California Governor Brown imposing massive regulations for meaningless climate goals

Guest essay by Larry Hamlin

California Governor Brown’s SB 32 law requiring the state to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to levels 40% below levels measured in 1990 is necessitating the development of massive numbers of new regulations and policy that will allow the state government to control and dictate virtually every aspect of Californian’s lives including:

  • where and how they can live,
  • what kind of jobs and businesses they can work in,
  • what kind of housing they can have,
  • what kind of car they can drive (if any),
  • how many miles can they drive,
  • what kind of public transportation they must use,
  • how many times they must walk and bicycle,
  • how much and what kind of energy they can use,
  • what kind and how food can be farmed,

etc, etc.

The AB 32 year 2020 greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets (year 2020 levels reduced to year 1990 measured levels) could be achieved by primarily addressing electricity generation and industrial sector greenhouse gas emission reduction efforts through increased use of renewable energy, energy efficiency and fuel substitution efforts.

But the SB 32 emission targets are so absurdly set that every aspect of Californian’s lives must be dictated and controlled to achieve Governor Brown’s ludicrous climate alarmist driven goals.

The largest single source of the states greenhouse gas emissions by far and away is the transportation sector (37%) with the industrial sector second (24%) , instate electricity generation third (12%) and import electricity generation and agriculture tied at fourth (8%).

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The massive escalation in the states greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets between SB 32 versus AB 32 is huge with the reduced emissions target level declining from AB 32 levels of 431 million metric tons in 2020 to SB 32 levels of 259 million metric tons in 2030.

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This huge escalation in emissions reduction as well as the shorter time period for accomplishing the reduction to achieve California’s 2030 greenhouse gas emissions goal means that every sector of the states economic activity will be mandated to undertake unprecedented, hugely costly and far reaching measures to contribute toward trying to meet these politically contrived requirements.

But what does the impact of California’s massive new government bureaucracy and costly effort to achieve its SB 32 emissions reduction goals mean relative to the global greenhouse gas emissions levels?

The 2016 EIA IEO report documents that global CO2 emissions in 2030 are forecast to be 39,103 million metric tons of CO2 with these emissions levels dominated by the developing nations lead by China and India.

California’s greenhouse gas emissions are comprised of about 84% CO2 which means that the reduction of CO2 between SB32 and AB 32 is about 144 million metric tons of CO2 by year 2030.

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Thus the California SB 32 CO2 reduction target is less than 0.4% of the global CO2 emissions EIA forecasts for year 2030 which is truly trivial and insignificant. This level of reduced emissions has no meaningful impact whatsoever at a global scale.

Those attempting to argue that other countries will follow California’s lead in emissions reduction are completely out of touch with reality with what the world’s largest and fastest growing emissions countries are now doing regarding the increased use of coal fuel on a global basis.

China is now generating electricity using coal fuel at record high levels and in addition is engaging in efforts with other countries such as Pakistan to build large numbers of coal plants in that country.

China also has an on-going global strategy based on building coal power and was involved in 240 coal power projects in 65 countries between 2001 and 2016.

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India is going forward with large numbers of new coal plants and completely ignoring any voluntary emissions reduction commitment discussed under the Paris agreement.

A new paper concludes  that India will rely upon use of coal fuel as its energy mainstay for the next 30 years.

Additionally both China and India increasingly dominate ownership of coal reserves  with 117 companies identified producing 3 billion tons of coal a year with 150 billion tons of coal in reserves.

Africa has announced plans for building more than 100 new coal plants to address its severe energy shortages that are contributing to the dismal economic condition of many of its countries.

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The idea that many other world countries that desire high energy growth using coal fuel regardless of the greenhouse gas emission levels are going to abandon their enormous existing use and future growth of coal fuel because of California’s ridiculous climate alarmist driven schemes is totally absurd.

A recent series of articles in the L. A. Times outlined the massive regulatory and policy change impacts that SB 32 will impose upon the people of California here, here, and here.

