Time Magazine's Jeffrey Kluger writes what might possibly be the stupidest article about climate ever – climate change causes volcanoes

The stupid, it burns like a magnesium flare.

volcanoes-climateExcerpt from the article:

Now, you can add yet another problem to the climate change hit list: volcanoes. That’s the word from a new study conducted in Iceland and accepted for publication in Geophysical Research Letters. The finding is bad news not just for one comparatively remote part of the world, but for everywhere.

Iceland has always been a natural lab for studying climate change. It may be spared some of the punishment hot, dry places like the American southwest get, but when it comes to glacier melt, few places are hit harder. About 10% of the island nation’s surface area is covered by about 300 different glaciers—and they’re losing an estimated 11 billion tons of ice per year. Not only is that damaging Icelandic habitats and contributing to the global rise in sea levels, it is also—oddly—causing the entire island to rise. And that’s where the trouble begins.

Riiight.

Here’s the money quote:

“As the glaciers melt, the pressure on the underlying rocks decreases,” Compton said in an e-mail to TIME. “Rocks at very high temperatures may stay in their solid phase if the pressure is high enough. As you reduce the pressure, you effectively lower the melting temperature.” The result is a softer, more molten subsurface, which increases the amount of eruptive material lying around and makes it easier for more deeply buried magma chambers to escape their confinement and blow the whole mess through the surface.

“High heat content at lower pressure creates an environment prone to melting these rising mantle rocks, which provides magma to the volcanic systems,” says Arizona geoscientist Richard Bennett, another co-author.

Perhaps anticipating the climate change deniers’ uncanny ability to put two and two together and come up with five, the researchers took pains to point out that no, it’s not the very fact that Icelandic ice sits above hot magma deposits that’s causing the glacial melting. The magma’s always been there; it’s the rising global temperature that’s new. At best, only 5% of the accelerated melting is geological in origin.

So, Iceland has had melting glaciers, OK we’ll accept that, but Iceland is not the world, and a good number of volcanoes that have erupted in the last century are in the tropical parts of the world where there are no glaciers on the volcanoes or magma fields, yet somehow, this writer, Jeffrey Kluger, extrapolates Iceland’s glacier melt to volcano link up to to the entire world.

To the uniniformed (such as Time Magazine writers), graphs like this one might seem to be “proof” of such Icelandic-to-global extrapolation:

volcano-2[1]Source data: http://volcano.si.edu/

Gosh, it sure looks like another slam dunk for carbon dioxide driven climate hell in a handbasket, doesn’t it? The VEI starts increasing right about the time of the industrial revolution.

For those unfamiliar: The volcanic explosivity index (VEI) was devised by Chris Newhall of the US Geological Survey and Stephen Self at the University of Hawaii in 1982 to provide a relative measure of the explosiveness of volcanic eruptions. (Wikipedia)

But, there’s a hitch, according to NOAA data, volcanic activity worldwide actually went DOWN in the 2000’s while the climate changing carbon dioxide went UP in global concentration:

Volcanoes-figure-2[1]
Source: PLOS One The Human Impact of Volcanoes: a Historical Review of Events 1900-2009 and Systematic Literature Review (2013)
co2_data_mlo[1]Correlation isn’t causation, at least when it comes to CO2 and climate and volcanoes.

Something that DID increase during the study period was the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). Guess where Iceland is? In the North Atlantic, which has been in the warm phase since about 1980.

The Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) is a mode of natural variability occurring in the North Atlantic Ocean and which has its principle expression in the sea surface temperature (SST) field. The AMO is identified as a coherent pattern of variability in basin-wide North Atlantic SSTs with a period of 60-80 years.

AMO_fig123[1]Source: http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/catalog/climind/AMO.html

Gee, do you think maybe, possibly, that Iceland might have more glacier melt when the AMO is warmer? The authors don’t seem to be cognizant of it, preferring instead to cite the universal bogeyman “climate change”.

