UK Researchers: Tax Food to Reduce Climate Change

Oxford Trinity College High Table
Oxford Trinity College High Table. I doubt these professors have anything to fear from a food tax. By Winky from Oxford, UK (Flickr) [CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons
Guest essay by Eric Worrall

A group of researchers in Oxford University, England have suggested that imposing a massive tax on carbon intensive foods – specifically protein rich foods like meat and dairy – could help combat climate change.

Pricing food according to its climate impacts could save half a million lives and one billion tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions

Taxing greenhouse gas emissions from food production could save more emissions than are currently generated by global aviation, and lead to half a million fewer deaths from chronic diseases, according to a new study published in Nature Climate Change.

The study, conducted by a team of researchers from the Oxford Martin Programme on the Future of Food at the University of Oxford and the International Food Policy Research Institute in Washington DC, is the first global analysis to estimate the impacts that levying emissions prices on food could have on greenhouse gas emissions and human health.

The findings show that about one billion tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions could be avoided in the year 2020 if emissions pricing of foods were to be implemented, more than the total current emissions from global aviation. However, the authors stress that due consideration would need to be given to ensuring such policies did not impact negatively on low income populations.

“Emissions pricing of foods would generate a much needed contribution of the food system to reducing the impacts of global climate change,” said Dr Marco Springmann of the Oxford Martin Programme on the Future of Food, who led the study. “We hope that’s something policymakers gathering this week at the Marrakech climate conference will take note of.”

Much of the emissions reduction would stem from higher prices and lower consumption of animal products, as their emissions are particularly high. The researchers found that beef would have to be 40% more expensive globally to pay for the climate damage caused by its production. The price of milk and other meats would need to increase by up to 20%, and the price of vegetable oils would also increase significantly. The researchers estimate that such price increases would result in around 10% lower consumption of food items that are high in emissions. “If you’d have to pay 40% more for your steak, you might choose to have it once a week instead of twice,” said Dr Springmann.

The results indicate that the emissions pricing of foods could, if appropriately designed, be a health-promoting climate-change mitigation policy in high-income, middle-income, and most low-income countries. Special policy attention would be needed in those low-income countries where a high fraction of the population is underweight, and possibly for low-income segments within countries.

Read more: http://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/news/2016_11_Emissions

The abstract of the study;

Mitigation potential and global health impacts from emissions pricing of food commodities

Marco Springmann, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Sherman Robinson, Keith Wiebe, H. Charles J. Godfray, Mike Rayner & Peter Scarborough

The projected rise in food-related greenhouse gas emissions could seriously impede efforts to limit global warming to acceptable levels. Despite that, food production and consumption have long been excluded from climate policies, in part due to concerns about the potential impact on food security. Using a coupled agriculture and health modelling framework, we show that the global climate change mitigation potential of emissions pricing of food commodities could be substantial, and that levying greenhouse gas taxes on food commodities could, if appropriately designed, be a health-promoting climate policy in high-income countries, as well as in most low- and middle-income countries. Sparing food groups known to be beneficial for health from taxation, selectively compensating for income losses associated with tax-related price increases, and using a portion of tax revenues for health promotion are potential policy options that could help avert most of the negative health impacts experienced by vulnerable groups, whilst still promoting changes towards diets which are more environmentally sustainable.

Read more: http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate3155.html

This proposal, from a group of people who have probably never missed a meal in their lives, is totally obscene. High income countries often have a lot of poor people who would be hard hit by increases in the price of food.

Needlessly exacerbating the risk poor people don’t get enough to eat, especially children and pregnant mothers, who are especially vulnerable to adverse health impacts from lack of protein in their diet – if this ghastly proposal is ever implemented, future generations will look upon it as a crime against humanity.

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jlnelson
November 20, 2016 7:58 pm

“Pricing food according to its climate impacts could save half a million lives and one billion tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions.”
Oddly enough, it’ll also put billions into the hands of government bureaucrats and ‘scientists.’

Robert
November 20, 2016 8:11 pm

I hope these “researchers” choke to death on a salad.

Bill
November 20, 2016 9:00 pm

Screw these arragant eggheads.

November 20, 2016 9:12 pm

Overthrow them now.