In these articles extraordinary admissions are noted from the states leaders about the complete lack of knowledge, expertise and experience of the state government needed to achieve these escalated emissions goals demonstrating that these leaders are cavalierly plunging ahead with SB 32 politically driven emissions reduction mandates:

without regard to the massive economic consequences,

without clear understanding of how these emission levels can be achieved,

without comprehensive communication to the 37 million people of California whose existing lives and futures will be ripped apart by the demands imposed by these goals and

without any mention of the global irrelevance and meaningless of the outcome of achieving these state emission reduction goals.

The state governments monumental arrogance in moving forward with SB 32 is characterized in the following observations contained in the Times articles:

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Serious concerns about the economic damage the states emissions goals could create were noted in the Times articles as well:

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State Senate leader Kevin de Leon’s quote in a recent article captures an astounding display of climate alarmist elitism that shrugs off as unimportant the huge yet unknown impacts of the states emission mandates on its 37 million residents.

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The state doesn’t know what it’s doing but Senate leader Kevin de Leon has decided “The debate is over”.

The Times articles address how SB 32 emissions goals will have dramatic impacts mandating increased housing density and significantly decreased motor vehicle use in California requiring many tens of billions of dollars in expenditures across the state to accomplish.

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The Times articles further address the unknowns and uncertainty regarding how the huge reductions in driving miles and transportation emissions related required decreases can be achieved.

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The states agricultural industry will also be dramatically impacted by SB 32 mandates as noted in the Times articles.

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Perhaps the most ridiculous and absurd comment regarding the value of the SB 32 emission reduction mandates contained in the Times articles was the following:

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How can any rational person credibly claim that China, India and other energy hungry developing nations of the world are going to “export” the folly of California’s climate alarmist policies to their countries?

California has now created a world where Governor Brown, Senate leader Kevin de Leon and Air Board Chairwomen Mary Nichols will determine at huge cost and without the appropriate knowledge, expertise, planning and communication how everyone of the 37 million people of the state must live every aspect of their lives to meet meaningless climate goals with the resulting massive sacrifices that will impact California citizens having no consequence on the global emissions stage.

California is proceeding down this absurd emissions reduction path while the “science” supposedly supporting climate alarmism claims is crumbling with global climate models shown to be flawed and failed by climate scientist testimony before Congress and UN IPCC acknowledgements of the undeniable truth that it is impossible to create credible global climate models which, in fact, has been the case for the last 25 years.

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Additionally testimony before Congress also shows no connection between greenhouse gas emissions and increased severe weather, including hurricanes, tornadoes, floods and droughts, as falsely claimed by climate alarmists.

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Finally NOAA 2016 updated coastal sea level rise tide gauge data shows no acceleration in sea level rise along the California coastline or anywhere else despite false claims by the UN IPCC that man made emissions have been increasing rates of sea level rise since the 1970’s.

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California’s politically driven climate alarmist emissions reduction goals are meaningless and completely unnecessary and threaten to produce massive damage to the states economy and to the lives and freedoms of all of its 37 million citizens.

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May 19, 2017 10:08 am

If they are serious about follow through, it will be interesting to watch the implosion.

Rhoda R
May 19, 2017 10:10 am

It’s been awhile since I read “The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire” but I remember distinctly that one of the events leading to the fall of the Republic was that the small farm holders were taxed out of existence and their farms were bought out by increasing large landholders/Patricians. Sort of like what is happening now to the farmers in California – as the regulatory regime gets worse and worse they are leaving and I’ll be it’s the likes of Pelosi who are buying up all the land.

The Explulsive
May 19, 2017 10:11 am

California is way to wealthy and Moonbeam and the Progressifacists want to control that wealth. It will only be impoverishing the population of America can the rest of the world progress (at least that is the impression I get from the Progressifacists in Ontario). All hail.

