Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball
Man-made global warming is real, because it was humans who created the idea and proved, independent of nature, that human activity was the cause. It is a real idea; it is not real in fact. It is in the same context as Goethe’s comment that “The unnatural, that too is natural.” Proponents of the idea believe it’s real, because they created an imaginary world called a computer model. It proved the idea was real, because they claimed the model represented the real world. Naturally, in this unreal real world, the science is settled, the debate is over. Nowhere is this more narrowly defined and vigorously promoted as real than in government and our schools.
Marshall McLuhan, philosopher of communication theory, created several important phrases and ideas that represent how we see the world. He identified the “global village” in his book, The Gutenberg Galaxy. The analogy has important applications, such as the fact that people living in the village think they know what is going on, but they don’t. In any village, the most destructive people are the gossips. They deliberately spread falsehoods that destroy people’s reputations and lives. The mainstream media are the gossips in the global village.
A second perceptive McLuhan phrase is that ”the medium is the message”. I learned what this meant for environmentalism and climate when asked to provide stories and examples for TV programs. At least half the ideas were rejected because, “they don’t lend themselves to television.” The medium was determining the message. The problem of imaging industrial pollution has long been discussed among skeptics because it usually devolves to showing a smokestack. Nowadays, the only thing emanating from most stacks is water vapor, made visible through condensation.
The most successful use of the media to determine the message was Gore’s movie, An Inconvenient Truth. UK judge, Justice Burton, ruled on the charge by a parent that the movie did not meet provisions of sections 406 and 407 of the 1996 Education Act. This reads,
“406. The local education authority, governing body and head teachers shall forbid … the promotion of partisan political views in the teaching of any subject in the school.
407. The local education authority, governing body and head teacher shall take such steps as are reasonably practicable to secure that where political issues are brought to the attention of pupils while they are (a) in attendance at a maintained school, or (b) taking part in extra-curricular activities which are provided or organised for registered pupils at the school by or on behalf of the school they are offered a balanced presentation of opposing views.”
In his judgment Justice Burton wrote,
I viewed the film at the parties’ request. Although I can only express an opinion as a viewer rather than as a judge, it is plainly, as witnessed by the fact that it received an Oscar this year for best documentary film, a powerful, dramatically presented and highly professionally produced film. It is built round the charismatic presence of the ex-Vice-President, Al Gore, whose crusade it now is to persuade the world of the dangers of climate change caused by global warming. It is now common ground that it is not simply a science film – although it is clear that it is based substantially on scientific research and opinion – but that it is a political film, albeit of course not party political. Its theme is not merely the fact that there is global warming, and that there is a powerful case that such global warming is caused by man, but that urgent, and if necessary expensive and inconvenient, steps must be taken to counter it, many of which are spelt out. Paul Downes, using persuasive force almost equivalent to that of Mr Gore, has established his case that the views in the film are political by submitting that Mr Gore promotes an apocalyptic vision, which would be used to influence a vast array of political policies,
Justice Burton did not ban showing the film in schools. He ruled that it should be shown, but prefaced by directions by the teacher about the bias and the nine errors. Very telling, was the fact that this required different booklets for teachers in science, social science and civics classrooms. He also ruled (Item 5) that
Channel 4 has produced a film which was referred to during the hearing, although I have not seen it, which presents a counter-view, a sceptical approach to the climate change debate called “The Great Global Warming Swindle”. This has not been sent to schools, although there is reference to it in the Guidance Note on the website, to which I have referred.
I was privileged to be a significant part of Martin Durkin’s film, “The Great Global Warming Swindle.” I spent time with him explaining what was going on and people he could interview. I also discussed an earlier film by Channel 4 called, “The Greenhouse Conspiracy”, which is remarkably relevant 15 years later.
