Guest Post by Bob Tisdale
Yesterday, November 24th, the Russian News Agency TASS published the article Russia to take advantage of global warming — chief of Russian weather service.
Isn’t that refreshing? Optimism about a warming world.
The article begins:
MOSCOW, November 24. /TASS/ The phenomenon of global warming will have its effect on Russia 2.5 times sooner than in the rest of the planet, Alexander Frolov, Chief of the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring (Rosgydromet) told a TASS-hosted briefing on Monday.
“Global warming might give certain advantages to Russia — a longer navigation period and a shorter heat supply season, which are very important for Russia because it is the coldest country. Areas where grain and bean crops might be harvested will be considerably enlarged, mostly in western Siberia and in the Urals, and a life comfort zone will be broadened, moving it up to the north,” Frolov told the briefing.
Frolov was also realistic, inasmuch as he discussed the downsides as well:
“The negative effects of global warming are a growing threat of forest and peat bog fires, and possible breaking of a traditional way of life of the indigenous population of the North. Russia must be prepared to survive under conditions both of water shortages and floods,” he said.
But water shortages and floods have existed in the past. And computer-model-based outlooks are debatable (simply speculation at this point) because climate models do not properly simulate precipitation and they cannot simulate the coupled ocean-atmosphere processes that impact precipitation around the globe. Additionally, climate models do not properly simulate polar amplification, which has a strong impact on Russia surface temperatures. Here’s a link to the Climate Model Failings category at my blog, for those who wish to confirm my statements in this paragraph.
The closing paragraph sounds odd, and I don’t have the time today to verify it.
Climate on earth has become warmer by 0.7 degrees on the average over a period of ten years, while climate in Russia has warmed by 0.43 degrees in the same period, the expert said.
Is there a typo in there? Here’s a link to the Russia surface temperature data from BEST.
His ‘optimism’ is based on several assumptions: (1) global warming will happen as predicted by the warmists, (2) the catastrophes predicted by the warmists will mainly befall the ‘west’, (3) warming Siberia will only improve the land, converting tundra into a breadbasket, and (4) the west’s loss will match Russia’s gain in terms of agricultural productivity.
Why wouldn’t they be , after all they going to do nothing and if others want to shoot themselves in the foot their more than happy to sell them new shoes , just like China .
I don’t know what the politburo thinks about this statement, maybe a single ticket Magadan.
Loook at a world map during the last ice age. Desert areas were much wider than now, tropical jungle area much more restrictd than now. Based on past performance, my guess would be that there would be FEWER water shortages with global warming. Unfortunately, in the real world, I suspect we’re in for a period of cooling. That WOULD lead to more water shortages.
Just a bit of desperate hope from a Russian. Given what the winter is like there, who can blame him?
If I were a Muscovite I’d be praying like heck for the warmists to be right starting
In mid-September every year.
Note the tremendous role that terrible Russian winter has had in their history, against foreign invaders but also by the rulers against the masses.
Russia has deep stakes in promoting global warming, since it tends to thwart oil production outside of their country. They are now one of the largest producing nations in the world. So promoting global warming means OTHER countries around the world will not invest in pipelines and domestic production.
I fail to see how this is any different then say the Japanese Auto industry funding greens here to shut down USA auto plants, but then turn around and import their cars!
When the wall came down, much of the socialist’s movement found a nice home in the global warming movement.
Here is a great video of such CAGW people at the Copenhagen IPCC conference:
So the connection of socialism + an anti west + anti industrial policy is rather clear. And the IPCC stated goals of redistributing the worlds wealth by taxing CO2 is also the prominent theme here.
Regards,
Albert D. Kallal
Edmonton, Alberta Canada
I’ve been pointing out the irony of fear of a largely beneficent phenomenon for years. Unfortunately, it’s a fake from the ground up, so Russian hopes are in vain.
There are very few optimists in Russia, and almost all of them are Russian officials. For them optimism is mandatory.