $25.7 billion from more than $38 billion in 2024, , according to a report published Wednesday.

Even with that reduction, the companies are spending $25.7 billion too much on unnecessary efforts to prematurely transition away from fossil fuels in a foolish and vain effort to fight climate change.

In the power sector, the retreat from net zero is even greater. Environment America has reported that as of March, 8.1 GW of coal capacity, consisting of 33 fossil fuel generating units across 15 power plants, that had been scheduled for closure by the end 2025 have been kept online to maintain grid reliability and power AI expansion. Most recently, it was announced in early April that the two largest coal-fueled power plants in Pennsylvania had agreed to stay in operation through 2032, four years beyond their planned retirement date, specifically to ensure grid stability in the face of growing AI data center demand. Even Gov. Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, approved of the plan to keep the plants open.

And academia has not been immune to the siren call of climate realism. While publicly maintaining its goal of reaching net zero emissions by 2050, Duke University announced it would no longer spend $4 million per year to achieve “short-term carbon neutrality,” nor would it dedicate staff time to figure out ways to offset ongoing carbon dioxide emissions.

In academia, government, and industry, climate alarm is in retreat. Net zero as an economic and political goal is not dead, but it is on life support, and The Heartland Institute will continue to advocate for pulling the plug.

Sources: The Lancet; Jo Nova; NorDotApp; MasterResource: Seeking Alpha (MSN.com); EnvironmentAmerica


Amid Moderate Warming, Hot and Cold Extremes Are Declining

A new study from John R. Christy, Ph.D., former Alabama State Climatologist, director of the Earth System Science Center, and distinguished professor of atmosphere and earth science at the University of Alabama at Huntsville, undertook a long-term accounting of temperature trends. The study, published in the peer-reviewed journal Theoretical and Applied Climatology, reports extreme temperatures, both extreme heat and extreme cold, have become less frequent and sustained across the continental United States since 1899.

Christy analyzed more than 40 million daily temperature readings from 1,211 weather stations. Where a weather station during that time discontinued operation or had incomplete records, Christy filled in data from nearby stations after filtering out possible sources of bias. Per the abstract,

Extreme temperature metrics for summer daily maximum temperatures and winter daily minimum temperatures were calculated. The general result is that metrics for extreme summer heat, e.g., hottest values, number of heatwave days, etc., show modest negative trends since 1899. Extreme cold temperature metrics also indicate a decline in their occurrences especially since the 1990s. In sum, instances of both hot and cold extreme metrics have declined since 1899.

“Knowledge of temperature extremes, and their potential changes within a climate system of increasing greenhouse gases, is of vital interest for humans and the infrastructure which supports them,” Christy writes in the study’s abstract, explaining the need for and importance of the study in the context of the scientific and public policy debate over climate change. “This dataset allows us to ask—and answer—questions about extreme heat and cold with more confidence, given the amount of data available now,” Christy writes in an article about the study.

“Understanding how extremes have changed over time is essential for interpreting (dispassionately) how today’s events actually compare with the past,” wrote Christy.

The data show the most intense heat events occurred between 1925 and 1954, particularly during the 1930s, the study states. Christy’s analysis found no long-term increase in extreme summer heat nationwide.

By contrast, periods of extreme cold have noticeably declined, especially since the 1990s, with fewer record-low temperatures and less-severe winter extremes. This is due to a modest warming at night during the winter, found in higher winter nighttime lows attributable in part to the urban heat island effect where development has taken place around urban, suburban, and even some poorly sited rural weather stations.

Because extremes of summer heat haven’t changed much and periods of extreme cold have declined, the study also found the difference between the hottest and coldest annual temperatures has narrowed by about six degrees over the full record, “suggesting less overall variability in temperature extremes,” as noted by Fox 54 Alabama’s report on the findings.

To demonstrate an application of this dataset, Christy compared the results produced by his analysis of the long-term data to claims made by U.S. Global Change Research Program’s National Climate Assessment (NCA) that heatwaves have increased since the 1960s. These claims are not borne out by the comprehensive temperature data Christy analyzed. Instead, there has been a small, statistically insignificant change, primarily in parts of the Western United States where population growth has been rampant. When the temperature data is extended back to 1899, it shows heat extremes have actually declined nationwide, and the trend identified by the NCA disappears. There is no correlation to greenhouse gas emissions.

Sources: Fox 54; Theoretical and Applied Climatology; University of Alabama at Huntsville



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Edward Katz
May 2, 2026 6:40 pm

We’re seeing this withdrawal from climate change action mainly because big corporations, big financial institutions and governments of all sizes as well as most of the citizenry worldwide don’t see anything close to resembling the “existential threat” posed by it. It’s nothing we can’t handle by taking the appropriate precautions and don’t have to embrace carbon taxes, new restrictions and green product mandates that would be guaranteed to drive up living costs.