The Explulsive
Reply to  The Explulsive
May 19, 2017 10:12 am

That should have been way too wealthy

Butch
May 19, 2017 10:22 am

..I honestly believe that in less then 15 years, that the U.S and Canada will each split and rejoin along party lines so that Alaska will finally be attached to America physically. The 2nd wall to be built at that time will not to be to keep “Illegal Aliens” out, it will be to keep crazy liberal socialists out !! …..IMHO

Clyde Spencer
Reply to  Butch
May 19, 2017 1:42 pm

Butch,
I’m reminded of the movie, Escape from New York.

SMC
May 19, 2017 10:24 am

Somebody build a wall around California, quick! I know moonbeam said he would build one if Trump was elected but, he seems to have forgotten his promise… kind’a like all those celebrities that promised to leave the country.

Catcracking
May 19, 2017 10:28 am

Do zero emissions cars consider the CO 2 emissions from electricity produced out of State?

Dave Fair
Reply to  Catcracking
May 19, 2017 11:06 am

Cat, someone should ask CA electric utilities what they expect when their current interstate power purchase and transmission wheeling contracts run out. Renewed? Same power import levels? Wheeling costs?
The supplying States have their own population increases, electric demand increases, silly CO2 and other emission regulations, and so on. Will their love of socialist CA override consideration of their citizens’ needs?

MarkW
Reply to  Catcracking
May 19, 2017 12:31 pm

The pie chart above includes a category for “Electric Generation (imports)”, which I assumed covered electricity produced out of state.
Of course they have to include the energy needed to make physical products that are imported.

ferdberple
May 19, 2017 10:34 am

give everyone in California a Tesla. an interest free loan. that will solve the emissions problem and create 100% employment. and as volume increases, prices will decrease. Instead of giving 40K to rich people to buy a 100k Tesla, everyone can have their own 40K Tesla. You might even be able to pick up a near new Tesla for less than 40K, once everyone has theirs.
This idea is no less practical than anything coming out of Sacramental.

texasjimbrock
Reply to  ferdberple
May 19, 2017 12:30 pm

I am waiting to see what a used Tesla will be worth when the battery needs replacing.

Felflames
Reply to  texasjimbrock
May 19, 2017 8:39 pm

Scrap value, most likely.
If they don’t decide to charge you thousands for disposing of the toxic waste.

MarkW
Reply to  ferdberple
May 19, 2017 12:33 pm

“Sacramental”
The official state religion?

Butch
May 19, 2017 10:38 am

I think that all Red states should immediately ban all “Liberal Climate Refugees” from relocating into Red states to escape this clown, as revenge for voting for this clown…

May 19, 2017 10:38 am

One way they can reduce GHG’s is to ban the production of violent movies and TV shows in California with all their fancy explosions and fires. In addition, ban any new houses over 2000 square feet on one floor and mandate that any existing houses over that size must be divided up so that each 2000 square feet is occupied by one family. Then California can have their ideal communes. And no exceptions, Governor Brown. 😉
/Sarc off.

MarkW
Reply to  Wayductionne Delbeke
May 19, 2017 12:33 pm

Not many movies are shot in CA anymore.

May 19, 2017 10:40 am

Oops. Cursor got into name box. Sorry.

May 19, 2017 10:43 am

I see that the CEPA Air Resources Board says that CO2 is the primary GHG emmitted in California, amounting to 84% of GHG emissions.
So all that irrigation water on agricultural land results in 0% evaporation?
Methinks they need to do some more measurements and do the arithmetic again.
Or maybe just go back to school.

John F. Hultquist
Reply to  Oldseadog
May 19, 2017 1:10 pm

You are not keeping up. To make the transition to the new order of things H2O is not a GHG and hydropower is not renewable.
Here is the IPCC GHG list:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPCC_list_of_greenhouse_gases

J Mac
May 19, 2017 10:46 am

The solution is simple, as the “Emissions By Economic Sector” pie chart illustrates. California must shut down all transportation and industry in the Golden State.
Problem Solved.