Thomho
November 20, 2016 9:22 pm

This idea has already had a run a few years back in the Melbourne Australia newspaper
An article authored by Australian philospher
Peter Singer and a scientist whose name I dont recall argued for tax on meat products as a means to eliminate methane emitted by cattle and sheep ranched in the US Canada and Australia
To understand the context Singer is a vegetarian activist who in my view saw an opportunity to run his animal liberation
line dressed up in care for the emvironment
The line of argument in the article was that
methane was a stronger GHG than CO2 and that we needed to reduce output as part of an
overall strategy to reduce GHG emissions
What neither author seemed aware of is that
the principal sources of methane are
Swamps Wetlands and rice paddies
So should we be draining the swamps and wetlands and be demanding Indians Chinese and South East Asians who grow paddy field rice they have to switch to either upland rice
or imported wheat ?
And while we are at it tell the Indians they
have to slaughter the 400 million methane emitting cows they let wander about
And for good measure tell the African nations they have to get rid of those methane producing vast herdes of wildebeest etc
Good luck with all the above

theotherhanddude
November 20, 2016 9:24 pm

If you really care about climate change, first stop flying private jets around proselytizing your beliefs. Try making a youtube video instead. Don’t call for more taxes on food, first go vegetarian yourself, and by all means, don’t reproduce.

November 20, 2016 9:26 pm

It’s time to stop paying these people as well as removing all monies from their banks.

Will Williams
November 20, 2016 10:03 pm

If man dies off because of global warming so what. Who is left to care or really give a crap. So be it. The world will survive and start over like it has a dozen times. I don’t think it’s anyone will or design. It’s Murphy law…..sh*t happens. Only man is arrogant enough to believe he is special and can stop nature and should be spared. Trust me mother nature does not care about mankind any more than she did about the dinosaurs. So taxing food or anything else only means you will die with less money.

mmercier0921
November 20, 2016 10:10 pm

Get the U.S. out of the UN. Get the UN out of the U.S.

Alcheson
November 20, 2016 10:23 pm

Welll guess I need to do my part to help reduce the cattle population. I’ll up my servings of beef to 6 times a week instead of three. Can I apply for some tax credit too for my sacrifice?

jacob eddy
November 20, 2016 11:44 pm

Pay attention you greedy, lying scumbags. Your projections re: the climate, are complete crap. And I will prove it.
Your models indicate a much different climate in 10 to 50 years, yet you cannot say what different means. Tell ya what.. Tell me what the weather will be like Christmas Eve in Gallop, MM, and I will give you all my money and admit your scam is legit, K?

Sam
November 20, 2016 11:55 pm

This has got to one of THE MOST ASININE things proposed! If this isn’t global control over the masses, then I don’t know what is.

Editor
November 21, 2016 12:49 am

Unlike many folks, I’m a man of action. As I said above, when I heard about this, I wrote to the corresponding author, Dr. Marco Springmann, to express my astonishment. He has graciously responded, saying:

On Nov 20, 2016, at 8:28 AM, Marco Springmann wrote:
Dear Willis,
I appreciate your message, and I am sorry you seem to be taken issue with our study. Allow me to explain our findings and motivation a bit more.
What we are proposing is that any climate policy that would include the food system should be designed with a health perspective in mind to make sure that people are not put at a disadvantage as a result of the policy. For that reason we propose to use the emissions-tax revenues for health-promotion programmes that would, e.g., make fruits and vegetables more readily available and cheaper, and for compensating vulnerable groups in society for the income losses they would feel when food prices would increase. We find that climate policies that include such compensatory mechanisms could, in principle, do both: reduce greenhouse-gas emissions and thereby lessen the expected impacts of climate change, and encourage people to eat healthier and thereby extend their healthy lifetimes.
The exact ways of how one would go about designing and implementing such policies of course depend on regional circumstances. And such circumstances include foremost the perception of the people living in that region. What we wanted to do with our study was to encourage a discussion among those people–citizens, policymakers, industry, farmers, etc–on how we could address some of the challenges that our food system, our health, and our environment will be faced with now and in the future. Our study is only one such proposal, and I think it’s up to all of us to come up with potential solutions that engage constructively with those challenges. We are all in this together, and the more things we can collaboratively move forward and influence positively, the better. So let’s talk with each other instead of against each other. I’ll be here to do that.
With best wishes,
Marco
Dr Marco Springmann

I’ve replied to him as follows:

Dear Dr. Springmann;
First, thank you for your reply. However, I fear that you start out with a wrong idea, which is the mistaken notion that there is some reason that you should rejigger the entire food system so that it fits with your political ideals and your climate fears. There are some difficulties with that.
To start with, nobody but the elite gives a fig about climate. Here’s the UN poll, nine million people said “Nah! Not interested!”. Climate is number sixteen, and that’s only because there weren’t seventeen choices. Not only that, but the poorer that people are, the less they are concerned about climate alarmism. Many of us don’t want to waste one dime on climate claims until there is actual evidence that the hypothesized danger is real.


