A letter to the editor which appeared in the Norman, OK Transcript on Tuesday, February 17th, reprinted here with permission of the author, Dr. David Deming:
I write in rebuttal to the Feb. 12 letter by Nancy Smart advising us to “listen” to climate scientists. According to Ms. Smart, climate science is “settled.” Instead of thinking for ourselves, she recommends we obsequiously follow the dictates of “our most respected and highest level scientific agencies.”
Whenever someone asserts that a scientific question is “settled,” they tell me immediately that they don’t understand the first thing about science. Science is never settled. Science is not a dogmatic body of doctrine. It is an open system of knowledge that establishes probable truths that are subject to continual revision. The entire history of science is one of established theories being overthrown. Astronomers once believed the Sun revolved around the Earth. Naturalists maintained that species were immutable. Geologists thought continental drift was physically impossible. Physicians attempted to cure people by blood-letting. Are we to suppose that the process of history has stopped?
Ms. Smart claims that 2014 was the warmest year on record. But there is no such thing as a measured temperature for the entire Earth. Estimates of climate change are not data, but interpretations produced by manipulating data of dubious quality. Anthony Watts’ survey of meteorological stations in the US has shown that more than 90 percent of temperature sensors may have systematic errors larger than 1 degree Celsius. Watts and his colleagues have found thermometers sitting in asphalt parking lots next to air conditioner vents blowing out hot air. To verify their claim of the “hottest year on record,” climate researchers must reconstruct the temperature record of the entire planet since the year 1880. Pray tell. If our current system of temperature measurement in the United States is unreliable, how can you expect us to believe that you can accurately estimate what the temperature of the South Pacific Ocean was in the year 1890?
We are told that there is an increase in the “number and frequency” of “extreme weather events.” Ms. Smart is long on vague generalities but short on specifics. If the weather is deteriorating so badly, its strange that she can’t list even one of these alleged weather events. In fact, weather is not climate and the climate is not changing. Global hurricane and cyclone activity is near a forty-three-year low. There has been no increase in tornadoes in the US. Neither droughts nor wildfires have increased. The poles are not melting. There has been no significant change in the global extent of sea ice since satellite monitoring began in 1979.
Scientific hypotheses are not proved; they are corroborated or falsified. But global warming is the hypothesis that can never be falsified. Several years ago, we were told that global warming meant the end of snow in winter. Then the east coast of the US suffered devastating blizzards in 2010 (“Snowmageddon“). A few days later the party line was retroactively modified with the preposterous claim that global warming would produce less snow but more blizzards. Hot weather, cold weather, it makes no difference. Every weather event is portrayed as being consistent with global warming. That’s because global warming is not a scientific hypothesis, but a dogmatic ideology. It resembles nothing so much as Bible-based creation science.
Ms. Smart proposes a “solution” to global warming entailing something she describes as a “carbon fee and dividend program.” She claims this is a “market-based approach” that will “help the economy and create jobs.” Nonsense. If it were “market-based” it would not have to be imposed coercively through government. Spending, labeled “investment,” in failed “green energy” programs and companies over the last few years has been an utter debacle. Over $500. million was lost on Solyndra alone. The reason these programs don’t work is that you can’t change the laws of physics and chemistry through wishful thinking and political action. Reality imposes constraints even on people who are detached from it.
Neither is the “solution” a solution. You don’t have to be a climate scientist to understand arithmetic. The per capita annual carbon generated in the US from using fossil fuels is about 4.4 tons. Norman’s population is 120,000. So if carbon emissions for the entire city went to zero, we would prevent 528,000 tons of carbon from entering the atmosphere each year. That sounds like an impressive number, but its only 0.000528 gigatons (GT). The Earth’s atmosphere contains 720 GT of carbon. The oceans contain 38,400 GT. Every year, the atmosphere and oceans exchange about 90 GT of carbon. Nothing the city of Norman does is going to measurably change the composition of Earth’s atmosphere, and any claim to the contrary is utterly irrational.
Carbon dioxide is not a pollutant, and the Earth’s climate is not changing. So please, give it a rest. We’re tired of the array of tendentious claims and the endless litany of hysterical doom-mongering.
David Deming
Norman, Oklahoma
email: ddeming@ou.edu
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First, I resent the comparison to “Bible Based Creation ‘science'”. The toilet papers which absorbed the fecal matter deserving to be flushed are far less scientific.
Hitting the “Mute” button does not make something immutable.
Cream rises to the top. Dirt and such “settles” to the bottom, hence “settled science”.
As to “blood-letting” there have been calls for the execution of “deniers”.
I believe I know how this “JUNK SCIENCE” got started.
It took me about a year of monitoring all the Climate Scientists, NOAA, and just about everything that was written about “The Climate” to see that their data has been “peer” approved, averaged, and put through some sort of “model” before placing it in the public square for consumption.
I finally became interested in the new fangled gadgits that are available to measure the imperical information that is available to everyone without using those hard to read ,scientifically filtered data sets we have on net as some “product”. Well, when I look at the real time, and pure information you can see on a Barometer setting on your desk and see that no model has been produced to actually see the detail that the Hg has available.
All the talk in the world does not even refer to the actual devices and what they are showing us. The scientists are instead looking up the data on their favorite website and writing a paper to submit for money.
For example the Barometer has been hijacked from the original use, seeing something coming on the horrizon and replaced by the fantsy digital version containing automatic calibrations and little sub programs to tell you the average for the month and year. BUNK, by the time it gets to the Weather Scientists, it has lost alot of flavor. It must be easy to jump to someone else’s work as if it is the truth.
WELL, Something is happening at HIGH NOON that even the scientists can not explain and doing nothing to understand what it is. Why is it? Back to peer data. Without a fine set of real data, it is impossible to see what is really happening at high noon. It took me two weeks of scratching my head before I realized even those barometers reading in Mb were not even accurate enough to see the nuances of nature that occur on God’s earth at high noon.
Now give me an instrument that gives me Hg in three decimal places and that is when my Rainbow Stew arrives.
At this time last year a pilgrimage to the Holy Land – warm and sunny. Yesterday my paper had a picture of 8 inches of snow at the Wailing Wall. Great Lakes frozen over? USA ‘s eastern states blizzarded? Is 2015 going to be a COLD DROP year? I’d love to be able to track Valentia’s temperature (just love Valentia – so rural, so far west, radiates NAVTEX for yotties) on a daily basis unadjusted versus recent average. Anyone know how?