MarkW
Reply to  J Mac
May 19, 2017 12:34 pm

They are working on it.

Catcracking
May 19, 2017 11:00 am

I propose that all those who believe it is important to limit CO 2 emissions in their state move to California instead of adopting and mandating the Co2 emission limits in their current state. I would welcome the current NJ Dems in the legislature relocating to where their emission goals are in place. That would make room for us to welcome those from California who don’t like Gov. Brown’s restrictions.
Everybody would be happy at least until reality sets in and the Ax falls.

Grant
May 19, 2017 11:05 am

Economic hardship continues to build throughout California. The relentless taxing and regulation in the state had caused high prices over the entire spectrum. Meanwhile state and local budgets are increasingly eaten up by state employee pensions. So infrastructure falls apart from neglect.
The homeless population is exploding. It’s is magnitudes greater than I’ve seen in my 56 years in this state. Now the homeless are young men and women, not older alcoholic bums. Drive anywhere in the Bay Area or LA and they are everywhere.
It doesn’t take a genius or a PHD study to realize all this is coming to an ugly head.
Now gas prices, already among the highest in the nation, will go up in November raising prices of everything, not just fuel, further burdening the working class.
I can only imagine that California politicians view their citizens with contempt.

Lazo
May 19, 2017 11:17 am

Vladimir Lenin’s “Utopia” is indeed alive, through his modern-day incarnation Jerry Brown, Comrades!

Tom Judd
May 19, 2017 11:24 am

My understanding is that the (corrected thinking) People’s Republic of California, so as to meet (Silly Bill) SB32, will be setting up the People’s Ministry of Walking. Known to the State of California is that meeting SB32 will require far more than the serfs giving up their cars and walking. It will require involvement in every single aspect, and aspect of an aspect, and suspicion of any aspect that may exist in each. and. every. single. inhabitant’s. life. And one aspect is how this substitution of automobility by walkamobility will affect the caloric intake of these newly minted walkers, and how that caloric intake will affect California’s agricultural industry which will also have to make Carbon cuts.
Therefore, the Ministry of Walking will engage in training Californian’s how to walk in the most energy efficient manner possible so the increased walking doesn’t require increased agricultural output to fuel this walking. This is referred to as the Ministry Of Walking caloric DOWN initiative (or MOW DOWN for short). MOW DOWN will issue licenses to these new pedestrian serfs, much like driver’s licenses are currently issued, and will ticket licensed walkers for improper, inefficient, jay, and other illegal forms of walking. The fines collected will help to offset the lost profits taxes from businesses which, due to SB32, will be scooting out of the state faster than a JATO assisted bat outta’ hell.
Moreover, California hopes to export this unique walking technology throughout the world. They hope to refine it to the point where human beings can live and remain active with no food whatsoever. Thus, California, and California alone, will nudge humanity into a future where death and starvation have simply ceased to exist.

Bruce Cobb
Reply to  Tom Judd
May 19, 2017 12:05 pm

I think the Ministry of Silly Walks might have something to say about that:

Russell Johnson
May 19, 2017 11:29 am

Brown’s fascist experiment and one party rule will soon come crashing down. His ludicrous homage to the religion of climate change is destroying businesses statewide. The massive regulation burden will have zero measurable impact on climate or temperature. Advice to all rational Californians: get out now while escape is possible!

Dave Fair
Reply to  Russell Johnson
May 19, 2017 4:28 pm

You mean escape before CA slaps a fee on out-migration, Russell?

May 19, 2017 11:32 am

Whatever happened to the Reagan’s California of careless days and magnificent sunsets on the Venice Beach of the late summer in 1972.

OB
Reply to  vukcevic
May 19, 2017 11:48 am

Welcome to the “Peoples Republic of California”

Lazo
Reply to  OB
May 19, 2017 6:18 pm

No! It’s the Socialist Utopia of Kalifornia, Comrade OB!

