India sets grain production record

Because we know CAGW is causing famine throughout the land~ctm

 From The Times of India

Govt revises foodgrain output to record 275.68 million tonnes

Vishwa Mohan | TNN | Aug 16, 2017, 08:57 PM IST

NEW DELHI: India’s foodgrain production for the 2016-17 crop year is estimated at record 275.68 million tonnes. The government on Wednesday revised its previous figures upward by 2.3 million tonnes and came at the new figure which is over 4% higher than the previous record production achieved in the country during 2013-14.

The production in 2016-17 is significantly higher by 24.12 million tonnes (9.59%) than the output of 2015-16 which was a drought year.

The revised figures, released on Wednesday, are part of the agriculture ministry’s fourth advance estimate for the year 2016-17. In its third estimate, the ministry had put the estimated production at 273.38 million tonnes (MT).

The ministry releases four advance estimates followed by final estimates of production of major agricultural crops of the country every crop year (July-June). Fourth advance estimates are considered as good as final estimates.

In order to provide sufficient time to states to take into account even the delayed information while finalizing area and yield estimates of various crops, the final estimates are released about six months after the fourth advance estimates. No revision in the state-level data is accepted after release of final estimates by the agriculture ministry.

India had recorded its previous best in the year 2013-14 when the country produced 265.04 MT of foodgrain, backed by good and well-distributed Monsoon rainfall.

The ministry attributed the all-time record of foodgrain production in 2016-17 to good rainfall in 2016 and various policy initiatives taken by it. Record output has been achieved in all major crops of foodgrain basket like rice (110.15 MT), wheat (98.38 MT) and pulses (22.95 MT).

The current crop year (2017-18) may, however, not be as good despite normal Monsoon in many parts of the country. Though the overall area under Kharif (summer season) crops this year was higher till last Friday than the corresponding period of last year, the situation has been bad in southern states and certain parts of Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh.

Kerala, Karnataka, Marathwada and Vidarbha regions of Maharashtra, eastern Madhya Pradesh, western Uttar Pradesh and Haryana received deficient rainfall during June 1-August 15 period, leaving these areas vulnerable.

Less rainfall in these regions means poor storage of water and lower acreage at the end of the Kharif season and also during Rabi (winter crop) sowing operation, beginning October. If low rainfall phase continues in these areas, production of oilseeds and pulses may suffer during 2017-18.

The year 2016-17 has been quite good for both oilseeds and pulses due to significant increase in the sown area and productivity. Total production of pulses during 2016-17 is estimated at 22.95 MT which is higher by 3.70 MT (19.22%) than the previous record production of 19.25 MT achieved during 2013-14.

“Production of pulses during 2016-17 is also higher by 5.32 million tonnes (30.16%) than their five years’ average production. Current year’s production is higher by 6.61 million tonnes (40.41%) than the previous year’s production of 16.35 million tonnes”, said the ministry while releasing its fourth advance estimates.

With an increase of 6.85 million tonnes (27.11%) over the previous year, total oilseeds production in the country is estimated at 32.10 million tonnes. The production of oilseeds during 2016-17 is also higher by 2.84 million tonnes (9.72%) than the five year’s average oilseeds production.

Read the full story here.

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Bill Powers

to advance the government money grab call CAGW they need to predict the exact opposite of reality which is why the only people who believe in it are standing in the money line.

rocketscientist

So much for the IPCC’s crop failure predictions.

rocketscientist

Sorry, that should have read PNAS’s crop failure predictions.

Bryan A

Hopefully thay will take the 9-10% overage abundance that they have from this year and store it for next year’s predicted shortfall due to a slightly diminished rains in the southern areas.
Seems to me that Joseph told Pharaoh that exact same thing about storing during the 7 abundant years to be prepared for the 7 drought years that followed. When Nature gives you an abundance prepare for a lean

rocketscientist

I wonder what Joseph would say if he had to interpret Al Gore’s dreams?

Mohatdebos

It is not just India. Global grain production is at an all time high. Don’t believe, look at the price of wheat.

Bryan A

Interpreting Al Gores Dream?? Probably something like…
“Oh Man, now I am going tgo and wash out my minds eye with Bleach”
or
“God, I know you said, ‘If thine eye offends thee, pluck it out’ But, after looking at Al Gores dreams, how do I pluck out my minds eye?”

