Greenpeace founder delivers powerful annual lecture, praises carbon dioxide – full text

Patrick-Moore-574x1024Full text of the speech: Dr. Patrick Moore: Should We Celebrate Carbon Dioxide?

2015 Annual GWPF Lecture

Institute of Mechanical Engineers, London 14 October 2015

My Lords and Ladies, Ladies and Gentlemen.

Thank you for the opportunity to set out my views on climate change. As I have stated publicly on many occasions, there is no definitive scientific proof, through real-world observation, that carbon dioxide is responsible for any of the slight warming of the global climate that has occurred during the past 300 years, since the peak of the Little Ice Age. If there were such a proof through testing and replication it would have been written down for all to see.

The contention that human emissions are now the dominant influence on climate is simply a hypothesis, rather than a universally accepted scientific theory. It is therefore correct, indeed verging on compulsory in the scientific tradition, to be skeptical of those who express certainty that “the science is settled” and “the debate is over”.

But there is certainty beyond any doubt that CO2 is the building block for all life on Earth and that without its presence in the global atmosphere at a sufficient concentration this would be a dead planet. Yet today our children and our publics are taught that CO2 is a toxic pollutant that will destroy life and bring civilization to its knees. Tonight I hope to turn this dangerous human-caused propaganda on its head. Tonight I will demonstrate that human emissions of CO2 have already saved life on our planet from a very untimely end. That in the absence of our emitting some of the carbon back into the atmosphere from whence it came in the first place, most or perhaps all life on Earth would begin to die less than two million years from today.

But first a bit of background.

I was born and raised in the tiny floating village of Winter Harbour on the northwest tip of Vancouver Island, in the rainforest by the Pacific. There was no road to my village so for eight years myself and a few other children were taken by boat each day to a one-room schoolhouse in the nearby fishing village. I didn’t realize how lucky I was playing on the tide flats by the salmon-spawning streams in the rainforest, until I was sent off to boarding school in Vancouver where I excelled in science. I did my undergraduate studies at the University of British Columbia, gravitating to the life sciences – biology, biochemistry, genetics, and forestry – the environment and the industry my family has been in for more than 100 years. Then, before the word was known to the general public, I discovered the science of ecology, the science of how all living things are inter-related, and how we are related to them.

At the height of the Cold War, the Vietnam War, the threat of all-out nuclear war and the newly emerging consciousness of the environment I was transformed into a radical environmental activist. While doing my PhD in ecology in 1971 I joined a group of activists who had begun to meet in the basement of the Unitarian Church, to plan a protest voyage against US hydrogen bomb testing in Alaska.

We proved that a somewhat rag-tag looking group of activists could sail an old fishing boat across the north Pacific ocean and help change the course of history. We created a focal point for the media to report on public opposition to the tests.

When that H-bomb exploded in November 1971, it was the last hydrogen bomb the United States ever detonated. Even though there were four more tests planned in the series, President Nixon canceled them due to the public opposition we had helped to create. That was the birth of Greenpeace.

Flushed with victory, on our way home from Alaska we were made brothers of the Namgis Nation in their Big House at Alert Bay near my northern Vancouver Island home. For Greenpeace this began the tradition of the Warriors of the Rainbow, after a Cree Indian legend that predicted the coming together of all races and creeds to save the Earth from destruction. We named our ship the Rainbow Warrior and I spent the next fifteen years in the top committee of Greenpeace, on the front lines of the environmental movement as we evolved from that church basement into the world’s largest environmental activist organization.

Next we took on French atmospheric nuclear testing in the South Pacific. They proved a bit more difficult than the US nuclear tests. It took years to eventually drive these tests underground at Mururoa Atoll in French Polynesia. In 1985, under direct orders from President Mitterrand, French commandos bombed and sank the Rainbow Warrior in Auckland Harbour, killing our photographer. Those protests continued until long after I left Greenpeace. It wasn’t until the mid-1990s that nuclear testing finally ended in the South Pacific, and it most other parts of the world as well.

Going back to 1975, Greenpeace set out to save the whales from extinction at the hands of huge factory whaling fleets. We confronted the Soviet factory whaling fleet in the North Pacific, putting ourselves in front of their harpoons in our little rubber boats to protect the fleeing whales. This was broadcast on television news around the world, bringing the Save the Whales movement into everyone’s living rooms for the first time. After four years of voyages, in 1979 factory whaling was finally banned in the North Pacific, and by 1981 in all the world’s oceans.

In 1978 I sat on a baby seal off the East Coast of Canada to protect it from the hunter’s club. I was arrested and hauled off to jail, the seal was clubbed and skinned, but a photo of me being arrested while sitting on the baby seal appeared in more than 3000 newspapers around the world the next morning. We won the hearts and minds of millions of people who saw the baby seal slaughter as outdated, cruel, and unnecessary.

Why then did I leave Greenpeace after 15 years in the leadership? When Greenpeace began we had a strong humanitarian orientation, to save civilization from destruction by all-out nuclear war. Over the years the “peace” in Greenpeace was gradually lost and my organization, along with much of the environmental movement, drifted into a belief that humans are the enemies of the earth. I believe in a humanitarian environmentalism because we are part of nature, not separate from it. The first principle of ecology is that we are all part of the same ecosystem, as Barbara Ward put it, “One human family on spaceship Earth”, and to preach otherwise teaches that the world would be better off without us. As we shall see later in the presentation there is very good reason to see humans as essential to the survival of life on this planet.

In the mid 1980s I found myself the only director of Greenpeace International with a formal education in science. My fellow directors proposed a campaign to “ban chlorine worldwide”, naming it “The Devil’s Element”. I pointed out that chlorine is one of the elements in the Periodic Table, one of the building blocks of the Universe and the 11th most common element in the Earth’s crust. I argued the fact that chlorine is the most important element for public health and medicine. Adding chlorine to drinking water was the biggest advance in the history of public health and the majority of our synthetic medicines are based on chlorine chemistry. This fell on deaf ears, and for me this was the final straw. I had to leave.

When I left Greenpeace I vowed to develop an environmental policy that was based on science and logic rather than sensationalism, misinformation, anti-humanism and fear. In a classic example, a recent protest led by Greenpeace in the Philippines used the skull and crossbones to associate Golden Rice with death, when in fact Golden Rice has the potential to help save 2 million children from death due to vitamin A deficiency every year.

The Keeling curve of CO2 concentration in the Earth’s atmosphere since 1959 is the supposed smoking gun of catastrophic climate change. We presume CO2 was at 280 ppm at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, before human activity could have caused a significant impact. I accept that most of the rise from 280 to 400 ppm is caused by human CO2 emissions with the possibility that some of it is due to outgassing from warming of the oceans.

NASA tells us that “Carbon Dioxide Controls Earth’s Temperature” in child-like denial of the many other factors involved in climate change. This is reminiscent of NASA’s contention that there might be life on Mars. Decades after it was demonstrated that there was no life on Mars, NASA continues to use it as a hook to raise public funding for more expeditions to the Red Planet. The promulgation of fear of Climate Change now serves the same purpose. As Bob Dylan prophetically pointed out, “Money doesn’t talk, it swears”, even in one of the most admired science organizations in the world.

On the political front the leaders of the G7 plan to “end extreme poverty and hunger” by phasing out 85% of the world’s energy supply including 98% of the energy used to transport people and goods, including food. The Emperors of the world appear clothed in the photo taken at the close of the meeting but it was obviously Photo-shopped. They should be required to stand naked for making such a foolish statement.

The world’s top climate body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change, is hopelessly conflicted by its makeup and it mandate. The Panel is composed solely of the World Meteorological Organization, weather forecasters, and the United Nations Environment Program, environmentalists. Both these organizations are focused primarily on short-term timescales, days to maybe a century or two. But the most significant conflict is with the Panel’s mandate from the United Nations. They are required only to focus on “a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the atmosphere, and which is in addition to natural climate variability.”
So if the IPCC found that climate change was not being affected by human alteration of the atmosphere or that it is not “dangerous” there would be no need for them to exist. They are virtually mandated to find on the side of apocalypse.

Scientific certainty, political pandering, a hopelessly conflicted IPCC, and now the Pope, spiritual leader of the Catholic Church, in a bold move to reinforce the concept of original sin, says the Earth looks like “an immense pile of filth” and we must go back to pre-industrial bliss, or is that squalor?

And then there is the actual immense pile of filth fed to us more than three times daily by the green-media nexus, a seething cauldron of imminent doom, like we are already condemned to Damnation in Hell and there is little chance of Redemption. I fear for the end of the Enlightenment. I fear an intellectual Gulag with Greenpeace as my prison guards.

