Tabloid Climatology from the Max Planck Institute : "The findings show that no place is safe from climate change."

tabloid_climatology_onlyyouThis recently published Max Planck Institute paper claims that seasonal temperature variability across the world has been affected by “climate change” what they DON’T do as far as I can tell, is determine whether this is simply natural variation, or driven by some other forcing, such as CO2 or solar forcings. The headline on Eurekalert reads:

Climate change alters the ecological impacts of seasons

‘We describe, for the first time, changes in temperature variability across the globe. We’ve had a long discussion about changes in the mean temperature. It has been ongoing for over 30 years,’ says George Wang.

But then, in the press release, they add this totally unnecessary B-movie poster line “The findings show that no place is safe from climate change. “  This scare tactic amounts to nothing more than an exercise in Tabloid Climatology™.


 

Here is the PR:

Climate change alters the ecological impacts of seasons

If more of the world’s climate becomes like that in tropical zones, it could potentially affect crops, insects, malaria transmission, and even confuse migration patterns of birds and mammals worldwide. George Wang, a postdoctoral fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Developmental Biology in Tübingen, Germany, is part of a research tandem that has found that the daily and nightly differences in temperatures worldwide are fast approaching yearly differences between summer and winter temperatures.

Only recently, the UN Climate Summit came together in New York to further address the necessary measures to protect the Earth from a dramatic climate change. It has long been recognised that an increase of the average temperature will cause rising oceans and thus flooded landscapes. Particularly, regions close to the coasts are endangered. While it is well known that climate change has increased average temperatures, it is less clear how temperature variability has altered with climate change.

Postdoctoral fellow George Wang, from Detlef Weigel’s Department for Molecular Biology at the Max Planck Institute for Developmental Biology,  has now examined this issue in more depth.

He realized that existing climate measures did not provide enough information to predict the life history responses, such as hatching, hibernation, or flowering of organisms. Together with his partner Michael Dillon, an Assistant Professor in the Department of Zoology and Physiology, University of Wyoming, USA, he started to analyse climate conditions since records began to be kept.

“We describe, for the first time, changes in temperature variability across the globe. We’ve had a long discussion about changes in the mean temperature. It has been ongoing for over 30 years,” says George Wang. “It’s very clear mean temperatures have shifted across the globe. It’s less clear if the variation in temperature has changed.”

For example, the variability in temperature could potentially mean bugs survive for a longer period in non-tropical regions. The result could be increased crop damage from pest insects or spread of diseases, such as malaria transmitted by mosquitoes.

In addition, plants in temperate regions are adapted to use temperature to tell the season. This is how they know when to produce flowers and fruits. As daily temperature cycles become more extreme, it becomes harder for plants to behave appropriately to the season. Therefore, plants might produce flowers too early or too late, and so there might be some years where certain fruits never appear.

Wang is first author of a paper, titled “Recent Geographic Convergence in Diurnal and Annual Temperature Cycling Flattens Global Thermal Profiles,” that was published last Sunday (Sept. 28) in the online edition of Nature Climate Change. Dillon is the paper’s co-writer. The monthly journal is dedicated to publishing the most significant and cutting-edge research on the science of climate change, its impacts and wider implications for the economy, society and policy.

Wang and Dillon first estimated global spacial variation in the mean temperature and in temperature cycling by analysing more than 1 billion temperature measurements from 7,906 weather stations that sampled from the period of Jan. 1, 1926, through Dec. 31, 2009. Analysis of monthly and yearly averages of daily temperature extremes reveals that daily and annual minimum and maximum temperatures have increased across the world since 1950. The scientists then estimated global changes in the magnitudes of diurnal and annual temperature cycles from 1975-2013.

The research was “very computationally intensive”, as Michael Dillon points out. The researchers had to use computer clusters on two continents, with the majority of the work performed on the cluster at the MPI for Developmental Biology. They also used a new mathematical technique to describe how temperature changes from day to night, and winter to summer, thus characterizing the variability of temperature over the globe.

According to this, the changes have been most dramatic for places closest to the poles and far from oceans. “In these places, warmer winters — decreasing the difference between summer and winter — and hotter days — increasing the difference between day and night — mean that the range of temperatures, which organisms experience over a few days, is closer to the range of temperatures they experience over an entire year. These patterns are strongest in Canada and Russia, but occur even in Germany,” explains Wang. “For example, in Wiesbaden, in 1992, the average difference between day and night was 1.2 degrees, while the average difference between summer and winter was 24.8 degrees. In 2012, the day/night cycle was 5.2 degrees, while the summer/winter cycle was 18.9, so the daily temperature variability is now much more similar to the yearly variability. Compare this to Las Palmas in the Canary Islands, where the day/night difference is about 4.3 degrees and the summer/winter difference is about 6.7 — it has not changed very much.”