SOURCE: UN Poll

Next, it appears you do not understand just how arrogant it is to imagine that you and your team, or any single group, knows just how people should eat. What on earth gave you the idea that people out here care in the least what the personal food prejudices of you and your people might be?
This point of view, that the elites such as yourself have the right to lecture plebeians like myself regarding the proper way for humans to eat, is one reason Hillary just lost the election. She found out that people have gotten tired of being lectured and regulated and talked down to by people who might have used a shovel but have never had to sharpen one.
Next, you are wildly underestimating the resistance that people have to changing their dietary habits. I used to train people to be Peace Corps Volunteers. Like you, the Trainees all wanted to rush out and start telling people that they were eating wrong, and how to eat better. I used a couple of examples to show them how resistant folks are to changing their diet, and how deep these feelings run.
The first example is, the people in Africa keep cows in part because they can do a magic trick. They can convert grass, which humans cannot digest, into milk, one of the richest protein sources known. The Peace Corps Trainees were often advocates of vegetarianism. I said, should the Africans then give up their cows, which assure milk for their babies, and which provide even more protein in the form of meat when they die?
Besides, I told them, in Africa they’ve figured out how to get even more protein out of the cows than anyone gets in the West. Of course, they were curious how that further magic trick is done. It turns out that in some tribes, they open a vein in the neck of the cow, and then plug it up with a wooden plug. When they go out to to milk the cow, they get the milk. Then they take out the plug, mix in a pint or so of blood with the milk, and put the plug back in …
So, I’d ask the Trainees, how many of you would change your diet to include that blood-milk, given the fact that it provides much more protein from the same animals?
Our food preferences run deep.
For the second example, I said that when the locusts swarm in Africa, they eat everything. Every leaf. Every stem. So when they land in grain fields there, the people will sometimes set fire to the fields. Now, clearly that doesn’t help them save their grain … but they know they’ll lose the grain anyhow, and at least this way they get a bunch of roast locusts to eat … I’d ask them, are you ready to sign on for eating roast locust? Are you going to tell them that eating insects is wrong? Will you recommend field-roasted locusts to your family?
Our food preferences run deep.
As a result, here is what I, and I suspect many other people, will say about your plan:
I eat what I eat, not randomly, but because like many people I’ve thought a lot about it. Not a little. A lot. As a result, I greatly resent your idea that you have some divine insight that my way of eating is wrong, and that I should be eating the way that you think is best.
That’s bad enough, but what really angrifies my blood is that you are proposing to tax my sorry corpus to FORCE me to eat like you want me to eat. How dare you!

Seriously, do you truly not understand how paternalistic and offensive this is?
I’m sorry to be so direct with you, Doctor, but recent events in the US have shown me just how out-of-touch the elite in general and the academic elite in particular can be. So I am attempting to make sure you understand just how far off of the rails it looks like you’ve gone.
You are NOT on the high moral ground here. People don’t care about your non-problem. Worse, you are proposing to forcefully intervene in people’s eating habits with the justification that it may, not will but has a chance of, helping poor people in 50 years. What to you is obviously an academic exercise will be highly damaging out here in the real world if we are ever unfortunate enough to have it inflicted on us … and the worst part is, you seem to have no concept at all of the arrogance and elitism in what you are proposing.
Look, you’re obviously a smart guy, and a man who can get things done. There are loads of real problems in the world that require real solutions. How about you apply your skills to those problems, rather than wasting your valuable energy to trying to force me to eat your way in order to non-solve a non-problem … do you really want to blow your valuable working years jerking around with this nonsense and hurting and insulting people in the process? Do you want your epitaph to be:

Here Lies Marco He Tried To Force People To Eat His Way They Didn't

Because according to the polls, the poor of the planet sure as hell don’t want you wasting your precious time on climate. They have fifteen other things that they think are much greater problems … and me, I think you could make a real contribution to people’s lives in one of those fifteen arenas rather than making things worse by sticking your nose in my personal eating habits.
Thank you for your thoughtful reply. In hopes that this is taken in the positive sense in which it is intended, I remain,
Respectfully,
w.
PS—You might enjoy a couple of posts I’ve written on this subject:
Animal, Vegetable, or E. O. Wilson
Vegans are not from Vegas

There you have it … who knows what it will do, but I have to give it a shot.
Best to all,
w.

basicstats
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
November 21, 2016 1:41 pm

What you received is a standard reply to any communication to Springmann via the Nature website. It is exactly the same reply I received to a very brief comment about the irony of his food tax proposals given the way Oxford colleges do things.

vigilantfish
Reply to  Willis Eschenbach
November 21, 2016 4:32 pm

Well done, Willis!