Let’s begin with our knowledge of the long-term history of the Earth’s temperature and of CO2 in the Earth’s atmosphere. Our best inference from various proxies back indicate that CO2 was higher for the first 4 billion years of Earth’s history than it has been since the Cambrian Period until today. I will focus on the past 540 million years since modern life forms evolved. It is glaringly obvious that temperature and CO2 are in an inverse correlation at least as often as they are in any semblance of correlation. Two clear examples of reverse correlation occurred 150 million years and 50 million years ago. At the end of the Jurassic temperature fell dramatically while CO2 spiked. During the Eocene Thermal Maximum, temperature was likely higher than any time in the past 550 million years while CO2 had been on a downward track for 100 million years. This evidence alone sufficient to warrant deep speculation of any claimed lock-step causal relationship between CO2 and temperature.

The Devonian Period beginning 400 million years ago marked the culmination of the invasion of life onto the land. Plants evolved to produce lignin, which in combination with cellulose, created wood which in turn for the first time allowed plants to grow tall, in competition with each other for sunlight. As vast forests spread across the land living biomass increased by orders of magnitude, pulling down carbon as CO2 from the atmosphere to make wood. Lignin is very difficult to break down and no decomposer species possessed the enzymes to digest it. Trees died atop one another until they were 100 metres or more in depth. This was the making of the great coal beds around the world as this huge store of sequestered carbon continued to build for 90 million years. Then, fortunately for the future of life, white rot fungi evolved to produce the enzymes that can digest lignin and coincident with that the coal-making era came to an end.

There was no guarantee that fungi or any other decomposer species would develop the complex of enzymes required to digest lignin. If they had not, CO2, which had already been drawn down for the first time in Earth’s history to levels similar to todays, would have continued to decline as trees continued to grow and die. That is until CO2 approached the threshold of 150 ppm below which plants begin first to starve, then stop growing altogether, and then die. Not just woody plants but all plants. This would bring about the extinction of most, if not all, terrestrial species, as animals, insects, and other invertebrates starved for lack of food. And that would be that. The human species would never have existed. This was only the first time that there was a distinct possibility that life would come close to extinguishing itself, due to a shortage of CO2, which is essential for life on Earth.

A well-documented record of global temperature over the past 65 million years shows that we have been in a major cooling period since the Eocene Thermal Maximum 50 million years ago. The Earth was an average 16C warmer then, with most of the increased warmth at the higher latitudes. The entire planet, including the Arctic and Antarctica were ice-free and the land there was covered in forest.

The ancestors of every species on Earth today survived through what may have been the warmest time in the history of life. It makes one wonder about dire predictions that even a 2C rise in temperature from pre-industrial times would cause mass extinctions and the destruction of civilization. Glaciers began to form in Antarctica 30 million years ago and in the northern hemisphere 3 million years ago. Today, even in this interglacial period of the Pleistocene Ice Age, we are experiencing one of the coldest climates in the Earth’s history.

Coming closer to the present we have learned from Antarctic ice cores that for the past 800,000 years there have been regular periods of major glaciation followed by interglacial periods in 100,000 year-cycles. These cycles coincide with the Milankovitch cycles that are tied to the eccentricity of the Earth’s orbit and its axial tilt. It is highly plausible that these cycles are related to solar intensity and the seasonal distribution of solar heat on the Earth’s surface. There is a strong correlation between temperature and the level of atmospheric CO2 during these successive glaciations, indicating a possible cause-effect relationship between the two. CO2 lags temperature by an average of 800 years during the most recent 400,000-year period, indicating that temperature is the cause, as the cause never comes after the effect.

Looking at the past 50,000 years of temperature and CO2 we can see that changes in CO2 follow changes in temperature. This is as one could expect, as the Milankovitch cycles are far more likely to cause a change in temperature than a change in CO2. And a change in the temperature is far more likely to cause a change in CO2 due to outgassing of CO2 from the oceans during warmer times and an ingassing (absorption) of CO2 during colder periods. Yet climate alarmists persist in insisting that CO2 is causing the change in temperature, despite the illogical nature of that assertion.

It is sobering to consider the magnitude of climate change during the past 20,000 years, since the peak of the last major glaciation. At that time there were 3.3 kilometres of ice on top of what is today the city of Montreal, a city of more than 3 million people. 95% of Canada was covered in a sheet of ice. Even as far south as Chicago there was nearly a kilometre of ice. If the Milankovitch cycle continues to prevail, and there is little reason aside from our CO2 emissions to think otherwise, this will happen gradually again during the next 80,000 years. Will our CO2 emissions stave off another glaciation as James Lovelock has suggested? There doesn’t seem to be much hope of that so far, as despite 1/3 of all our CO2 emissions being released during the past 18 years the UK Met Office contends there has been no statistically significant warming during this century.

At the height of the last glaciation the sea level was about 120 metres lower than it is today. By 7,000 years ago all the low-altitude, mid-latitude glaciers had melted. There is no consensus about the variation in sea level since then although many scientists have concluded that the sea level was higher than today during the Holocene Thermal optimum from 9,000 to 5,000 years ago when the Sahara was green. The sea level may also have been higher than today during the Medieval Warm Period.

Hundred of islands near the Equator in Papua, Indonesia, have been undercut by the sea in a manner that gives credence to the hypothesis that there has been little net change in sea level in the past thousands of years. It takes a long time for so much erosion to occur from gentle wave action in a tropical sea.

Coming back to the relationship between temperature and CO2 in the modern era we can see that temperature has risen at a steady slow rate in Central England since 1700 while human CO2 emissions were not relevant until 1850 and then began an exponential rise after 1950. This is not indicative of a direct causal relationship between the two. After freezing over regularly during the Little Ice Age the River Thames froze for the last time in 1814, as the Earth moved into what might be called the Modern Warm Period.

The IPCC states it is “extremely likely” that human emissions have been the dominant cause of global warming “since the mid-20th century”, that is since 1950. They claim that “extremely” means 95% certain, even though the number 95 was simply plucked from the air like an act of magic. And “likely” is not a scientific word but rather indicative of a judgment, another word for an opinion.

There was a 30-year period of warming from 1910-1940, then a cooling from 1940 to 1970, just as CO2 emissions began to rise exponentially, and then a 30-year warming from 1970-2000 that was very similar in duration and temperature rise to the rise from 1910-1940. One may then ask “what caused the increase in temperature from 1910-1940 if it was not human emissions? And if it was natural factors how do we know that the same natural factors were not responsible for the rise between 1970-2000.” You don’t need to go back millions of years to find the logical fallacy in the IPCC’s certainty that we are the villains in the piece.

Water is by far the most important greenhouse gas, and is the only molecule that is present in the atmosphere in all three states, gas, liquid, and solid. As a gas, water vapour is a greenhouse gas, but as a liquid and solid it is not. As a liquid water forms clouds, which send solar radiation back into space during the day and hold heat in at night. There is no possibility that computer models can predict the net effect of atmospheric water in a higher CO2 atmosphere. Yet warmists postulate that higher CO2 will result in positive feedback from water, thus magnifying the effect of CO2 alone by 2-3 times. Other scientists believe that water may have a neutral or negative feedback on CO2. The observational evidence from the early years of this century tends to reinforce the latter hypothesis.

How many politicians or members of the media or the public are aware of this statement about climate change from the IPCC in 2007?

“we should recognise that we are dealing with a coupled nonlinear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”

There is a graph showing that the climate models have grossly exaggerated the rate of warming that confirms the IPCC statement. The only trends the computer models seem able to predict accurately are ones that have already occurred.

Coming to the core of my presentation, CO2 is the currency of life and the most important building block for all life on Earth. All life is carbon-based, including our own. Surely the carbon cycle and its central role in the creation of life should be taught to our children rather than the demonization of CO2, that “carbon” is a “pollutant” that threatens the continuation of life. We know for a fact that CO2 is essential for life and that it must be at a certain level in the atmosphere for the survival of plants, which are the primary food for all the other species alive today. Should we not encourage our citizens, students, teachers, politicians, scientists, and other leaders to celebrate CO2 as the giver of life that it is?

It is a proven fact that plants, including trees and all our food crops, are capable of growing much faster at higher levels of CO2 than present in the atmosphere today. Even at the today’s concentration of 400 ppm plants are relatively starved for nutrition. The optimum level of CO2 for plant growth is about 5 times higher, 2000 ppm, yet the alarmists warn it is already too high. They must be challenged every day by every person who knows the truth in this matter. CO2 is the giver of life and we should celebrate CO2 rather than denigrate it as is the fashion today.