The range of diurnal temperature cycling (DTC), meaning the change in temperature from the daytime high to nighttime low, was lowest at the poles, intermediate at the tropics and was relatively small close to large bodies of water and at lower elevations, according to the study. The range of annual temperature cycling (ATC), meaning temperatures for any given location will go through a regular cycle on an annual basis, was lowest at the tropics and increased toward the poles.

“For these temperature zones that we historically think of as having lower daily variations relative to the annual variations in temperatures, what we found in these zones is that the ATC has not changed much in the last 30 to 40 years,” Michael Dillon explains. “But, the DTC has gone up considerably. If the annual is constant and daily temperatures increase, areas outside the tropics will become more tropical. This idea of convergence could be a really important thing.”

The findings show that no place is safe from climate change. “Most people are rightly concerned about sea level rise, but feel that this will not affect them if they don’t live next to the ocean. We find that places far from the oceans will have be biggest changes in daily and seasonal temperature variability, because they are far away from the buffering effects of oceans”, says Wang. Therefore, there would be no places immune from effects of climate change, and this would have consequences on crops, parasites, and disease.

Contact: Dr. George Wang

george.wang@tuebingen.mpg.de

Max-Planck-Gesellschaft

=========================================

The paper:

Recent geographic convergence in diurnal and annual temperature cycling flattens global thermal profiles

Nature Climate Change, (2014) doi:10.1038/nclimate2378

Warming mean temperatures over the past century1 have probably shifted distributions2, altered phenologies3, increased extinction risks4, 5, and impacted agriculture6 and human health7. However, knowledge of mean temperatures alone does not provide a complete understanding either of changes in the climate itself or of how changing climate will affect organisms8, 9, 10, 11. Temporal temperature variation, primarily driven by daily and annual temperature cycles, has profound effects on organism physiology8, 9 and ecology12, yet changes in temperature cycling over the past 40 years are still poorly understood1, 13. Here we estimate global changes in the magnitudes of diurnal and annual temperature cycles from 1975 to 2013 from an analysis of over 1.4 billion hourly temperature measurements from 7,906 weather stations. Increases in daily temperature variation since 1975 in polar (1.4 °C), temperate (1.0 °C) and tropical (0.3 °C) regions parallel increases in mean temperature. Concurrently, magnitudes of annual temperature cycles decreased by 0.6 °C in polar regions, increased by 0.4 °C in temperate regions, and remained largely unchanged in tropical regions. Stronger increases in daily temperature cycling relative to changes in annual temperature cycling in temperate and polar regions mean that, with respect to diurnal and annual cycling, the world is flattening as temperate and polar regions converge on tropical temperature cycling profiles.

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120 thoughts on “Tabloid Climatology from the Max Planck Institute : "The findings show that no place is safe from climate change."

  1. The findings show that no place is safe from climate change.

    You know what makes us safe from climate change? The same thing that has made us safe from weather variations for thousands of years, the same thing that has permitted humanity to spread to every climate across the globe. The application of our intelligence; a healthy dose of preparation, and above all technology. You’d think we’re a race of giant hamsters the way the press goes on about climate change. Of course, in their heart of hearts that might well be the view held by the climate con men who propagate this sad joke.
    I’ll tell you what place is safe from climate change, my place is safe from climate change and is likely to remain so while my wits and resources hold out.

    • Mark Bofill writes [October 9, 2014 at 6:47 am]
      You’d think we’re a race of giant hamsters the way the press goes on about climate change.
      —————————————————————————————————————————–
      More like pigeons. Ever since B.F. Skinner’s work with operant conditioning, leftist have become
      convinced that human nature is completely malleable. You can train people to do anything with
      the right stimulus. They got a lot of the public ‘conditioned’ to think CO2 = global warming that
      few question the ‘settled science’ (TM). Then you subtly change the wording to ‘climate change’
      and they still think CO2 is the culprit for every outbreak of bad weather, never mind there are all
      sorts of other forcings and natural variations.

    • “The application of our intelligence; a healthy dose of preparation, and above all technology.” There is an old saying I heard in Umea, Sweden, “There is no such thing as bad weather; only bad clothes.” They’d know.

  2. From the abstract: “… the world is flattening …” I thought they accused us of be Flat-Earthers.

  3. “For example, in Wiesbaden, in 1992, the average difference between day and night was 1.2 degrees”
    Woah! Only 1.2 degrees? Something is wrong here, that is too small.

    • Yeah, way too small. The difference where I live can be as much as 40f between night and day.

    • I believe they probably meant the change in the diurnal. But STFW? Longer growing seasons? I detest these people

    • Exactly. I would bet the house that no place outside the tropics could make that claim….. And having lived in the tropics I doubt that is true even there

      • Model reanalyses and observations says other models are unreliable. You decide.

