California's train of super-soaker storms analysed – more on the way

Extreme rain events fueled by the current strong El Nino have started to affect California. NASA estimated rainfall over a period of 7 days while NASA/NOAA’s GOES Project created a satellite animation showing the storms affecting the region over the period of Jan. 5 through Jan 7.

An animation NOAA’s GOES-West satellite imagery from Jan. 5 through Jan 7 shows the progression of storm systems in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that hit southern California and generated flooding and mudslides. The animation was created at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.

This animation NOAA’s GOES-West satellite imagery from Jan. 5 through Jan 7 shows the progression of storm systems in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that hit southern California and generated flooding and mudslides. TRT: 00:42 Credits: NASA/NOAA GOES Project

An estimate of rainfall totals from December 31, 2015 to the morning (EST) on January 6, 2016 was made using data from NASA’s Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) for a series of storms moving over the Eastern Pacific toward the U.S. West coast. Global precipitation estimates are provided by IMERG through the use of data from satellites in the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission constellation and is calibrated with measurements from the GPM Core Observatory as well as rain gauge networks around the world. GPM is a satellite managed by both NASA and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency.

california_imerg_rain_31dec15-6jan16_0
An estimate of rainfall totals from Dec. 31, 2015 to Jan. 6, 2016 was made using data from NASA’s IMERG for a series of storms showed highest rainfall totals over the eastern Pacific Ocean (purple) more than 4.5 inches (114.3 mm) and highest totals near Lake Tahoe and the west central Nevada border (red) over 4 inches (101.6 mm). Credits: NASA/JAXA/SSAI, Hal Pierce

The IMERG data showed highest rainfall totals over the eastern Pacific Ocean of more than 4.5 inches (114.3 mm) and highest totals over land near Lake Tahoe and the west central Nevada border at more than 4 inches (101.6 mm).

The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) creates a merged precipitation product from the GPM constellation of satellites. These satellites include DMSPs from the U.S. Department of Defense, GCOM-W from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), Megha-Tropiques from the Centre National D’etudies Spatiales (CNES) and Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), NOAA series from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Suomi-NPP from NOAA-NASA, and MetOps from the European Organisation for the Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites (EUMETSAT).  All of the instruments (radiometers) onboard the constellation partners are intercalibrated with information from the GPM Core Observatory’s GPM Microwave Imager (GMI) and Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR).

The precipitation shown in the IMERG product along the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada Mountains is providing snowfall that is crucial to alleviating the drought driven low water reserves in California.

On Jan. 8, NWS Weather Prediction Center in College Park Md. noted that the upper-level low pressure area is forecast to move across the Four Corners region, bringing snow to the higher terrain of the Southwest and to portions of the southern and central Rockies. Portions of the Mogollon Rim as well as the Rockies in southern Colorado and northern New Mexico have the potential for heavy snow, with snowfall amounts of one foot possible at the highest elevations.

Another Pacific frontal system is approaching the West Coast to bring rain and high elevation snows to the West Coast states. For updated forecasts, visit the National Weather Service website at: www.weather.gov.


 

Here is the latest satellite image (as of this writing) showing the next system lined up for California, it is expected to hit on Tuesday night:

sat_pacific_640x480

To animate the image, click here

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January 11, 2016 7:41 am

And there is NO computer model on this planet that can simulate what you see in that short real world video.

Coeur de Lion
January 11, 2016 7:52 am

My Santa Barbara friends are delighted. Will the msm report the breaking of the 4 year California drought – entirely due to global warming, of course.

Retired Engineer Jim
Reply to  Coeur de Lion
January 11, 2016 9:46 am

This rainfall, and possibly the rainfall through this entire El Nino weather event, may “break” the drought, but we will probably still be short of water – the results of very poor water management throughout the state for the last 40 – 50 years. We got a fair amount of rain down here on the coastal plain last week, but it all ran off into the ocean – no provisions for storage.

Kalifornia Kook
Reply to  Coeur de Lion
January 11, 2016 11:26 am

By law (since 2007) 40% of our water is flushed down rivers in hopes of luring salmon to California rivers. As long as that is in effect, water will be at a premium in here..The EPA helps maintain our drought situation.