Last year, I was approached by Luke Dillard to help with a documentary on global warming. I flew to Austin at my own expense and spent an entire day talking and filming. I made a PowerPoint presentation similar to those I give publicly. During the visual presentation and afterward, the producer asked questions. My only other input was, I provided a list of potential experts. He chose them. I also had no input about the format or title. I approve of the title, The Global Warming War because it is a war and as Aeschylus said, “In war, truth is the first casualty.” I invite you to watch the documentary, which is well received by the public I spoke to because it addresses issues they know about and provides a scientific explanation. It doesn’t push a singular view, but leaves viewers to reach their own conclusions.
You can access the video here, but be aware you must rent or purchase the video, as Luke has to cover costs. Please note that I receive nothing from this enterprise other than the satisfaction of participating in another effort to help the people understand how they are being deceived for political gain.
Another effort to produce an effective documentary is the work by Marc Morano. A trailer of this work, Climate Hustle is available on his web site. It will be another work that confirms McLuhan’s thesis that the medium is the message. However, there is another reason for talking about Marc. A few years ago, while in Washington to make a presentation to Congress, I also gave a talk at a function organized by Amy Ridenour, President of the National Center for Public Policy Research. Marc attended and we talked afterward about climate and his role as an assistant to Senator James Inhofe.
I raise this because these were valuable connections, but also because Senator Inhofe is likely to be the next Chair of the Environment Committee. His book, The Greatest Hoax: How the Global Warming Conspiracy Threatens Your Future, indicates he understands the science, but more important, knows how it was used for a political agenda. Inhofe made a Skype appearance at the recent Heartland Climate conference in Las Vegas to great applause.
Interestingly, Inhofe used print media, which was dominant before visual imagery, as McLuhan acknowledged with his reference to Gutenberg. It is still an important medium because it gets you invited to TV interview programs. It’s a hybrid in McLuhan’s ‘medium is the message’ theory, as we transition from the dominance of books to the dominance of visual imagery.
Gore’s film was a major part of the belief that man-made global warming is real. In his 2007 appearance before Congress, he also used the terms, “the debate is over”, and “the science is settled”. The false image of a polar bear ‘drowning’ and the emotional and scary artificial scenarios of oceans spilling over the land were very effective. The film was produced in Hollywood, the land of make-believe, so it won the Oscar.
But there is one major failing in the entire visual global warming story. Martin Durkin withheld, for some time and at his own personal expense, the DVD version of The Swindle because there was a minor error on one graph. The IPCC were wrong in their predictions every time, but instead of acknowledging their science was wrong, they doubled down with threats of impending disaster. Recent (November 2, 2014) release of the Summary for Policymakers is the latest example. Gore’s movie had nine errors identified by a judge, who ordered they, along with the bias, be identified for the classroom. To my knowledge those errors are still in the movie, but unlike the classroom, it doesn’t come with a warning when viewed by the public. But then, he and his fellow Nobel winners, the IPCC, are in a man-made political world, not the real world.
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In watching “An Inconvenient Truth” I became convinced that global warming was a problem with which we had to deal. Then I did a Web search for the observed events that had been used in testing the climate models. There weren’t any! I now knew there was a fallacy in Al Gore’s argument.
When I heard that no one could find the “Troposheric Warm Zone” that is necessitated by the GCMs. I thought surely they would rework their hypothesis and try again. As per “The Scientific Method”.
But no one did that and then Gore bleats “the science is settled.”
This made a skeptic out of me.
Settled science indeed. There is no such thing.
Very interesting article. It is worth noting that much of the creation of the AGW hypothesis happened in the media.
A petty quibble:
I thought he ruled that it could be shown with the preface described. English Judges may ban inappropriate teaching in English schools but they do not set the curriculum.
Also, Justice Barton is an English Judge and is best not referred to as a UK Judge. Scotland and England have separate legal systems.
I can understand many Scots hoping that AGW will happen sometime – it’s cold up there. But didn’t most Scots decide they preferred to remain part of the UK/ Maybe now is a good time for the two legal systems to be harmonised!
AWG homo stultus es.
Great post, Dr. Ball. WRT
It’s unfortunately, but it’s this village that is now raising our children. It’s a village comprised of textbook manufacturers, entrenched education “specialists”, lucrative monopolizing university and college education degree programs, charismatic (and not-so charismatic) crusading teachers in public school classrooms, left-leaning administrators, an alphabet soup of governmental education funding agencies, and the ranks of “village gossips” like Seth Borenstein – the media “messengers” who thrive on the univariate, alarmist cry that the village is threatened from within by none other than ourselves.