Here is the publication that is cited in the Time article:

Climate driven vertical acceleration of Icelandic crust measured by CGPS geodesy

Abstract

Earth’s present-day response to enhanced glacial melting resulting from climate change can be measured using Global Positioning System (GPS) technology. We present data from 62 continuously operating GPS instruments in Iceland. Statistically significant upward velocity and accelerations are recorded at 27 GPS stations, predominantly located in the Central Highlands region of Iceland, where present-day thinning of the Iceland ice caps results in velocities of more than 30 mm/yr and uplift accelerations of 1-2 mm/yr2. We use our acceleration estimates to back-calculate to a time of zero velocity, which coincides with the initiation of ice loss in Iceland from ice mass balance calculations and Arctic warming trends. We show, through a simple inversion, a direct relationship between ice mass balance measurements and vertical position and show that accelerated unloading is required to reproduce uplift observations for a simple elastic layer over viscoelastic half-space model.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2014GL062446/abstract

Again, no mention of the world here, only Iceland. Compare that to the baseless claim made by the TIME writer Jeffrey Kluger:

The finding is bad news not just for one comparatively remote part of the world, but for everywhere.

Newsflash Mr. Kluger: Iceland is not “everywhere”, and the authors make no claim about the issue affecting the rest of the Earth.

WUWT reader Mike Bromley writes something on his Facebook page that I really can’t improve upon:

Plate tectonics….caused by climate change. No mention of the fact that Iceland has one of the highest geothermal heat fluxes on the planet, that its geomorphology is controlled by vulcanism, that many of the scientific terms for glacial melt features are in Icelandic Language, and oh boy, 11 billion tons of ice is really not that much, in fact, one eruption of Hekla or Eyjafjallajokull would release about that much ice.

These people have zero shame, and even less uniformitarian common sense. They elevate conjecture to the level of fact, for an uncritical media to spew around in alarming terms. This one takes the cake. Vote Green, everyone. Soon you’ll find out what living under nature is all about.

We’ll have more on this later, readers are encouraged to add comments regarding this inanity.

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Steve P
January 30, 2015 3:13 pm

ecoGuy
January 30, 2015 at 11:40 am

I blame it on the schools, people are often taught how to write good English at the expense of never been taught basic logic.

The stupid, it burns like a magnesium flare.

Not to be too pedantic, but “stupid” is an adjective. I suppose this phrase was popularized on TV, but the noun is stupidity. Sorry to nitpick, but “…the stupid it burns” is in the same class with “expect great,” which was or perhaps still is the slogan of the WNBA, and don’t get me started about that.
-☺-
My understanding is perhaps flawed, but I recall reading recently that the existence of the long postulated mantle plumes has been disputed.


Textbook Theory Behind Volcanoes May Be Wrong

In the typical textbook picture, volcanoes, such as those that are forming the Hawaiian islands, erupt when magma gushes out as narrow jets from deep inside Earth. But that picture is wrong, according to a new study from researchers at Caltech and the University of Miami in Florida.

http://www.caltech.edu/content/textbook-theory-behind-volcanoes-may-be-wrong
http://authors.library.caltech.edu/49341/
Unknown cause, methinks.

Mike Bromley the Kurd
Reply to  Steve P
January 30, 2015 6:32 pm

“MAY be wrong” OK, it MAY be right. First I’ve ever heard of a plume as being a “Jet”. And what explains the progression of the Hawaiian chain in a northwesterly direction, with the youngest vulcanism at its extreme southeastern end? It can be demonstrated by seafloor spreading that the Pacific ocean plate moved over a stationary phenomenon that somehow localizes the effusion of magma. Seismic tomography has shown there to be a velocity (read thermal) anomaly under the big island.

mebbe
Reply to  Steve P
January 30, 2015 6:52 pm

Steve P,
You and I appear to be the frontrunners in the race for the WUWT most ludicrous comment prize.
You for your stupendously punctilious cavil and me (or is that I?) for this lame acknowledgement of your effort.
If you had stuck with mantle plumes, Sir Harry would have been a shoo-in.

u.k.(us)
Reply to  Steve P
January 30, 2015 8:44 pm

Is there a word for using bad English to show derision ?

Reply to  u.k.(us)
January 30, 2015 9:34 pm

mebbe, but I don’t know what it is.

rogerknights
Reply to  u.k.(us)
January 31, 2015 7:52 pm
Steve P
Reply to  u.k.(us)
February 5, 2015 1:58 pm

It’s called poetic license, or artistic license.