Retired Kit P
Reply to  Kalifornia Kook
January 11, 2016 2:06 pm

Which salmon and which rivers are you talking about? I am not saying that the California legislature may not have past so stupid laws.
I am saying that southern California is where the water shortage is and that is because there are too many people. I have not lived in California for 20 years but I suspect things do not change/

Reply to  Kalifornia Kook
January 11, 2016 3:50 pm

@ Kit P…agricultural needs use around 80% of the total yearly usage, and there are over 38 million residents. It is easy to see that if agriculture would be able to reduce their usage by upgrading their watering systems, then there would easily be plenty of water for the population.

Shanghai Dan
Reply to  Kalifornia Kook
January 11, 2016 8:26 pm

@Kit P:
40% of all water is flushed down rivers to promote fish migration. Of that which is left, 80% is for agriculture. The stats you always see reported are after fish migration flushing.

RG
Reply to  Coeur de Lion
January 11, 2016 11:40 am

Your Santa Barbara friends must have their own private weather. We’ve had very little rain. More perhaps than during the height of the draught, but not even close to a level to saturate the ground and fill Lake Cachuma. Great that the Sierras are getting snow pack. The State water project desperately needs it. If only the actual weather lived up to the dire warnings. I think folks around here have long since forgotten what real, sustained, heavy rain looks like.

James at 48
Reply to  RG
January 14, 2016 9:09 am

Here in San Mateo County we barely got enough to kick off run off and aquifer recharge. I routinely observe several French Drain outfalls and not a one got into “spring” mode even during the recent “big week.” We have a long way to go. And now the storm door if not shutting is definitely no longer wide open. The fronts are weaker now and are cutting off at about 36N.

Stan
Reply to  Coeur de Lion
January 11, 2016 4:21 pm

Gosh, drought followed by heavy rain! Completely unprecedented!

David A
January 11, 2016 7:56 am

I do not understand why any of this is called “extreme”, when it is really very much within historic patterns.

Reply to  David A
January 11, 2016 8:18 am

A draught a rainstorm sounds like it is averaging out to me.

Reply to  David A
January 11, 2016 9:14 am

I’m not complaining. I’ve been skiing powder all season and more is on the way starting Wed.
For those who think this is extreme, I’ve lived in Ca for decades and normal is bouncing between extremes of drought and flood. Comparing ski seasons, this year is a little better than average, but no where near 2010/2011. As far as El Nino’s go, this one seems to be producing smaller, colder storms than other recent events.

Duster
Reply to  David A
January 11, 2016 9:28 am

I agree. I grew up here in California and it seems pretty normal to me. If I were to point to any specific “change” I have seen in the weather since the 1950s, it wold be that I see less fog and not as thick fog in the Central Valley these days. That effect seems to be limited to the cities though, so I think it falls under a UHI effects, if it is not simply due to residential moves or something else that really has more to do with the observer than the observed.

Kalifornia Kook
Reply to  Duster
January 11, 2016 11:32 am

I’m from southern California since 1967. the biggest change I’ve seen is the appearance of mountains surrounding the LA basin in the late 80’s. I’d gone to Wash D.C. for six years, where i met and married my wife. I tried to dampen her enthusiasm for Orange County by telling her it was all gray below (concrete) and brown above (smog). imagine my surprise when we got off the plane and could see mountains from LA international. I assured her it would only last three days, then return to normal. It didn’t. Unless there is a chance of rain, I see the mountains everyday. For a pilot who learned to fly here, i find that incredible. Above a thousand feet, i almost always had to use instruments to navigate here.
Now, it is incredibly beautiful. The EPA did do something right… 30 years ago.

DonM
Reply to  David A
January 11, 2016 9:39 am

David, The trouble with you is that you are honest.
We can always … always … expect a Robust response to the Extreme weather events that are associated with today’s Changing Climate.
(Robust = hyped-up)
(Extreme = stuff that happened a few years ago and that will also happen again next year)
(Climate = whatever I want it to mean depending my own personal frame of reference)

papiertigre
Reply to  David A
January 11, 2016 9:51 am

Uggh. Extreme? Why would you grease the conmularmist’s way by adopting their rhetoric?
Not just that. The four year drought. – The heck I say. That “drought” was made up of two or three years of 16 or 17 inches instead or the average 18. If it weren’t for 55 plus years of Democrat mismanagement, and dereliction of office, California wouldn’t notice two or three years of slightly below, but not unusual, rainfall totals.
It’s the old story. If you put democrats in charge of the desert we’d be having shortages of sand in three months.
No matter how much rain California gets it will never be enough to cover Democrat incompetence, or heaven forbid it were a gush so wide and relentless to sate the thirst of all the crooks, frauds, and phonies, in Sacramento, they would turn on a dime to point and say “extreme weather”. Proof of global warmin to the eleventty!!!111!!.
You’re helping them spread the lie when you adopt their language.