There was also a news report about a South American grain excess. IIRC, it was Brazil where some regions are out of corn storage facilties so farmers are making grain mountains near their full silos… the corn is growing much better than expected… This is in the hot tropics too, so heat isn’t being an issue (and can’t be one in Iowa until it is past tropical…)

ricksanchez769

Huh, imagine that – ‘anecdotally’ my garden grows better when its warmer and wetter…but that’s just me

Raysa

Who would have thought stuff would grow better in warm moist environments. Amazing.

magpie

Let us pause and remember Dr. Norman Borlaug. When I was a child all we heard from India was starvation and famine.

Alan Watt, Climate Denialist Level 7

Seconded. His Nobel Peace Prize was richly deserved several times over.

Leonard Lane

Agree, the work he did merits a Nobel prize many times over. And, he did his great work for all people.

DCA

But, but, but how can this be? The previous article said just the opposite… oh yeh. (sarc)

rocketscientist

They must be using the “adaptation” strategies the PNAS is disallowing.

No the warming was NOT caused by CO2, so it could NOT have been any CO2 fertilization going on there, and so the only rational conclusions could be either that warming caused improved crop yields, or there was no warming and no warming improved crop yields but we really can’t say why, or that alien death rays have the opposite effect on Earth that they have everywhere else in the universe, causing more LIFE rather than death.
I’ll call the latter possibility the “Alien Death Ray Hypothesis”. I’ll start working on my abstract now.

rocketscientist

Well, the warming was probably not caused by CO2 (more probably the CO2 increase has been caused by the warming) but the crops are benefitting all the same. It appears as though the adaptation strategies for increased crop yields amount to: “plant crops, let the sun shine, and keep them irrigated.”

Bruce Cobb

Oh noes! That is terrible news for Warmunists. How inconvenient.

daved46

Well, it’s probably a result of the Gore Effect, and since his face can now be seen world-wide because of the new movie, it has spread to India. Warmists really have to figure out how to get rid of this Al-er-G.

Leo Smith

Al Gore’s bovine excrement has proved to be world class fertiliser.

Bill Parsons

“Al Gore’s bovine excrement has proved to be world class fertiliser.”
He’s done more harm with his excretions than any sacred cow in India.

J Mac

Anthropogenic CO2 is contributing to catastrophic increases in food!
Oh, the humanity….

Tom Halla

Paul Ehrlich must be writing a retraction with John Holder./sarc

Tom Halla
You guys amaze me.
I was never interested in politics until I started investigating AGW. I have learned so much about both recently, I amaze myself.
So I felt quite smug today when I got a GWPF newsletter today and discovered Ehrlich, Holder and Borlaug (not that the former two could lick Borlaug’s boots) and their respective ‘contributions’ to agriculture. Was it Ehrlich who was a butterfly expert, yet he told us all in the 60’s that the planet was n the brink of certain mass starvation?
The AGW asylum seems to have an inexhaustible supply of characters prepared to make statements that are proven false time and time again.
Thank you once again, one and all, here on WUWT and notalotofpeopleknowthat (amongst many others) for curing my myopia about global affairs, in particular the unbelievable scale, intentions, and reach of the global warming alarmists.

Duncan

HotScot – While I deserve zero credit for your enlightenment, my story is the same. I will say, it’s wonderful to go home, kiss my children and teach them that there is a tomorrow, they have something to look forward to, life could not be better, work hard, respect everyone, even if you do not agree with them, the only people who will help you is yourself. Everything opposite of what the AGW crowd loves to preach.

TA

“The AGW asylum seems to have an inexhaustible supply of characters”
Isn’t that the truth! 🙂

Pamela Gray

Yeh, but it’s rotten grain and there is evidence that less grain will grow in 2.5 billion years from now so my theory wins.

Leo Smith

SSSSHHH I can just see the next paper ‘CO2 promotes ‘wrong sort of yield growth’ as scientists discover that big crops have less magic ‘pixie dust’ than smaller crops….

rocketscientist

I expect the alarmist spin on this will be: Increased food supplies will cause a population increase which will accelerate global warming.
But, but increased temperatures leads to increased food supplies causing a runaway feed back loop. Hey, there could be a computer algorithm in there somewhere the “climatologists” could appropriate. [sarc]

Stewart Pid

Ha ha Pamela …. climate change grain that is less filling!

rocketscientist

So this is where they get the grain for Miller Lite!

