Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #255

Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project. THIS WEEK: By Ken Haapala, President,SEPP


False Precision – Hottest Year Ever?
NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (NASA-GISS) and NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) issued dramatic press releases that 2016 was the hottest year since instrument measurements began. Both organizations focus on surface data, which has far from comprehensive coverage. According to NOAA-NCEI, 2016 was 0.07ºF warmer than 2015.

David Whitehouse, Science Editor for the Global Warming Policy Forum (GWPF), stated that “Peter Stott, Acting Director of the Met Office Hadley Centre, said in no uncertain terms that, ‘a particularly strong El Nino event contributed about 0.2°C [about 0.4 ºF] to the annual average for 2016.’” Thus, based on the comment by Stott, the contribution of the El Niño was about 5 times larger than the reported increase in global temperatures from 2015 to 2016. The tiny, calculated margin is hardly worthy of dramatic press releases.

The tiny, calculated margin does not account for lack of global coverage in surface measurements, questionable adjustments in the data, and limited accuracy of the instrumentation. As presented on page 9 of the 2008 NIPCC report, by 1997 the number of 5º by 5º global grid boxes with both minimum and maximum readings fell to about 100 out of more than 2500 possible.

Further, as discussed in TWTW in December 2015, Anthony Watts, et al. demonstrated at the Fall 2015 conference of the American Geophysical Union, high quality temperature stations, Class 1 and 2 compliant, show a 30-year warming trend less than what is calculated by NOAA’s U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN)for the continental US (not including Alaska and Hawaii). The nationwide warming for the compliant stations is +0.204, while the NOAA adjusted data shows a warming of +0.324. The adjusted warming trend is even greater than the warming trend for the raw data for the non-compliant stations of +0.319.

How such U.S. data adjustments influence global surface temperature data is not clear.

As discussed in the January 7 TWTW which focused on satellite temperature measurements: “The central issue is not that 2016 was slighter “hotter” than 1998, but what will happen in 2017 and beyond. Both 1998 and 2016 were strong El Niño years (Pacific Ocean warming). After the spike in 1998, the El Niño was followed by a brief La Niña cooling, but then temperatures rebounded to about 0.2ºC above the 38-year mean. Will temperatures return to the 1998 to 2015 plateau or be above or below it? Unfortunately, despite spending over $45 Billion on “climate science” since 1993, the US does not have the capability of predicting significant weather events such as El Niños and La Niñas.”

However, these weather events are important to the US. For example, by most measures the drought in central and northern California has ended. Wet and dry periods for California appear to be influenced by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Better recognition of these events may be more important to citizens of California and the Southwest than forecasts from climate models that do not have the ability to forecast atmospheric temperatures.

WeatherBell Analytics, a private weather group, is suggesting that activity in the Indian Ocean indicates that there may be a mild El Niño in 2017. What will happen to global temperatures remains to be seen. See links under Challenging the Orthodoxy – NIPCC, and Challenging the Orthodoxy.

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Quote of the Week. All religions, arts and sciences are branches of the same tree. All these aspirations are directed toward ennobling man’s life, lifting it from the sphere of mere physical existence and leading the individual towards freedom. – Albert Einstein (1937 & 1950)

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Number of the Week: Plus or minus 1.8ºF

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Sea Level Rise: The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) makes questionable projections of sea level rise (SLR) to 2100 based on various CO2 emissions scenarios (story lines). These have been repeated in reports by followers of the IPCC such as the US Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and various government agencies. Such reports can influence decisions by local planning boards who think they are using the best science available. For example, Tampa Bay Climate Science Advisory Panel (CSAP) reported that

“Based upon a thorough assessment of scientific data and literature on SLR, the CSAP concludes that the Tampa Bay region may experience SLR somewhere between 6 inches to 2.5 feet in 2050 and between 1 to 7 feet in 2100.”

The 1-foot rise is from extrapolation of readings from local tidal gages. The 7-foot rise is from NOAA high estimates from IPCC and USGCRP reports.

Retired NASA meteorologist Thomas Wysmuller explored the correlation between CO2 and sea level rise. He found no measurable linkage between Sea Level and CO2! “For the past 2,000 years, Sea Level rise was unchangingly linear, increasing between 1 & 1.5 mm/yr.” The maximum rise is about 6 inches per century. This has continued for the past 135 years, even though CO2 concentrations have increased by 38%.