Javert Chip
Reply to  vukcevic
May 19, 2017 3:31 pm

(sigh) I actually lived there back then (retired to FL 4.5 years ago).
CA either has, or will continue to, or soon will PC itself to death.

Dave Fair
Reply to  vukcevic
May 19, 2017 4:29 pm

Socialist do-gooders ruined it, vukvevic.

RACookPE1978
Editor
Reply to  vukcevic
May 20, 2017 3:51 pm

vukcevic

Whatever happened to the Reagan’s California of careless days and magnificent sunsets on the Venice Beach of the late summer in 1972.

5,000,000+ illegal aliens. Voting for their democrat-welfare paid pocketbooks. Plus 40 years of socialist democrats voting to support those illegal aliens.

Robert of Texas
May 19, 2017 11:35 am

What people seem to be missing is when this economic catastrophe called California finally belly’s up, its the Fed that will be bailing them out…i.e. all tax payers including those in well run states – so we are all on the hook for this mess.
There will be a huge out flux of people (bigger than you have seen to this point) seeking jobs including the left-wing nuts. They will continue to turn well-run areas into badly run areas by bringing their progressive and green beliefs with them. Over time the belief-disease spreads.
There will be hundreds of billions of dollars needed to put California budget and services back together again, including pensions. (California is going to be our Greece). This will likely be absorbed as more Federal debt.
There is simply no substitute for a financially conservative well run government – at any level.

Felflames
Reply to  Robert of Texas
May 19, 2017 8:44 pm

Don’t be so sure.
Trump might just sit back and watch it burn, as an object lesson to other states.

Reply to  Felflames
May 22, 2017 3:01 am

I am from OZ and follow this crap in Cal. If Trump is still in charge when it goes belly up,Cal will get its just deserts.

Tom Anderson
May 19, 2017 11:38 am

I can’t help marveling at how stupid and/or passive Californians must be, or if they will ever wake up to how much personal liberty they are surrendering. I have lived in state most of my life, and as an uncle of mine once said about Oakland, I wonder how can so many dunderheads live in one place?
Socialism has been around for well over 100 years. There are no surprises anymore. Its record has always been, to a greater or lesser degree, uniformly abysmal. Friedrich Hayek’s short book, “The Road to Serfdom,” precisely and exhaustively reviews and analyzes its every failing and failure. It is a book that belongs on every American’s mandatory reading list.

Javert Chip
Reply to  Tom Anderson
May 19, 2017 3:37 pm

It’s like boiling a frog by starting with cold water. The frog never sees it coming until it’s too late.
When I moved to Fl to retire from CA (4.5 years ago), I got talked into telecommuting for an additional 6 months, including gross FL pay at my CA rate. Stunningly, this ended up be being a $25k/annual after-tax increase.
(Note: FL has no income tax and no state SDI tax).

Gamecock
May 19, 2017 11:47 am

Will moving vans be able to get fuel?

mikewaite
May 19, 2017 11:55 am

I suspect that a true understanding of what is happening in California (and also in Australia , Canada, UK ) will require the assistance of a professional psychologist, but whilst waiting for one to offer his services here, this is my amateur psychological analysis.
It all depends on the GDP/capita – so go to Wiki:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)_per_capita
and what we see is that , in units of International dollars , USA GDP/capita is 56 to 57 thousand , well ahead of Australia at 46- 47thousand , Canada at 46 thousand and UK at 41-42 thousand .
Given that Californians are probably better than the US mean in GDP/capita , the residents of that state can indulge in a great deal of money- and productivity- sapping experiments in “saving the world” before their standard of living falls to that of Australians , who have a very comfortable lifestyle , and they would have to lose a great deal of money indeed before falling to UK standards , which I can assure readers is reasonably comfortable for most people.
Add the fact that increasingly the population of California comprises recent arrivals from Mexico (GDP/capita = 18000 INt$ ) for whom even a Brown – ravaged California will seem in comparison a paradise and there is no incentive from anyone for any objection to Brown’s proposals.
One thing does puzzle me however : Trump is President of the US , but cannot pass a single piece of legislation, despite a majority in Congress , Brown is merely a Governor , but every thought that he has immediately has the power of the law.
It seems ironic that Presidents of the US are commonly referred to in the UK media as “the most powerful person in the world” – clearly not this one.