Artistic license (also known as dramatic license, historical license, poetic license, narrative license, licentia poetica, or simply license) is a colloquial term, sometimes euphemism, used to denote the distortion of fact, alteration of the conventions of grammar or language, or rewording of pre-existing text made by an artist in the name of art.

Mark from the Midwest
January 30, 2015 3:13 pm

We’ve had an unusually pleasant stretch of mid-winter weather here on the 45th parallel. Three sunny days, moderate winds, and the barometer slightly to the high side of normal. As the sun slowly ascends so that it’s now above the tree tops from 10am until 5 pm we’ve also had an unusual number of racoons, possums, and skunks stirring. Of course we all know that skunks are dim-witted and prone to be hit by passing motorists. With this mild weather might I assume that climate change causes a skunk-like odor?

Alan Robertson
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
January 30, 2015 7:25 pm

About skunks, I’m not so sure that skunks are dimwitted, or just have poor sight. A friend de- scents and makes pets of the curious little creatures. As house pets, they’re almost pests, as they crave attention and are constantly in your lap, or underfoot, seeking and giving affection. They’re too bothersome to be good pets for someone always busy about the house with work or hobbies, but might be ideal for couch potatoes. A home with pet skunks is insect free, as they are relentless hunters. Oh, they’re also kinda tough and slap my friend’s Yorkies around when they get out of line.

Alan Robertson
Reply to  Alan Robertson
January 30, 2015 7:56 pm

Oh, I should have told the skunk story as past history, since my friend raised his last litter of kits, last year. He’d accidentally left one of the little cuties in stock trim, unmodified, which didn’t ultimately go over too big with his wife. Right before her eyes, It opened fire on her wee Yorkie in the living room and didn’t do her any favors, either. She got new carpeting out of the deal and while my friend lived to tell the tale, he had to give away his skunks.

Mark from the Midwest
Reply to  Alan Robertson
January 31, 2015 5:06 am

No, they’re dim-witted. Among small animals they show little in the way of problem solving ability. The only reason they survive is their potent defense mechanism, which doesn’t help them one bit against foxes, raptors, or dogs that haven’t had their hunting instincts bred out. Now if you want to discuss the intelligence of racoons I’ve got a few stories that no one would believe, like how we found the drip-pan from my gas grill 50 yards from the house, jammed between two logs so the fat could be licked-clean. In order to get the drip tray out you need to hold a spring-steel latch down, and pull the tray up at the same time.

Steve P
Reply to  Alan Robertson
February 2, 2015 10:59 am

Alan, thanks for your enjoyable comments. I have to say that the skunk’s bad smell is somewhat over-rated. It is intense and acrid, but not nearly as stomach-turning, imo, as some odors most of us would readily recognize, even in wee, tiny doses. Among my candidates for top stench would be the huge cattle-marshaling yards just south of I-80 in W. Nebraska.
But the opossum is winner, hands down in my view, for the ugliest critter on land. They seem not very bright in some situations, but like the coyote and ‘coon, they are survivors.
Finally, I close with the observation that Lockheed probably didn’t name its advanced developments projects after a dim-witted animal, however that would be measured.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skunk_Works

Steve P
Reply to  Mark from the Midwest
January 31, 2015 3:08 pm

Mark from the Midwest January 30, 2015 at 3:13 pm & January 31, 2015 at 5:06 am
Stupidity may stink, but just because it stinks doesn’t mean it’s stupid.
Getting run down in the roadway is no real indicator of intelligence among animals. Critters simply do not recognize cars; Ravens and Crows are among the few exceptions to this rule.
Coyote, for example, are not usually considered to be dumb animals, yet I’m sure I’ve seen more dead coyote/coy dogs lying dead alongside the roadway, than I’ve seen dead skunks. I’ve also seen what appeared to be an entire family of raccoon – 4 young, 2 adults – squashed on the highway. As you may know, when the corn ripens in the Midwest, the ‘coons come out at night to feast. In the morning, they toddle back whence they came, sometimes crossing (now) busy highways in process. It’s not a pretty sight.