G. Karst
January 11, 2016 7:59 am

I thought rain was only going to fall where it wasn’t needed. I always had trouble with rain “knowing” where it is not needed due to it’s obviously low I.Q. This is probably of the even dumber precipitation variation. GK

Marcos
January 11, 2016 8:08 am

I was surprised that after all the rains of last week that the reservoir levels across CA only went up by 1-2%

Reply to  Marcos
January 11, 2016 8:13 am

Pretty sure most California reservoirs are filled by melting snowpack in the spring. Check March/April/May.

Casey K
Reply to  ristvan
January 11, 2016 8:35 am

Lake Shasta, the largest lake in the state depends on rain run off much more than snow melt to fill up.As of this morning Shasta is at only 33% of total capacity and only 52%of normal. Shasta is 423,017 acre feet behind last year at this time in storage. Lake Trinity, the 3rd largest lake in Calif is sitting at 21%of total capacity and 30% of normal for this time. Trinity does get more water from snow melt but it also has a very long way to go.

garymount
Reply to  ristvan
January 11, 2016 9:14 am

Current Lake Shasta conditions
http://www.cdec.water.ca.gov/cdecapp/resapp/resDetailOrig.action?resid=SHA
– – –
And about a year ago:comment image

dp
Reply to  ristvan
January 11, 2016 9:44 am

When comparing Shasta capacity one needs to consider that Shasta has a leak in it (managed by the water managers) that can also change from year to year. Because of the political leverage of disasters I’d not be surprised to learn that water in Shasta has been consumed at a precipitous pace, if you’ll pardon the pun, to make things appear worse than they are.

skeohane
Reply to  ristvan
January 11, 2016 10:04 am

@dp, a ‘managed’ leak sounds like a drain.

ossqss
Reply to  Marcos
January 11, 2016 8:36 am
Reply to  ossqss
January 11, 2016 5:04 pm

Were some measurements “unavailable” because the snow was too deep?
Public employees, including those elected, seem either lazy or incompetent.

MarkW
Reply to  Marcos
January 11, 2016 10:25 am

Could much of the early rain be soaking into the dry soil?

Reply to  MarkW
January 11, 2016 4:01 pm

It was very dry around here last year in Trinity Co. What was very unusual last year was to see the Trinity Alps with no snow on them at the end of March 2015. The fire danger was posted as very high in January of last year. That was also very unusual. All of that is now changed with the steady rains. There is also decent snow as low down as 3.000 feet.

marque2
January 11, 2016 8:13 am

Strange, my little town of Poway, CA, near San Diego got 6 inches of rain last week over the period mentioned, and yet the image of rain totals with 4.5″ being considered highest, shows only light rain over the area. At Mt Woodson, a small mountain near Poway Lake and potato chip rock, they got 7.5″ of rain.
So now I find the data in this article dubious.

beng135
Reply to  marque2
January 11, 2016 10:31 am

Radar-estimated rainfall is often not accurate. Type of rain, terrain, radar shadows, blind-spots, etc. I’m sure a more accurate appraisal would come out eventually from more reliable rain gauges.

Todd
Reply to  marque2
January 11, 2016 11:09 am

Last July, Southern California had record rains. In a month that only averages about 0.01″, our city received >2″. Where I work, I can see the rain and runoff and it was spectacular.
About 6 weeks later, the water district reported total rain received in our city over the past 90 days at 0.08″. This kept the drought funds flowing.

tomwys1
January 11, 2016 8:24 am

Doesn’t anyone remember the dire predictions for Texas a few years ago? “Drought to the end of the century,” “…Reprise of the Dust Bowl of the 30’s, but worse.”
All, of course, tagged to “Runaway Global Warming.”
This year, not one county in Texas is in drought condition. CA will “weather” this too, and the operative word is “weather” not climate!

