Numbers released today by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center show that not only has July been abnormally cool in the USA, but so has 2014 in general. For the last 30 days, there have been 574 record highest temperatures in the USA, and 1,726 record lowest. A ratio of 3 to 1, indicating that July was very cool. But, the year so far has also been cool.
So far for the USA year to date, the numbers of record lows outpace the highs two to one.
This year, here have been been 12,644 daily record lowest temperatures versus 6,615 record highest temperatures in the USA, a ratio of 1.91 to 1.0.
For all types of high and low daily records for the year to date, there were 29,372 cold records versus 16,761 warm records, a ratio of 1.75 to 1.0
If all high and low daily record types are considered for the last 365 days, cold still outpaces warm. There are 46,712 cold records versus 36,650 warm records.
The ratios for monthly all time records also see cold records outpacing warm ones.
From the National Climatic Data Center:
The summaries below list the number of records broken for several recent periods is summarized in this table and updated daily. Due to late-arriving data, the number of recent records is likely underrepresented in all categories, but the ratio of records (warm to cold, for example) should be a fairly strong estimate of a final outcome. There are many more precipitation stations than temperature stations, so the raw number of precipitation records will likely exceed the number of temperature records in most climatic situations.
For all time records, cold and warm records are about evenly balanced for 2014, with 28 warm records year-to-date versus 32 cold records.
As mentioned earlier by NCDC recent records (30 days or less) are probably underrepresented.
Source: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datatools/records
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A very long time ago humans learned how to burn things. It allowed them to survive the last Ice Age and unwittingly postpone the next one. That is the most inconvenient of all truths.
To the person asking who keeps track of the records, when I used to write weather reports for a weekly paper, I would get all the temp data from the county road commission. They track highs and lows, precipitation, etc. They need to know what the weather is doing for road maintenance, particularly during snowy winters.
They will find a way to make the ‘necessary adjustments’. Record cold will be converted into a tropical heatwave.
As pleasant as this summer has been, it will be proclaimed as one of the hottest summers on record. I have dibs on #6.
Where’s Zeke, Mosher and Stokes when you need them to explain this away? 😉
When the temperatures are unusually cool the climate alarmists attribute it to weather instead of climate. When the temps are high they say it is climate change or global warming.
Just this July we had this wonderful story from heatwave ravaged Russia.
It was reported today that here in Central Florida, our average temperature this July was dead nuts on to the 30 year average. We’re trending average.
but, but, but the models show accelerating global warming. This dead stop for 17 years must be adjusted away until the weather reflects what the models tell us is happening.
btw; Ringo Florida being dead on 30 year average this July, is just weather not climate.
/sarc
Do these clowns ever go outside. This continues to be be the coolest year i can recall, and i’m no spring chicken.
The warmers want the carbon tax and the facts be D@ur momisugly$ned. Every year this plot to tax carbon based energy to make the rich richer and keep the poor, poor is more and more evident. MAN MADE GLOBAL WARMING IS NOT HAPPENING. NEITHER IS MAN MADE CLIMATE CHANGE.
Climate has been changing because of force way beyond the influence of human being millions of years ago. There is proof of it all over the globe. There have been cooling and warming trends over the millennia before man ever built his first campfire.
Wise up people… the warmer fear mongers must be confronted. This continued lie has become a cult, a religion of the left wherein facts are irrelevant….
Summer … what’s that?
All this chill in the air … must be a spell of cold weather, except for that warm climate out Oregon way.
Anthony Watts says:
July 31, 2014 at 4:22 pm
Record temperatures are the one thing that NCDC can’t “adjust”, they are absolute and fixed. Either there’s a record high/low on a day, or there isn’t. No homogenization, TOBs, or other adjustments need to be done.
Wait, when there is a “record” temp, the data doesn’t need to be “adjusted”, but when the same station(s) record non-record temps they do need to be adjusted?
I’m so confused!
Jeeze, it’s almost like the weather varies, and it’s really hard to predict it more than a few days into the future. Of course, I do not have a super computer or a “climate model”, so I guess I’m just a “rube”, but it sure has been a bit “colder than expected” around these parts lately,
Like the old (really old) joke in Upstate NY; “What do you do in the summer ? Well… if the summer happens on a weekend, we have a picnic”…..
Ok, I’m off to tune up the snowblower now, I think I might need it in a few months….
Cheers, Kevin (Note; Al Gore, please stay the heck away from here…)
Hey every one look —————————————>
ENSO Meter is headed to La Nina conditions.
See OBAMA’s programs are working 😉
North of 43 and south of 44 says:
July 31, 2014 at 7:41 pm
Hey every one look —————————————>
ENSO Meter is headed to La Nina conditions.
___________________
The ENSO meter is decidedly neutral, right now, but hasn’t moved in several days.