here’s what owners of pen-bred, de-scented pet skunks have to say:
They speak of an animal who’s very intelligent, willful, stubborn, curious, ornery, friendly, playful and lovable. Their skunks enjoy playing tug-of-war and being chased. They love toys, especially fuzzy ones. They can figure out how to open almost any cabinet door and even refrigerators. They litter box train themselves. They love to investigate in, on, and under everything — sofa cushions, potted plants, drawers. They “steal” towels and clothing to add to their own bed. They don’t claw furniture or chew stuff. They understand and learn to correct their naughty behavior when punished with “time out” banishments to their cage. They get along with other pets and, like them, usually have the run of the house. Some love to swim. They appear to like to please their owners and they like to be cuddled.

http://www.welcomewildlife.com/?folder=pages/urban%20wildlife/mammals/skunk
Of the critters you mentioned, in my experience, I’d pick the opossum as the dumbest, but please read on:

The skull of the Virginia opossum is considered primitive (because it retains many of the cranio-facial features of early fossil therian mammals) and is characterized by a small brain case. The size of the opossum’s brain case has been measured by filling the cranial cavity with dried beans and then counting the number of beans it took to fill the cavity. It was found that if the brain case of an opossum, a raccoon and a house cat were compared using this method, the opossum brain case held 5 dried beans; the cat brain case held 15 dried beans and that of a raccoon held 150 dried beans. Thus, the opossum has one of the smallest brain-to-body size ratios among mammals and it was generally assumed that the larger the brain size to total body ratio the more intelligent the animal is.
[…]
In spite of their apparent primitiveness and small brain size, opossums have a remarkable capacity to find food and remember where it was found. When tested for their ability to remember, opossums scored better than rats, rabbits, dogs, and cats but did not score as well as humans. Opossums can remember the taste of noxious or toxic substances even a year after a single encounter.
Visual discrimination tests have shown that the opossum can learn to discriminate black versus white, different colors, patterns, and geometric forms. Additional studies designed to measure the opossum’s ability to solve maze problems indicate that mature opossums were superior to most species (rats, cats) in maze learning tasks.

http://www.wildliferescuerehab.com/all-about-opossums.html

Alan Robertson
Reply to  Steve P
February 1, 2015 11:18 am

Thanks for the great link, Steve.
A ‘possum lived here at my place for years and grew big and fat. I’d catch him occasionally and pet him, as his soft fur was irresistible and… just because. He would hiss and show teeth, but we never hurt each other. He liked to sit on a low branch near my garden and watch me work, then follow where I’d dug and challenge the Robins for exposed worms and grubs.
A coon that must weigh over 20 lbs has been wintering over in my shop. We are engaged in an arms race over points of entry. A neighbor kid has a large havahart type trap and is enthusiastic about turning him into a coonskin cap, but so far has only snared neighbor cats and the coon is getting fatter from stolen bait. I guess you could say that we’re getting outsmarted by a coon. I wouldn’t really care if it hung around, but raccoons’ reputation for cleanliness is only partially deserved, as he has befouled the shop in places. Must be getting soft, because there was a time when I’d have shot him on sight and been done with it.
An uberlib lady friend had a persistent coon in her attic. She’s quick with anti- gun screeds, but still bought a shotgun to kill the little bandit. Both killing raccoons and in- town firearms discharges are illegal. As she tells it, she waited in the shadows, with a pile of dog food on the deck as bait. As the coon appeared and she took aim, the coon alerted and stood on its hind legs with it’s arms raised above its head. She shot him anyway, but only wounded it, sending it rolling before it escaped. She tried a second shot but jammed the gun, then her natural anti- gun nuttiness reasserted itself. She hid the jammed gun she knows not where, in the house. Her tale was so filled with rationalizations that it would be shocking, were it not so typical of the similar- minded people I know. The men are no different, just quicker to follow their anger with threats, with even the most innocuous questioning of their rants.

January 30, 2015 3:59 pm

I tried to read this, but the first few quotes were so stupid that I couldn’t go on.