        Abstract – March 2014
        How Fast Are the Tropics Expanding?
        ….The intercomparison of models and reanalyses supports the prevailing view of a tropical widening, but the forced component of tropical widening has likely been only about 0.1°–0.2° latitude decade−1, considerably less than has generally been assumed based on inferences drawn from observations and reanalyses. Climate model diagnosis indicates that the principal mechanism for forced tropical widening since 1979 has been atmospheric sensitivity to warming oceans. The magnitude of this widening and its potential detectability has been greater in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere during boreal winter, in part owing to Antarctic stratospheric ozone depletion……
        http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00287.1

      • Speaking of cheery picking…”Wang and Dillon first estimated global spacial variation in the mean temperature and in temperature cycling by analysing more than 1 billion temperature measurements from 7,906 weather stations that sampled from the period of Jan. 1, 1926, through Dec. 31, 2009. Analysis of monthly and yearly averages of daily temperature extremes reveals that daily and annual minimum and maximum temperatures have increased across the world since 1950.”
        ————————————————————————————————————————–
        They started their data in 1926, hum? Does this mean that monthly and yearly averages of daily temperature extremes reveals that daily and annual minimum and maximum temperatures have NOT increased across the world since 1926?
        It is helpful is to use continuously active stations for the duration of the study, not easy on global level. The US record shows that the 10 year period from 1936 to 1946 produced the greatest number of record highs and lows.

  4. Damn!
    They pay people to do such work?
    Amazing.
    Pay me to do a study on changing times of sunrise and sunset and the impact on the length of each day.

  5. “If more of the world’s climate becomes like that in tropical zones, it could potentially affect crops, insects, malaria transmission, and even confuse migration patterns of birds and mammals worldwide.”
    …and if frogs had wings…!

      • reading mikewaite’s reply below I had suddenly the picture in front of my eyes what this would mean for the wind turbines…

    • Given that so many wind farms around the British coast and in the North Sea are in the migration paths of many bird species there will, in a few years time, be no migrating birds to worry about .
      Another success for the environmentalists .

      • I was thinking more along the lines of those massive solar mirror arrays that are zapping birds out of the sky like the Death Star frying rebel x-wing fighters. The sole reason that’s occurring is because of mankind and Global Cooling Global Warming Climate Change Climate Disruption as well.

  6. We’ve had a long discussion about changes in the mean temperature. It has been ongoing for over 30 years

    If the physically meaningless mean temperature DIDN’T change over time, I’d be concerned (but not a concerned scientist).

  7. A lot of words to say ‘we done yet another model exercise which has once again , thanks to the ‘right asumptions ‘, told usits worse than we thought .
    Its long be clear academic standards in climate ‘science’ have been poor , do we now add lazy to the list of abilities to make a good climate ‘scientists ‘ ?

  8. “Wang is first author of a paper, titled “Recent Geographic Convergence in Diurnal and Annual Temperature Cycling Flattens Global Thermal Profiles,”’
    “If more of the world’s climate becomes like that in tropical zones,” Which has small Diurnal and annual temperature cycling.
    “We describe, for the first time, changes in temperature variability across the globe.”
    What they are saying is that there is a smaller difference in the diurnal temperature record, the daily Highs and Lows are coming closer. They are exactly right, but the reason is the thermometer record and the moving of the record to more coastal areas.
    The Ocean and areas close to the ocean have a higher average temperature and less diurnal variation. This paper is just documenting the migration of the thermometers.

  9. “The findings show that no place is safe from climate change.”

    Jeez. These guys should up-grade their air conditioning system.

    • Lol yea, they better not step outside, they’ll step right into a changing climate. Ah, it’s bright outside… /snark

  10. “For example, the variability in temperature could potentially mean bugs survive for a longer period in non-tropical regions. The result could be increased crop damage from pest insects or spread of diseases, such as malaria transmitted by mosquitoes.”
    It could also mean more food for birds and small mammals and an increase in wildlife. In fact, this is more likely than the litany of apocalyptic outcomes being brandished about, since malaria is not spread by warm weather but by poor sanitation, and most insects don’t eat crops, and those that do can always be dealt with by spraying or planting GM crop varieties.
    Why is the glass always half empty with these guys?

    • Not only is the glass half empty, but our newest reanalysis indicates that it was probably full at some point in the past and therefor must have a leak. Projecting this trend into the future we find that soon the glass will be completely empty. It’s Worse Then We Thought!

      • The question is not whether said glass is half empty or half full, but that your bartender is cheating you.

  11. These people have found that the difference between day time and night time temperatures is increasing in inland locations. This seems to be counter to the normal claim that increased ‘greenhouse gases’ will reduce this difference due to an increase in nighttime temperatures.
    To conclude that their finding shows that the effect is natural would presumably be asking too much of them.

    • Exactly, they find that cold, dry places have a wider variation in diurnal temperatures than warm, humid places.
      And then they find that the variation of diurnal temperatures in the cold, dry places is increasing.
      That disproves the increasing humidity from AGW idea.
      That disproves the expected positive feedback.
      This paper disproves newsworthy manmade climate change.