Local conditions, such as geological and human activity are more important to determine future local sea level rise than any projections from IPCC reports. For example, the Tampa Bay region is influenced by groundwater extraction, as is the Norfolk-Newport News area of Virginia. On the other extreme, the relative sea level of the Gulf of Bothnia is falling, because the land is geologically rising in rebounding from the mass ice sheets that once covered it. The Gulf of Bothnia is between Sweden and Finland.

As Wysmuller indicates on his web site, the high-end estimates of the IPCC, etc. exceed the average century sea level rise that occurred over 7,000 years when the great ice sheets covering much of northern Eurasia and most of North America melted. The great Laurentide Ice Sheet is no more except in Greenland and small parts of Canada.

Wysmuller gave presentations on the lack of linkage between CO2 and sea level rise at the 5th Annual World Congress of Ocean in Qingdao China in November 2016 and last week at NASA’s Johnson Space Flight Center in Houston (not really connected with NASA-GISS in New York on Broadway).

The findings of the IPCC and USGCRP are not supported by the empirical evidence. The bureaucratically calculated social cost of carbon using these findings is not supported as well. See links under Changing Seas.

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UK Tidal Lagoons: Some officials in the UK are proposing using tidal lagoons to generate electricity from the tides. The lagoons will use barriers, walled-in structures, to hold water during high tide and release it through turbines to generate electricity as the tide falls. The reverse can be applied when the tide is rising. One such proposed structure at Swansea Bay in Wales is being reviewed for UK funding. Tides in many areas of Britain exceed those of most of the US except for the Northeast, such as the Maine coastline.

A Report by Charles Hendry, formerly a minister at the former Department of Energy and Climate Change, appears to be favorable to the Swansea Bay project. Commentator Martin Livermore of the Scientific Alliance is cautiously optimistic. The expected high initial cost can be averaged over the long, expected life of the project. The report recommends a subsidy life of 60 years. Given the corrosiveness of salt water, how long the turbines and other components will last is an issue.

Energy commentator Euan Mearns is not optimistic. Mears writes:

“I have for a long time been more positively disposed to tidal power than either wind, wave or solar. I have been told repeatedly that because high tides occur at different times around the coasts of Britain, that a geographically dispersed suite of tidal power stations may substantially mitigate for intermittency. The data presented here suggest that this is not only untrue, it is the exact opposite of the truth. Roger Andrews reached the same conclusion in May 2015.”

 

“In fact, UK tidal lagoons will produce more intermittent electricity than any other form of renewable generation providing four spikes separated by four periods of zero production each day. It is often claimed that the predictability of tides is a virtue. This also means we can predict with certainty that this energy source will be a disaster for the public as well as the environment.”

 

The quest for a reliable, affordable, non-nuclear replacement for fossil fuels continues. See links under Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

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Number of the Week: Plus or minus 1.8ºF. The January 7 TWTW presented Roy Spencer’s estimate that 2016 atmospheric temperatures “would have had to be 0.10 C [about 0.2ºF] warmer than 1998 to be significantly different at the 95% confidence level.” The NOAA-NCEI press release had the 2016 surface temperature 0.07ºF warmer than 2015, but with no estimate of statistical significance or error in measurement. The NASA-GISS had no estimate of error in measurement.

The most widely used instrument in US airports and other locations for temperature measurement is the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS). The user’s guide for ASOS states the specifications for accuracy of the temperature measuring instruments in the form of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Maximum (MAX) Error. For an ambient temperature range of -58ºF to +122 ºF the RMSE is 0.9 ºF and the Maximum Error is plus or minus 1.8 ºF.

In the press releases, the appeared error in measurement is far less than the designed error of the instruments taking the measurements. How precision in measurement is significantly enhanced by numerical calculations is a mystery. See links under Measurement Issues – Surface, p. 12 for ASOS.