Steve Fraser

Rocket… several fine IPA’s, I recall

PaulH

Your comment goes against the grain.
😀

tom0mason

Hardly fits with Al Gore and “20 million people” are on the “verge of famine” as predicted in his third rate fantasy-horror-comedy film ‘An Inconvenient Sequel’.

The former Veep is portrayed as a significant power broker at the 2015 Paris climate conference, working the phones in order to find some way to bribe India to use more solar power. He claims India had just seen monsoon rains not witnessed in a thousand years. In fact, 2015 was a year of below average rainfall in India.

From: http://www.nationalpost.com/peter+foster+brainwashed+movie+peer+reviewers+give+gore+sequel+righteous+thumbs/14101839/story.html
Al, you’re not doing to well on the predictions thus far.

tom0mason

Oops, that should be —
Al, you’re not doing too well on the predictions thus far.

Mark from the Midwest

Depending on the mix and/or varieties that’s just shy of the equivalent of 2000 calories per person per day. How can anyone hope to survive on 2000 calories per day? Throw in some fruits and vegetables and the products of the roughly 80 million animal dairy herd and you might be able to edge that up to about 3000 calories a day.

lewispbuckingham

The picture is not dire.
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/reversal-of-fortunes-from-net-farm-exporter-to-net-importer-4683439/
The last decade saw India also emerge as the world’s largest exporter of rice (ahead of Thailand and Vietnam) and No. 2 in cotton (after US). Equally amazing was corn. In 2000-01, the country hardly shipped out 32,500 tonnes of this feed grain worth $5.97 million. By 2012-13, these numbers had touched 4.79 million tonnes and $1.31 billion, respectively, with the Kosi-Seemanchal belt of Bihar and Odisha’s Nabarangpur district becoming major sourcing centres for multinational traders despatching the grain to Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam via Kakinada and Visakhapatnam ports. In all the three commodities, exports were also enabled by production-boosting technology — Bt transgenics in cotton, high-yielding single-cross hybrids in maize and the blockbuster Pusa-1121 basmati variety in rice. But all this is now history. The end of the decade-long global commodity boom has also engendered a collapse of India’s agri-exports.’
If the global glut of food ends up with a fall in prices, as India’s GDP rises they will have plenty of home grown rice and maize to buy, not to mention ‘marine products’ and crossover to the poultry industry.
‘Between 2013-14 and 2016-17, India’s exports of agricultural commodities have dipped from $43.2 billion to $33.8 billion, even as imports have climbed from $15.5 billion to $25.6 billion (see table). The resultant trade surplus — the country has always been a net exporter in farm products — has narrowed down from $27.7 billion to a mere $8.2 billion over this period.’
Despite the headline India is still a net exporter of agriculture.

gringojay

” … backed by good & well distributed Monsoon rainfall … ” is more significant than current CO2.
These results are not from experimentally elevated CO2.
Article also indicates more “… overall area under (summer) crop … higher ….” Also for oilseeed/pulses see “… significant increase … sown ….”
Sounds to me like there was increased financial investment in land preparation & fertilizer to take advantage of farm plans. That means funding & since money doesn’t grow on trees crediting current CO2 level’s boost in leaf area is simplistic.

TA

Yes, I think the “good & well distributed Monsoon rainfall” probably had the most to do with the good crop yields.
We’ve had really good, well distributed rainfall in the U.S. this year, too. Lots of areas that are usually dry this time of year are getting wonderful, gentle rain. Best Summer Evah! 🙂

Brett Keane

gringo, the CO2 effect is scientifically well-proven, and used every day in greenhouses. It also improves water-use efficiency. Check it yourself. No one is saying those other factors are not important, so c’mon…..