Phillip Chalmers
Reply to  Edward Katz
May 2, 2026 11:36 pm

And, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is driving it home to all interested parties, their civilisation will collapse if the oil stops flowing from the wells and getting to their local refinery.
You cannot mine, process, manufacture, assemble, locate and interconnect solar panes and windmills using the power of solar panels and windmills. Duh!
Demand proof that just one place in the world is doing that!

May 2, 2026 7:42 pm

DRILL BABY DRILL

Reply to  SteveG
May 3, 2026 12:54 am

We were at or close to peak oil demand before – trump now made sure that it happened.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 1:52 am

Data says no

2024 103.75 million barrels/day
2025 105.15 million barrels/day
2026 prediction 106 million barrels/day

https://www.statista.com/statistics/271823/global-crude-oil-demand/

Reply to  Leon de Boer
May 3, 2026 1:56 am

Old OPEC forecast, here is a new one:

https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-april-2026

Oil demand is expected to contract by 80 kb/d this year, as the Iran war upends our global outlook. This is 730 kb/d less than in last month’s Report and a forecast 1.5 mb/d 2Q26 decline would be the sharpest since Covid-19 slashed fuel consumption. Initially, the deepest cuts in oil use have come in the Middle East and Asia Pacific, mainly for naphtha, LPG and jet fuel. However, demand destruction will spread as scarcity and higher prices persist.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 1:59 am

Venezuela is aggressively working to increase oil output towards 1.23–1.37 million barrels per day (bpd) by year-end.

This is a funny game and you will only know at years end but the thing is oil will come out of the woodwork at these prices.

Reply to  Leon de Boer
May 3, 2026 2:24 am

This is a funny game and you will only know at years end but the thing is oil will come out of the woodwork at these prices.

True and it’s the funny game I’m here for.
US Shale doesn’t want to come out of the woodwork despite high oil prices. Cautious or are they afraid investors will see their output is near peak?

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 5:20 am

It can’t happen instantly. Only a deranged idealist might suggest that. Someone who’s never run a business.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 5:45 am

Zorzin also makes a valid point reloaded you are basically agreeing they can produce more oil they just can’t ship it. That doesn’t define peak oil there are basically two definitions of that

Peak Oil: The hypothetical point when global petroleum demand reaches its maximum rate. Clearly more demand is there hence why the bottleneck is hurting.

Peak Extraction: The hypothetical point when global petroleum extraction reaches its maximum rate. You have already conceded if the straight was open there would be more extraction.

So under either definition we haven’t reached peak oil.

Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 5:19 am

It’s not that demand has reduced- its just that less oil is available with wars in Iran and Ukraine. Demand doesn’t mean production volume. You must have skipped economics 101 assuming you went to college. Yes, you didn’t write that – you copied it without your thinking cap on. When these wars are over and Venezuela cranks up production, the production of oil will reach new heights and the price will drop greatly.

Dave Andrews
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 7:24 am

Oil,coal and natural gas still dominate each providing over 150EJ of global energy demand with oil almost at 200EJ and coal at around 180EJ.

Unreliables at circa 80EJ

IEA ‘World Energy Outlook 2025’ (Nov. 2025)

Reply to  Leon de Boer
May 3, 2026 6:24 am

Sir, please

do-not-feed
DipChip
Reply to  Citizen Scientist
May 3, 2026 11:31 am

But, But, But: They provide a necessary service, by activating the minds of all the Deniers, they then promulgate their ideas to the General Public; the hidden means to end all scams, Factual Truths. 

Reply to  DipChip
May 3, 2026 1:42 pm

DC
Lol: Mr Watts has Myusername here as a “NPC” [ a non-player character used in video games to interact, at a very low cognitive level, with game players] to trigger interest & comments.

mleskovarsocalrrcom
May 2, 2026 7:45 pm

All it took is for someone with authority to say AGW is naked and then back it up with action. People seeing the economic and power damage it caused helped cool any outcry. Too many unrealized projections and obvious fear mongering didn’t help their cause either.

Phillip Chalmers
May 2, 2026 11:29 pm

Here at WUWT, most of us still know that the world went mad in a massive crowd and that they will be recovering one by one.
We must keep up the conversation, using the reliable data sources which are so abundant on this site.
Dr Cristy has added more ammunition – use it. Tell all the people even though you know they are sick of hearing from your insane “climate denial”, keep on telling them carbon dioxide is rising and rising and there is NO accelerating dangerous rise in the heat of the planet, the deserts are shrinking, the dams are overflowing, the streets are being periodically flooded and the crops are growing to record high yields.
Eyewitness reports keep repeating, the coral reefs of the world are larger and healthier every year and abound in the warmest parts of the planet, as always.