We are witnessing the “Greening of the Earth” as higher levels of CO2, due to human emissions from the use of fossil fuels, promote increased growth of plants around the world. This has been confirmed by scientists with CSIRO in Australia, in Germany, and in North America. Only half of the CO2 we are emitting from the use of fossil fuels is showing up in the atmosphere. The balance is going somewhere else and the best science says most of it is going into an increase in global plant biomass. And what could be wrong with that, as forests and agricultural crops become more productive?

All the CO2 in the atmosphere has been created by outgassing from the Earth’s core during massive volcanic eruptions. This was much more prevalent in the early history of the Earth when the core was hotter than it is today. During the past 150 million years there has not been enough addition of CO2 to the atmosphere to offset the gradual losses due to burial in sediments.

Let’s look at where all the carbon is in the world, and how it is moving around.

Today, at just over 400 ppm CO2 there are 850 billion tons of CO2 in the atmosphere. By comparison, when modern life-forms evolved over 500 million years ago there was nearly 15,000 billion tons of CO2 in the atmosphere, 17 times today’s level. Plants and soils combined contain more than 2,000 billion tons of carbon, more that twice as much as the entire global atmosphere. The oceans contain 38,000 billion tons of dissolved CO2, 45 times as much as in the atmosphere. Fossil fuels, which were made from plants that pulled CO2 from the atmosphere account for 5,000 – 10,000 billion tons of carbon, 6 – 12 times as much carbon as is in the atmosphere.

But the truly stunning number is the amount of carbon that has been sequestered from the atmosphere and turned into carbonaceous rocks. 100,000,000 billion tons, that’s one quadrillion tons of carbon, have been turned into stone by marine species that learned to make armour-plating for themselves by combining calcium and carbon into calcium carbonate. Limestone, chalk, and marble are all of life origin and amount to 99.9% of all the carbon ever present in the global atmosphere. The white cliffs of Dover are made of the calcium carbonate skeletons of coccolithophores, tiny marine phytoplankton.

The vast majority of the carbon dioxide that originated in the atmosphere has been sequestered and stored quite permanently in carbonaceous rocks where it cannot be used as food by plants.

Beginning 540 million years ago at the beginning of the Cambrian Period many marine species of invertebrates evolved the ability to control calcification and to build armour plating to protect their soft bodies. Shellfish such as clams and snails, corals, coccolithofores (phytoplankton) and foraminifera (zooplankton) began to combine carbon dioxide with calcium and thus to remove carbon from the life cycle as the shells sank into sediments; 100,000,000 billion tons of carbonaceous sediment. It is ironic that life itself, by devising a protective suit of armour, determined its own eventual demise by continuously removing CO2 from the atmosphere. This is carbon sequestration and storage writ large. These are the carbonaceous sediments that form the shale deposits from which we are fracking gas and oil today. And I add my support to those who say, “OK UK, get fracking”.

The past 150 million years has seen a steady drawing down of CO2 from the atmosphere. There are many components to this but what matters is the net effect, a removal on average of 37,000 tons of carbon from the atmosphere every year for 150 million years. The amount of CO2 in the atmosphere was reduced by about 90% during this period. This means that volcanic emissions of CO2 have been outweighed by the loss of carbon to calcium carbonate sediments on a multi-million year basis.

If this trend continues CO2 will inevitably fall to levels that threaten the survival of plants, which require a minimum of 150 ppm to survive. If plants die all the animals, insects, and other invertebrates that depend on plants for their survival will also die.

How long will it be at the present level of CO2 depletion until most or all of life on Earth is threatened with extinction by lack of CO2 in the atmosphere?

During this Pleistocene Ice Age, CO2 tends to reach a minimum level when the successive glaciations reach their peak. During the last glaciation, which peaked 18,000 years ago, CO2 bottomed out at 180 ppm, extremely likely the lowest level CO2 has been in the history of the Earth. This is only 30 ppm above the level that plants begin to die. Paleontological research has demonstrated that even at 180 ppm there was a severe restriction of growth as plants began to starve. With the onset of the warmer interglacial period CO2 rebounded to 280 ppm. But even today, with human emissions causing CO2 to reach 400 ppm plants are still restricted in their growth rate, which would be much higher if CO2 were at 1000-2000 ppm.

Here is the shocking news. If humans had not begun to unlock some of the carbon stored as fossil fuels, all of which had been in the atmosphere as CO2 before sequestration by plants and animals, life on Earth would have soon been starved of this essential nutrient and would begin to die. Given the present trends of glaciations and interglacial periods this would likely have occurred less than 2 million years from today, a blink in nature’s eye, 0.05% of the 3.5 billion-year history of life.

No other species could have accomplished the task of putting some of the carbon back into the atmosphere that was taken out and locked in the Earth’s crust by plants and animals over the millennia. This is why I honour James Lovelock in my lecture this evening. Jim was for many years of the belief that humans are the one-and-only rogue species on Gaia, destined to cause catastrophic global warming. I enjoy the Gaia hypothesis but I am not religious about it and for me this was too much like original sin. It was as if humans were the only evil species on the Earth.

But James Lovelock has seen the light and realized that humans may be part of Gaia’s plan, and he has good reason to do so. And I honour him because it takes courage to change your mind after investing so much of your reputation on the opposite opinion. Rather than seeing humans as the enemies of Gaia, Lovelock now sees that we may be working with Gaia to “stave of another ice age”, or major glaciation. This is much more plausible than the climate doom-and gloom scenario because our release of CO2 back into the atmosphere has definitely reversed the steady downward slide of this essential food for life, and hopefully may reduce the chance that the climate will slide into another period of major glaciation. We can be certain that higher levels of CO2 will result in increased plant growth and biomass. We really don’t know whether or not higher levels of CO2 will prevent or reduce the eventual slide into another major glaciation. Personally I am not hopeful for this because the long-term history just doesn’t support a strong correlation between CO2 and temperature.

It does boggle the mind in the face of our knowledge that the level of CO2 has been steadily falling that human CO2 emissions are not universally acclaimed as a miracle of salvation. From direct observation we already know that the extreme predictions of CO2’s impact on global temperature are highly unlikely given that about one-third of all our CO2 emissions have been discharged during the past 18 years and there has been no statistically significant warming. And even if there were some additional warming that would surely be preferable to the extermination of all or most species on the planet.

You heard it here. “Human emissions of carbon dioxide have saved life on Earth from inevitable starvation and extinction due to lack of CO2”. To use the analogy of the Atomic Clock, if the Earth were 24 hours old we were at 38 seconds to midnight when we reversed the trend towards the End Times. If that isn’t good news I don’t know what is. You don’t get to stave off Armageddon every day.

I issue a challenge to anyone to provide a compelling argument that counters my analysis of the historical record and the prediction of CO2 starvation based on the 150 million year trend. Ad hominem arguments about “deniers” need not apply. I submit that much of society has been collectively misled into believing that global CO2 and temperature are too high when the opposite is true for both. Does anyone deny that below 150 ppm CO2 that plants will die? Does anyone deny that the Earth has been in a 50 million-year cooling period and that this Pleistocene Ice Age is one of the coldest periods in the history of the planet?

If we assume human emissions have to date added some 200 billion tons of CO2 to the atmosphere, even if we ceased using fossil fuels today we have already bought another 5 million years for life on earth. But we will not stop using fossil fuels to power our civilization so it is likely that we can forestall plant starvation for lack of CO2 by at least 65 million years. Even when the fossil fuels have become scarce we have the quadrillion tons of carbon in carbonaceous rocks, which we can transform into lime and CO2 for the manufacture of cement. And we already know how to do that with solar energy or nuclear energy. This alone, regardless of fossil fuel consumption, will more than offset the loss of CO2 due to calcium carbonate burial in marine sediments. Without a doubt the human species has made it possible to prolong the survival of life on Earth for more than 100 million years. We are not the enemy of nature but its salvation.

As a postscript I would like to make a few comments about the other side of the alleged dangerous climate change coin, our energy policy, in particular the much maligned fossil fuels; coal, oil, and natural gas.

Depending how it’s tallied, fossil fuels account for between 85-88% of global energy consumption and more than 95% of energy for the transport of people and goods, including our food.

Earlier this year the leaders of the G7 countries agreed that fossil fuels should be phased out by 2100, a most bizarre development to say the least. Of course no intelligent person really believes this will happen but it is a testament to the power of the elites that have converged around the catastrophic human-caused climate change that so many alleged world leaders must participate in the charade. How might we convince them to celebrate CO2 rather than to denigrate it?

A lot of nasty things are said about fossil fuels even though they are largely responsible for our longevity, our prosperity, and our comfortable lifestyles.

Hydrocarbons, the energy components of fossil fuels, are 100% organic, as in organic chemistry. They were produced by solar energy in ancient seas and forests. When they are burned for energy the main products are water and CO2, the two most essential foods for life. And fossil fuels are by far the largest storage battery of direct solar energy on Earth. Nothing else comes close except nuclear fuel, which is also solar in the sense that it was produced in dying stars.

