WUWT – 2014 in review

Me too.
I’ve said on more than one occasion that Jimbo’s goldmine of a database of that calls the alarmists to account would make a valuable resource if it was collected into one document.

William The Figure you post is really the key data set in climate forecasting – raising as it does the question of where we are relative to the millennial solar cycle. This Fig is from Humlum . (http://www.climate4you.com/) -(See Humlum’s overview section)
I include this Fig (Fig 5 ) in my cooling forecasts at
http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/2014/07/climate-forecasting-methods-and-cooling.html
and also include there Humlum’s comments which also answer Phils question.
Here is what Humlum says and my addition.
“The present interglacial is about 2oC colder than the previous interglacial, even though the atmospheric CO2 concentration now is about 100 ppm higher.
The GISP2 record ends around 1854, and the two graphs therefore ends here. There has since been an temperature increase to about the same level as during the Medieval Warm Period and to about 395 ppm for CO2. … Clearly Central Greenland temperature changes are not identical to global temperature changes. However, they do tend to reflect global temperature changes with a decadal-scale delay (Box et al. 2009), with the notable exception of the Antarctic region and adjoining parts of the Southern Hemisphere, which is more or less in opposite phase (Chylek et al. 2010) for variations shorter than ice-age cycles (Alley 2003). This is the background for the very approximate global temperature scale at the right hand side of the upper panel. Please also note that the temperature record ends in 1854 AD, and for that reason is not showing the post Little Ice Age temperature increase. In the younger part of the GISP2 temperature reconstruction the time resolution is around 10 years. Any comparison with measured temperatures should therefore be made done using averages over periods of similar lengths.
During especially the last 4000 years the Greenland record is dominated by a trend towards gradually lower temperatures, presumably indicating the early stages of the coming ice age (Fig.3). In addition to this overall temperature decline, the development has also been characterized by a number of temperature peaks, with about 950-1000 year intervals. It may even be speculated if the present warm period fits into this overall scheme of natural variations? ”
I would assert here that the current warm period does indeed reflect a peak in the natural quasi-millennial temperature variation seen in Fig 5, and that temperature and climate trends from AD 2000 – 3000 are likely to more or less repeat the trends from AD 1000 – 2000. I would argue that knowing more precisely the timing of the peak in the current quasi-millennial solar cycle is the key to forecasting climate trends over the next several decades and the next several hundred years.
I would hope that in 2015 there will be much more discussion of this natural cycle approach to forecasting here at WUWT,

Similar to alternative to growing older…