MARK
November 21, 2016 3:51 am

ABSOLUTE RUBBISH

Dude
November 21, 2016 4:24 am

Not a bad idea. We tend to privatize profits but socialize losses such as pollution and environmental degradation.
Dumping crap into land areas and water, deforestation and air pollution have costs. The planet is not a free trash can of unlimited size.
Even shrimp and fish farming come with huge pollution costs.
Limiting population growth could maintain quality of human life and species diversity but not even the left seems to care about overpopulation any more.

Marcus
Reply to  Dude
November 21, 2016 10:00 am

…Ok, so start with yourself if you really believe that…

November 21, 2016 4:42 am

It’s always been about tax, we knew that. Just you and your wife in the house? You only get 900 sq. ft. Anything over that, we tax you. Not driving a Prius? We tax you.

Jules
November 21, 2016 4:55 am

Would they prefer the prole eating Solent Green?

November 21, 2016 4:59 am

Climate change, the name itself has had more change than the earths weather pattern; and the name change was definitely caused by man!
As for actual climate change, please calculate for the current spot in the earth cycle in the solar system. I guess that data destroys all models.
Strengthen the individual Cloakedaxiom.com

November 21, 2016 6:24 am

Ihave a better idea to fix climate change.
The majority population of poor people march to all the homes and offices and banks of these oxford blue blood wankers and the people politely with class arrange a meeting with the creator for each of them. Then the people take their over hoarded capital and wealth and distribute it out in a needy trust for people needing downpayments, help with education, you get the idea.
Carbon emissions will be reduced significantly as the ultra pig snobbish wealthy do not use jets or high carbon footprint meals.
Have a great day!

Vic Glazemore
November 21, 2016 6:27 am

OR, those stuck in poverty could always choose not to reproduce at alarming rates. Alas, there’s no monitary gain in effectively solving the problem.

BC
November 21, 2016 6:47 am

Thanks for the angst. Typical philosophy; when in doubt, TAX!

b. lehto
November 21, 2016 6:57 am

i guess that farts from eating beef and dairy products by humans cause global earming! really, people and is it not known that animals including humans breath in O2 and exhale CO2 which benefits plants on the earth come on lets get grip on some reality this sounds like more gov. control.

Jillian
November 21, 2016 7:13 am

Lunatics…absolute lunatics. Just like the democrats in the USA, they are drunk on taxation and fees.

Reply to  Jillian
November 21, 2016 9:38 am

Yes,there ought to be an outlaw of passing such bills unless all citizens of the US is able to personally vote yea or nay after fully reading such a bill which would affect every man,woman and child by issuing a monotony fee to ANYBODY who chooses to purchase protein over any carbohydrate which most fruits,vegetables and all grains are carbs..carbs turn to a form of sugar in the human body to which cholesterol levels rise in the liver to change the food from its sugar state after breakdown in the stomach to a fat from the liver emzymes to which is then transported to areas of the body thru the vessels for storage for presumable future use due to lack of food…the body will have fat reserves…to which this eventually causes health issues…the us ama food pyramid is a hoax…who needs MORE carbs over PROTEINS when the carbs turn to a form of sugar to which in turn any abnormal cells in the human body uses in which to turn those abnormal cells from that state into cancer cells…all because they fed off the sugar from which came from carbs which they been eating…you truly are what you eat…the protein one needs to stay away from is soybean as that is a thyroid disruptor…

Dave
November 21, 2016 7:13 am

This would be a blanket tax on those who produce food, making everyone suffer and making food even more expensive for the poor! Wouldn’t it make more sense to tax individuals based on over-consumption? It seems like taxing those who ‘eat too well’ would reduce some amount of carbon by-products too as it might reduce demand. So if we gas the obese, couldn’t we reduce the carbon in the system too? It’s just as stupid an idea as taxing the producers. Let’s face it, the taxes will go to government, and therefore end up somehow lining the pockets of the wealthy or the indigent. Only the working class will suffer.

Joel
November 21, 2016 7:38 am

This example of total ineptitude by those whom are considered “great minds” shows that they are just the opposite. Not only are they completely out of touch with reality for such a despicable proposal, but they prove how little they understand about climate change. It is a proposal which would, if implemented, cause the deaths of millions of people by starvation, but maybe that’s the endgame, after all…