Today, Greenpeace protests Russian and American oil rigs with 3000 HP diesel-powered ships and uses 200 HP outboard motors to board the rigs and hang anti-oil plastic banners made with fossil fuels. Then they issue a media release telling us we must “end our addiction to oil”. I wouldn’t mind so much if Greenpeace rode bicycles to their sailing ships and rowed their little boats into the rigs to hang organic cotton banners. We didn’t have an H-bomb on board the boat that sailed on the first Greenpeace campaign against nuclear testing.

Some of the world’s oil comes from my native country in the Canadian oil sands of northern Alberta. I had never worked with fossil fuel interests until I became incensed with the lies being spread about my country’s oil production in the capitals of our allies around the world. I visited the oil sands operations to find out for myself what was happening there.

It is true it’s not a pretty sight when the land is stripped bare to get at the sand so the oil can be removed from it. Canada is actually cleaning up the biggest natural oil spill in history, and making a profit from it. The oil was brought to the surface when the Rocky Mountains were thrust up by the colliding Pacific Plate. When the sand is returned back to the land 99% of the so-called “toxic oil” has been removed from it.

Anti-oil activists say the oil-sands operations are destroying the boreal forest of Canada. Canada’s boreal forest accounts for 10% of all the world’s forests and the oil-sands area is like a pimple on an elephant by comparison. By law, every square inch of land disturbed by oil-sands extraction must be returned to native boreal forest. When will cities like London, Brussels, and New York that have laid waste to the natural environment be returned to their native ecosystems?

The art and science of ecological restoration, or reclamation as it is called in the mining industry, is a well-established practice. The land is re-contoured, the original soil is put back, and native species of plants and trees are established. It is possible, by creating depressions where the land was flat, to increase biodiversity by making ponds and lakes where wetland plants, insects, and waterfowl can become established in the reclaimed landscape.

The tailings ponds where the cleaned sand is returned look ugly for a few years but are eventually reclaimed into grasslands. The Fort McKay First Nation is under contract to manage a herd of bison on a reclaimed tailings pond. Every tailings pond will be reclaimed in a similar manner when operations have been completed.

As an ecologist and environmentalist for more than 45 years this is good enough for me. The land is disturbed for a blink of an eye in geological time and is then returned to a sustainable boreal forest ecosystem with cleaner sand. And as a bonus we get the fuel to power our weed-eaters, scooters, motorcycles, cars, trucks, buses, trains, and aircraft.

To conclude, carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels is the stuff of life, the staff of life, the currency of life, indeed the backbone of life on Earth.

I am honoured to have been chosen to deliver your annual lecture.

Thank you for listening to me this evening.

I hope you have seen CO2 from a new perspective and will join with me to Celebrate CO2!


See also the live tooning of this event done by Josh, here.

 

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blcjr
Editor
October 15, 2015 9:08 am

As I said in the other thread, superb. If I were still teaching ecology, it would be on the required reading list.

Reply to  blcjr
October 15, 2015 9:45 am

+1

Reply to  Michael Palmer
October 15, 2015 10:48 am

+1

Paul Mackey
Reply to  blcjr
October 16, 2015 5:04 am

Absolutely Fantastic essay.

Reply to  blcjr
October 16, 2015 9:24 am

You seem to be an expert, so maybe you can tell me how much CO2 we SHOULD have.
1000 ppm?
10000 ppm?
1000000 ppm?
“We presume CO2 was at 280 ppm at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, before human activity could have caused a significant impact. I accept that most of the rise from 280 to 400 ppm is caused by human CO2 emissions with the possibility that some of it is due to outgassing from warming of the oceans.”
Considering that most “developing” countries industrialized just in recent years with BILLIONS of people switching from foot, animal and bicycle transportation to cars and from the simple life to heated and air conditioned homes — what is the projection?
Mr. Moore is an industry shill. He conveniently failed to mention CO2 ppm projections, the effect of the increase in human population and the industrialization of developing countries.
How about celebrating CO2 in the closed garage with the engine running?

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 9:35 am

Christine Baker says:
You seem to be an expert
Sounds like Christine wants to learn from the numerous experts here.
The “projection” Ms Baker refers to will not result in even a doubling of CO2. There isn’t enough easily extractable fossil fuel to cause that; the biosphere will sequester a large part of any new CO2 emitted, and doubling CO2 from current 400 ppm would be entirely beneficial, with no downside. Ms Baker would not even be aware of it, if someone didn’t tell her it had happened. Only plants would know, and they would be very happy about it.
The real question is: why does Baker want to deny others what she already has? I suspect Ms Baker is not using her feet or a bicycle for her own transportation needs. Her hypocrisy is not pretty.
Next, “an industry shill” is nothing but an ad hominem logical fallacy, used when the critic cannot think of a rational argument.
Finally, regarding Baker’s last suggestion, like all the eco-hypocrites who want to drastically reduce the planet’s population, I suggest to Ms Baker that she should lead by example.

Reply to  dbstealey
October 17, 2015 12:06 pm

I actually DO try to lead by example. However, I’m not capable of changing how international corporations and corporate owned governments exploit and literally kill off people, animals and our environment not just for profits, but for POWER.
I did NOT at all suggest population reduction. And that’s why I should never post online, so few people have the ability to comprehend what’s REALLY going on.
Moore has long been exposed as a shill for the bio tech, oil and nuclear industry.
If I had MY way, we’d have NO free trade (keeping countless jobs). America wouldn’t ship steel, lumber and other resources to China for production of toxic products shipped back to the US. We would ban ALL GMO crops until they have been LONG TERM tested by INDEPENDENT scientists. We would ban most pesticides, herbicides, insecticides and fungicides. We would ban ALL CAFOs (reducing meat consumption dramatically and eliminating the need for GMO corn and soy). We would ban monoculture. We would eliminate subsidies to corporate farms and instead support family farmers. We would shut down all nuclear and coal power plants. We would ban fracking and REIMBURSE the people who lost their wells and otherwise suffered damages. We would ban fluoride in drinking water. We would ban the countless vaccines and flu shots unnecessarily forced on children and even babies, subjecting them to possibly deadly “side effects”. We would abolish the Federal Reserve. And of course, we would end all wars and covert actions over resources. We would end the corporate funding of elections. We would break up monopolies and support LOCAL businesses.
We would support farmers who provide LOCALLY grown organic NUTRIENT DENSE food and fund related research. We would invest in clean energy and thoroughly TESTED technology.
Well that’s just a short list.
It is shocking that nobody understands or cares how we are destroying our environment, the middle class and most of all, our health and future. American quality of life is decreasing dramatically. Autism, allergies and chronic incurable diseases are caused by our ENVIRONMENT.
Some European leaders have at least a bit of a clue and several countries just banned GMOs. However, it’s a world economy and what happened to Greece IS happening to Americans and all Europeans at a slower rate. The 1% get richer and the working people get to work harder and longer for less pay.
For what it’s worth, unlike Dr. Moore I’m NOT convinced that “global warming” has anything to do with human CO2 emissions. MANY factors can raise average earth temperatures and it’s not clear to me why other planets are also warming. Not to mention the fact that much of the climate data has been manipulated to conform to the expectations of the people (corporations) in charge.
Al Gore is getting STINKING RICH while “saving the planet”, yet he ignores the fact that cows are MAJOR methane sources (watch Cowspiracy on Netflix). The truth is just too inconvenient.
Global warming, just like war, is a racket. Carbon trades and derivatives are just one more way for the rich to get richer.
I am shocked by the many ridiculous responses to my initial post and can only hope that intelligent life is just congregating elsewhere.
Go ahead and celebrate CO2 day. Finance a hummer, worship your stuff and ignore our future.
I don’t have time to respond further, planting greens today.
I did NOT at all suggest population reduction. And that’s why I should never post online, so few people have the ability to comprehend what’s REALLY going on.
Moore has long been exposed as a shill for the bio tech, oil and nuclear industry.
If I had MY way, we’d have NO free trade (keeping countless jobs). America wouldn’t ship steel, lumber and other resources to China for production of toxic products shipped back to the US. We would ban ALL GMO crops until they have been LONG TERM tested by INDEPENDENT scientists. We would ban most pesticides, herbicides, insecticides and fungicides. We would ban ALL CAFOs (reducing meat consumption dramatically and eliminating the need for GMO corn and soy). We would ban monoculture. We would eliminate subsidies to corporate farms and instead support family farmers. We would shut down all nuclear and coal power plants. We would ban fracking and REIMBURSE the people who lost their wells and otherwise suffered damages. We would ban fluoride in drinking water. We would ban the countless vaccines and flu shots unnecessarily forced on children and even babies, subjecting them to possibly deadly “side effects”. We would abolish the Federal Reserve. And of course, we would end all wars and covert actions over resources. We would end the corporate funding of elections. We would break up monopolies and support LOCAL businesses.
We would support farmers who provide LOCALLY grown organic NUTRIENT DENSE food and fund related research. We would invest in clean energy and thoroughly TESTED technology.
Well that’s just a short list.
It is shocking that nobody understands or cares how we are destroying our environment, the middle class and most of all, our health and future. American quality of life is decreasing dramatically. Alzheimers, Autism, allergies and chronic incurable diseases are caused primarily by our ENVIRONMENT — air, water, food and so-called medicine.
Some European leaders have at least a bit of a clue and several countries just banned GMOs. However, it’s a world economy and what happened to Greece IS happening to Americans and all Europeans at a slower rate. The 1% get richer and the working people get to work harder and longer for less pay.
For what it’s worth, unlike Dr. Moore I’m NOT convinced that “global warming” has anything to do with human CO2 emissions. MANY factors can raise average earth temperatures and it’s not clear to me why other planets are also warming. Not to mention the fact that much of the climate data has been manipulated to conform to the expectations of the people (corporations / governments) in charge.
Al Gore is getting STINKING RICH while “saving the planet”, yet he ignores the fact that cows are MAJOR methane sources (watch Cowspiracy on Netflix). The truth is just too inconvenient.
Global warming, just like war, is a racket. Carbon trades and derivatives are just one more way for the rich to get richer.
I am shocked by the many ridiculous responses to my initial post and can only hope that intelligent life is just congregating elsewhere.
Go ahead and celebrate CO2 day. Finance a hummer, worship your stuff and ignore our future.
I don’t have time to respond further, planting greens today.
[Editorially, there are several duplicated paragraphs above. Request your permission to remove those. .mod]