Chris D.
January 30, 2015 4:11 pm

There was a post here several years ago about a guy who claimed that global warming was going to make the planet explode. Someone found his page where he was marketing these goofy shirts with some sort of weird patterning on them – fractals or some such. This article is about as loony.

January 30, 2015 4:23 pm

Stupid is as stupid does.

January 30, 2015 4:29 pm

And what about these volcanoes? Krakatoa, Santorini, Vesuvius, Tambora, Mount St. Helens, Pinatuba to name a few. There was such a lot of ice over these bad boys that when it melted all hell was let lose.

Svend Ferdinandsen
January 30, 2015 4:32 pm

It fits. A while ago some one claimed that it was the volcanoes that delayed the global warming, so here is the negative feedback.
It is amazing with all the explanations that points in all directions.

Reply to  Svend Ferdinandsen
January 30, 2015 5:19 pm

Svend, in 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2014. See essay Blowing Smoke in ebook of same name for references. You nailed it. All feedbacks in all directions.

January 30, 2015 4:41 pm

Reblogged this on Head Space and commented:
New science from the media of the absurd

Mike in Chile
January 30, 2015 4:54 pm

Wow! As I read this I’m about 20 miles from Villarrica Volcano in Pucon, Chile….and it has snow on it…and its 23c outside….in January! No wonder I saw all of the Time journalists fleeing town.

Siksikayi
January 30, 2015 5:06 pm

now gentlemen, I think we should applaud Time magazine for taking steps to accommodate the developmentally delayed…

old44
January 30, 2015 5:09 pm

Not even close, last years newsreader linked meteors to global warming, at least volcanoes are terrestrial.

simple-touriste
Reply to  old44
January 30, 2015 7:23 pm

At least 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko “remained outside the global warming”, according to French minister of the environment and former presidential candidate, Ségolène Royal.

C’est extraordinaire ce qui vient de se passer. C’est une prouesse européenne qui vient de se réaliser dans la conquête de l’espace. Nous allons peut-être en savoir plus sur l’origine de la vie humaine car cette comète est restée en dehors du réchauffement climatique, c’est une avancée fondamentale. (…) Les informations que l’on pourra en tirer nous permettront d’agir plus efficacement afin de protéger notre planète commune, car c’est là le but de cette mission.

If you want to check, the interview is here:
http://www.franceinfo.fr/emission/l-interview-politique/2014-2015/segolene-royal-ou-l-art-d-esquiver-les-questions-qui-fachent-13-11-2014-07-45
This is à 5:50.
You cannot make that up.
Google Translate does a really decent work here (trivially edited):

It’s amazing what just happened. This is a European feat that has come true in the conquest of space. We may know more on the origin of human life because this comet remained outside the global warming, this is a fundamental step. (…) The information that we can learn will allow us to work more effectively to protect our shared planet, for that is the goal of this mission.

As a presidential candidate in 2007, she said during a debate that the EPR reactor at Flamanville was a “prototype”, not a real plant (maybe she thought is was an experimental toy for scientists like ITER?).
http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x1vxnw_l-epr-dans-le-debat-royal-sarkozy_tech
Nicolas Sarkozy was slightly less pathetic during this debate.
She doesn’t have a clue, but she isn’t alone.
Another minister of the environment believed Monsanto added genes to Roundup. (Not RR crops, the herbicide Roundup.)

Jim Francisco
January 30, 2015 5:17 pm

Just found a quote from Mark Twain that I thought was appropriate for the warmist.
“It is easier to fool people than it is to convince them they have been fooled.

January 30, 2015 5:22 pm

Call your doctor immediately if you have a eruption lasting longer than 4 hours …

michael hart
January 30, 2015 5:53 pm

Perhaps anticipating the climate change deniers’ uncanny ability to put two and two together and come up with five…

Streuth. The guy can’t even get his insults right. If I was in his shoes, I would have at least accused “climate change deniers” of “putting two and two together to make three“. Now he wants us to do his job for him.

January 30, 2015 5:54 pm

Amazing any volcanic islands exist .