Patrick B
Reply to  tomwys1
January 11, 2016 11:59 am

SE Texas had over 6 feet of rain this past year – about one foot in excess of normal. That included 11 inches one day last Spring and 9 inches one day last Fall. I have to chuckle reading about the news reporting torrential floods in California with substantially less than 9 inches over a couple days.

markl
Reply to  Patrick B
January 11, 2016 1:16 pm

Patrick B commented: “…. I have to chuckle reading about the news reporting torrential floods in California with substantially less than 9 inches over a couple days…..”
You have to understand the mindset. We’ve had “storm watches” but NO rain actually fell. A ‘flood’ to someone in SoCal is a stopped up storm drain or a poorly excavated roadway. Real floods like flash floods over sparsely populated desert are rare but usually cause little to no damage. Not to say that an overloaded drainage system cannot cause damage or death but they can be avoided if tended properly. Here just about any standing water is referred to as a ‘flood’. People forget that SoCal is an artificially irrigated desert.

Steve Fraser
Reply to  tomwys1
January 11, 2016 7:34 pm

Amen, and, Amen!

Gary Pearse
January 11, 2016 8:27 am

What are the doomsters saying about this precipitation. Have they gone quiet?

Alan Robertson
Reply to  Gary Pearse
January 11, 2016 8:49 am

Be patient, the green fraidies aren’t out of bed yet. It’s quiet down in Mum’s basement.

gte018x
January 11, 2016 8:48 am

Satellites are very useful. Well, er, except for measuring infrared radiation from oxygen. If it’s radiation from ozone, then perfect!

Steve Oregon
January 11, 2016 8:55 am

Great start.
California needs rain through winter to fill up things.
http://houseboats.com/2011/01/epic-water-levels-why-shasta-lake-filled-in-2010/
” For example, on December 23rd, the height allowed on Shasta Lake is 1018.5 feet, nearly 50 feet below our capacity to allow for future rainfall and upstream water releases from other reservoirs…
Water level is allowed to rise to 1037 feet by March 20th, allowing only another 20 feet of water. The potential for flooding downstream for other areas is the reason for conservative water releases (dumping water).
Too much water too early in the season and poor rainfall later can keep the lake level down. Larry Ball explains, “If we have a wet December and a wet January, but a dry February, March and April, we are going to have a hard time filling the reservoir.” He continued, “We can have good years in terms of inflow, but if we have to dump a bunch of it, it can result in not as good of storage as some years.”

Reply to  Steve Oregon
January 11, 2016 12:35 pm

And the point is they “dump” the excess before they know it is an excess. Grew up in California and watched the reservoirs be emptied many a time before the rain actually fell. If mother nature didn’t cooperate the lake was “below capacity” for that year not because it couldn’t have been at capacity for the summer but because the “best guess” of the water managers was wrong.

tadchem
January 11, 2016 8:56 am

In December of 1955 a storm (called ‘Mariah’) inundated California with up to 390 mm of rain (Dec 20 in Shasta County). The flooding affected most of the state. It will be interesting to see if that mark holds or falls.

Reply to  tadchem
January 11, 2016 4:09 pm

The flood of 1955/56 was a big storm from mid California all the way into southern Canada. The one prior to that was in 1946/47. The biggest of the group was the flood of 1964/65. I would bet on the chance of next winter being a flood event on the PNW. The last Big One was 1996/97 for Northern California and further north.

Reply to  goldminor
January 11, 2016 4:39 pm

goldminor…my family lost our car crossing a bridge on the Uvas Creek (a tributary of the Salinas River) during the 55/56 flood. It was catastrophic: all the Christmas presents were lost! Of course it did make an important memory/life lesson out of the quite unalarmed strength of my father as he carried me through the rushing water to safety.

January 11, 2016 9:10 am

The Greens will be so disappointed in this good news story. They would prefer the drought to continue just so they could say “I told you so”. Headlines of “Worst drought in 1200 years” sounded so much better.

January 11, 2016 9:11 am

I remember that one! Water level almost reached our house in Rio Linda, 10 miles north of Sacramento. Almost to the R/R tracks atop the levee where the Arco Arena is now. Flooded all the way back to Yuba City and Marysville…pg

hunter
January 11, 2016 9:14 am

Perhaps it is time to drop the over frequent use of “extreme”. Heavy rains from an El Nino event have been going on as long as there have been El Nino’s. These events are typical of drought ending weather events.
Allowing the climate obsessed to control the language of weather only plays into their alarmist, inaccurate, non-rational perspective.

Reply to  hunter
January 11, 2016 9:20 am

I absolutely agree but the word ‘extreme’ was not used by Anthony but is quoted as it was reported.
http://phys.org/news/2016-01-nasa-storms-california.html

hunter
Reply to  Duncan
January 11, 2016 11:00 am

I would start editing. Add ” “, add strike throughs, etc. The world is not undergoing extreme climate change. It is time to end the charade.