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NEWS YOU CAN USE:

 

Challenging the Orthodoxy — NIPCC

Nature, Not Human Activity, Rules the Climate

S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008

http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf

Overcoming Chaotic Behavior of Climate Models

By S. Fred Singer, SEPP, July 2010

http://www.sepp.org/science_papers/Chaotic_Behavior_July_2011_Final.doc

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Physical Science

Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, 2013

https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-II/CCR-II-Full.pdf

Summary: http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/ccr2a/pdf/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Climate Change Reconsidered II: Biological Impacts

Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, 2014

http://www.nipccreport.org/reports/ccr2b/pdf/Full-Report.pdf

Summary: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Summary-for-Policymakers.pdf

Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus

By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, NIPCC, Nov 23, 2015

http://climatechangereconsidered.org/

Download with no charge

https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming

Challenging the Orthodoxy

2016 Global Temperature: The Pause Never Went Away

By David Whitehouse, GWPF, Jan 19, 2017

http://www.thegwpf.com/2016-global-temperature-the-pause-never-went-away/

“According to NOAA 2016 was 0.07°F warmer than 2015, which is 0.04°C. Considering the error in the annual temperature is +/- 0.1°C this makes 2016 statistically indistinguishable from 2015, making any claim of a record using NOAA data specious.”

New study of NOAA’s U.S. Climate Network shows a lower 30-year temperature trend when high quality temperature stations unperturbed by urbanization are considered

By: Anthony Watts, et al. AGU Meeting, Dec 16, 2015

https://fallmeeting.agu.org/2015/press-item/new-study-of-noaas-u-s-climate-network-shows-a-lower-30-year-temperature-trend-when-high-quality-temperature-stations-unperturbed-by-urbanization-are-considered/

Because of the GISS and NOAA Press Conference about 2016 Global Surface Temperatures…A Reminder of How Horribly Climate Models Simulate the Surface Temperatures of Earth’s Oceans.

Guest Post by Bob Tisdale, WUWT, Jan 18, 2017

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/18/because-of-the-giss-and-noaa-press-conference-about-2016-global-surface-temperatures/

A Major Gap in the Climate Alarmist Narrative

By Alan Carlin, Carlin Economics and Science, Jan 20, 2017

http://www.carlineconomics.com/archives/3355

Defending the Orthodoxy

Obama admin injects another $500M into global climate fund

By Devin Henry, The Hill, Jan 17, 2017

http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/314624-obama-injects-another-500m-into-global-climate-fund

[SEPP Comment: Interesting to see the source of the money. As of Jan 21, 2017, The Daily Press Briefing for the State Department “Cannot be found.” https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/dpb/2017/01/267068.htm. ]

President Obama’s climate change legacy

By Martin Livermore, The Scientific Alliance, Jan 20, 2017

http://scientific-alliance.org/node/1033

“Rogue Scientists Race to Save Climate Data from Trump”(AKA”The Phantom Menace”)

Guest post by David Middleton, WUWT, Jan 20, 2017

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/20/rogue-scientists-race-to-save-climate-data-from-trump-or-the-phantom-menace/

Link to National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

https://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/

“We provide stewardship, products, and services for geophysical data from our Sun to Earth and Earth’s sea floor and solid earth environment, including Earth observations from space.” From NCEI web site.

Valuing Climate Changes:

Updating Estimation of the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide (2017)

By National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine; Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education; Board on Environmental Change and Society; Committee on Assessing Approaches to Updating the Social Cost of Carbon

The National Academies Press

https://www.nap.edu/catalog/24651/valuing-climate-changes-updating-estimation-of-the-social-cost-of

“Under Executive Orders regarding regulatory impact analysis and as required by a court ruling, the U.S. government has since 2008 used estimates of the SC-CO2 in federal rulemakings to value the costs and benefits associated with changes in CO2 emissions.

“In 2010, the Interagency Working Group on the Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases (IWG) developed a methodology for estimating the SC-CO2 across a range of assumptions about future socioeconomic and physical earth systems.”