  12. We can run, but we can’t hide. It is indeed worse than we thought (how much worse remains to be seen).
    You see ‘The research was “very computationally intensive”. So it can’t be wrong, regardless of the facts.

      • Oh come on. They’ve just learned that when you subtract a smaller number from a bigger number you get another number. Once you know that along with Tmin and Tmax you’ve got a ticket for the tax paid gravy train as long as you can show the new number you got changes… ’cause Nature didn’t change at all until evil Mann’s CO2 came on the scene.

  13. sea level rise (SLR):
    2.8 mm/year
    2.8 cm/decade
    28 cm/century.
    let’s call it a foot a century.
    That’s not drastic. It’s well explained by natural warming continuing since the end of the LIA, i.e. thermal expansion and glacial ice melt. 25-30cm/
    Can we do anything to stop it? Highly unlikely
    Would holding CO2 emission caps to say 450 ppm slow SLR? Extremely unlikely
    Would holding CO2 emissions to 450 ppm devastate national economies, thus limiting ability to adapt? quite likely.
    Reasonable course of action: adapt to 1 foot/century sea level rise and stop worrying about the anthropogenic CO2 non-problem.
    Furthermore instead of the hundreds of billions of dollars, pounds, and euros wasted on discredited “Climate Change”, we could have spent more resources on controlling viral hemorrhagic fevers that really do threaten our society with economic breakdown..

    • More reasonable course of action: Don’t expect any chaotic trend to be linear or extend into eternity.

  14. Reblogged this on CraigM350 and commented:
    We can also play the variablity cherry picking game…
    “Temperature wise, 2013/4 was far less extreme with far less variability. From mid November until the beginning of March the mean values varied by only ~7 degrees Celsius compared to ~12 degrees for 1876/7.”
    Rainfall that winter was remarkably similar to Met Office PR queen Julia Slingo’s ‘extremely unusual’ storms of 2013/1, the difference being only ~16-26mm.
    http://craigm350.wordpress.com/2014/03/18/the-great-global-weirding-of-18767/
    On the other side of the Atlantic there is this observation made in the Bighorn Mountains in Wyoming for the 6th January 1877
    “Unusual heat followed by snow. In the evening there was snow and hail driven by a cruel wind.“
    http://images.library.wisc.edu/History/EFacs/SetPerAmerInd/Victor/reference/history.victor.i0061.pdf

  15. So Max Planck is reduced to echoing derivative disreputable rent seeking tripe.
    The oxymoron of so-called global warming being rebranded as ‘climate change’ is on full display: Climate always changes. Since climate is experienced as weather. No place on Earth is safe from weather. Nor has anyplace ever been safe.
    As far as the tropics moving north, there is no evidence of this. It is just cheap posing by over employed flunkies.

  16. All because of a few 1/10ths of a degree change in the ambiguous, meaningless metric known as global temp. Idiot alarmists
    suck agin!!

  17. CO2….the magic gas that can change the climate and weather….without changing the temperature

  18. This is so disappointing. A travesty really. Now I’m really afraid.
    They are telling us that our Climate has us surrendered and there is no escape.
    I hate it when that happens.
    This sucks. It’s like finding out that your blankie is useless against the boogieman.
    We’re kinda stuck now.
    Our only out is to deny the boogieman exists.
    Hey that’s where they want us. Denying Climate itself exists.
    We’re surrounded alright. By morons, charlatans and scoundrels.

  19. Is Ed Wood a climatologist now? Lol.
    Hilarious.
    The whole “climate science” enterprise has moved so deep into embarrassing that I feel sorry for real climate scientists (if there actually are any).

  20. As I read this, I pictured myself standing in front of a judge who is pointing an accusatory finger at me, telling me I’ve been accused of being a De-nigh-er, and asking me how I plead. My response naturally has to be “I used to know right and wrong but with the change in climate I no longer can be sure.” ……….Case Dismissed!

  21. Climate change alters the ecological impacts of seasons
    If more of the world’s climate becomes like that in tropical zones, it could potentially affect crops, insects, malaria transmission, and even confuse migration patterns of birds and mammals worldwide.

    OK
    Let look at MALARIA.