David A
Reply to  Duncan
January 11, 2016 2:35 pm

Thanks for the correct correction, because I saw no quote marks.
====================================================================
California’s train of super-soaker storms analysed – more on the way
Anthony Watts / 7 hours ago January 11, 2016
Extreme rain events fueled by the current strong El Nino have started to affect California. NASA estimated rainfall over a period of 7 days while NASA/NOAA’s GOES Project created a satellite animation showing the storms affecting the region over the period of Jan. 5 through Jan 7.
==============================
It helps to know it was a link to an article. I thought our kind host caught a virus.

January 11, 2016 9:49 am

The use of “extreme” is a strategic move on the enviro warmists. It negates the value of normal events or even the normal variation. The move redefines phenomena by their outliers. Since outliers are less numerous, the statistical significance of any extreme event is less scientifically worthy but is more NEWSworthy in that it is dramatic, short-lived and, generally, unexpected (in the short-term).
Defining the principal character of a phenomenon by its outliers is a reversal of the scientific method of understanding phenomena. While the outliers may be of a particular nature and peculiar to some object of study, it is the average/mode/mean that characterize and lead to understanding. You learn nothing about rainfall in an area, for example, if all you study are the floods or droughts (if either are regular events they are “monsoon areas” or “deserts”).
The use of extreme event reporting is not designed to elucidate, it is designed to alarm. Scientific argument about the significance of high impact events is counter-productive, as it makes the argues seem unsympathetic, even anti-human, rather than rational. Another brilliant move by the Eco-green Warriors.

Greg Woods
Reply to  douglasproctor
January 11, 2016 10:30 am

I find the weather there ‘extremely normal’…

emsnews
Reply to  douglasproctor
January 11, 2016 4:39 pm

Southern California is mainly ‘desert’. Years of little rain are common. Many, many people who have come there this century come from wetter places. They love the ‘sun’ there! And then whine when it is warm and dry!!! This includes Mr. Gore.

MojoMojo
January 11, 2016 10:08 am

Nothing to do with El Nino,but here is a must read about the megaflood in California 1861.That was extreme.
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/atmospheric-rivers-california-megaflood-lessons-from-forgotten-catastrophe/

Reality Observer
Reply to  MojoMojo
January 11, 2016 11:56 pm

Not just Cali – Confederate Army scouts quite seriously reported that they had seen the Pacific Ocean.
They could not have been much more than 30 or 40 miles past Tucson, Arizona, as the Confederates were stopped at the battle of Picacho Peak.
Best guess is that they were seeing the very broad flood plain of the Gila River, which when viewed by someone from a well-watered region can normally be called a “stream” (if you feel charitable). A mega-flood, though, and water can extend beyond the horizon.

skeohane
January 11, 2016 10:09 am

If you want to look at local rainfall as measured by volunteers, check this out:
http://www.cocorahs.org/Maps/

gymnosperm
January 11, 2016 11:09 am

Little blob in center is very unusual in satellite motion as it is bucking the westerlies and holding position. Does not seem associated with any sst phenomenon.comment image

Resourceguy
January 11, 2016 11:15 am

So California gets Federal money for droughts and floods and a bonus wad for citing Antarctic ice calving and threat of sea level rise. I guess we should feel fortunate that it only cost us $9 billion for Jerry’s attendance at the bad science presentation at AGU.

Another Scott
January 11, 2016 11:33 am

“Credits: NASA/NOAA GOES Project” It’s amazing how useful NASA and NOAA can be when they are not engaged in political agenda ing……

markl
January 11, 2016 11:43 am

Water, like climate, is political in California. Our governor is spending more time and money saving the world from AGW than he is providing us water.

Dinah Shumway
January 11, 2016 11:55 am

“It’s the old story. If you put democrats in charge of the desert we’d be having shortages of sand in three months.”
Papertiger… OK this is one of the funniest quotes I have seen in a looong time… made me LOL!
Thanks Anthony for making this site one with something for everyone.