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 17, 2015 12:24 pm

Christine, who has been “killed off”? Names, please.
Next:
Moore has long been exposed as a shill for the bio tech, oil and nuclear industry.
That’s a despicable ad hominem attack. Post credible links if you want to defend it, and make sure none of theose links are from any “green” groups, or from anyone with an enviro-axe to grind.
Next, I’ll skip the off-topic GMO rant and related comments. But you also say:
American quality of life is decreasing dramatically. Autism, allergies and chronic incurable diseases are caused by our ENVIRONMENT.
People are living longer, healthier lives than ever. Environmental pollution has been drastically reduced. So your beliefs are contradicted. Have you ever considered that better records are being kept, and that lots of chronic illnesses are now being categorized, when they used to be lumped together? And please post any links you have showing that incurable diseases, etc., are caused by the ‘environment’ (disregarding the fact that your claim could apply to anything, since we are all part of the environment).
Next:
We would invest in clean energy and thoroughly TESTED technology.
So then you’re against windmills and solar?
Next:
It is shocking that nobody understands or cares how we are destroying our environment…
On your planet maybe. Here on Earth people like the readers of WUWT care as much as anyone for the environment — and probably more than most. Are you unaware that Greenpeace directors commute by airliner when they could take the train? Do you approve of that? Is their hypocrisy A-OK with you?
Next:
MANY factors can raise average earth temperatures and it’s not clear to me why other planets are also warming.
What do all the planets in the Solar System have in common? Yes, CO2. But what else?
And:
Go ahead and celebrate CO2 day. Finance a hummer, worship your stuff and ignore our future.
A snide remark, and a non sequitur. And more than a little projection, or envy there. Which? Both?
Finally:
I don’t have time to respond further, planting greens today.
Do you live in the Southern Hemisphere? Winter is coming on here, it’s not time to plant. Anyway, thank the steady rise in harmless, beneficial CO2 for the growth of green plants. That trace gas has risen from 3 parts in 10,000, to only 4 parts in 10,000 over the past century. But the planet has been measurably GREENING as a direct result, and there is no observed downside. So don’t worry, be happy!
…if you can.

davideisenstadt
Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 9:39 am

Christine:
you do know that the danger arising from running your car in a closed garage is from CO, not CO2?
geez…how about celebrating you inane fear of CO2 by eschewing the products of the life forms that live off of CO2…like plants?

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 12:15 pm

It’s irrelevant. The 14nm waveband where CO2 blocks radiation is already opaque. No amount more can contribute to a greenhouse effect. When single cell life formed on Earth CO2 was at 7% – and that still applies at a cellular level within our bodies – and today we are only at 0.04%. It’s pretty obvious that CO2 is not a problem – it’s a major asset. When the current interglacial warm period is over (probably quite soon) we will be glad of increased CO2 boosting the few crops that will be produced.

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 12:53 pm

Christine Baker …
You just expressed a whole lot of ignorance and hatred in that comment. Ignorance and hatred DO seem to go hand in hand, don’t they?
Industry shill? You may as well have admitted that you did not read the text of Dr Moore’s speech.
PLEASE … learn the difference between CARBON MONOXIDE and CARBON DIOXIDE!
Hint: One is poisonous … the other is essential to life on this planet.
Why don’t YOU tell US how much carbon dioxide we should have? And provide scientific reasoning for your figure. Of course, that means you will have to educated yourself on the difference between CO and CO2.

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 2:51 pm

How stopping photosynthesis became the mission of the green lobby is a head scratcher!?!
http://www.plantsneedco2.org/
#jesuiscarbon

heysuess
Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 3:34 pm

Whoa! WHO exactly is shilling? Cough it up ‘Christine Baker’. Cough it up.
[?? .mod]

Richard
Reply to  Christine Baker
October 16, 2015 8:20 pm

And you can’t resist personal attacks because you have no scientific or technical basis with which to defend your position…except, of course, for climate model outputs. And yet, the farther from reality they diverge, the greater the “confidence” level is that they are correct. It would be very amusing if it wasn’t so pathetic.
Seriously? The closest I’ve found to the types of defenses used by globalwarmists can be found among creationists, who also haven’t a scientific leg to stand on, and who also claim they are practicing science, and biologists are practicing faith.
Make no mistake: the types of attacks and suppression of opposition practiced by globalwarmists is most reminiscent of religionists who fear someone with undermine their “truth”. While globalwarmists haven’t yet managed to execute or jail “deniers”, they certainly have been suggesting it.

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 17, 2015 2:30 pm

Abe …
Wow! I suspect you’d been ‘ingesting’ as you copy-pasted that somewhat lunatic rant.

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 17, 2015 3:50 pm

dbstealey … Oct 17 12:24pm
Your reply to CHRISTINE BAKER’S 2nd anti-science, anti-logic, anti-humanity, and opposite-of-reality rant at Oct 17 12:06pm is spot on. You managed to address many of her irrational beliefs. I was trying to form a coherent response (ie. you know, something other than “are you effin’ CRAZY!”), and you saved me the frustration.
She repeated most of her screed twice. I have a feeling it was another copy and paste job. She had written it all out once, decided she really, really liked it and saved it to use again and again. Unfortunately, her finger ‘stuttered’ and she hit ‘copy’ twice.
But, I noticed something strange. In the 2nd iteration, she lists ALZHEIMER’S as one of the diseases caused by the environment … apparently she had second thoughts, and deleted it from the 1st iteration, not realizing she had copied the whole thing twice. So, somewhere in her thought processes she DOES believe that Alzheimer’s is being caused by something humans have done to the environment.
As you correctly noted, humans are living longer and healthier lives than ever before. That’s exactly WHY humans are living long enough to experience diseases associated with old age, instead of dying young from diseases which are now prevented (by the vaccines she abhors) or are being cured by modern medicine, which I’m sure she also abhors. The same can be said for cancer. And modern technology (ie. evil corporations) is working on those diseases, now, and making progress in combating those.
CHRISTINE BAKER is a prime example of the shallow-thinking and brainwashed doo-doo heads who proclaim their love for humanity but clearly hate humans. She shows all the hallmarks of being a Conspiracy Theorist. She, and only she, understands and CARES (!) what happens to the planet. She also seems to be somewhat schizophrenic as her post today declares that she doesn’t REALLY blame CO2 for global warming … makes me wonder what yesterday’s post was all about, then.
I seem to have gotten off-track. I just wanted to say to you, dbstealey … GOOD JOB!

Reply to  Christine Baker
October 17, 2015 9:13 pm

You seem to be an expert, so maybe you can tell me how much CO2 we SHOULD have.
1000 ppm?
10000 ppm?
1000000 ppm?

