Numbers released today by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center show that not only has July been abnormally cool in the USA, but so has 2014 in general. For the last 30 days, there have been 574 record highest temperatures in the USA, and 1,726 record lowest. A ratio of 3 to 1, indicating that July was very cool. But, the year so far has also been cool.
So far for the USA year to date, the numbers of record lows outpace the highs two to one.
This year, here have been been 12,644 daily record lowest temperatures versus 6,615 record highest temperatures in the USA, a ratio of 1.91 to 1.0.
For all types of high and low daily records for the year to date, there were 29,372 cold records versus 16,761 warm records, a ratio of 1.75 to 1.0
If all high and low daily record types are considered for the last 365 days, cold still outpaces warm. There are 46,712 cold records versus 36,650 warm records.
The ratios for monthly all time records also see cold records outpacing warm ones.
From the National Climatic Data Center:
The summaries below list the number of records broken for several recent periods is summarized in this table and updated daily. Due to late-arriving data, the number of recent records is likely underrepresented in all categories, but the ratio of records (warm to cold, for example) should be a fairly strong estimate of a final outcome. There are many more precipitation stations than temperature stations, so the raw number of precipitation records will likely exceed the number of temperature records in most climatic situations.
For all time records, cold and warm records are about evenly balanced for 2014, with 28 warm records year-to-date versus 32 cold records.
As mentioned earlier by NCDC recent records (30 days or less) are probably underrepresented.
Source: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records
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Correcting a bad link above:
http://www.particle-analysis.eu/LEAP_Nature__Sirocko+Seelos.pdf
Anthony, we’ve just had the first spotless day in this solar cycle (since it ramped up)
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt
Maybe Leif can answer this – considering we are at about solar max at the moment – isn’t this highly unusual to have a spotless day ???
Anecdotes from So Cal.
Only a few hot days in the coastal valleys so far this summer.
Some of the deciduous trees already beginning to drop their leaves. (Maybe because of the drought?)
But, the large wing of geese flying south this morning got me thinking,,,
Eve ,
important for Canada is also the development of the Gulf Stream.
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/Loops/GRTOFS/currents/GRtofs_Curr_Atl_03_Day_flash.shtml
August in North America will be warmer.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/700hPa/overlay=temp/orthographic=25.38,89.80,365
Or in the Arctic will be ice record this winter?
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/arctic.sea.ice.interactive.html
posting for the claims of of high temps in Europe based on WSI data using the GFS model, whatever that is.
btw people paying attention would know by now that the EU placed no sanctions whatsoever on physical energy, yet –
1 Aug: Bloomberg: EU Power Set for Biggest Gain in 10 Months on Sanctions
By Marek Strzelecki, Jesper Starn and Julia Mengewein
European power prices for next year are headed for the biggest monthly gains since September amid concern sanctions against Russia will boost the cost of coal and gas, raising production costs at utilities…
“Traders bought in expectation of drastic sanctions against Russia and the potential impact on supply of gas and coal to Europe,” Nicolai Wuesten, a power market analyst at Energieunion GmbH, said yesterday by phone from Schwerin, Germany. “The market is nervous, because we are depending on Russian commodities.” …
“When sanctions were decided, the contract started falling again,” Wuesten said. ***“Traders were buying the rumor and selling the fact.”…
German average temperatures next week are forecast at 20 degrees Celsius (68 degrees Fahrenheit), 1.4 degrees above the seasonal norm, according to WSI data using the GFS model. The average for northwest Europe and the U.K. will exceed the seasonal norm of 18.5 degrees by 1.2 degrees, it showed. Temperatures in the Nordic region will average 21.8 degrees Celsius, 5.3 degrees above the seasonal norm, according to the model…
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-07-31/eu-power-set-for-biggest-gain-in-10-months-amid-russia-sanctions.html
Pat
As I showed above, by the end of this year, the temperature in Western Europe will fall quickly.
Here in central Virginia, July averaged 3.5 degrees F below the “long-term” average; a cool month. Highest temp for any day was 95; hot, but nowhere near a record. A couple of days ago the low was 56, two degrees less than the official record of 58. Probably the official record for July, taken at Richmond International Airport, won’t support my claim; I record the temps, precip, and other conditions at Mechanicsville, about 10 miles northeast of the airport as the crow flies. In the year since I started my record, there have been no record high temps either set or tied, and at least half a dozen record lows. Purely anecdotal, from a dot on the map; but supporting the general observations from elsewhere.
Ah Americans once again thinking that the world revolves around your country. Let’s put this in perspective shall we? Norilsk (a city in northern Siberia) just broke a record for the hottest summer temperature ever recorded. You can read about it here (bonus ladies in bikinis).
http://siberiantimes.com/ecology/casestudy/news/norilsk-breaks-records-for-arctic-heat-in-a-new-sign-of-changing-weather-patterns/
But don’t let reality get in the way of your Fox news fantasy world.