    Abstract – 2010
    Climate change and the global malaria recession
    “…observed decreasing global trends in both its endemicity and geographic extent. Second, the proposed future effects of rising temperatures on endemicity are at least one order of magnitude smaller than changes observed since about 1900 and up to two orders of magnitude smaller than those that can be achieved by the effective scale-up of key control measures. Predictions of an intensification of malaria in a warmer world, based on extrapolated empirical relationships or biological mechanisms, must be set against a context of a century of warming that has seen marked global declines in the disease and a substantial weakening of the global correlation between malaria endemicity and climate.”
    http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/nature09098
    Abstract – 2001
    Climate change and mosquito-borne disease.
    …Elementary models suggest that higher global temperatures will enhance their transmission rates and extend their geographic ranges. However, the histories of three such diseases–malaria, yellow fever, and dengue–reveal that climate has rarely been the principal determinant of their prevalence or range; human activities and their impact on local ecology have generally been much more significant….
    http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1240549/

    • Let’s look at more MALARIA

      Abstract
      From Shakespeare to Defoe: malaria in England in the Little Ice Age.
      “Until the second half of the 20th century, malaria was endemic and widespread in many temperate regions, with major epidemics as far north as the Arctic Circle. From 1564 to the 1730s the coldest period of the Little Ice Age malaria was an important cause of illness and death in several parts of England.”
      http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2627969/
      Abstract
      Global warming and malaria: knowing the horse before hitching the cart
      “….from Poland to eastern Siberia, major epidemics occurred throughout the 19th century and the disease remained one of the principal public health problems for the entire first half of the 20th century…..Tens of thousands of infections, many caused by P. falciparum, occurred as far north as the Arctic seaport of Arkhangelsk (61° 30’N)….”
      doi:10.1186/1475-2875-7-S1-S3
      Abstract – [1999]
      The return of swamp fever: malaria in Canadians
      Malaria is an old Canadian disease. It was an important cause of illness and death in the past century in Upper and Lower Canada and outinto the Prairies. 1,2 During the period 1826–1832, malaria epidemics halted the construction of the Rideau Canal be-tween Ottawa and Kingston, Ont., during several consecu-tive summers, with infection rates of up to 60% and death rates of 4% among the labourers.
      ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1229992/
      Abstract
      Endemic malaria: an ‘indoor’ disease in northern Europe. Historical data analysed
      “A total of 1,803 persons died of malaria in the western parts of Finland and in the south-western archipelago during the years 1751–1773 [23]. Haartman [21] reports severe epidemics in the region of Turku in the years 1774–1777 and the physician F.W. Radloff mentioned that malaria was very common in the Aland Islands in 1795 [39].”
      Huldén et al – 2005 Malaria Journal
      http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1475-2875-4-19
      Abstract
      Anopheles (Diptera: Culicidae) and malaria in northern Europe, with special reference to Sweden
      ….An. messeae was probably the principal vector during the malaria epidemics in Sweden….
      ingentaconnect.com/content/esa/jme/1986/00000023/00000001/art00009
      Abstract
      Insect Pests in northern Norway. The Mosquito Nuisance.
      …Brief reference is made to insect-borne diseases, and it is pointed out that malaria was widespread in Sweden and Finland early in the nineteenth century, and though no records have been found from Norway, species of Anopheles occur there….
      cabdirect.org/abstracts/19412900788.html
      Abstract
      Malaria in Norway–a tropical disease off the track?
      …efforts to find the reasons for the appearance and disappearance of a disease. It is well known that malaria was common on the European continent, but it is less well known that malaria also existed in Norway during the 19th century…
      ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/7825149
      Abstract
      Malaria Around the North Sea: A Survey
      Malaria may have been introduced into the North Sea Basin in late Antiquity. It has been endemic at least since the 7th century, but its high-days were the Little Ice Age…. The rise and fall of malaria took place largely independent of long-term climatic change.
      10.1007/978-3-662-04965-5_21
      Abstract [1916]
      Malaria as a public health and economic problem in the United States
      Malaria constitutes one of the big national health problems, and because it is a common disease, it receives less consideration than many other diseases less destructive…
      doi: 10.2105/AJPH.6.12.1290
      Abstract
      Malaria in Poland
      Abstract
      Malaria epidemiological situation in Poland since nineteenth century to 1995 has been described. The changes observed during this period are enormous. Poland has been transformed from endemic country with huge epidemics into the country with sporadic imported malaria cases.
      ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/9333849
      Abstract [1977]
      Malaria eradication in Portugal
      Research on malaria, which was endemic in several parts of Portugal at the beginning of this century, was intensified in the 1940’s and led to the development of better control methods, especially in the rice-growing areas of the country. In the 1950’s residual DDT spraying was introduced…….The country was placed in the maintenance phase of malaria eradication and the certification of malaria eradication was confirmed by the WHO in 1973.
      [Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene – Volume 71, Issue 3, 1977, Pages 232–240]
      doi: dx.doi.org/10.1016/0035-9203(77)90014-1
      ———————
      Review article
      Global Warming and Infectious Disease
      In modern times, we tend to think of malaria as a tropical disease. However, malaria has existed in many temperate areas of the world (30). Outbreaks have occurred as far north as the Arctic Circle and the disease has flourished in much of Europe and North America….. In Europe, cases of malaria persisted throughout the Little Ice Age, a period of intensely cold winters and cool summers that began in 1564…..
      Archives of Medical Research – Volume 36, Issue 6, November–December 2005, Pages 689–696
      Infectious Diseases: Revisiting Past Problems and Addressing Future Challenges

  22. “We describe, for the first time, changes in temperature variability across the globe.”
    Aw, c’mon. At this stage in the ever long lasting CAGW game there is absolutely no conceivable way imaginable that any researcher anywhere could possibly describe any climate change thingies “for the first time.” Everything, everywhere, concerning CAGW has been “described.” The human imagination has been utterly emptied. And, quite some time ago.