I have my own way of measurement. It is called the number of nights I sleep without a comforter. So far this summer in Canada, it is 3. Last winter in the Bahamas, I used a comforter 2 nights. Last summer in Canada, the total without a comforter was 5. The two summers before that were 4 and 4. The last nice summer was 2010, but I did not write down the number of nights without a comforter then. 2009 was cold and 2008 was cold. I don’t remember 07 but I do remember that 06 and 05 were warm but my mother in law was up from Florida in August in 05 and almost froze. I also remember as a kid in the cooling period, summers were warm from May to end of Sept. Somebody is doing something strange with our temperature records.
The climate debate was locked into stupid almost from inception. The very notion of the average surface temperature driving or a reflection broad climate is close to nonsense. At least in the recent time frame commonly debated which of course is a cherry pick as well.
North of 43 and south of 44 says:
July 31, 2014 at 7:41 pm
Hey every one look —————————————>
ENSO Meter is headed to La Nina conditions.
More like La Nada
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/seanthomas/100222487/when-it-comes-to-climate-change-we-have-to-trust-our-scientists-because-they-know-lots-of-big-scary-words/
Here in central Oklahoma, at least 2 record cools have been recorded this month, with a daily low average, a daily low min. and I saw a reference that we’re about to set a record for the coolest July, in a state where 60+ days of 100+F heat waves have been seen. Tomorrow, the 1st of August is only forecast to reach 83F, Life is good.
None of this info amounts to much, though. Just 2 yrs ago, 2012 saw both the hottest day recorded in the state (113F) as well as the lowest (-20F), so the best that can be said for the weather out here in the middle of the continent is that it’s a crap shoot.
Has it got Sunspot, New Mexico yet?
Ignore it, “global warming” is REAL and the earth is only getting hotter, all because of humans! Damn science! Believe the insane leftist lies instead!
Alan Robertson says:
July 31, 2014 at 8:31 pm
“None of this info amounts to much, though. Just 2 yrs ago, 2012 saw both the hottest day recorded in the state (113F) as well as the lowest (-20F), so the best that can be said for the weather out here in the middle of the continent is that it’s a crap shoot.”
There is room to agree and disagree here. But neither might be what you may presently think……
First, what kind of weather/climate are we supposed to be experiencing, were it not for the vaunted couplings of CO2 with climate? Well, that might be:
““In terrestrial records from Central and Eastern Europe the end of the Last Interglacial seems to be characterized by evident climatic and environmental instabilities recorded by geochemical and vegetation indicators. The transition (MIS 5e/5d) from the Last Interglacial (Eemian, Mikulino) to the Early Last Glacial (Early Weichselian, Early Valdai) is marked by at least two warming events as observed in geochemical data on the lake sediment profiles of Central (Gro¨bern, Neumark–Nord, Klinge) and of Eastern Europe (Ples). Results of palynological studies of all these sequences indicate simultaneously a strong increase of environmental oscillations during the very end of the Last Interglacial and the beginning of the Last Glaciation. This paper discusses possible correlations of these events between regions in Central and Eastern Europe. The pronounced climate and environment instability during the interglacial/glacial transition could be consistent with the assumption that it is about a natural phenomenon, characteristic for transitional stages. Taking into consideration that currently observed ‘‘human-induced’’ global warming coincides with the natural trend to cooling, the study of such transitional stages is important for understanding the underlying processes of the climate changes.” http://eg.igras.ru/files/f.2010.04.14.12.53.54..5.pdf
But what if CO2 is the heathen devil gas it is presently made out to be? Well then…
“The possible explanation as to why we are still in an interglacial relates to the early anthropogenic hypothesis of Ruddiman (2003, 2005). According to that hypothesis, the anomalous increase of CO2 and CH4 concentrations in the atmosphere as observed in mid- to late Holocene ice-cores results from anthropogenic deforestation and rice irrigation, which started in the early Neolithic at 8000 and 5000 yr BP, respectively. Ruddiman proposes that these early human greenhouse gas emissions prevented the inception of an overdue glacial that otherwise would have already started.”
conclude Muller and Pross (2007) http://folk.uib.no/abo007/share/papers/eemian_and_lgi/mueller_pross07.qsr.pdf
which necessarily brings us to:
“Investigating the processes that led to the end of the last interglacial period is relevant for understanding how our ongoing interglacial will end, which has been a matter of much debate…..”
“The onset of the LEAP occurred within less than two decades, demonstrating the existence of a sharp threshold, which must be near 416 Wm2, which is the 65oN July insolation for 118 kyr BP (ref. 9). This value is only slightly below today’s value of 428 Wm2. Insolation will remain at this level slightly above the inception for the next 4,000 years before it then increases again.” http://www.researchgate.net/publication/7666733_A_late_Eemian_aridity_pulse_in_central_Europe_during_the_last_glacial_inception/file/e0b495241f29d14e8a.pdf
Which more or less confirms your “crap shoot” hypothesis.
GHGs either can or cannot mitigate glacial inception. It is no more complicated or simple than that. Period.
a) If GHGs can get us over the next ~4,000 years of glacial inception risk, then why are we having this discussion at all?
b) If GHGs can’t vault us across the next ~4,000 years of glacial inception risk, then why are we having this discussion at all?
You are right, it is indeed a crap shoot. But maybe not necessarily the one expected…..