Questioning the Orthodoxy

David Whitehouse: El Nino Warming Does Not Mean The End Of The ‘Pause’

By David Whitehouse, The Spectator, Via GWPF, Jan 9, 2017

http://www.thegwpf.com/david-whitehouse-el-nino-warming-does-not-mean-the-end-of-the-pause/

New Paper: Predictions Of Polar Bear Population Crash Based On Flawed Assumption

By Susan Crockford, Univ. of Victoria, Via GWPF, Jan 19, 2017

http://www.thegwpf.com/new-paper-predictions-of-polar-bear-population-crash-based-on-flawed-assumption/

Link to paper: Testing the hypothesis that routine sea ice coverage of 3-5 mkm2 results in a greater than 30% decline in population size of polar bears (Ursus maritimus)

By Susan Crockford, PeerJ Preprints, Jan 19, 2017

https://peerj.com/preprints/2737/

Change in US Administrations

President Trump Signals Big Shift On Energy And Climate Policies

US President Donald Trump signaled a sharp break on energy and the environment policy Friday, announcing plans to undo climate policies and promote domestic energy development as part of his “America First” agenda.

By Staff Writers, AFP, Via GWPF, Jan 21, 2017

http://www.thegwpf.com/trump-signals-big-shift-on-energy-and-climate-policies/

Seeking a Common Ground

Rethinking the Social Cost of Carbon

By Judith Curry, Climate Etc. Jan 17, 2017

https://judithcurry.com/2017/01/17/rethinking-the-social-cost-of-carbon/#more-22730

Review of Recent Scientific Articles by CO2 Science

The Behavioral Resilience of Juvenile European Sea Bass to Ocean Acidification

Duteil, M., Pope, E.C., Pérez-Escudero, A., de Polavieja, G.G., Fürtbauer, I., Brown, M.R. and King, A.J. 2016. European sea bass show behavioral resilience to near-future ocean acidification. Royal Society Open Science 3: 160656. Jan 20, 2017

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V20/jan/a13.php

The Impact of Reduced CO2 Concentrations on Agriculture

Cunniff, J., Jones, G., Charles, M. and Osborne, C. 2017. Yield responses of wild C3 and C4 crop progenitors to subambient CO2: a test for the role of CO2 limitation in the origin of agriculture. Global Change Biology 23: 380-393. Jan 18, 2017

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V20/jan/a11.php

[SEPP Comment: What would agriculture be like with significantly reduced CO2?]

Echinometra Sea Urchins Thriving on CO2 from Volcanic Vents

Uthicke, S., Ebert, T., Liddy, M., Johansson, C., Fabricius, K.E. and Lamare, M. 2016. Echinometra sea urchins acclimatized to elevated pCO2 at volcanic vents outperform those under present-day pCO2 conditions. Global Change Biology 22: 2451-2461, Jan 17, 2017

http://www.co2science.org/articles/V20/jan/a9.php

Models v. Observations

What they don’t say about “the hottest ever year” — 20 year warming trend is one third of what models predicted

By Jo Nova and David Evans, Her Blog, Jan 20, 2017

http://joannenova.com.au/2017/01/what-they-dont-say-about-the-hottest-ever-year-20-year-warming-trend-is-one-third-of-what-models-predicted/

Five years after rain returns, climate modelers redo models and “predict” more, less, some, different or same rain

By Jo Nova, Her Blog, Jan 18, 2017

http://joannenova.com.au/2017/01/five-years-after-rain-returns-climate-modelers-redo-models-and-predict-more-less-some-different-or-same-rain/

Measurement Issues — Surface

Trump’s NOAA Administrator Must Address the Temperature Record Controversy

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 18, 2017

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2017/01/trumps-noaa-administrator-must-address-the-temperature-record-controversy/

Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) — User’s Guide

By Staff Writers, NOAA, DOD, FAA, USN, March 1998 (p.12)

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/asos/aum-toc.pdf

2016 marks three consecutive years of record warmth for the globe.

By Staff Writers, NOAA, January 2017

http://www.noaa.gov/

2016 was 2nd warmest year on record for U.S.

NOAA Press Release, Jan 9, 2017

http://www.noaa.gov/news/2016-was-2nd-warmest-year-on-record-for-us

[SEPP Comment: Interestingly, the record used for the US temperatures claims 122 years, but the record for extreme weather events goes back to 1980 – missing severe hurricanes such as the one in 1938.]