Founded in myth, that message, too, obtains substance enough.
The link in the article to the video “The Global Warming War” did not work just now, I had never visited the Vimeo website previously, but found my Sony Blu-Ray player has the app on it. So I signed up for Vimeo which appears to have a lot of free HD content as well as the ability to rent and purchase videos. I did a search for Global Warming War and watched the trailer on my HD TV. I went back to my laptop to “rent” the full length video for $2.99 for 72 hours by entering my credit card info.
I am currently watching the video on my television and it is really good. My heartfelt thanks to Dr. Ball and the others who participated and gave great explanations in the video, but thanks especially go to Luke Dillard who had to have put a lot of his own time, effort and money into the project. This is a first class production, well planned, and well edited. I am very hopeful that it will receive air time on a major network soon because the real value of the video will be not in preaching to the choir but presenting the facts to the public. My greatest hope is that this will be watched by many of our elected officials.
The reason why Dr. Ball’s link above doesn’t work is because there is an extra period at the end of the html. Remove that, then refresh, and you will reach the trailer.
[Fixed, thanks. ~mod.]
Sure hope the film is a lot better than the trailer. If not, in my opinion it wouldn’t be worth watching. Useless to see the same old same old points again and again.
Hi Roy, The video is still playing on my television. I agree that the trailer, is not the greatest… We actually still have a few minutes to go on the video. I have been following this issue closely for over a decade so there is not a lot that has been presented that I was not already aware of. However most of the explanations given have been much more concise that I would be personally capable of and the organization of the material has been excellent. My wife who has been forced by me to watch just about every video on the subject that has been meant for the public over the years feels that this is one of the very best and it also has the most current info.
It is free to join Vimeo and it costs $2.99 to “rent” this video. I am happy to have spent the money… I hope that most of it actually makes it to the producers to help defray their expenses… This is a project that I feel is very significant. I hope that this turns into a good way for people to support this type of effort.
Thanks Steven,
I did purchase the rental, and have to say that is is a really great video. Even on a fixed social security income, I do not begrudge spending the $.299.
Obviously the film producer needs to recoup expenses for making it. However mostly it will be watched by skeptics from here and other places that already do not believe the man made climate change mantra.
Preaching to the choir (skeptics) at $2.99 a crack works well, however the congregation (uninformed public) will never get the great message this video presents because they are not going to spend the $2.99 just because someone tells them they should or need to watch it.
This needs video needs some other means of support: maybe donations. Otherwise it will rarely be seen past those that already agree with it. On my limited budget I can ill afford much but would donate $25 or $50 if it was freely available to everyone.
The great global warming swindle went astray because it tried to “solve” the problem of understanding climate change. It should have focused on uncertainties rather than promote an alternate explanation just as uncertain as the AGW hypothesis.
A bigger problem was the title. It should have been “The Great Global Warming Question,” or “The Great Global Warming Issue.” It marginalized itself with its original title, by giving the conclusion you were expected to come away with it. That turned away on-the-fence people who would have watched otherwise because of what the accusation “swindle” represented (no matter how accurate). Far better to let the viewer come to that conclusion. (It’s like theatre. If an actor on stage starts crying about an event, the audience laughs; it’s a comedy. An adroit playwright keeps the actor dry-eyed and makes the audience cry and cringe.)
Thanks, Dr. Ball.
“Man-made global warming is real, because it was humans who created the idea and proved, independent of nature, that human activity was the cause.”
I totally agree. Sometimes I call it Mann-made, but it is more like Mann-helped and Hansen-carried. Sorry, Dr. Jones, last but not least.
I suspect Inhofe actually does understand some of the science, and I’m really looking forward to the ludicrous things he is going to say in the next couple years to defend his anti-science position, like when he said in an interview,
“I was actually on your side of this issue when I was chairing that committee and I first heard about this. I thought it must be true until I found out what it cost.”