An attempt to answer the question aside from the all the vitriol in this thread…
First, it’s a good question.
So let’s consider what plants would like best. There’s a lot of greenhouses out there running extra C02 with a profit motive, so we have pretty good data. As noted in the essay above, somewhere between 1000ppm and 2000ppm is optimal for plants.
However, there’s a lot of oxygen breathers/C02 emitters that depend on a certain chemistry and differential partial pressure for our systems to work (notably us).
There best lower bound I could find was for building air conditioning systems, the OSHA recommends less than 1000ppm, with sometimes noticeable symptoms at 600-1000ppm. (1)
So for humans, mammals, and probably other species, 1000ppm would be about the upper limit.
There’s also some concern for water-breathers, however experiments on pH changes in ocean waters continually get debunked. The ocean has an enormous pH buffer that’s really hard to replicate and it interacts with living things. So no good data for this one.
So to answer your question, a range between 600 and 1000ppm is optimal. We’ll have to burn almost all known and estimated hydrocarbon deposits to get there, which we wouldn’t do as the price goes dramatically up at say the 70%-used point. So we do having something in common with the CAGW – eventually we will all need a different energy source than hydrocarbons. It needs to be cheaper by quite a bit to be successful though. How’s that 25 year window on fusion doing? Still moving I see….
Peter
(1) http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/co2-comfort-level-d_1024.html

Bill Adams
Reply to  Peter Sable
October 17, 2015 11:58 pm

Interesting and thoughtful reply.

Robert Clark
Reply to  Christine Baker
October 19, 2015 7:58 am

It’s not the CO2 in a closed garage that get’s you it’s the CO. But don’t take my word for it try it out.

Reed Guice
Reply to  Christine Baker
October 19, 2015 2:47 pm

People do not die from CO2 when they are in a closed garage with an engine running. They die from carbon monoxide, CO, not carbon dioxide, CO2. I have heard many otherwise intelligent people confuse the two and call CO2 ‘poison’.

Louise
Reply to  Christine Baker
October 21, 2015 4:36 am

Judging from your long exposition below it seems to me you’d like to live in a not-yet-developing country, somewhere really really poor in Africa should do it. No vaccines, no mode of transport, no energy supply, growing your own subsistence (organic) food – it’s a pretty shitty life actually….

October 15, 2015 9:16 am

Remarkably clear, well thought out, absolutely reasonable, thank you. The models have indeed ripened (from another thread) and are ready for burial.

Reply to  Steve Lohr
October 15, 2015 1:45 pm

sorry to be so pedantic…. Over Ripened fruit and vegies (rotten or rotting) are not buried, just take them to the dump together with the rest of the household garbage!!! A fitting end for a rotting carcass..

Phillip Bratby
October 15, 2015 9:19 am

As I said on the other thread, this should be required reading for all politicians.

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
October 15, 2015 10:08 am

I stand by earlier comments that politicians cannot read for meaning, they can only scan to find sound-bites that are consistent with their preconceived notions. Subsequently, I suggest that all politicians should be forced to watch a tape of the speech in much the same fashion that darling little Alex was re-programmed in Clockwork Orange.
http://worldsstrongestlibrarian.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/A-Clockwork-Orange-1971.jpg

DD More
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 15, 2015 12:41 pm

Mark that is so 1970’s. The new way is with magnets.
That’s the question researchers sought to explore in a study published Wednesday in the journal Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience. The “magnetic energy” comes in the form of transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS), a noninvasive procedure that uses a metal coil to send pulses to the brain. By activating certain regions of the brain, doctors have used it for things like measuring the damage of a stroke or—increasingly—treating depression.
These researchers sought to do the opposite—to temporarily disable one part of the brain (the part that responds to threats) and measure its effect on beliefs and prejudices connected to them.
Participants were given two letters written by immigrants—one that commended the U.S., another that criticized it. The text was borrowed from a study in which the negative example was shown to “intensify ethnocentric bias.” Much like the religion model, researchers hypothesized that the group with a temporarily suspended pMFC would be less influenced by the threat of the negative letter, and thus less critical of that immigrant.
In both cases, their predictions rang true. In the participants whose pMFC was temporarily shut down, 32.8 percent fewer expressed belief in God, angels, or heaven. Some 28.5 percent more displayed a positive response toward the immigrant who was critical of America, compared with the control group.

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/10/14/this-magnet-could-change-everything-you-think-you-believe.html

ferdberple
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 15, 2015 6:37 pm

The new way is with magnets.
==============
cell phones create a magnetic field in the brain. no doubt the phone company is programming you to pay their outrageous fees.
http://cdn.thedailybeast.com/content/dailybeast/articles/2015/10/14/this-magnet-could-change-everything-you-think-you-believe/jcr:content/image.crop.800.500.jpg/48161399.cached.jpg

Goldrider
Reply to  Phillip Bratby
October 15, 2015 4:17 pm

Superb! Many thanks for posting!

Dog
October 15, 2015 9:33 am

Where can I watch this?

Reply to  Dog
October 15, 2015 1:19 pm

Dog,
Yes, agree.
It would be good to see the video of his lecture that would include any slides he used. Body language would also be nice to see.
John

October 15, 2015 9:39 am

I loved the discussion about the oil sands. As a native Albertan, I am sick of hearing how we are destroying our environment. The accusastions usualy comes from places that actualy have destroyed their environment like Ontario (with their mining wast killing many lakes). It is good to hear from an ecologist that the process is working will up in the North of my province!

MikeC
October 15, 2015 10:00 am

That is powerful stuff. I’ve forwarded this link to some who frown at my skepticism.

Don B
October 15, 2015 10:02 am

Excellent.
Just a comment about historical sea levels. In H. H. Lamb’s classic Climate, History and the Modern World, he wrote that the highest sea level occurred about 2,000 BC.

October 15, 2015 10:02 am

Finally someone discussing geological time instead of a few paltry thousands of years.

DD More
Reply to  William Gitchell (@wmgitchell)
October 15, 2015 12:50 pm

Trees died atop one another until they were 100 metres or more in depth. This was the making of the great coal beds around the world as this huge store of sequestered carbon continued to build for 90 million years.,
And fossil fuels are by far the largest storage battery of direct solar energy on Earth.

Radiometric testing of the layers of volcanic ash surrounding the fossil has revealed the approximate age of the jawbone to be between 2.75 and 2.8 million years old, which makes it the earliest evidence of the Homo genus ever discovered.
So solar energy was collected and stored for 30 times the length of time Homo genus [Us] has been on earth. Shame not to use that old sunlight.

jsuther2013
October 15, 2015 10:09 am

An exceptional lecture. I wish there had been a canvas of his audience before and after, as to what they believed about the role of carbon dioxide on this planet of ours.

blcjr
Editor
Reply to  jsuther2013
October 15, 2015 10:51 am

Given the venue, I would expect most of them to already be receptive to a favorable view of CO2.

Goldrider
Reply to  jsuther2013
October 15, 2015 4:17 pm

Wish he could make this as a featured speech in Paris!

Barry Sheridan
October 15, 2015 10:13 am

Thanks for publishing this speech. A clearly stated refresh on important fundamentals.

cd153
October 15, 2015 10:14 am

I’ve said this before and I say it again: I sure wish Dr. Moore was American instead of Canadian because he would make a great choice as the next head of the EPA. A huge improvement over Gina McCarthy.

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  cd153
October 15, 2015 10:25 am

The Constitution does not set qualifications for members of the President’s Cabinet. The only requirements are that the President nominates a person as Secretary and the Senate confirms the appointment. Henry Kissinger and Madeleine Albright come to mind as members of the Cabinet that were born outside the U.S.

MarkW
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 15, 2015 10:52 am

There’s an unresolved question in that regard. The constitution itself declares that the vice president would take the president’s place if the president is unable to continue in office. There’s another amendment that sets of the order of succession past that point, including the heads of the cabinet positions going by age of the cabinet positions.
It could be argued that anyone who is in the line of succession would have to be eligible to be president if things were to get to that point.
Another position is that any ineligible person would just be skipped over.
The supreme court has never ruled on the question.

MarkW
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 15, 2015 10:53 am

PS: You don’t have to be born in the US to become a president, you just have to have been born a US citizen, as opposed to being naturalized later in life.

Lynn Clark
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 16, 2015 1:01 am

EPA Administrator is the head honcho of a federal agency, not a member of the President’s cabinet. Methinks you’re conflating the EPA Administrator with Secretary of the Interior, which *is* a cabinet position.

robert sjoberg
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 16, 2015 10:55 am

Lynn, good catch there. Bravo the speech!

Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
October 17, 2015 8:57 pm

MarkW:
In the event succession came to a member of the cabinet who was not qualified to serve as President, succession would pass to the next most senior member. Exactly this situation would have been the case when Henry Kissinger was Secretary of State. There is also a minimum age requirement for President (35 years) while there is no such requirement for cabinet members. So conceivably we could have a US-born Secretary of State (or Speaker of the House who is 3rd in the line of succession) under the age of 35 who would be skipped over for that reason.

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  cd153
October 15, 2015 10:25 am

And I concur on your sentiment, an excellent choice for EPA

cd153
Reply to  cd153
October 15, 2015 10:49 am

Thanks for your reply Mark. However, doesn’t the EPA head have to be an American citizen? Dr. Moore isn’t a U.S. citizen, or is he? I read his book and I know he runs (or at least used to own and run) a fish farm up in his native British Columbia.

Sabertooth
Reply to  cd153
October 15, 2015 1:48 pm

I’m aware of no such requirement for EPA head.

Mike Henderson
Reply to  cd153
October 15, 2015 2:47 pm

Green card.

October 15, 2015 10:15 am

Long way of saying, “CO2 is a fine plant food.”.
Patrick,
Myself a person of native American gene code did enter the Greenpeace Org.. Gave time, went in boats, used my “Little Creek VA” skills, my operation igloowhite lat./lon. skills, EE skills yet.
Once upon a time when I had issues with the new political agenda I was escorted to the door and advised that “people like you” are not needed and “if your smart you will not come back”, advise I took.
As I have noted here prior, some of these Greenie Greedy need to do the “Climate Study” out of air conditioned buildings and on the ground in say Southwestern New Mexico, sort of to get the real feel of it all.
The old ones of Chaco Canyon did better with rounded rocks leaning up with circles and arrow like lines showing the way.
Thanks for these fine words herein above.
From a forward operation person

Dodgy Geezer
October 15, 2015 10:17 am

Heretic! Have him executed!
And all the mechanical engineers, thinking of the gigantic projects they could be involved in to capture and store CO2, stayed silent….

October 15, 2015 10:20 am

This is the speech that Congress should hear!
Thank you Dr. Patrick Moore for a rather excellent summation of an extremely complex subject!

October 15, 2015 10:24 am

To supplement Dr. Moore’s speech from an oldie but goody article I came across the other day with quotes from Richard Lindzen, Roy Spencer, John Christie, Fred Singer, Ian Plimer, Tom Segalstad, Tim Ball, Keith Idso and more … plus references
http://www.populartechnology.net/2008/11/carbon-dioxide-co2-is-not-pollution.html

Bill Arledge
October 15, 2015 10:33 am

It would be nearly impossible, especially considering your remarkable background, to thank you enough for this finest, most complete (and timeliest) explanation of the importance of hydrocarbons and CO2 in Earth’s life cycles and modern civilization’s well being.

Editor
October 15, 2015 10:34 am

Absolutely amazing piece of writing and logic. In a few thousand words, Dr Moore has managed to stand the AGW argument on its head. I would be very worried if CO2 levels dropped below 300 ppm let alone to 1/2 of that. If anyone thinks that AGW could break limestone down into CaO and CO2, think again that process only occurs at temperatures above 800 Celsius, even the most hardened warmist does not think we will get temperatures that high due to man-made CO2.

Being and Time
Reply to  andrewmharding
October 15, 2015 9:21 pm

One minor correction: Actually the process is only favorable at temperatures above 800 C, but the species are in equilibrium at all temperatures.

October 15, 2015 10:37 am

Error alert.
While Patrick Moore was a key person in Greenpeace, holding executive positions and working to sort out the mess with other people setting up “Greenpeace” in other countries (an IP theft), he was not a founder.
Part of the confusion comes from a Greenpeace web page showing a photograph of a group they labeled as founders, but were actually at a somewhat later time. (IIRC when they planned to sail a ship near a nuclear weapons test off of Alaska. Moose was involved in that.)
Greenpeace removed the photo from their web site, but people including me have a copy.

MarkW
Reply to  Keith Sketchley
October 15, 2015 10:55 am

Greenpeace has been trying to push that lie ever since Dr. Moore left the plantation.

Steve Jones
Reply to  MarkW
October 15, 2015 11:07 am
blcjr
Editor
Reply to  Keith Sketchley
October 15, 2015 11:10 am

Your reference to “a somewhat later time” could be misleading. The precursor to Greenpeace was the “Don’t Make A Wave Committee” founded in 1970. True, Moore did not join ranks with the original group until 1971, but he was accepted into their inner circle, and was part of the group to formally change the name of “Don’t Make A Wave Committee” to Greenpeace that year, which is why he was considered, at least until 2005, to be a “founder” of Greenpeace. The page and photo you reference as being removed is retrievable from the Wayback Machine:
http://web.archive.org/web/20051216000251/http://www.greenpeace.org/international/about/history/founders

ferd berple
Reply to  blcjr
October 15, 2015 1:02 pm

In 1970, the Don’t Make A Wave Committee was established; its sole objective was to stop a second nuclear weapons test at Amchitka Island in the Aleutians. The committee’s founders and first members included:
• Paul Cote, a law student at the University of British Columbia
• Jim Bohlen, a former deep-sea diver and radar operator in the US Navy
• Irving Stowe, a Quaker and Yale-educated lawyer
• Patrick Moore, ecology student at the University of British Columbia
• Bill Darnell, a social worker
Darnell came up with the dynamic combination of words to bind together the group’s concern for the planet and opposition to nuclear arms. In the words of Bob Hunter, “Somebody flashed two fingers as we were leaving the church basement and said “Peace!” Bill said “Let’s make it a Green Peace. And we all went Ommmmmmmm.” The committee was renamed Greenpeace.
The group organised a boat, the Phyllis Cormack, and set sail to Amchitka to “bear witness” (a Quaker tradition of silent protest) to the nuclear test. On board were:
• Captain John Cormack, the boat’s owner
• Jim Bohlen, Greenpeace
• Bill Darnell, Greenpeace
• Patrick Moore, Greenpeace
• Dr Lyle Thurston, medical practitioner
• Dave Birmingham, engineer
• Terry Simmons, cultural geographer
• Richard Fineberg, political science teacher
• Robert Hunter, journalist
• Ben Metcalfe, journalist
• Bob Cummings, journalist
• Bob Keziere, photographer

Reply to  Keith Sketchley
October 15, 2015 12:07 pm

Keith S. says:
Greenpeace removed the photo from their web site…
“He who controls the past…” ~Orwell
Greenpeace is doing two things here.
First, they are trying to erase Dr. Moore from the original group. Has anyone else been ‘erased’ like that? Out of numerous folks getting together at the time, surely there are others who could be ‘accused’ of not being one of the anointed ones. But only Dr. Moore is singled out.
Th erstwhile Soviet Union made a practice of erasing people from history, including some of its most successful generals, without whom they would probably have lost WWII. That shows the total corruption and dishonesty of the Soviet system. It is interesting that the current Greenpeace organization copies them.
And secondly: Greenpeace loves to engage in this kind of ad hominem discussion, because it takes the spotlight off of what Dr. Moore is saying: that CO2 is harmless, and it is beneficial to the biosphere (the OISM Petition to the proposed Kyoto Protocol says exactly the same thing).
Greenpeace is emitting propaganda, nothing less. Who really cares if any one person was or wasn’t at any particular meeting on any particular date? It began as an ad hoc group of environmentalists, then it gradually morphed into something more organized and official, tax-free status and all.
Dr. Moore once again validates my hypothesis that Gresham’s Law applies to organizations and bureaucracies, just like it applies to circulating money: the bad drives out the good. Over time, in almost every bureaucracy you can think of.
Patrick Moore was undoubtedly the most ethical individual of any in the current Greenpeace leadership. We’ve all heard the stories of Greenpeace directors living high on the hog off members’ dues money; traveling by jet plane instead of by a slightly less convenient, but very green rail. And there has never been an independent outside audit of Greenpeace finances. You can bet that if there were, it would show corruption on a vast scale. Large amounts of unaccountable cash makes that inevitable.
An example: I go to a local farmers’ market every week. At least a dozen Greenpeace volunteers are there all the time, collecting cash donations from the public, which are then handed in to their chain of command. The cash goes eventually to HQ, and there’s no accounting for it except internally.
Greenpeace got its lesson plan from Ralph Nader’s PIRGs (Publiuc Interest Research Groups). They are set up in every state and on every college campus. Forbes magazing did an exposé on Nader’s PIRGS (CalPIRG, and literally hundreds of others). Forbes estimated many $millions flowed into Nader’s pockets annually, without any accounting. Nader is a lawyer. He wrote to Forbes threatening them with a lawsuit if they didn’t retract their story (Forbes printed his letter).
Forbes also printed their response: ‘Our story is factual. Sue us.’ Nader quietly went away. That was at least twenty years ago.
Greenpeace (and plenty of other eco-groups) are doing the same thing. Their credulous members, and the credulous public, shovels money, including large amounts of cash, into those groups. Much of that money buys politicians, including our chief Commmunity Organizer (who is on record saying he wants to be the first ex-President billionaire… *hint, hint*).
Greenpeace as it is currently run is corrupt. It is now a front organization, pushing an agenda that has much less to do with the environment than with leftist politics. It has become very powerful. But along the way, ethical people like Dr. Moore have disengaged themselves.
Moore could have easily become filthy rich, had he remained and toed the Party line. To his great credit, he placed his personal morals above money. Maybe most people would do that also. But Gresham’s Law takes effect over time; the bad drives out the good. That leaves only the bad. As we see in today’s Greenpeace.
(For those interested, Gresham’s Law can be easily searched. But the short elevator speech is this: good money drives bad money out of circulation. When gold dollars and paper dollars were in circulation in the 1800’s, the gold quickly disappeared — it was hoarded. When people got gold, they kept it, and paid in fiat paper. So that’s the analogy, which applies to good and bad people in organizations, too.)