A case study of the Northern Colorado Front Range temperature history

By Monte Naylor, Climate Etc. Jan 20, 2017

https://judithcurry.com/2017/01/20/a-case-study-of-the-norther-colorado-front-range-temperature-history/

All Temperature Adjustments Monotonically Increase

By Tony Heller, Real Climate Science, Accessed Jan 12, 2017

https://realclimatescience.com/all-temperature-adjustments-monotonically-increase/

Measurement Issues — Atmosphere

Satellite Records and Slopes Since 1998 are Not Statistically Significant. (Now Includes November and December Data)

Guest Post by Werner Brozek, Edited by Just The Facts, WUWT, Jan 12, 2017

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/12/satellite-records-and-slopes-since-1998-are-not-statistically-significant-now-includes-november-and-december-data/

Changing Weather

California’s Drought is Over

By Cliff Mass, Weather Blog, Jan 20, 2017

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/01/californias-drought-it-over.html

Satellite Reveals End of “Unending” N. California Drought

By Roy Spencer, His Blog, Jan 14, 2017

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2017/01/satellite-reveals-end-of-n-california-drought/

Changing Climate

How the darkness and the cold killed the dinosaurs

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 13, 2016

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/13/how-the-darkness-and-the-cold-killed-the-dinosaurs/

Link to paper: Baby, it’s cold outside: Climate model simulations of the effects of the asteroid impact at the end of the Cretaceous

By Brugger, Feulner, and Petri, Geophysical Research Letters, Jan 13, 2017

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL072241/abstract

Changing Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice

Airborne thermometer to measure Arctic temperatures

By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 12, 2017

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/12/airborne-thermometer-to-measure-arctic-temperatures/

An Ice Shelf Is Cracking In Antarctica, But Not For The Reason You Think

By Rae Ellen Bichell, NPR, Jan 16, 2017

http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/01/16/509565462/an-ice-shelf-is-cracking-in-antarctica-but-not-for-the-reason-you-think?utm_content=bufferf026d&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

Russian Icebreakers Stuck in the Arctic Global Warming

Guest essay by Eric Worrall, WUWT, Jan 19, 2017

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/19/russian-icebreakers-stuck-in-the-arctic-global-warming/

[SEPP Comment: Based on an article from the Siberian Times.] CHECK

Changing Earth

Natural catastrophe losses at their highest for four years

By Staff Writers, Munich RE, Jan 4, 2017

https://www.munichre.com/en/media-relations/publications/press-releases/2017/2017-01-04-press-release/index.html

[SEPP Comment: Three costliest natural catastrophes, in order with estimated total losses (insured & uninsured): earthquakes in Japan ($31 billion), floods in China ($20 billion), and Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean and US ($10.2 billion).]

Changing Seas

The Inconvenient CO2/Sea Level Non-Linkage

By Thomas Wysmuller, The Colder Side of Global Warming, Accessed Jan 20, 2017

http://colderside.com/Colderside/Sea_Level_%26_CO2.html

Recommended Projection of Sea Level Rise in the Tampa Bay Region

By Staff Writers, Tampa Bay Climate Science Advisory Panel, Aug 2015

http://spa.usf.edu/data/CSAP_SLR_Rec_FINAL.pdf

Agriculture Issues & Fear of Famine

2016’s Record Warmth Brought Record Crop Yields, Fewer Storms

By Michael Bastasch, Daily Caller, Jan 19, 2017

http://dailycaller.com/2017/01/19/2016s-record-warmth-brought-record-crop-yields-fewer-storms/

Communicating Better to the Public – Make things up.

NOAA Jumps The Shark In Tampa Bay

Guest Post by Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Jan 14, 2017

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/14/noaa-jumps-the-shark-in-tampa-bay/

Link to paper: “Recommended Projection of Sea Level Rise in the Tampa Bay Region.”

By Tampa Bay Climate Science Advisory Panel, Aug 2015

http://spa.usf.edu/data/CSAP_SLR_Rec_FINAL.pdf

EPA and other Regulators on the March

EPA says it isn’t allowed to pay for damage claims after mine spill

By Devin Henry, The Hill, Jan 13, 2017

http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/314270-epa-says-it-isnt-allowed-to-pay-for-damage-claims-after-mine-spill

[SEPP Comment: Government bureaucrats have long used “sovereign immunity” to escape accountability for their mistakes – even though they hold private enterprises accountable.]