gringojay

Hi Brett Keane, – Allow me to point out that this season’s crop is growing at very little greater ambient CO2 than recent years. India’s open field yield should not be attribited to this blip of additional CO2 .
As for greenhouse artificially elevated CO2 evidence of improved productivity I have no issue with any scientific proof you have seen. What I hope you understand is that greenhouse growers control the temperature (not possible for field crops) to be as close as economically worthwhile to match their crops “temperature optimum” (where genotype of a plant has Rubisco activated at 100%, which affords best carbon assimilation from photosynthesis).
In regard to water use efficiency there is a CO2 connundrum. Under current ambient CO2 when field plants start to get too dry their root hormone absisic acid sets in motion a series if changes that cause more leaf stomata pore closure to conserve on water loss.
Under elevated CO2 the water use efficiency you point out involves leaves having less stomata (& size alteration) that in effect conserves on water loss. What many do not understand is that this benefit of elevated CO2 is not mediated by root hormone absisic acid signaling in response to conditions being progressively stressed (phases of a drying soil).
This difference means is that under elevated CO2 the plant is not using root absisic acid as it would under current levels of CO2 & under research has revealed that under elevated CO2 they are relatively insensitive to absisic acid. Once the increased leaf canopy of CO2 enriched plants is taken into account they are looking at more area for stomata to array than under current CO2.
The connundrum is that under current CO2 level plants can quickly close their stomata in response to dry soil thanks to their sensitivity to root absisic acid hormone. Whereas under elevated CO2 the plant’s insensitivity to root absisic acid means a dull timely response
(to water stress) which is occuring over a more extensive canopy.
I believe this is part of the reason why long term experimental data from a USA desert project I mentioned in another thread showed a broad group of plants did not over time (7? years) dramatically demonstrate elevated CO2 benefits. Another factor is whether water stress (dry) comes along for an interim or if us of long duration (drought). This altered absicic acid sensitivity in relation to absisic acid may also account for some of the disparate results we see from investigators.
Greenhouse results are not going to be impacted by this connundrum because of reliably rationed water. This may also be of little impact for annual seasonal food crops & the kind of test done where see the pictures comparing young plants at different CO2 side by side.
For me rising CO2 is fine. My curiosity is engaged to understand some of the compromises
I have to deal with.

fretslider

Reality does not bear out the theory therefore reality has to be wrong.
Applying the general purpose smoothing algorythm, the true figure is 27.568 million tonnes

Robber

Please note, this is raw unadjusted data. Wait until IPCC has homogenized the results in their next report for policymakers.

Ross King

The close-down of fossil-powered electrical generation will mean the the forced conversion of land from Agriculture to Electroculture …. dense-packed Windmill Estates, interspersed by Solar Ranches, separated by minimalist easements for maintenance access and cabling and telemetry. interspersed by huge black-box Battery-Storage Warehouses and Switchyards and Control facilities, occupying many acres/hectares in the horizon-to-horizon Electrocultural Industrial Park that used to be idyllic pastoral agri-space.
So, to the point at hand, Agricultural Land is going to be displaced by Electroculture and we should be asking where agricultural production is going to to replace lost productive farmland?
The Australian “Crash-Test-Dummy” experience with helter-skelter, Devil-take-the-hindmost, conversion to All Renewables points clearly that such a strategy raises power costs 3 to 4 times, while … I am quick to point-out …. is reducing the agricultural land-base which will have the effect of driving food-prices UP AS WELL.
Dear Readers: The choice between Electroculture and Agriculture is OBVIOUS to anyone with Common-Sense.

Good Post….Unfortunately, people with common sense are in the very small minority these days. Hence, the present insanity.

Ross King

Thank you kind Sir!
I stopped short of suggesting that we need another WW to reinstate Common-Sense and the Verities of life.
I long thought that that the next Dark Age would be precipitated by an Excess of Bureaucracy … I’m not sure we’re out of those woods yet, as they and the Pols seem to have embraced the AGW Madness (Madness, as in “Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds”, published about 2 centuries ago, and just as true — if not more so — today. (Must reading, BTW.)

Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

Currently — Tomato price reached Rs. 100 a kilo than dropped to Rs. 50; The price of Onions shoot up from Rs. 7 to Rs. 30. These are not related to production but middlemen – storage facilities. Chilli farmers virtually come to a stage to commit suicide for sudden drop in price and the same was the case with cotton. More area and more production were the causes. Farmers, media both print and electronic media highlighted the farmers disparate moves on these issues.
The report states that “The ministry attributed the all-time record of food grain production in 2016-17 to good rainfall in 2016 and various policy initiatives taken by it.” — The above observations clearly demonstrate that there are no policy initiatives taken by the government. Even though farmers wanted such step but governments keep blind eye on such to help middlemen who support them in elections with financial support.
Dr. S. Jeevananda Reddy

Good news. If only places like California could understand second grade science concepts like “water storage”. …….But they can’t. Because it means less taxes for “climate change”.