  23. No place to run, no place to hide. The bogey man will get us!
    This on top of realizing that the Max Planck Institute is spewing alarmist slogans.
    The coming El Niño warming will be amplified by humans (press-release writers that is).

  24. For the first time we describe how to make a perfectly standard, paper, coffee cup – of which one trillion have been made.
    For the first time we describe what a bee sting feels like – even though there’s probably a million that occur a day.
    For the first time we describe the difference in appearance between a man with hair and a man who’s bald.
    For the first time we describe the difference between long pants and short pants.
    For the first time we describe the difference in sensation between hot water and cold water.
    For the first time …

    • I would climb any mountain
      Sail across a stormy sea
      If that’s what it takes me baby
      To show how bad C O 2 can be
      And I guess it’s just the O 2 in you
      That brings out the C in me
      I know we can’t help ourselves
      We’ll heat all the land and the sea
      It feels like the first time
      Feels like the very first time
      It feels like the first time
      It feels like the very first time
      (Apologies to Foreigner, misused without permission)

  25. In temperate regions plants and animals receive their season-change cues as much from the changing periods of daylight as from temperaure changes – don’t they?

  26. They’re throwing everything they’ve got at it.
    ‘Report’ after ‘report’, ‘study’ after ‘study’, ‘new research’ after ‘new research’, always ticking off item after item on their ‘to do’ list to keep the alarm maxed up. And naturally it’s always ‘worse than previously thought’.
    Meanwhile, almost nothing in the real world is outside the normal range of previous observations.

  27. This study is idiotic.
    I should have stopped reading here: “We’ve had a long discussion about changes in the mean temperature. It has been ongoing for over 30 years,’ says George Wang.”
    No, it’s been going on far, far longer than that.
    ” in Wiesbaden, in 1992, the average difference between day and night was 1.2 degrees, while the average difference between summer and winter was 24.8 degrees. In 2012, the day/night cycle was 5.2 degrees, while the summer/winter cycle was 18.9″
    And which is “normal and correct”?
    Utter nonsense.

  28. As daily temperature cycles become more extreme, it becomes harder for plants to behave appropriately to the season. Therefore, plants might produce flowers too early or too late, and so there might be some years where certain fruits never appear.

    After over 30 years of catastrophic, unprecedented warming and the hottest decade / year / month evaaaaaah, some results are in.

    Providence Journal – May 24, 2014
    ………..this year, a late spring vanquished the annual pollen-release sequence. When it finally warmed up, pollen poured out of a spectrum of trees and shrubs simultaneously……
    Such pollen data is in high demand by global change scientists to help validate global climate models and provide conservation baselines.
    =============
    CBC News – 30 September 2014
    Late potato harvest result of cold spring
    =============
    HuffPo – 12 September, 2014
    Summer Snow Storm Sets Records In Parts Of United States
    =============
    Met Office
    Why was the start to spring 2013 so cold?
    …April 2013 – The Spring of 2013 started with the second coldest March in the UK record since 1910, and was associated with a negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation….
    metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/cold-spring-2013

  29. You cannot hide from the missing heat that is hiding somewhere, as soon as you turn your back the missing heat will jump out from its as yet unknown secret hiding place and there will be nowhere to hide from its wrath.
    You just couldnt make it up.

  30. Here we estimate global changes in the magnitudes of diurnal and annual temperature cycles from 1975 to 2013…….

    There is space in there for a natural cycle.

  31. “Most people are rightly concerned about sea level rise”
    not really , more concerned about land sinking.
    Take this San Francisco report in 1892-
    http://www.sfgenealogy.com/sf/history/hgoe26.htm
    ” Two inches may, therefore, be taken as the basis of calculating. In a hundred years the waters of the bay would be ebbing through the first stories of buildings, and the second floors would be what seamen call awash. Large vessels would find sufficient water in those streets to sail up to Sixth and Folsom streets and Market and California streets”

  32. Wang: “For example, in Wiesbaden, in 1992, the average difference between day and night was 1.2 degrees, while the average difference between summer and winter was 24.8 degrees. In 2012, the day/night cycle was 5.2 degrees, while the summer/winter cycle was 18.9, so the daily temperature variability is now much more similar to the yearly variability. Compare this to Las Palmas in the Canary Islands, where the day/night difference is about 4.3 degrees and the summer/winter difference is about 6.7 — it has not changed very much.”
    As a taxpayer Wang’s above statement triggers a frustration with the institution of science itself. His statement claim indicates that he views the “pause” as a complete fabrication.
    The words that Wang has NOT written tell us that he believes the pause as a complete fairy tale not worth mentioning — an issue that does not even exist. Only if Wang believes that the pause is a silly fiction does his statement make sense to Wang himself. Am I missing something?