Bob Barker,
Fox news is not conservative enough for me.
ggm says:
“Anthony, we’ve just had the first spotless day in this solar cycle (since it ramped up)
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt
Maybe Leif can answer this – considering we are at about solar max at the moment – isn’t this highly unusual to have a spotless day ???”
It’s not unusual for weak cycles, see the daily ssn during previous weak cycles (SC 14 for example). It can drop to zero even at/around the cycle max.
http://www.climate4you.com/images/SIDC%20DailySunspotNumberSince1900.gif
I am a government paid climate scientologist …… for the next 5 years, I predict partly cloudy conditions with a chance of outright fraud ….
1350+ Peer-Reviewed Papers Supporting Skeptic Arguments Against ACC/AGW Alarm
http://www.populartechnology.net/2009/10/peer-reviewed-papers-supporting.html
a cold summer was predicted at the linked website, when everybody was saying hot, hot, hot. They also predicted a stock crash. hmmm. See all predictions here:
http://www.frontlineofdefense.com/10-summer-predictions
Oh look, a Warmatard. Always fun when a cognitive-dissonance impaired Warmist troll drops by, with their obligatory “Fox News” straw man ad hom. They seem to be getting scarcer and scarcer.
Perhaps they should be put on the endangered specious list.
Alan Robertson says:
July 31, 2014 at 7:56 pm
North of 43 and south of 44 says:
July 31, 2014 at 7:41 pm
Hey every one look —————————————>
ENSO Meter is headed to La Nina conditions.
___________________
The ENSO meter is decidedly neutral, right now, but hasn’t moved in several days.
_______________________________________________________________
If at a little over +0.5 it was foretelling a nasty huge El Nino then when it has dropped 0.5 and is now slightly over 0.0 it is indeed headed for a La Nina that it hasn’t reached that point yet is immaterial. What is good for the goose and all that ..
We can play loose just like the flat earthers (those who believe in consensus always being correct).
Had the Liberals simply used the phrase “Human-Influenced Climate Change” to push their agenda instead of “Global Cooling” (in the ’70’s) and “Global Warming” (more recently) they just might be taken more seriously.
In contrast the 2014’s CET was above the 20 year average.
England’s July daily maximum temperatures were about 2.5 C above its 20 year average, while daily July minimum was 0.8C up, both matching the last year’s July numbers.
Meanwhile for July’s SSN no major change (up to SSN=72.5 from June’s 71)
The high minimums are classic examples of UHIE.
***
John M. Ware says:
August 1, 2014 at 1:27 am
Here in central Virginia, July averaged 3.5 degrees F below the “long-term” average; a cool month. Highest temp for any day was 95; hot, but nowhere near a record. A couple of days ago the low was 56, two degrees less than the official record of 58.
***
Highest so far here is 89F in late May & July (out in the country – no UHIE). 48F couple nights ago. Certainly a cool summer, but corn looks very good. Wouldn’t be surprised if there is a record corn/soybean harvest here in western MD.
Some User says:
August 1, 2014 at 6:09 am
Had the Liberals simply used the phrase “Human-Influenced Climate Change” to push their agenda instead of “Global Cooling” (in the ’70’s) and “Global Warming” (more recently) they just might be taken more seriously.
No.
Had they said that, they would then be required to show what portion of the “Climate Change” was being “Human-Influenced”. Mere conjecture would not be enough.
By using “Climate Change”, “Global Cooling”, “Global Warming”, “Climate Disruption”, etc., they can just weasel out of being pinned down.
By the way, calling them “Liberals” isn’t exactly correct. Look up “Classic Liberal” and you’ll be hard pressed to identify this group with that definition.
“Progressives”, on the other hand, seems more correct.
James Strom, john Robertson,
It was midnight on the ocean, not a streetcar was in sight
And the sun was shining brightly, for it rained all day that night
‘Twas a summer night in winter, and the rain was snowing fast
And a barefoot boy with shoes on stood a-sitting in the grass
All together now…
Ah, Bob Barker comes here and refers us to the Siberian Times for the latest in climate trends and sun-bathing tourist hotspots while simultaneously sneering at Americans for their points view. Now, is not that something?
Ren says August will be warmer.
That’s what a veteran forecaster I follow is saying. We’ll take it, hope it lasts, but fall is approaching.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/Lundberg/summer-will-ret/31374350
Cold will be in Canada, Iceland, the British Isles, France.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#2014/08/05/1500Z/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=-30.28,52.48,635