As journalist Michael Kinsley said, “A gaffe is when a politician tells the truth.”
I think what Inhofe was implying is that he saw no reason to question the science until he found out the cost. That was the impetus to look more closely at the evidence to confirm it was true before saddling the nation with astronomical costs. So he looked and found there was no there there.
So many people just blindly trust what they read in the media without questioning anything and the shysters know it and prey upon those many individuals. It worked on Inhofe too until he discovered there’s no evidence whatsoever for man causing the warming that stopped eighteen years ago.
Unless I’m mistaken most Republicans were “for” the Global Warming cash-cow, before they were against it.
@u.k.(us) November 9, 2014 at 6:57 pm
Unless I’m mistaken most Republicans were “for” the Global Warming cash-cow, before they were against it.
+++++++++
Most people believed what we were taught in school about the greenhouse effect. When I started hearing about it, I believed it. Not because I was paid, but because I had no reason not to believe it. Then I learned better.
So I guess you are suggesting the Republicans are able to seek truth, whereas the Democrats will deny truth. Not sure what you are talking about wrt cash cow in the context of your statement-(Yes – I understand the meaning of the word cash cow)
You’ll never get anywhere arguing with lukes and warmists over temperature records because natural warming will start again after the year 2029. You need to attack the false physics. The calculation of the 255K temperature is way out and it should have been 30 to 40 degrees higher because they forgot to take out the reflection by clouds and they used emissivity of 1.000 instead of 0.88 or less for a rocky planet which would have been hotter than current temperatures (not 33 degrees colder) because of a lack of water vapour, clouds, oceans, carbon dioxide, vegetation, methane etc..
Dr. Spencer writes:
The mainstream media are the gossips in the global village.
And the gossips here are the ones who cannot make a comment without using “denialist”, “contrarian”, etc., or without an ad-hominem attack on those they disagree with.
We try to reel them back to discussing the science, but that’s hard because their ‘science’ is so weak. For example, how many times have we asked someone to post the percentage of global warming attributable to human emissions? It’s like pulling teeth trying to get a number — and still they avoid the question.
“Gossips” is an excellent label. Those people are poison in science discussions.
” same context as Goethe’s comment ” To read Goethe and remember a line from it. I thought I was the only one in the world to read Faust… in all of it’s forms. Awesome.
God is real, because it was humans who created the idea and proved, independent of nature, that human activity was the cause. It is a real idea; it is not real in fact. It is in the same context as Goethe’s comment that “The unnatural, that too is natural.” Proponents of the idea believe it’s real, because they created an imaginary world called religion. It proved the idea was real, because they claimed religion represented the real world. Naturally, in this unreal real world, the science is settled, the debate is over. Nowhere is this more narrowly defined and vigorously promoted as real than in government and our schools.
Change just a couple of words and another imaginary system gets blown out of the water…..
Sometimes I wonder “What ever happened to AlGore?”… he seems to have just faded away lately… Maybe he is visting Antarctica… it’s very icey there lately…
In honor of actnow and what I’m eating is destroying the world (who knew I was an arch villain) the world has a fever, I’m going out right now and eating two double cheeseburgers Heh, Heh, Heh… MOO all I need is an N. or a UN. Talk about subtle hidden messages.
Comrade come on over and join the green movement, we will not harm you. Pass laws that will destroy your way of life. Let us tell you how bad you are. You must be reformed. (followed by a full minute of trailer showing disaster after disaster all caused by YOU)
Time for another donation, Tim.
A monument to AGW and Energy shortage . The three ‘ Towers of Power ‘ at Ivanpah ,California .
The Southern California Edison Company built a pilot plant ‘ Tower of Power ‘ at Kramers Corners , California in early 1970s . It proved to be a failure . Forty years later, what those dummies know, why they didn’t even have computer modeling , our modern computer modeling says it is viable !! No,No , we’ll dig a larger deeper hole !!
My wish is ,that only Global Warmers have to pay for it !!
I have lost it. What are the nine errors?