    • Well obviously if it is not in the models it must not exist. It’s like the movie The Matrix, climate scientists stuck in their models, like humans in their battery cocoons, believe the Matrix/model is real, and have lost awareness of reality.

    • Wang is a genius. Wiesbaden is near Frankfurt, a 500 km or so from the sea. Las Palmas has a port.
      1992 was Techno heydays in Germany and the fashion was, how do you call it, skimpy. Bare bellies were all the rage (and looked good for a while until the Techno girls got older).
      Today? Trenchcoats, trenchcoats, it’s as if womankind prepares for the battle of the Somme.
      Anything to do with the weather maybe?

  33. They certainly have some folks trained to associate the term “climate change” with human causation.
    Without that assumed association, articles about the danger of climate change are really comical.
    Any time I discuss climate change with an alarmist, I make it a point to illustrate the comedy of this misuse of the term climate change. If you are going to discuss science, you had better be prepared to use precise terminology, or risk acting the fool.

    • …or risk acting the fool.

      Apparently the fools are in charge, since acting like a fool, in terms of climate, is not a risk but an asset.

      • They’re not acting.
        And yeah, the whole point about this blatant fear mongering is the implied meaning. At some level, I feel sorry for the people who lap this stuff up. It must be difficult to sleep at night when you’re worrying about how your actions are destroying the planet.

  34. “It has been ongoing for over 30 years.” Correction: it’s been going on for billions of years. Climate change. It’s what the earth does. Just like women coloring their hair, like men changing their beard. Change is normal and natural and it is most certainly inevitable. But I do wish we could continue with the talk of adaptation, as this blog has repeatedly pointed out. It would be foolish to just sit around and wait for the next massive change in earth’s climate, whether by meteor or super volcano or the sun or the poles or whatever. Gradual change is something mankind can deal with, but vast, sweeping and swift change – not so much. It’s beyond foolish to sit and wring hands over man’s CO2, though I certainly think it should be part of the discussion. But to focus solely on one minor element and forgo the rest… I thought we were making progress as a scientific people? It doesn’t seem like it to me. It seems to me that we, as a human race, are still running around scared to death and unable to make rational debate. Will we ever be free from superstition?

    • let me ask a serious question. If the region where I live routinely gets down to -5C in the winter as a low, does that mean that with a 1 degree rise in global temps, that the low temp will be -4C instead? Would I even notice a difference in winter low temps? or summer highs that are routinely 30 Degrees, become routinely 31 Degrees C average? Big deal

      • Even with a 3 C difference, it really would not matter much, but the alarmists claim that 3 C warming would be catastrophic. I would love for my climate where I live in Canada to warm on average by 3 C.

      • Imagine a 2C rise and the world flourished. We have already gone through almost 1C and no one has noticed. We hit 400ppm and……………………………..no signs of weather getting more extreme. These people are living in cloud cookoo land.
        Remember, the Vostok ice core paleo record tells us that co2 rise follows temperature rise.

        Abstract
        Systematics and Biodiversity – Volume 8, Issue 1, 2010
        Kathy J. Willis et al
        4 °C and beyond: what did this mean for biodiversity in the past?
        How do the predicted climatic changes (IPCC, 2007) for the next century compare in magnitude and rate to those that Earth has previously encountered? Are there comparable intervals of rapid rates of temperature change, sea-level rise and levels of atmospheric CO2 that can be used as analogues to assess possible biotic responses to future change? Or are we stepping into the great unknown? This perspective article focuses on intervals in time in the fossil record when atmospheric CO2 concentrations increased up to 1200 ppmv, temperatures in mid- to high-latitudes increased by greater than 4 °C within 60 years, and sea levels rose by up to 3 m higher than present. For these intervals in time, case studies of past biotic responses are presented to demonstrate the scale and impact of the magnitude and rate of such climate changes on biodiversity. We argue that although the underlying mechanisms responsible for these past changes in climate were very different (i.e. natural processes rather than anthropogenic), the rates and magnitude of climate change are similar to those predicted for the future and therefore potentially relevant to understanding future biotic response. What emerges from these past records is evidence for rapid community turnover, migrations, development of novel ecosystems and thresholds from one stable ecosystem state to another, but there is very little evidence for broad-scale extinctions due to a warming world. Based on this evidence from the fossil record, we make four recommendations for future climate-change integrated conservation strategies.
        DOI: 10.1080/14772000903495833

    • More cherry picking nonsense, date ranges are used randomly in order to support a narrow position. It has the scientific integrity of a sci-fi made for TV movie, like “War of the giant spiders and grasshoppers”.