Steve Jones
Reply to  dbstealey
October 15, 2015 12:15 pm
Reply to  dbstealey
October 15, 2015 1:07 pm

By “independent” I actually meant “independent”, meaning an auditor selected by a neutral 3rd party, not by Greenpeace. Sorry for not making that clearer.

Steve Jones
Reply to  dbstealey
October 15, 2015 1:16 pm

Do you consider the I.R.S. to be “independent?”
..
http://www.democracynow.org/2006/3/24/irs_audited_greenpeace_at_request_of

Reply to  Steve Jones
October 15, 2015 1:18 pm

No.

Reply to  dbstealey
October 15, 2015 4:10 pm

The I.R.S. independent — of WHAT? It lives at the teat of big government.

TCE
Reply to  dbstealey
October 15, 2015 8:05 pm

I like your reference to Gresham’s Law. It is especially true of institutions. The larger they are, the more susceptible they are to organizational failure.

landrews
Reply to  dbstealey
October 16, 2015 8:25 am

Steve Jones and your laughable presentation of the IRS as “independent” auditor of leftist organizations like Greenpeace. Have you not heard of the IRS being caught red handed selectively auditing conservative organizations and blocking their applications for tax free status? Lois Lerner of the IRS took the fifth and resigned but it’s still being investigated for possible links to the Obama administration instead of the rogue operation it was presented as in the attempted cover up.

Reply to  Keith Sketchley
October 15, 2015 1:23 pm
BruceC
Reply to  Keith Sketchley
October 15, 2015 8:51 pm

The name ‘Greenpeace’ in 1971 is nothing more than the nickname of the vessel ‘Phyllis Cormack’ (named after her captain John Cormack’s wife) which was purchased by the Don’t Make a Wave Committee (DMaWC) with funds raised by an out-door concert organized by the DMaWC. The flyers produced for this concert also had the name ‘Green Peace’ written on them, again paid for by the DMaWC. As a side-note, it was Phil Cote who sent Moore to Fraser River dock to inspect the ‘Phyllis Cormack’.
January 21, 1972: The Don’t Make a Wave Committee resolved to change its name to the Greenpeace Foundation. The Metcalfes, the Hunters, Patrick Moore, Rod Marining, and others remained active. The Stowes and Bohlens withdrew but stayed in contact with the Metcalfes. Stowe’s closing financial statement showed that between June 1970 and December 31, 1971, the Don’t Make A Wave Committee raised $62,703, and spent $53,025 on the Amchitka campaign. Stowe turned over $9,678 to Dorothy and Ben Metcalfe.
May 4, 1972: The Provincial Societies office in Victoria, British Columbia registered the name, “Greenpeace Foundation.”
So when did Greenpeace start/form? According to Bob Hunter (who became President of the Greenpeace Foundation in 1973-1977), it was on the return journey of that 1st voyage to Amchitka which departed on September 15, 1971;
“The key moment of the trip came a day before we limped back into Vancouver. As we all sat slumped in the galley, burned out, Bohlen announced that he was going to shut down the Don’t Make a Wave Committee as soon as he got the chance. It was an ad hoc group and it had done its thing. Don’t do that, I told him. Why waste all this hard-earned media capital? Fold the committee, sure, but reconstitute it as the Greenpeace Foundation. That was my main contribution, yet the moment did not find its way into my manuscript. It was an element of hope for a future revolution, and I was not hopeful as I bobbed in the harbour at Steveston, heartsick and over-medicated, writing the story of our failure. In the end I told the truth as I saw it, supposedly as it was, never mind loyalty to the cause.”
Jones, Oct 15 – 11.07am
Also note the the letter is addressed to, and replied from; ‘The Don’t Make a Wave Committee’. Bob Hunter, who many regard as the ‘Father’ of Greenpeace also wrote a letter for permission to board the vessel.

October 15, 2015 10:38 am

Right on! Here is a bit more:
A peer reviewed paper published in Energy & Environment, Volume 26, No. 5, 2015, 841-845 demonstrates CO2 has no effect on climate. The most convincing evidence is that there has been no sustained temperature change during the last 500 million years in spite of the CO2 level being always at least 150 ppmv as required for life as we know it to have evolved.
Following is the abstract to the paper
:
Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) has had no significant effect on average global temperature. This deduction employs existing data and the computational mandate that temperature change is in response to the time-integral of the net forcing; not proportionately to the instantaneous value of the net forcing itself. This finding also strongly suggests that Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is flawed and climate sensitivity (the increase in average global temperature (AGT) due to doubling of CO2) is not significantly different from zero.
These findings are also documented in the section headed “Demonstration that CO2 has no significant effect on AGT” of the analysis at http://agwunveiled.blogspot.com The AGWunveiled analysis also identifies (near perfect R^2=0.97 since before 1900) the two factors that do cause reported average global temperature change (sunspot number is the only independent variable).

Mike M. (period)
Reply to  Dan Pangburn
October 15, 2015 11:37 am

Dan Pangburn,
“temperature change is in response to the time-integral of the net forcing”
But that is pure bunk. The link you provide make the implicit assumption that no energy every leaves planet Earth:
“A forcing adds energy to earth analogous to speed adding distance on a trip. Both need to operate for a duration to accumulate any energy change to the planet or distance on the trip. If the forcing is constant, the energy change is simply the forcing times the duration.”
and:
“If CO2 is a forcing, the temperature could only increase”.
Complete nonsense.

Reply to  Mike M. (period)
October 15, 2015 12:50 pm

If you cannot even understand the simple math you have probably been hoodwinked by the rest of the consensus mistake as well.

ferd berple
Reply to  Mike M. (period)
October 15, 2015 1:15 pm

But that is pure bunk
=========
If you want to know if the pedal affects the speed of your car, you need to analyse how long the pedal has been pressed. If you simply were to compare your speed to the position of the pedal you would get a misleading result, because you can be going very slow with the pedal fully depressed, or very fast with your foot completely off the gas.
Thus correlating the amount of CO2 with temperature is wrong. You need to correlate the time-integral with temperature. Beyond that, you also need to account for losses, which limit the increase in speed (temperature) beyond a certain point.

Corky
October 15, 2015 10:41 am

It is only those receiving benefits from the CO2 —–> AGW/CC that will continue to bleed humanity for their personal profit and the control of others. I used to be amazed at what I considered their disconnect from the real world, when I didn’t understand their true motive was to use the environmental mantra to cloak their end game. Thank you for shining true light on this sham, Dr. Moore.

Alcheson
October 15, 2015 10:47 am

Have yet to see any of the frequent cAGW types commenting on this article yet, telling us it is all lies and fabrications and that indeed CO2 is pollution and humanity (at least billions if not all) will perish by 2100 if we don’t reduce CO2 back to 350ppm or lower. Hard to argue with the obvious and common sense, so I suspect they will just choose to ignore it.

Joe Crawford
October 15, 2015 10:55 am

Thank you for posting this Anthony. It is probably the most cogent argument I have yet seen for shutting down the CAGW scam.

Sally
October 15, 2015 11:06 am

As ever, Patrick Moore stands up as a voice of rationalism in the very irrational field of ecology!!!

David Grange
October 15, 2015 11:23 am

A superb, succinct and elegantly expressed digest of the genuine science of CO2 (and water vapour). In a few words the speaker has put forward a damning argument against the pseudo “science” polluting the broadcasters, academic institutions and newsvendors of today. Bravo!

October 15, 2015 11:23 am

This is a somewhat modified update from The Ninth International Conference on Climate Change in Las Vegas, USA, on the 8th July, 2014.

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