Gamecock
Reply to  mikewaite
May 19, 2017 2:32 pm

Yes. In a word: decadence.

Javert Chip
Reply to  mikewaite
May 19, 2017 3:43 pm

mikewaite
Actually, Brown can’t do that on his own. He needs (and currently has) a super majority of both legislative houses.
However, there is what may be a successful recall of a CA senator, which if flipped to Republican, would eliminate the supermajority, at least in the senate.
Obama had this same circumstance in his first 2 years (Scott Brown replace Ted Kennedy).

TA
Reply to  mikewaite
May 19, 2017 6:20 pm

“One thing does puzzle me however : Trump is President of the US , but cannot pass a single piece of legislation, despite a majority in Congress”
Actually, Trump has signed at least 32 legislative bills into law. You just don’t hear about these things because the MSM is too busy talking about Russian collusion.

mikewaite
Reply to  TA
May 20, 2017 12:53 am

Thank you TA, at least someone is prepared to introduce some balance .
You may have seen the following (from the JoNova site);
http://www.michaelsmithnews.com/2017/05/harvard-scholarly-paper-analysing-media-reporting-on-trumps-100-days-in-office-confirms-major-outlet.html
and the image in this part of the report is particularly revealing and supports your comment:
http://michaelsmithnews.typepad.com/.a/6a0177444b0c2e970d01b7c8fa31f6970b-800wi

TA
Reply to  TA
May 20, 2017 9:18 am

Mike, the Leftwing Media are definitely outdoing themselves in their efforts to smear Trump. I’ve never seen a feeding frenzy like this from the MSM since the heighth of the Watergate investigation but at least there, they had some actual wrongdoing to focus on at that time.
To date, there is NO evidence that Trump has done anything illegal, but the MSM is in a feeding frenzy anyway. A self-created and generated frenzy that has no relationship to reality and whose sole purpose is to harm Trump in any way possible.
There really is such a thing as “Trump Derangement Syndrome” (TDS). The Left is willing and eager to believe anything bad that is said about Trump, or any other Repubican for that matter.
We have a big problem: One political party controls nearly all the news organizations. So the viewers only get the viewpoint of one political party. And since that political party is a particularly nasty, hateful, dishonest party, you get some really nasty, untruthful rhetoric about their poltical opponents from them. The only thing to do is to keep fighting back.
One good thing is the MSM’s credibility with the public is very low, and going after Trump so vigorously without any evidence, the way they are doing, is going to hurt their crediblity even more. They are starting to sound like the “boy who cried wolf” too many times, and people stopped paying attention to the boy.
Bob Woodward, the liberal Washington Post reporter who broke the Watergate story, said yesterday that the Leftwing networks were drinking too much Trump kool-aid. So even some liberals are seeing that the MSM is causing damage to itself by its irrational attaks on Trump. They really are hysterical.

markl
May 19, 2017 11:58 am

More shoot, ready, aim from Brown followed by self congratulations and smugness. Nothing will get in his way of determining how others should live or how much they will contribute to his plans for the state. He actually believes California is a nation unto itself. His heir apparent …. Newsom … will be more of the same on steroids.

Joel Snider
May 19, 2017 12:12 pm

They’re really acting out here on the Left coast. Tiny little Napoleons having tantrums and forcing themselves on anyone they can.

May 19, 2017 12:13 pm

“Do you have your permission papers to leave your sector?” asked the Environmental Patrolman as he wanded the tailpipe for emissions compliance.

TA
Reply to  Doug Day
May 19, 2017 6:26 pm

I’m reminded of the movie “District 9”. Papers please.

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