Nuclear Energy and Fears

Entergy agrees to Indian Point closure

By Staff Writers, WNN, Jan 9, 2017

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/C-Entergy-agrees-Indian-Point-closure-0901178.html

New York Aims to Replace Nuclear Power With Clean Energy

Gov. Cuomo promises declining carbon emissions even as the state closes the Indian Point nuclear power plant.

By Jeremy Deaton, Nexus Media, Jan 12, 2017 [H/t WUWT]

https://nexusmedianews.com/new-york-aims-to-replace-nuclear-power-with-clean-energy-468de752634#.wii6s3lzd

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Energy — Other

Turning the tide for renewable energy?

By Martin Livermore, The Scientific Alliance, Jan 13, 2017

http://scientific-alliance.org/node/1032

Link to report: The Role of Tidal Lagoons

By Charles Hendry, Dec 6, 2016

https://hendryreview.files.wordpress.com/2016/08/hendry-review-final-report-english-version.pdf

Swansea Bay Tidal Lagoon and Baseload Tidal Generation in the UK

By Euan Mearns, Energy Matters, Jan 16, 2017 [H/t Paul Homewood]

http://euanmearns.com/swansea-bay-tidal-lagoon-and-baseload-tidal-generation-in-the-uk/#more-16484

Alternative, Green (“Clean”) Vehicles

Latest on Electric Vehicle Sales

By Donn Dears, Power For USA, Jan 19, 2017

https://dddusmma.wordpress.com/2017/01/19/latest-on-electric-vehicle-sales/

Carbon Schemes

Millions wasted on failed carbon capture and storage fiasco [UK]

By Staff Writers, The Construction Index, Jan 20, 2017

http://www.theconstructionindex.co.uk/news/view/millions-wasted-on-failed-carbon-capture-and-storage-fiasco

California Dreaming

California proposes ambitious new climate goals

By Timothy Cama, The Hill, Jan 20, 2017

http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/315384-california-proposes-ambitious-new-climate-goals

[SEPP Comment: Complete with photo of a dried lakebed – no doubt taken before the rains came.]

Other Scientific News

World’s First Weather-Cracking Wind Satellite Aeolus to Improve Future Forecasts

By Staff Writers, Moscow (Sputnik), Jan 20, 2017

http://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Worlds_First_Weather_Cracking_Wind_Satellite_Aeolus_to_Improve_Future_Forecasts_999.html

Other News that May Be of Interest

Beyond Physics: Advanced Biology and Climate Change

By Clive Hambler, Climate Etc. Jan 15, 2017

https://judithcurry.com/2017/01/15/beyond-physics-advanced-biology-and-climate-change/

Why Lyme disease is common in the north, rare in the south

By Staff Writers, Washington DC (SPX), Jan 13, 2017

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Why_Lyme_disease_is_common_in_the_north_rare_in_the_south_999.html

Link to paper: Environmental Factors Affecting Survival of Immature Ixodes scapularis and Implications for Geographical Distribution of Lyme Disease: The Climate/Behavior Hypothesis

By Howard Ginsberg, et al. Plos One, Jan 11, 2017

http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0168723

Zooplankton rapidly evolve tolerance to road salt

By Staff Writers, Troy NY (SPX), Jan 10, 2017

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/Zooplankton_rapidly_evolve_tolerance_to_road_salt_999.html

Link to paper, Rapid evolution of tolerance to road salt in zooplankton

By Kayla Coldsnow, et al. Environmental Pollution, Jan 6, 2017

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0269749116306479

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BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE:

‘Race Against Time’ to Protect Climate Science Data From Trump

By Sarah Tory, Newsweek, Jan 15, 2017 [H/t Clyde Spencer]

http://www.newsweek.com/protect-climate-science-data-donald-trump-542416?rx=us

If only they’d known about climate change in 1787!

By Staff Writers, Climate Change Predictions, Jan 15, 2017

http://climatechangepredictions.org/uncategorized/7702

“[David] Brearley plays a critical, and entirely accidental, role in climate change because of his position as the chair of the Committee on Postponed Parts within the Constitutional Convention of 1787.