Robert of Texas
January 30, 2015 6:11 pm

There is nothing really controversial about the idea that a loss in pressure (i.e. weight) *could* allow a volcano to erupt sooner than it would have if the pressure had been stable. It is completely possible that over geologic time, the loss of ice thousands of feet thick over a large area could lead to an early eruption – i.e. the loss of pressure triggered the event.
Anyone who thinks they can measure such an effect over decades is either on drugs, or maybe should be on drugs.
Such a loss in ice happens (in geologic time) all the time and has nothing to do with CO2 released by industrial activities..
It’s much like saying that the disposal of fracking waste water “causes” earthquakes. Well, sort of, if the waste water is injected with enough pressure and volume into a geologic structure that is already under stress and likely to shear (in geologic time) soon, then it will lead to a demonstrable increase in earthquakes. Did the injection cause the earthquake – well not really – it triggered it.

Reply to  Robert of Texas
January 30, 2015 9:54 pm

Isn’t that the intent of fracking … to cause a whole lot of small/tiny/miniscule earthquakes?
So, fracking leads to smaller quakes by triggering the quake before its “natural” time. We release the stress and avoid the big one.
We should be offering incentives to fracking operations and thanking them for keeping the large catastrophic quakes at bay. And, if we melt all of the ice we will have more, but less explosive, volcanic eruptions. (i’ll avoid the sex analogy).
Is there grant money somewhere to study this completely logical phenomonom? (Is there money if I include the sex analogy?)

Stanley
January 30, 2015 6:13 pm

We must engage all residents of China and India to jump on the spot in unison to fix this problem! In all my years as a geoscientist I cannot recall such a moronic linkage of CAGW and volcanism. The warmanistas should be tossed into a vent to appease the gods.

theoptimisticconservative
January 30, 2015 6:42 pm

One thing I don’t see mentioned is that volcanoes are constantly erupting under the sea, and until about 50 years ago we had close to zero knowledge of what was going on down there. We still have nothing like synoptic data on undersea volcanic activity.
To even begin to have empirical opinions on long-term trends in volcanic activity around the earth, we’d want to understand what was going on with ALL volcanic belts. Some of them function relatively independently of surface conditions, and comparing the different sets would be indispensable for a really valuable analysis.
I would expect surface conditions to have an impact on any volcanoes whose cones are above sea level, but the Time article implies a level of certainty we can’t possibly have, especially without more comprehensive knowledge about volcanoes under the varying conditions in which their activity occurs.
Anthony is right; the Time article really is just idiotic.

Patrick
January 30, 2015 6:46 pm

This is ever funnier. Our resident “environmental” commenter at the Australian Sydney Morning Herald has this to say about climate change, and sport!
http://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/sweating-it-out-climate-change-extremes-to-impact-on-sport-20150130-1328cq.html

jones
January 30, 2015 8:00 pm

But…but…….if we have too many eruptions from global warming won’t we then have a precipitous global cooling as a result?
Sheeeesh…..just can,t win can yer?!!!
Just can’t win………

Sun Spot
January 30, 2015 8:27 pm

I sent a note about this article to letters@time.com , please send more with appropriate comments.

masInt branch 4 C3I in is
January 30, 2015 8:43 pm

In that the lead “Author” a graduate student and who happens to be a NSF Grant PI against UA rules is not surprising.
The ‘Graduate Student’ supervisor appears under pressure to “deliver” and the graduate student is just a foil for the ‘game’.
Very sad situation for Graduate Student, Graduate Student Advisor and University (if it can be called such) Arizona.
Title IX might be invoked.

masInt branch 4 C3I in is
January 30, 2015 8:47 pm

AS a matter of.
Where are the Hudson Bay Volcanos!
Ha ha.

morgo
January 30, 2015 9:06 pm

after volcanos going of every where the next one is sport it will be to hot in Australia to play sport in the open .http://www.9news.com.au/national/2015/01/31/00/04/climate-change-threatens-sport-report

masInt branch 4 C3I in is
January 30, 2015 9:10 pm

Expect to read said “Graduate Student” attempting to Game Main Stream Media and the Graduate School UA saying as such, “The ‘date’ are fake. I did this to expose the worthlessness of the UA and the AGU.”
Brave Lad! UA firing squad dismissed. UA SWAT Team armed and approaching suspect; “within Kill Distance! Over.”
Ha ha