  35. even with a 3 C increase in temps. I would still have to fire up my furnace in the winter, and wrap my palm trees, to prevent both of us from freezing solid.

  36. MAN-BEAR-PIG WILL FIND YOU THERE’S NO PLACE TO HIDE!!!!
    Unless you agree to further taxation, higher energy cost, and live like it’s 1799, then you shall have salvation and you will be safe forever and ever.

  37. I think the solution is very simple: Outlaw thermometers.
    Now, some will say that if we do that then only outlaws will have thermometers, but that apparently true already.

    • I’d prefer outlawing climate models, but that would raise all of kinds of free speech issues. So maybe we can have a law similar to laws about vitamins and supplements, where each model has a disclaimer:

      “This model has has not been proven by scientific observation. This model is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure, or prevent any particular global climate condition.”

  38. We’ve had a long discussion about changes in the mean temperature. It has been ongoing for over 30 years,’ says George Wang.
    Thirty years is indeed a long ‘discussion’. But that is precisely what happens when you have unsettled science.
    When the data does not support your hypothesis,….. and all kinds of ‘adjustments’ to the data still fail to overcome a climate that serendipitously refuses to ‘warm up’ as the unvalidated climate models insist it must, you are destined for extended controversy without resolution. The controversy ends when the null hypothesis is accepted and climate studies are refocused on relevant climate variables, rather than the myopic focus on miniscule additions of the trace gas CO2 to the planetary atmosphere.

  39. Apparently not ducks. just got this from Nevada DOW:
    “An annual survey by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) reported that continental duck populations have increased over last year to record levels. The preliminary estimate for the total duck population is 49.2 million birds, an 8 percent increase over last year’s estimate and 43 percent above the long-term average. This is the highest population recorded during the annual surveys since the USFWS started the survey in 1955.”

  40. But then, in the press release, they add this totally unnecessary B-movie poster line “The findings show that no place is safe from climate change. “ This scare tactic amounts to nothing more than an exercise in Tabloid Climatology™.

    =========================================================================
    Sooo…since there’s no place for them to go can we scratch “climate refugees” off the list of adverse effects of Hockeysticlimatology?

    • Wait… Wang himself says Las Palmas looks pretty stable… Maybe he’s just not very good in logic, consistency, or reviewing his own press releases?

  41. “The findings show that no place is safe from climate change.”
    Damn I was gonna hide under my bed but will have to rethink that strategy

  42. “The findings show that no place is safe from climate change”
    Or is that no place is safe from useless utterings.

  43. As long as the”climate change” is warming it’s probably not a bad thing……….
    As autumn sets in across the Northern Hemisphere a team of researchers from Nagoya University, Japan, have published a study in the journal Frontiers in Psychology, explaining that: “Coldness biases people toward being cold-hearted, reduces empathetic concern, and facilitates utilitarian moral judgements.”

  44. @ GregK
    “Coldness biases people toward being cold-hearted, reduces empathetic concern, and facilitates utilitarian moral judgements.”
    It also reduces the food supplies that can be shared, perhaps that is a reason.

  45. Being “very computationally intensive” is a bit of a clue. The phrase “garbage in, garbage out” could have been invented for climate science.
    History shows that mankind has always prospered during the warm periods, and suffered during the cold periods.
    About sea level rise, you just need to look at the graph. It started to rise around 1850, just when the LIA ended. Since then it’s essentially a straight line (Holgate indicated a slight fall in the rate around 1950). I don’t think there were many SUV’s in 1850. So – shock, horror – the graph strongly indicates the rise is completely natural, with no acceleration even remotely corresponding with CO2 emissions.
    For these anti-scientific, anti-human morons the real catastrophe is the complete lack of global warming in this century.
    Chris

    • True the actual lack of actual ‘climate doom’ is something that causes some people real concern, when you think that given the human cost of such things they be happy this was the case. But then there has always been a rather antihuman element to some greens and if your pay cheque depends on peoples willingness to buy snake oil you can see why you be upset that people no longer feel the need to buy snake oil.

  46. “the variability in temperature could potentially mean bugs survive for a longer period in non-tropical regions. The result could be increased crop damage from pest insects or spread of diseases, such as malaria transmitted by mosquitoes.”
    The answer to this is DDT. Hermann Muller won the Nobel Prize in Medicine for inventing DDT. The US National Academy of Sciences praised the unprecedented effectiveness of DDT in the following words: “To only a few chemicals does man owe as great a debt as to DDT. It is estimated that, in little more than two decades, DDT has prevented 500 million human deaths, due to malaria, that would otherwise have been inevitable.”

  47. The authors of this study have just discovered (no – rediscovered) the difference between continental climates, and maritime climates. Congratulations to them for being more than 100 years out of daye.

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