Stas peterson
Reply to  Dinah Shumway
January 13, 2016 8:07 am

I’m a lifelong Democrat who hasn’t been able to find a single Democrat nominee to vote for, since the leftwing Socialists of whatever stripe, ( Nazi, Bolshevik, Maoist, PolPotist, etc, etc), have seized control of the party nomination process, and offer nothing else to real American democrats to vote for, but one of their own fools and knaves. Now they are actually offering a true blue Communist in the knave from Vermont, and no one is laughing him down.
I guffawed at that desert/sand statement, as it so, so true of the idiots controlling my Party right now.

richardscourtney
Reply to  Stas peterson
January 13, 2016 8:30 am

Stas peterson:
I see you are yet another ultra-right concern troll pretending to be left wing.
Only members of the extreme right attempt to claim the political spectrum has Naz1s as “leftwing Socialists” instead of Naz1s being part of the extreme right which they were and are.
Richard

Gregg C.
Reply to  Stas peterson
January 18, 2016 12:41 pm

RC: Justify how these two ideologies belong on opposite sides of any political spectrum:
1) Full state control of all economic and social factors, permitting some private ownership of the means of production.
2) Full state control of all economic and social factors, with state ownership of the means of production.

January 11, 2016 12:05 pm

Thanks, Anthony, for the dose of reality. Very good article.
Joe Bastardi, in today’s Daily Update, at http://www.weatherbell.com/ has a good comparison of the USA and European weather models for North America for the next 10 days.

jdgalt
January 11, 2016 12:10 pm

Can’t hurt, but the need to build more dams will still be there even if we get a temporary reprieve from noticing it.

Retired Kit P
January 11, 2016 1:36 pm

Hollywood is the reason we are interested in California weather.
Our son works in local TV news and is always griping that over dramatized news stories from California would get national attention and not the news stories he sent to networks. The irony is that movies were made in Hollywood because of the mild California weather.
I took a class called environmental geology. The premise is that the study of geology can prevent human disaster by taking into account floods, fires, volcanoes, ect. When people say it has never happened, what they should be saying is that it has not happened yet.
I had a neighbor California who was telling me how is house was built using the same seismic design program as nuke plants. I pointed to the hill behind his house and asked if his house was designed to withstand a mud slide.
My point is that you have to mitigate risk based on a rational approach not drama. My neighborhood in California had a low risk of earth quakes but was prone to wild fires and subsequent mudslides after winter rains.
As far as the risk of climate change, that is also more drama. Could the climate change in a 100 years to increase the risk of wildfires and mudslides. Well sure but the practical measures to mitigate the risk remain the same.

jbird
January 11, 2016 3:56 pm

As I understand the theory concerning solar minimums, a weakening of the electromagnetic field of the sun allows cosmic rays to penetrate further into the Earth’s atmosphere. This is supposed to result in an increase in clouds and precipitation that eventually have a cooling effect upon the Earth’s surface. If that is so, how are the effects of a reduction in solar electromagnetic energy separated out from the effects of an El Nino event?
It seems as if the El Nino and La Nina events have sort of taken over in the imaginations of people who post here, and the solar minimum isn’t referenced much these days even though it appears to be continuing. Shouldn’t increased cold, rain and snow still be expected for the foreseeable future? Just saying.

Reply to  jbird
January 11, 2016 4:35 pm

I think that the combination of a strong La Nina intersecting with the solar changes during a gm event is where we will see the full effects of what a gm can do. That time should be close at hand by my reckoning. I think the ENSO regions could return to neutral by the end of next month.

January 11, 2016 4:04 pm

Just to show that Nino is a bit of a skep and fails to read all the literature every year, Eastern Australia has been pretty damp, with handy rains over drought areas and the odd flood.
Mind you, after all the fire and heat from sister Nina back in 1939, I’d say the whole ENSO family is a bit careless with the data and the literature. Sometimes they follow the script, other times…

Stan
January 11, 2016 4:23 pm

These are not “extreme” rain events. They are quite common.

Marcus
January 11, 2016 4:35 pm

Governor MoonBeam is only worried about saving the Delta Smelt…also known as….BAIT !!

High Treason
January 11, 2016 8:30 pm

Here in Australia, climate hysteria(along with a complicit socialist regime) resulted in an expensive white elephant desalination plant for Sydney which has never been used. It cost $500,000 per day to maintain. A lot of money to flush down the toilet for nothing.

Michael C
January 11, 2016 9:27 pm

4.5 inches – ‘super-soaker storms’ ??? Maybe if they last just 4 hours

James at 48
January 14, 2016 9:03 am

Huge false alarm here. One good week but sort of one and done, and now the fronts are mainly weak ones that don’t make it past Monterey County.

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