“The committee opted for a middle ground solution – an electoral college that would vote on behalf of the citizens, but which would be populated based on the number of congressional seats assigned to each State in the Union.

“It is this solution, brilliant at the time, that leads us to Brearley’s legacy on climate change. Because over the course of the last 200 plus years, the electoral college, which provides for stronger voting power per person in more rural and less populated states, has elected four U.S. presidents who clearly lost the popular vote (1876, 1888, 2000 and 2016).

“Two of those elections have occurred during the period in which we have known about the causes and impacts of carbon dioxide emissions and climate change and in both cases, the impacts of those elections have very likely had profound impacts on our actions to address the challenge. Washington Post, 19 Dec 2016

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/12/19/the-electoral-college-is-thwarting-our-ability-to-battle-global-warming/?utm_term=.44acede17ef6

[SEPP Comment: Cherry picking, President Lincoln was elected with 40% of the vote.]

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ARTICLES:

Barack Obama, in Late Flourish, Steps Up Preservation

Designations of monuments in the West stirs debate between environmentalists, ranchers

By Jim Carlton, WSJ, Jan 11, 2017

http://www.wsj.com/articles/barack-obama-in-late-flourish-steps-up-preservation-1484143379

SUMMARY: The reporter produces an interesting table compiled from data from the National Park Service biggest monument creators. Presidents Reagan and G.H.W. Bush created none. J. Carter created 15 monuments encompassing 56 million acres; B. Clinton created 19 monuments encompassing 5.7 million acres; G.W. Bush created 6 monuments encompassing 218.8 million acres (mostly marine sanctuaries in the Pacific); and Obama created 26 monuments encompassing 550.7 million acres.

Some monuments may be underwater (marine). Often such monuments are created without major consideration of local residents and remove resources from productive use. The Antiquities Act in 1906 is often used and the act has no legal language for rescinding a national monument designation.

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9 thoughts on “Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #255

  1. Tidal lagoons
    “The report recommends a subsidy life of 60 years.”

    If it needs a subsidy for 60 years, it is BS!
    My thoughts (though I have never looked into these in detail): Hydro dams use large fall distance to produce the power to turn their powerful generators. The tides at Swansea Bay appear to be 4.5 meters max. So there is not actually that much energy movement as compared to a much taller hydro dam. Seems like some faulty logic (either mine or theirs)…

  2. I guess it probably is an idiotic plan, but technically the energy available is a function of the mass of water and the movement. The recurring tidal movement probably involves a very large water mass. I have no idea how they plan to extract the energy but if it’s via something similar to hydroelectric then it would not be efficient or worthwhile.

  3. “In the press releases, the appeared error in measurement is far less than the designed error of the instruments taking the measurements. How precision in measurement is significantly enhanced by numerical calculations is a mystery.”

    It’s just math (basic statistics):
    S.E. = S.D. / (square of the number of measurements)

  4. As a non-scientist, I write from pure speculation: It seems to me that the amount of energy available in harnessing the tides depends upon how much water is held back in either direction, as well as its speed or force of flow. Unlike a river, a bay receiving a tide is very wide, and I would think most of them are subject to boat traffic. I cannot imagine impounding miles of seashore and letting it loose again when you want the water’s energy; further, unless the tides are like those in the Bay of Fundy (over 50 feet), the water hasn’t far to fall and won’t generate much speed or force. In fact, many tides have less distance of rise or fall than many ocean waves, at least during storm times. I think that idea is a non-starter, with a tiny return on investment.

  5. I suppose it is necessary to keep readjusting the numbers so that they can cool the previous years and increase the present. It’s a wave form that they are riding. Is there warming, I think there is, but certainly not related to co2, much less than predictions, and who knows how much has been attributed to readjustment.
    $45 billion, what a waste of money. I see there is legislation in Congress that will take the US out of the UN. Whose going to fund the IPCC if that happens ? The costs far out weighing the advantages for being in the UN. I’d personally like to see the UN get out of the US. They could relocate to their model country N Korea.

  6. Retired NASA meteorologist Thomas Wysmuller explored the correlation between CO2 and sea level rise.

    Here’s a You Tube of his presentation from October 19th 2016

    Only 174 views and no comments. Go figure

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