Tusten02
May 2, 2026 11:39 pm

In Sweden, as in most of Europe, Politicians are too dumb, knowledge resistant or destructive to care about this. Except for Elsa Widding in Sweden.

May 3, 2026 12:47 am

Meanwhile in reality most countries transition to renewables for energy security and EV sales soar after trumps plunder in Iran.

AleaJactaEst
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 12:59 am

Get help. Your anti-libertarian views are obviously causing you mental health issues. We pity you. But that’s all.

Reply to  AleaJactaEst
May 3, 2026 1:07 am

In sensible countries, there’s suddenly a huge political appetite for clean energy. At the end of March, South Korea’s President Lee Jae Myung announced in a speech that the nation’s “future would be at serious risk” if it continued relying on fossil fuels. The government followed that up a week later with an accelerated rollout of renewables which sees one of the world’s largest importers of oil, natural gas and coal deploying 100 GW of clean energy by 2030. In August, Indonesia announced that it would build 100 GW of solar power. In April, President Prabowo Subianto called for the program’s execution to be ramped up, with the aim of reducing diesel-generated power by 10 GW this year.

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/sustainability/fossil-fuels-no-longer-offer-security-clean-energy-can/articleshow/130710659.cms?from=mdr

Thanks to just-stop-oil trump 😀

AleaJactaEst
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 1:18 am

MyUsernameReloaded, bless him, is a true believer. The daily flagellations at WUWT are his penance for living in a world that won’t convert.

Reply to  AleaJactaEst
May 3, 2026 1:19 am

I really hope this site can ignore reality until 2030, but I doubt it 🙁

Derg
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 1:57 am

We all agree, you are our village idiot.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 2:06 am

So if nothing happens by 2030 will you admit you were a GREEN DREAMER drinking bad cool-aid? I mean we are apparently going to see massive changes by 2030 according to you … my money on nothing changes 🙂

Reply to  Leon de Boer
May 3, 2026 2:31 am

We are already seeing them.

Leon de Boer
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 5:58 am

ROFL must be only be in your part of the world. Here in Australia we are begging to all our neighbours trying to secure more oil and working out how fast we can stockpile more. There is talk of trying to build refineries and fast track new oil fields.

The two big resource states in Western Australia and Queensland are leading that push

https://www.watoday.com.au/politics/western-australia/wa-government-starts-its-own-fuel-reserve-with-4-million-litre-purchase-20260414-p5znuj.html
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-04-08/taroom-trough-fast-track-queensland/106540376

Reality bites and what you don’t see is a big push for net-zero, the coalition has dumped and one nation has always argued against it. Latest polls say 57 per cent of Australians support increasing gas and oil exploration which is what is behind the coalition dropping it. Those who support net zero is running at about 19% which is the greens, some teals and a few lefty labor voters.

Mr.
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 6:37 am

But after ~ 40 years of transitioning to renewables, not one town, city, county, state or country has managed to operate 24 × 7 solely on wind & solar electricity.

Looks to me like “peak renewables” was reached a few years ago.

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  MyUsernameReloaded
May 3, 2026 2:11 am

I see that once again, the Village Idiot has confused fantasy with reality. Sad.

Reply to  AleaJactaEst
May 3, 2026 6:27 am

Sir, please

do-not-feed
Bruce Cobb
May 3, 2026 2:01 am

It’s almost like someone (Trump) has inconveniently pointed out that the Climate Emperor is wearing no clothes.

Bruce Cobb
May 3, 2026 2:24 am

climate protection is completely irrelevant to this coalition

Riiiiiight. So, the climate needs “protection” now. As in, “Nice climate you’ve got there. Shame if something were to happen to it”. It all becomes clear now. The Climate Mafia just want to “protect” the climate. At a price, of course.

May 3, 2026 6:36 am

“This reform is a disaster,” Green Party parliamentary group co-leader Katharina Dröge told the German Press Agency.” – In fact the Green Party has been a real disaster and it still is.
“The CDU and SPD have today made it abundantly clear: climate protection is completely irrelevant to this coalition,” she added.” – This only means that they are eventually going to do right things.

observa
May 3, 2026 7:53 am

But..but..the science is settled! It’s quite a lot of fraud and BS-
Science Fraud and Farce but there is great news too